Robert W. Rich

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Modeling Uncertainty: Predictive Accuracy as a Proxy for Predictive Confidence

Joseph S. Tracy, Joseph Tracy, Robert W. Rich, 2003 .

Testing for measurement errors in expectations from survey data: An instrumental variables approach

J. S. Butler, Robert W. Rich, Jennie E. Raymond, 1993 .

Oil and the Macroeconomy: A Markov State-Switching Approach

Robert W. Rich, Jennie E. Raymond, J. Raymond, 1997 .

The Relationship between Forecast Dispersion and Forecast Uncertainty: Evidence from a Survey Data-ARCH Model

J. S. Butler, Robert W. Rich, Jennie E. Raymond, 1992 .

Tracking the New Economy: Using Growth Theory to Detect Changes in Trend Productivity

Robert W. Rich, James A. Kahn, 2003 .

Inflation and the asymmetric effects of money on output fluctuations

Robert W. Rich, W. Rhee, 1995 .

The FRBNY Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge: UIG

Simon M. Potter, Robert W. Rich, Marlene Amstad, 2014 .

Disagreement as a Measure of Uncertainty: A Comment on Bomberger

J. S. Butler, Robert W. Rich, 1998 .

Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 Conference Summary

Robert W. Rich, Marco Del Negro, P. Andrade, 2021 .

Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations

Robert W. Rich, Edward S. Knotek, Raphael S. Schoenle, 2022, Economic Commentary (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland).

How Does Slack Influence Inflation?

Robert W. Rich, Richard W. Peach, Anna Cororaton, 2011 .

Heterogeneity and the Effects of Aggregation on Wage Growth

Robert W. Rich, J. Tracy, 2022, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Working Papers.

NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES SLACK AND CYCLICALLY SENSITIVE INFLATION

Kyle K. Hood, Robert W. Rich, Michael T. Kiley, 2019 .

The New York Fed Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge (UIG)

Simon M. Potter, Robert W. Rich, Marlene Amstad, 2017 .

Structural Change in U.S. Wage Determination

Robert W. Rich, Donald Rissmiller, 2001 .

Structural Estimates of the U.S. Sacrifice Ratio

Stephen G. Cecchetti, Robert W. Rich, 1999 .

A Review of Core Inflation and an Evaluation of its Measures

Robert W. Rich, C. Steindel, 2005 .

A Comparison of Measures of Core Inflation

Robert W. Rich, C. Steindel, 2007 .

Early Contract Renegotiation: An Analysis of US Labor Contracts, 1970–1995

Joseph S. Tracy, Robert W. Rich, 2013, Journal of Labor Economics.

A look at the US inflation puzzle

Robert W. Rich, Cara S. Lown, 2014 .

Rural Poverty and Aggregate Agricultural Performance in Post-independence India

Robert W. Rich, C. Bell, 2009 .

Is There an Inflation Puzzle?

Robert W. Rich, Cara S. Lown, 1997, Handbook of Monetary Policy.

Generalized instrumental variables estimation of autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models

J. S. Butler, Robert W. Rich, J. Raymond, 1991 .

Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports

Joseph S. Tracy, Robert W. Rich, Nicola Cetorelli, 2011 .

Indirect Consumer Inflation Expectations: Theory and Evidence

Robert W. Rich, Edward S. Knotek, Raphael S. Schoenle, 2022, Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland).

Improving Survey Measures of Household Inflation Expectations

Simon M. Potter, Robert W. Rich, W. Bruine de Bruin, 2010 .

A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area

Joseph S. Tracy, Robert W. Rich, 2018, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

The Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement and Their Roles in Economic Prediction: A Panel Analysis

Joseph S. Tracy, Robert W. Rich, 2017 .

The Measurement and Behavior of Uncertainty: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters

Joseph S. Tracy, Robert W. Rich, Joseph Song, 2012 .

The Relationships among Expected Inflation, Disagreement, and Uncertainty: Evidence from Matched Point and Density Forecasts

Joseph S. Tracy, Robert W. Rich, 2010, The Review of Economics and Statistics.

Tracking Productivity in Real Time

Robert W. Rich, James A. Kahn, 2006 .

Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports the Relationship between Expected Inflation, Disagreement, and Uncertainty: Evidence from Matched Point and Density Forecasts the Relationship between Expected Inflation, Disagreement, and Uncertainty: Evidence from Matched Point and Density Forecasts

Joseph S. Tracy, Robert W. Rich, Til Schuermann, 2022 .

Estimates of cost-price passthrough from business survey data

Robert W. Rich, W. Bruine de Bruin, Brent H. Meyer, 2023, Working paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland).

Low Passthrough from Inflation Expectations to Income Growth Expectations: Why People Dislike Inflation

Robert W. Rich, Edward S. Knotek, Raphael S. Schoenle, 2023, SSRN Electronic Journal.

Adjusting Median and Trimmed-Mean Inflation Rates for Bias Based on Skewness

Randal J. Verbrugge, Robert W. Rich, Saeed Zaman, 2022, Economic Commentary (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland).

How Aggregation Matters for Measured Wage Growth

Joseph S. Tracy, Robert W. Rich, Michael G. Morris, 2020, Economic Commentary (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland).

The Parts are More than the Whole: Separating Goods and Services to Predict Core Inflation

Robert W. Rich, Richard W. Peach, M. Linder, 2013 .

Is the Worst Over? Economic Indexes and the Course of the Recession in New York and New Jersey

Robert W. Rich, J. Bram, J. Orr, 2009 .

Understanding the Recent Behavior of U.S. Inflation

Robert W. Rich, Donald Rissmiller, 2000 .

The Anchoring of US Inflation Expectations Since 2012

Joseph S. Tracy, Robert W. Rich, Kristoph N. Naggert, 2023, Economic Commentary (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland).

Surveys of Professionals

Michael P. Clements, Robert W. Rich, J. Tracy, 2022, SSRN Electronic Journal.

All Forecasters Are Not the Same: Time-Varying Predictive Ability across Forecast Environments

Joseph S. Tracy, Robert W. Rich, 2021, SSRN Electronic Journal.

Some tests for speculative exchange rate bubbles base on unit root tests

Robert W. Rich, Δημήτρης Γ. Κυρίκος, 1994 .