Adrian E. Raftery

Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness Series B Statistical methodology

Tilmann Gneiting, Fadoua Balabdaoui, Adrian E. Raftery, 2007 .

ensembleBMA: An R Package for Probabilistic Forecasting using Ensembles and Bayesian Model Averaging

Tilmann Gneiting, Chris Fraley, Adrian E. Raftery, 2007 .

ACCOUNTING FOR UNCERTAINTY ABOUT PAST VALUES IN PROBABILISTIC PROJECTIONS OF THE TOTAL FERTILITY RATE FOR MOST COUNTRIES.

Adrian E. Raftery, Peiran Liu, A. Raftery, 2018, The annals of applied statistics.