C. Deser

发表

Uncertainty in climate change projections: the role of internal variability

C. Deser, A. Phillips, Vincent Bourdette, 2012, Climate Dynamics.

The Community Earth System Model (CESM) large ensemble project: a community resource for studying climate change in the presence of internal climate variability

K., J. Kay, C. Deser, 2015 .

Evaluating Modes of Variability in Climate Models

C. Deser, A. Phillips, J. Fasullo, 2014 .

Sea surface temperature variability: patterns and mechanisms.

Clara Deser, Shang-Ping Xie, C. Deser, 2010, Annual review of marine science.

Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change

C. Deser, E. Hawkins, G. Vecchi, 2015 .

North Atlantic climate variability: The role of the North Atlantic Oscillation

James W. Hurrell, Clara Deser, C. Deser, 2009 .

ESMValTool ( v 1 . 0 ) – a community diagnostic and performance metrics tool for routine evaluation of Earth system models in

Axel Lauer, Veronika Eyring, Stephan Kindermann, 2018 .

Atmosphere-Ocean Interaction on Weekly Timescales in the North Atlantic and Pacific.

C. Deser, M. Timlin, 1997 .

Atmospheric forcing of Fram Strait sea ice export: a closer look

C. Deser, M. Alexander, R. Tomas, 2010 .

Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6

C. Deser, E. Fischer, J. Marotzke, 2020, Earth System Dynamics.

Extreme temperatures in Southeast Asia caused by El Niño and worsened by global warming

C. Deser, P. DiNezio, Y. Okumura, 2017, Nature Communications.

Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate

C. Deser, A. Phillips, S. Solomon, 2012 .

Projecting North American Climate over the Next 50 Years: Uncertainty due to Internal Variability*

C. Deser, A. Phillips, M. Alexander, 2014 .

Forced and Internal Components of Winter Air Temperature Trends over North America during the past 50 Years: Mechanisms and Implications*

C. Deser, A. Phillips, L. Terray, 2016 .

Twentieth century tropical sea surface temperature trends revisited

C. Deser, A. Phillips, M. Alexander, 2010 .

Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate

C. Deser, R. Knutti, B. Sanderson, 2017, Scientific Reports.

Diurnal and semidiurnal variations in global surface wind and divergence fields

C. Deser, A. Dai, 1999 .

Evolutionary Structure of the Eastern Pacific Double ITCZ Based on Satellite Moisture Profile Retrievals

C. Deser, T. Haar, C. Lietzke, 2001 .

Surface Climate Variations over the North Atlantic Ocean during Winter: 1900–1989

Clara Deser, C. Deser, M. Blackmon, 1993 .

Sensitivity to Tropical Forcing

C. Deser, A. Phillips, 2006 .

Simulation of the 1976/77 Climate Transition over the North Pacific: Sensitivity to Tropical Forcing

Adam S. Phillips, Clara Deser, C. Deser, 2006 .

The Continuum of Hydroclimate Variability in Western North America during the Last Millennium

Scott St. George, Connie A. Woodhouse, Toby R. Ault, 2013 .

An assessment and interpretation of the observed warming of West Antarctica in the austral spring

C. Deser, Y. Okumura, D. Schneider, 2011, Climate Dynamics.

Asymmetry in the Duration of El Niño and La Niña

C. Deser, Y. Okumura, 2010 .

ENSO Low‐Frequency Modulation and Mean State Interactions

C. Deser, A. Wittenberg, A. Fedorov, 2020 .

Detection of migrating diurnal tide in the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere using the Challenging Minisatellite Payload radio occultation data

C. Deser, Y. Kuo, W. Ward, 2008 .

Evidence for a wavier jet stream in response to rapid Arctic warming

C. Deser, D. Coumou, L. Leung, 2015 .

Model Biases in the Simulation of the Springtime North Pacific ENSO Teleconnection

C. Deser, Bin Wang, I. Simpson, 2020, Journal of Climate.

Pacific thermocline bridge revisited

T. Barnett, M. Latif, C. Deser, 1999 .

Changes in Variability Associated with Climate Change

Hugues Goosse, Karen H. Rosenlof, Sean M. Davis, 2013 .

Modeled and Observed Multidecadal Variability in the North Atlantic Jet Stream and Its Connection to Sea Surface Temperatures

Elizabeth A. Barnes, Karen A. McKinnon, Isla R. Simpson, 2018 .

Separating the influences of low-latitude warming and sea-ice loss on Northern Hemisphere climate change

C. Deser, P. Kushner, L. Polvani, 2022, Journal of Climate.

ENSO and Pacific Decadal Variability in the Community Climate System Model Version 4

Adam S. Phillips, James D. Scott, Young-Oh Kwon, 2012 .

Evaluation of Leading Modes of Climate Variability in the CMIP Archives

C. Deser, A. Phillips, J. Fasullo, 2020, Journal of Climate.

On the Relationship between Tropical and North Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Variations

C. Deser, M. Blackmon, 1995 .

The relationship between tropical Atlantic rainfall and summer circulation over the North Atlantic [presentation]

C. Deser, P. Rowell, W. Hurrell, 2001 .

Evolving Sahel Rainfall Response to Anthropogenic Aerosols Driven by Shifting Regional Oceanic and Emission Influences

C. Deser, P. Kushner, J. Fyfe, 2022, Journal of Climate.

Tree‐ring reconstructed temperature index for coastal northern Japan: implications for western North Pacific variability

C. Deser, O. Solomina, K. Anchukaitis, 2015 .

Tropical-North Pacific Climate Linkages over the Past Four Centuries*

C. Deser, E. Cook, J. Cole, 2005 .

Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6

C. Deser, E. Fischer, J. Marotzke, 2020, Earth System Dynamics.

Connecting tropical climate change with Southern Ocean heat uptake

Sarah M. Kang, C. Deser, S. Xie, 2017 .

North Atlantic winter climate regimes: Spatial asymmetry, stationarity with time, and oceanic forcing

James W. Hurrell, Christophe Cassou, Clara Deser, 2004 .

Less Surface Sea Ice Melt in the CESM2 Improves Arctic Sea Ice Simulation With Minimal Non‐Polar Climate Impacts

J. Kay, C. Deser, M. Holland, 2021, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems.

Influence of projected Arctic sea ice loss on polar stratospheric ozone and circulation in spring

C. Deser, L. Polvani, R. Tomas, 2014 .

Separating the stratospheric and tropospheric pathways of El Niño–Southern Oscillation teleconnections

C. Deser, L. Polvani, A. Butler, 2013 .

Atmospheric and Oceanic Origins of Tropical Precipitation Variability

Brian J. Soden, Clara Deser, C. Deser, 2016 .

The equatorial Pacific cold tongue bias in CESM1 and its influence on ENSO forecasts

C. Deser, S. Yeager, P. DiNezio, 2022, Journal of Climate.

The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification

C. Deser, V. Kattsov, J. Fyfe, 2018 .

The CESM2 Single Forcing Large Ensemble and Comparison to CESM1: 1 Implications for Experimental Design

M. Mills, C. Deser, G. Danabasoglu, 2022 .

Spurious Indo‐Pacific Connections to Internal Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Introduced by the Global Temperature Residual Method

C. Deser, A. Phillips, 2023, Geophysical Research Letters.

How Well Do We Know the Surface Impact of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings?

C. Deser, L. Polvani, Jessica Oehrlein, 2021, Geophysical Research Letters.

Fast Response of the Tropics to an Abrupt Loss of Arctic Sea Ice via Ocean Dynamics

C. Deser, R. Tomas, Lantao Sun, 2018 .

Extratropical–Tropical Interaction Model Intercomparison Project (Etin-Mip): Protocol and Initial Results

Masahiro Watanabe, Carlos R. Mechoso, Clara Deser, 2019 .

Are Long-Term Changes in Mixed Layer Depth Influencing North Pacific Marine Heatwaves?

C. Deser, M. Alexander, N. Mantua, 2021, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.

Quantifying and Understanding Forced Changes to Unforced Modes of Atmospheric Circulation Variability over the North Pacific in a Coupled Model Large Ensemble

John P. O’Brien, C. Deser, 2022, Journal of Climate.

Mechanisms behind the Springtime North Pacific ENSO Teleconnection Bias in Climate Models

C. Deser, I. Simpson, Ruyan Chen, 2022, Journal of Climate.

Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections due to Internal Variability

C. Deser, 2014 .

Contrary Responses of the Gulf Stream and the Kuroshio to Arctic Sea Ice Loss

C. Deser, H. Dai, Haiwen Liu, 2022 .

Diurnal and Semi-diurnal Variations in the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation over the Tropical Oceans in a Global Storm-Resolving Model

C. Deser, W. Jones, F. Judt, 2021 .

Isolating the Evolving Contributions of Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases: A New CESM1 Large Ensemble Community Resource

C. Deser, A. Phillips, P. DiNezio, 2020, Journal of Climate.

The role of air-sea interaction in the global climate response to projected Arctic sea ice loss

C. Deser, 2017 .

Diagnosis of the Surface Momentum Balance over the Tropical Pacific Ocean

C. Deser, 1993 .

Characterizing decadal to centennial variability in the equatorial Pacific during the last millennium

C. Deser, T. Ault, M. Newman, 2013 .

The Effects of North Atlantic SST and Sea Ice Anomalies on the Winter Circulation in CCM3. Part I: Main Features and Storm Track Characteristics of the Response

C. Deser, R. Saravanan, G. Magnusdottir, 2004 .

The Effects of North Atlantic SST and Sea Ice Anomalies on the Winter Circulation in CCM3. Part II: Direct and Indirect Components of the Response

C. Deser, A. Phillips, R. Saravanan, 2004 .

Arctic Sea Ice Variability in the Context of Recent Atmospheric Circulation Trends

John E. Walsh, Michael S. Timlin, Clara Deser, 2000 .

Amazon River Discharge and Climate Variability: 1903 to 1985

C. Deser, C. Nobre, J. Richey, 1989, Science.

Anatomy and Decadal Evolution of the Pacific Subtropical–Tropical Cells (STCs)*

C. Deser, M. Mcphaden, M. Alexander, 2005 .

Low-Frequency Pycnocline Variability in the Northeast Pacific

C. Deser, M. Alexander, A. Miller, 2005 .

Why Are There Rossby Wave Maxima in the Pacific at 108S and 138N?

C. Deser, M. Alexander, A. Capotondi, 2003 .

ESMValTool (v1.0) – a community diagnostic and performance metrics tool for routine evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP

Simon Read, Martin Juckes, Alessandro Anav, 2015 .

Nonlinear Response of Extreme Precipitation to Warming in CESM1

C. Deser, I. Simpson, N. Rosenbloom, 2019, Geophysical Research Letters.

The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification

Thomas Jung, Daniela Matei, Jinro Ukita, 2018, Geoscientific Model Development.

Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects

J. Randerson, J. Kay, C. Deser, 2020, Nature Climate Change.

The Community Earth System Model Version 2 (CESM2)

W. G. Strand, P. J. Kushner, P. J. Rasch, 2020, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems.

Local and remote controls on observed Arctic warming

C. Deser, I. Simmonds, J. Screen, 2012 .

Global warming pattern formation: sea surface temperature and rainfall.

C. Deser, H. Teng, G. Vecchi, 2010 .

Recent Antarctic sea ice trends in the context of Southern Ocean surface climate variations since 1950

C. Deser, D. Schneider, Tingting Fan, 2014 .

Decadal variations in Labrador Sea ice cover and North Atlantic sea surface temperatures

C. Deser, M. Holland, M. Timlin, 2002 .

Consistency and discrepancy in the atmospheric response to Arctic sea-ice loss across climate models

Paul J. Kushner, Clara Deser, C. Deser, 2018, Nature Geoscience.

Why the Western Pacific Subtropical High Has Extended Westward since the Late 1970s

C. Deser, N. Keenlyside, H. Drange, 2009 .

DISTINGUISHING THE ROLES OF NATURAL AND ANTHROPOGENICALLY FORCED DECADAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY Implications for Prediction

Ichiro Fukumori, Arthur M. Greene, Benjamin Kirtman, 2011 .

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Revisited

Hisashi Nakamura, Emanuele Di Lorenzo, Adam S. Phillips, 2016 .

Pacific Interdecadal Climate Variability: Linkages between the Tropics and the North Pacific during Boreal Winter since 1900

C. Deser, A. Phillips, J. Hurrell, 2004 .

Large-scale atmospheric circulation features of warm and cold episodes in the tropical Pacific

John M. Wallace, Clara Deser, J. Wallace, 1990 .

The Influence of Sea-Surface Temperature on Surface Wind in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific: Seasonal and Interannual Variability

John M. Wallace, Clara Deser, J. Wallace, 1989 .

El Niño events and their relation to the Southern Oscillation: 1925–1986

John M. Wallace, Clara Deser, J. Wallace, 1987 .

Evolving Impacts of Multiyear La Niña Events on Atmospheric Circulation and U.S. Drought

C. Deser, P. DiNezio, Y. Okumura, 2017 .

The atmospheric role in the Arctic water cycle: A review on processes, past and future changes, and their impacts

Terry D. Prowse, Marika M. Holland, V. V. Popova, 2016 .

Defining the Internal Component of Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a Changing Climate

C. Deser, A. Phillips, 2021, Geophysical Research Letters.

Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – an extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP

Nuno Carvalhais, Klaus Zimmermann, Lisa Bock, 2020, Geoscientific Model Development.

Climatological Characteristics of Arctic and Antarctic Surface-Based Inversions*

Dian J. Seidel, Jean-Christophe Golaz, Clara Deser, 2011 .

Decadal–Interdecadal Climate Variability over Antarctica and Linkages to the Tropics: Analysis of Ice Core, Instrumental, and Tropical Proxy Data

C. Deser, Y. Okumura, D. Schneider, 2012 .

Observed Antarctic Interannual Climate Variability and Tropical Linkages

C. Deser, Y. Okumura, D. Schneider, 2012 .

Evidence for a Wind-Driven Intensification of the Kuroshio Current Extension from the 1970s to the 1980s

C. Deser, M. Alexander, M. Timlin, 1999 .

Upper-Ocean Thermal Variations in the North Pacific during 1970–1991

C. Deser, M. Alexander, M. Timlin, 1996 .

The Relation between Decadal Variability of Subtropical Mode Water and the North Atlantic Oscillation

C. Deser, M. Spall, T. Joyce, 2000 .

El Niño and Southern Oscillation (ENSO): A Review

Clara Deser, Amy C. Clement, C. Deser, 2017 .

Rethinking the Ocean’s Role in the Southern Oscillation

C. Deser, P. DiNezio, A. Clement, 2011 .

Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss

Adam A. Scaife, C. Deser, M. Sigmond, 2022, Nature communications.

Uncertainty in the winter tropospheric response to Arctic Sea ice loss: the role of stratospheric polar vortex internal variability

C. Deser, M. Sigmond, I. Simpson, 2022, Journal of Climate.

Tropical climate responses to projected Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice loss

C. Deser, L. Polvani, Lantao Sun, 2020, Nature Geoscience.

Global Coupled Climate Response to Polar Sea Ice Loss: Evaluating the Effectiveness of Different Ice‐Constraining Approaches

C. Deser, M. Alexander, R. Tomas, 2020, Geophysical Research Letters.

Evolution of the Global Coupled Climate Response to Arctic Sea Ice Loss during 1990–2090 and Its Contribution to Climate Change

C. Deser, M. Alexander, Lantao Sun, 2018, Journal of Climate.

The Role of Ocean Heat Transport in the Global Climate Response to Projected Arctic Sea Ice Loss

C. Deser, R. Tomas, Lantao Sun, 2016 .

Does ocean coupling matter for the northern extratropical response to projected Arctic sea ice loss?

C. Deser, R. Tomas, J. Screen, 2016 .

Mechanisms of Stratospheric and Tropospheric Circulation Response to Projected Arctic Sea Ice Loss

C. Deser, R. Tomas, Lantao Sun, 2015 .

The Role of Ocean–Atmosphere Coupling in the Zonal-Mean Atmospheric Response to Arctic Sea Ice Loss

C. Deser, R. Tomas, Lantao Sun, 2015 .

The Atmospheric Response to Three Decades of Observed Arctic Sea Ice Loss

Ian Simmonds, Clara Deser, C. Deser, 2013 .

Understanding the persistence of sea surface temperature anomalies in midlatitudes

C. Deser, M. Alexander, M. Timlin, 2003 .

On the Reemergence of North Atlantic SST Anomalies

C. Deser, M. Alexander, M. Timlin, 2002 .

The Reemergence of SST Anomalies in the North Pacific Ocean

C. Deser, M. Alexander, M. Timlin, 1999 .

A Mechanism for the Recurrence of Wintertime Midlatitude SST Anomalies

C. Deser, M. Alexander, 1995 .

Ubiquity of human-induced changes in climate variability

A. Timmermann, C. Deser, G. Danabasoglu, 2021, Earth System Dynamics.

Anthropogenic Aerosols Dominate Forced Multidecadal Sahel Precipitation Change through Distinct Atmospheric and Oceanic Drivers

C. Deser, P. Kushner, J. Fyfe, 2020, Journal of Climate.

Evolution of Arctic sea ice concentration trends and the role of atmospheric circulation forcing, 1979–2007

C. Deser, H. Teng, 2008 .

The Transient Atmospheric Circulation Response to North Atlantic SST and Sea Ice Anomalies

C. Deser, R. Tomas, Shiling Peng, 2007 .

Pacific Ocean Variability Influences the Time of Emergence of a Seasonally Ice‐Free Arctic Ocean

C. Deser, J. Screen, 2019, Geophysical Research Letters.

Will there be a significant change to El Niño in the 21 st century ?

G. Meehl, C. Deser, R. Neale, 2011 .

Zonal mean and shift modes of historical climate response to evolving aerosol distribution.

Sarah M. Kang, C. Deser, S. Xie, 2021, Science bulletin.

Predictability of 2-year La Niña events in a coupled general circulation model

C. Deser, P. DiNezio, A. Karspeck, 2017, Climate Dynamics.

Equatorial signatures of the Pacific Meridional Modes: Dependence on mean climate state

C. Deser, R. Tomas, A. Clement, 2014 .

A U.S. CLIVAR Project to Assess and Compare the Responses of Global Climate Models to Drought-Related SST Forcing Patterns: Overview and Results

C. Deser, A. Phillips, K. Findell, 2009 .

Attribution of Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Variability

J. Wallace, C. Deser, A. Phillips, 2015 .

Future risk of record-breaking summer temperatures and its mitigation

C. Deser, B. Sanderson, F. Lehner, 2018, Climatic Change.

Climate forcings and climate sensitivities diagnosed from atmospheric global circulation models

C. Deser, A. Phillips, B. Anderson, 2010 .

Origin, importance, and predictive limits of internal climate variability

C. Deser, F. Lehner, 2023, Environmental Research: Climate.

North Pacific climate response to freshwater forcing in the subarctic North Atlantic: oceanic and atmospheric pathways.

A. Timmermann, C. Deser, S. Xie, 2009 .

Attributing the U.S. Southwest's Recent Shift Into Drier Conditions

C. Deser, I. Simpson, L. Terray, 2018, Geophysical Research Letters.

On the teleconnectivity of the “Arctic Oscillation”

C. Deser, 2000 .

A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments

Thomas E. Fricker, D. Smith, L. Goddard, 2012, Climate Dynamics.

The role of the North Atlantic Oscillation in European climate projections

C. Deser, A. Phillips, J. Hurrell, 2017, Climate Dynamics.

ENSO and Pacific Decadal Variability in the Community Earth System Model Version 2

C. Deser, A. Phillips, Y. Okumura, 2020, Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems.

How Well Do We Know ENSO’s Climate Impacts over North America, and How Do We Evaluate Models Accordingly?

C. Deser, A. Phillips, I. Simpson, 2018, Journal of Climate.

The Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation Response to ENSO: How Well Do We Know It and How Do We Evaluate Models Accordingly?

Karen A. McKinnon, Adam S. Phillips, Isla R. Simpson, 2017 .

“Certain Uncertainty: The Role of Internal Climate Variability in Projections of Regional Climate Change and Risk Management”

C. Deser, 2020, Earth's Future.

Human Influence on Winter Precipitation Trends (1921–2015) over North America and Eurasia Revealed by Dynamical Adjustment

C. Deser, L. Terray, F. Lehner, 2019, Geophysical Research Letters.

Internal Variability and Regional Climate Trends in an Observational Large Ensemble

C. Deser, K. McKinnon, 2018, Journal of Climate.

Will There Be a Significant Change to El Niño in the Twenty-First Century?

G. Meehl, C. Deser, R. Neale, 2012 .

Supplementary material for "Arctic spring ozone reduction associated with projected sea ice loss"

C. Deser, L. Polvani, R. Tomas, 2013 .

The Impact of Cloud Radiative Feedback, Remote ENSO Forcing, and Entrainment on the Persistence of North Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies

C. Deser, Sungsu Park, M. Alexander, 2006 .

Tropical Pacific and Atlantic Climate Variability in CCSM3

Adam S. Phillips, Antonietta Capotondi, Clara Deser, 2006 .

Toward a New Estimate of “Time of Emergence” of Anthropogenic Warming: Insights from Dynamical Adjustment and a Large Initial-Condition Model Ensemble

C. Deser, L. Terray, F. Lehner, 2017 .

Uncertainty in future regional sea level rise due to internal climate variability

Aixue Hu, Clara Deser, C. Deser, 2013 .

Summer Sea Surface Temperature Conditions in the North Atlantic and Their Impact upon the Atmospheric Circulation in Early Winter

C. Deser, J. Hurrell, C. Cassou, 2004 .

Simulated Siberian snow cover response to observed Arctic sea ice loss, 1979-2008

C. Deser, A. Phillips, J. Stroeve, 2012 .

Accelerated Arctic land warming and permafrost degradation during rapid sea ice loss

Marika M. Holland, David M. Lawrence, Andrew G. Slater, 2008 .

Pattern Recognition Methods to Separate Forced Responses from Internal Variability in Climate Model Ensembles and Observations

C. Deser, T. Schneider, D. Battisti, 2020, Journal of Climate.

Spurious Late Historical‐Era Warming in CESM2 Driven by Prescribed Biomass Burning Emissions

C. Deser, J. Fasullo, C. Hannay, 2022, Geophysical Research Letters.

A Proposed Mechanism for the Asymmetric Duration of El Niño and La Niña

C. Deser, Y. Okumura, M. Ohba, 2011 .

Reconciling the observed and modeled Southern Hemisphere circulation response to volcanic eruptions

C. Deser, E. Barnes, M. McGraw, 2016 .

The Seasonal Atmospheric Response to Projected Arctic Sea Ice Loss in the Late Twenty-First Century

David M. Lawrence, Clara Deser, C. Deser, 2010 .

Decadal Variability in the Northeast Pacific in a Physical-Ecosystem Model: Role of Mixed Layer Depth and Trophic Interactions

C. Deser, F. Chai, M. Alexander, 2008 .

Dimming/brightening over the Iberian Peninsula: Trends in sunshine duration and cloud cover and their relations with atmospheric circulation

Michele Brunetti, Josep Calbó, Arturo Sanchez-Lorenzo, 2009 .

Arctic Inversion Strength in Climate Models

Clara Deser, Brian Medeiros, J. Kay, 2011 .

Slowdown of the Walker circulation driven by tropical Indo-Pacific warming

C. Deser, S. Xie, Y. Kosaka, 2012, Nature.

The relative contributions of tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures and atmospheric internal variability to the recent global warming hiatus

C. Deser, F. Lehner, R. Guo, 2017 .

Atmospheric impacts of Arctic sea-ice loss, 1979–2009: separating forced change from atmospheric internal variability

C. Deser, R. Tomas, I. Simmonds, 2013, Climate Dynamics.

The Effect of Arctic Sea Ice Loss on the Hadley Circulation

C. Deser, L. Polvani, R. Chemke, 2019, Geophysical Research Letters.

Quantifying the Role of Internal Climate Variability in Future Climate Trends

C. Deser, A. Phillips, E. Barnes, 2015 .

An overview of decadal-scale sea surface temperature variability in the observational record

C. Deser, Adam Phillups, 2017 .

Review on ESMValTool v2.0 – Extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP

Nuno Carvalhais, Klaus Zimmermann, Lisa Bock, 2019 .

Critical role of biomass burning aerosols in enhanced historical Indian Ocean warming

C. Deser, Shineng Hu, Yiqun Tian, 2023, Nature communications.

Volcanic forcing degrades multiyear-to-decadal prediction skill in the tropical Pacific

G. Meehl, C. Deser, S. Yeager, 2023, Science advances.

North Pacific decadal variability in the Community Climate System Model version 2

C. Deser, Young‐Oh Kwon, 2007 .

Subduction of Decadal North Pacific Temperature Anomalies: Observations and Dynamics

C. Deser, M. Alexander, A. Miller, 1999 .

The Atmospheric Response to Projected Terrestrial Snow Changes in the Late Twenty-First Century

C. Deser, D. Lawrence, M. Alexander, 2010 .

The importance of ENSO phase during volcanic eruptions for detection and attribution

G. Hegerl, C. Deser, T. Frölicher, 2016 .

Local and Nonlocal Land Surface Influence in European Heatwave Initial Condition Ensembles

C. Deser, S. Xie, I. Simpson, 2019, Geophysical Research Letters.

NAO influence on sea ice extent in the Eurasian coastal region

C. Deser, R. Bleck, A. Hu, 2002 .

Distinguishing Stratospheric Sudden Warmings from ENSO as Key Drivers of Wintertime Climate Variability over the North Atlantic and Eurasia

C. Deser, L. Polvani, J. Richter, 2017 .

Processes that influence sea surface temperature and ocean mixed layer depth variability in a coupled model

James D. Scott, C. Deser, M. Alexander, 2000 .

Effects of stratospheric variability on El Niño teleconnections

C. Deser, J. Richter, L. Sun, 2015 .

A Survey of Coastal Conditions around the Continental US Using a High-Resolution Ocean Reanalysis

C. Deser, A. Phillips, M. Alexander, 2023, Progress in Oceanography.

How Do Changes in Greenhouse Gases and Solar and Orbital Parameters Impact the Tropics ? 2 . 1 ENSO

C. Deser, H. Goosse, K. Rosenlof, 2013 .

Tropically driven and externally forced patterns of Antarctic sea ice change: reconciling observed and modeled trends

C. Deser, D. Schneider, 2018, Climate Dynamics.

Atmospheric Circulation Trends, 1950–2000: The Relative Roles of Sea Surface Temperature Forcing and Direct Atmospheric Radiative Forcing

C. Deser, A. Phillips, 2009 .

Reduced Risk of North American Cold Extremes due to Continued Arctic Sea Ice Loss

C. Deser, J. Screen, Lantao Sun, 2015 .

Projected changes in regional climate extremes arising from Arctic sea ice loss

C. Deser, J. Screen, Lantao Sun, 2015 .

Nonlinear Controls on the Persistence of La Niña

C. Deser, P. DiNezio, 2014 .

Coupled atmosphere–mixed layer ocean response to ocean heat flux convergence along the Kuroshio Current Extension

C. Deser, C. Cassou, Young‐Oh Kwon, 2011 .

Estimation of the Surface Heat Flux Response to Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies over the Global Oceans

C. Deser, Sungsu Park, M. Alexander, 2005 .

Is There a Tropical Response to Recent Observed Southern Ocean Cooling?

C. Deser, Lantao Sun, Xiyue Zhang, 2020, Geophysical Research Letters.

A 2 Year Forecast for a 60–80% Chance of La Niña in 2017–2018

G. Meehl, C. Deser, G. Danabasoglu, 2017 .

An “Observational Large Ensemble” to Compare Observed and Modeled Temperature Trend Uncertainty due to Internal Variability

Karen A. McKinnon, Andrew Poppick, Clara Deser, 2017 .

Assessing Climate Variability and Change in Model Large Ensembles: A User's Guide to the "Climate Variability Diagnostics Package for Large Ensembles" Version 1.0

C. Deser, A. Phillips, J. Fasullo, 2020 .

Collaborative Research: Towards predicting persistent drought conditions associated with consecutive La Niña years

C. Deser, Principal Investigators, P. DiNezio, 2018 .

A range of outcomes: the combined effects of internal variability and anthropogenic forcing on regional climate trends over Europe

C. Deser, A. Phillips, 2023, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics.

Comparing the Impacts of Tropical SST Variability and Polar Stratospheric Ozone Loss on the Southern Ocean Westerly Winds

C. Deser, D. Schneider, Tingting Fan, 2015 .

Comparing the impacts of tropical SST variability and polar stratospheric 3 ozone loss on the Southern Ocean westerly winds 4 5 6

C. Deser, D. Schneider, Tingting Fan, 2015 .

Large cancellation, due to ozone recovery, of future Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation trends

C. Deser, L. Polvani, M. Previdi, 2011 .

Cause of the widening of the tropical belt since 1958

C. Deser, T. Reichler, Jian Lu, 2008 .

Daily surface wind variations over the equatorial Pacific Ocean

Clara Deser, C. Deser, 1994 .

The Influence of Sea Surface Temperature Gradients on Stratiform Cloudiness along the Equatorial Front in the Pacific Ocean

C. Deser, J. Bates, Susan Wahl, 1993 .

The inherent uncertainty of precipitation variability, trends, and extremes due to internal variability, with implications for Western US water resources

C. Deser, K. McKinnon, 2021, Journal of Climate.

Decadal predictability of late winter precipitation in western Europe through an ocean–jet stream connection

C. Deser, S. Yeager, I. Simpson, 2019, Nature Geoscience.

The vertical and spatial structure of ENSO in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere from GPS radio occultation measurements

Ying-Hwa Kuo, Barbara Scherllin-Pirscher, Shu-peng Ho, 2012 .

Investigating the Impact of Reemerging Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies on the Winter Atmospheric Circulation over the North Atlantic

C. Deser, M. Alexander, C. Cassou, 2007 .

On the Persistence of Cold-Season SST Anomalies Associated with the Annular Modes

C. Deser, M. Alexander, M. England, 2011 .

Internal Variability in Projections of Twenty-First-Century Arctic Sea Ice Loss: Role of the Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation

C. Deser, J. J. Wettstein, 2014 .

The Atmospheric Response to Realistic Reduced Summer Arctic Sea Ice Anomalies

John E. Walsh, Uma S. Bhatt, James D. Scott, 2013 .

Wind-Driven Thermocline Variability in the Pacific: A Model–Data Comparison

C. Deser, J. Lysne, 2002 .

Two-Year Dynamical Predictions of ENSO Event Duration during 1954–2015

C. Deser, P. DiNezio, Y. Okumura, 2021, Journal of Climate.

Bottom marine heatwaves along the continental shelves of North America

C. Deser, A. Phillips, M. Alexander, 2023, Nature Communications.

Importance of internal variability for climate model assessment

Adam A. Scaife, C. Deser, K. Trenberth, 2023, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science.

Removing Circulation Effects to Assess Central U.S. Land‐Atmosphere Interactions in the CESM Large Ensemble

C. Deser, S. Xie, F. Lehner, 2017 .

Detection and Attribution of Extreme Temperature Using an Analogue-based Dynamical Adjustment Technique

C. Deser, L. Terray, F. Lehner, 2016 .

Interannual fires as a source for subarctic summer decadal climate variability mediated by permafrost thawing

A. Timmermann, C. Deser, J. Fasullo, 2023, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science.

North Pacific climate response to freshwater forcing in the subarctic North Atlantic: oceanic and atmospheric pathways.

A. Timmermann, C. Deser, S. Xie, 2009 .

Recent trends in Arctic sea ice and the evolving role of atmospheric circulation forcing, 1979—2007

C. Deser, H. Teng, 2013 .

Climate Data Guide Spurs Discovery and Understanding

Kevin E. Trenberth, John T. Fasullo, Clara Deser, 2013 .

DISTINGUISHING THE ROLES OF NATURAL AND ANTHROPOGENICALLY FORCED DECADAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY Implications for Prediction

G. Meehl, G. Hegerl, C. Deser, 2011 .

Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss

Adam A. Scaife, C. Deser, M. Sigmond, 2022, Nature Communications.

Seasonal Variations and Spatial Patterns of Arctic Cloud Changes in Association with Sea-Ice Loss during 1950-2019 in ERA5

C. Deser, Matthew T. Jenkins, Aiguo Dai, 2023, Journal of Climate.

A New Robust Frontal Disturbance Index of the Oyashio Extension Sea Surface

C. Deser, G. Danabasoglu, C. Frankignoul, 2022 .

Impacts of projected Arctic sea ice loss on daily weather patterns over North America

C. Deser, M. Gervais, Lantao Sun, 2023, Journal of Climate.

Tropical atmospheric variability forced by oceanic internal variability

C. Deser, A. Phillips, M. Jochum, 2007 .

DISTINGUISHING THE ROLES OF NATURAL AND ANTHROPOGENICALLY FORCED DECADAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY

G. Meehl, G. Hegerl, C. Deser, 2011 .

PERSPECTIVE OPEN Importance of internal variability for climate model assessment

Adam A. Scaife, C. Deser, K. Trenberth, 2022 .

Diurnal and Semidiurnal Variations of the Surface Wind Field over the Tropical Pacific Ocean

C. Deser, Catherine A. Smith, 1998 .

Correlation Structure of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation Phenomenon

John M. Wallace, Clara Deser, J. Wallace, 1988 .

The Weakening of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex and the Subsequent Surface Impacts as Consequences to Arctic Sea-ice Loss

C. Deser, L. Polvani, Young‐Oh Kwon, 2023, Journal of Climate.

Uncertainty in Climate Change Projections of the Hadley Circulation: The Role of Internal Variability

Sarah M. Kang, C. Deser, L. Polvani, 2013 .

Harnessing AI and computing to advance climate modelling and prediction

C. Deser, J. Tribbia, S. Behera, 2023, Nature Climate Change.

The Community Earth System Model (CESM) large ensemble project: a community resource for studying climate change in the presence of internal climate variability

C. Deser, A. Phillips, C. Hannay, 2015 .

Contribution of anthropogenic aerosols to persistent La Niña-like conditions in the early 21st century

C. Deser, Yen‐Ting Hwang, Hung-Yi Tseng, 2024, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

Global impacts of recent Southern Ocean cooling

Sarah M. Kang, C. Deser, K. Rodgers, 2023, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

Modeled and Observed Multidecadal Variability in the North Atlantic Jet Stream and Its Connection to Sea Surface Temperatures

C. Deser, E. Barnes, I. Simpson, 2018, Journal of Climate.

Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6

C. Deser, E. Fischer, J. Marotzke, 2020, Earth System Dynamics.

Extratropical–Tropical Interaction Model Intercomparison Project (Etin-Mip): Protocol and Initial Results

C. Deser, T. Crueger, Yen‐Ting Hwang, 2023 .

The equatorial Pacific cold tongue bias in CESM 1 and its influence on ENSO forecasts 1 2 3

C. Deser, P. DiNezio, Y. Okumura, 2021 .

Quantifying and Understanding Forced Changes to Unforced Modes of 1 Atmospheric Circulation Variability over the North Pacific in a Coupled 2 Model Large Ensemble

C. Deser, John P. O’Brien, 2022 .

Detection of migrating diurnal tide in the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere using the Challenging Minisatellite Payload radio occultation data

C. Deser, Y. Kuo, W. Ward, 2008 .

Tropical and Antarctic sea ice impacts of observed Southern Ocean warming and 1 cooling trends since 1949

C. Deser, Xiyue Zhang, 2022 .

Decadal–Interdecadal Climate Variability over Antarctica and Linkages to the Tropics: Analysis of Ice Core, Instrumental, and Tropical Proxy Data

C. Deser, Y. Okumura, D. Schneider, 2012 .

Publisher Correction: Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects

I. R. Simpson, F. Lehner, C. Deser, 2020, Nature Climate Change.

High Predictability of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability Dominated by 1 Oceanic Rossby Waves

C. Deser, A. Wittenberg, A. Capotondi, 2022 .

Future changes in seasonal climate predictability

C. Deser, M. Jacox, D. Amaya, 2022 .

A Climatology of Diurnal and Semidiurnal Surface Wind Variations over the Tropical Pacific Ocean Based on the Tropical Atmosphere Ocean Moored Buoy Array

Clara Deser, C. Deser, R. Ueyama, 2008 .

Seasonal Dependency of Diurnal and Semidiurnal Surface Wind Variations over the Tropical Pacific Ocean

C. Deser, B. Henson, 2003 .

A global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climate

C. Deser, T. Frölicher, D. Amaya, 2024, Communications Earth & Environment.

The 2023 extreme coastal El Niño: Atmospheric and air-sea coupling mechanisms

C. Deser, Qihua Peng, Shang‐Ping Xie, 2024, Science advances.

Why Are There Rossby Wave Maxima in the Pacific at 10°S and 13°N?

C. Deser, A. Capotondi, Michael A. Alexander, 2003 .

Distilling the evolving contributions of anthropogenic 1 aerosols and greenhouse gases to historical 2 low-frequency surface ocean changes

C. Deser, A. Capotondi, J. E. Kay, 2022 .

Contrary Responses of the Gulf Stream and the Kuroshio to Arctic Sea Ice Loss

C. Deser, H. Dai, Jiangbo Jin, 2022 .