A. McGuire

发表

A Large and Persistent Carbon Sink in the World’s Forests

R. B. Jackson, J. Canadell, P. Ciais, 2011, Science.

Transient climate change and potential croplands of the world in the 21st century

H. Tian, Yude Pan, A. McGuire, 1997 .

Global climate change and terrestrial net primary production

A. McGuire, J. Melillo, B. Moore, 1993, Nature.

Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change Methane Fluxes Between Terrestrial Ecosystems and the Atmosphere at Northern High Latitudes During the Past Century : A Retrospective Analysis with a Process-Based Biogeochemistry Model

Ronald G. Prinn, Benjamin S. Felzer, Qianlai Zhuang, 2004 .

Increasing Wildfire in Alaska's Boreal Forest: Pathways to Potential Solutions of a Wicked Problem

F. Stuart Chapin, Henry P. Huntington, T. Scott Rupp, 2008 .

CO 2 and CH 4 exchanges between land ecosystems and the atmosphere in northern high latitudes over the 21 st century

Marcus C. Sarofim, Ronald G. Prinn, Benjamin S. Felzer, 2006 .

Positive biodiversity-productivity relationship predominant in global forests

Filippo Bussotti, Damiano Gianelle, Hans Pretzsch, 2016, Science.

Modeled responses of terrestrial ecosystems to elevated atmospheric CO2: a comparison of simulations by the biogeochemistry models of the Vegetation/Ecosystem Modeling and Analysis Project (VEMAP)

Steven W. Running, Yude Pan, Lars L. Pierce, 1998, Oecologia.

Equilibrium responses of global net primary production and carbon storage to doubled atmospheric carbon dioxide: Sensitivity to changes in vegetation nitrogen concentration

Xiangming Xiao, Charles J Vörösmarty, Berrien Moore, 1997 .

The Role of Nitrogen in the Response of Forest Net Primary Production to Elevated Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide

Jerry M. Melillo, Linda A. Joyce, A. McGuire, 1995 .

Potential shifts in dominant forest cover in interior Alaska driven by variations in fire severity.

A. McGuire, E. Kasischke, K. Barrett, 2011, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

Interactions between carbon and nitrogen dynamics in estimating net primary productivity for potential vegetation in North America

A. McGuire, J. Melillo, B. Moore, 1992 .

Impacts of Climate Change on the Global Forest Sector

A. McGuire, Xiangming Xiao, L. Joyce, 2002 .

Carbon balance of the terrestrial biosphere in the Twentieth Century: Analyses of CO2, climate and land use effects with four process‐based ecosystem models

I. C. Prentice, F. Joos, M. Heimann, 2001 .

Terrestrial biotic responses to environmental change and feedbacks to climate

James S. Clark, Contributors, J. Overpeck, 1996 .

A climate-change adaptation framework to reduce continental-scale vulnerability across conservation reserves

F. Chapin, A. McGuire, J. Morton, 2011 .

The role of historical fire disturbance in the carbon dynamics of the pan-boreal region: A process-based analysis

A. Shvidenko, W. Kurz, A. McGuire, 2006 .

Alaska's Changing Fire Regime - Implications for the Vulnerability of Its Boreal Forests

A. McGuire, E. Kasischke, M. Turetsky, 2010 .

Palaeodata-informed modelling of large carbon losses from recent burning of boreal forests

H. Genet, A. McGuire, F. Hu, 2016 .

Ecological Dynamics Across the Arctic Associated with Recent Climate Change

I. Stirling, B. Elberling, J. Welker, 2009, Science.

Polygonal tundra geomorphological change in response to warming alters future CO2 and CH4 flux on the Barrow Peninsula

H. Genet, A. McGuire, K. Hinkel, 2015, Global change biology.

Empirical estimates to reduce modeling uncertainties of soil organic carbon in permafrost regions: a review of recent progress and remaining challenges

L. Hinzman, A. McGuire, R. Miller, 2013 .

Modeling soil thermal and carbon dynamics of a fire chronosequence in interior Alaska

A. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, V. Romanovsky, 2002 .

Biodiversity influences plant productivity through niche–efficiency

P. Reich, A. McGuire, P. Tobin, 2015, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Modeling fire severity in black spruce stands in the Alaskan boreal forest using spectral and non-spectral geospatial data.

A. McGuire, E. Kasischke, M. Turetsky, 2010 .

Role of Land-Surface Changes in Arctic Summer Warming

F. Chapin, L. Hinzman, J. Welker, 2005, Science.

Topographic influences on wildfire consumption of soil organic carbon in interior Alaska: Implications for black carbon accumulation

A. McGuire, E. Kasischke, M. Turetsky, 2007 .

Sensitivity of the carbon cycle in the Arctic to climate change

R. Macdonald, M. Heimann, A. McGuire, 2009 .

Evidence and Implications of Recent Climate Change in Northern Alaska and Other Arctic Regions

F. Chapin, W. Oechel, G. Vourlitis, 2004 .

Ch. 22: Alaska. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment

M. McCammon, A. McGuire, M. Serreze, 2014 .

Land Cover Change on the Seward Peninsula: The Use of Remote Sensing to Evaluate the Potential Influences of Climate Warming on Historical Vegetation Dynamics

A. McGuire, D. Verbyla, Cherie Silapaswan, 2001 .

The resilience and functional role of moss in boreal and arctic ecosystems.

E. Tuittila, S. Frolking, A. McGuire, 2012, The New phytologist.

Permafrost and organic layer interactions over a climate gradient in a discontinuous permafrost zone

Andrew O. Finley, Kristofer D. Johnson, Mark Clark, 2013 .

Climate change and the permafrost carbon feedback

D. M. Lawrence, A. D. McGuire, D. Lawrence, 2014, Nature.

Distribution and density of moose in relation to landscape characteristics: effects of scale

J. Hoef, A. McGuire, H. Maier, 2005 .

Climate change and Arctic ecosystems: 1. Vegetation changes north of 55°N between the last glacial maximum, mid‐Holocene, and present

Sandy P. Harrison, Jed O. Kaplan, Wolfgang Cramer, 2003 .

Climate change and Arctic ecosystems: 2. Modeling, paleodata‐model comparisons, and future projections

Sandy P. Harrison, Jed O. Kaplan, Wolfgang Cramer, 2003 .

The implications of microbial and substrate limitation for the fates of carbon in different organic soil horizon types: a mechanistically based model analysis

A. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, K. Wickland, 2013 .

Reconciling Carbon-cycle Concepts, Terminology, and Methods

C. Wirth, G. M. Woodwell, M. G. Ryan, 2006, Ecosystems.

Multi-omics of permafrost, active layer and thermokarst bog soil microbiomes

Mark P. Waldrop, Janet K. Jansson, Lang Ho Lee, 2015, Nature.

The role of driving factors in historical and projected carbon dynamics of upland ecosystems in Alaska.

Kristofer Johnson, Yujie He, Zhiliang Zhu, 2018, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

Terrestrial Carbon Modeling : Baseline and Projections in Lowland Ecosystems of Alaska

B. Wylie, H. Genet, A. McGuire, 2016 .

Identifying Indicators of State Change and Forecasting Future Vulnerability in Alaskan Boreal Ecosystems

Matthew D. Frey, A. Melvin, H. Genet, 2016 .

Permafrost – Physical Aspects, Carbon Cycling, Databases and Uncertainties

Kurt Roth, Julia Boike, Torsten Sachs, 2012 .

Terrestrial Ecosystems and Their Change

Shamil Maksyutov, I. McCallum, A. Shvidenko, 2013 .

Arctic and boreal ecosystems of western North America as components of the climate system

Edward B. Rastetter, Roger A. Pielke, Steven W. Running, 2000, Global change biology.

CO2 and CH4 exchanges between land ecosystems and the atmosphere in northern high latitudes over the 21st century

Marcus C. Sarofim, Andrei P. Sokolov, Ronald G. Prinn, 2006 .

Importance of recent shifts in soil thermal dynamics on growing season length, productivity, and carbon sequestration in terrestrial high‐latitude ecosystems

John S. Kimball, Kyle C. McDonald, Roger Dargaville, 2006 .

An analysis of the carbon balance of the Arctic Basin from 1997 to 2006

R. Prinn, A. McGuire, D. Hayes, 2010 .

Chapter 6 Terrestrial Ecosystems and Their Change

I. McCallum, A. Shvidenko, A. McGuire, 2012 .

The unseen iceberg: plant roots in arctic tundra.

Anthony P Walker, Jeffrey M Warren, A. McGuire, 2015, The New phytologist.

Contribution of increasing CO2 and climate to carbon storage by ecosystems in the United States.

S. Running, R. Neilson, M. Sykes, 2000, Science.

Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models through simulations of the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2: First results of a model intercomparison study

Stephen Sitch, Berrien Moore, Wolfgang Knorr, 1998 .

Changing permafrost in a warming world and feedbacks to the Earth system

Guido Grosse, Scott J. Goetz, Vladimir E. Romanovsky, 2016 .

Biogeosciences An assessment of the carbon balance of Arctic tundra : comparisons among observations , process models , and atmospheric inversions

W. Oechel, A. McGuire, D. Hayes, 2012 .

An assessment of the carbon balance of Arctic tundra: comparisons among observations, process models, and atmospheric inversions

W. Oechel, A. McGuire, D. Hayes, 2011 .

Numerical Terradynamic Simulation Group 1-2007 ASSESSING THE CARBON BALANCE OF CIRCUMPOLAR ARCTIC TUNDRA USING REMOTE SENSING AND PROCESS MODELING

Stephen Sitch, Annett Wolf, Ryan Engstrom, 2018 .

Regional carbon dynamics in monsoon Asia and its implications for the global carbon cycle

Berrien Moore, Hanqin Tian, Shufen Pan, 2003 .

Thresholds of Climate Change in Ecosystems

George Sugihara, Debra P. C. Peters, F. Stuart Chapin, 2009 .

Thresholds of Climate Change in Ecosystems: Final Report, Synthesis and Assessment Product 4.2

George Sugihara, Debra P. C. Peters, F. Stuart Chapin, 2009 .

Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models with atmospheric CO2 measurements: Results from transient simulations considering increasing CO2, climate, and land‐use effects

Stephen Sitch, Jed O. Kaplan, Berrien Moore, 2002 .

Changing feedbacks in the climate–biosphere system

Christopher B. Field, F. Stuart Chapin, James T. Randerson, 2008 .

Wetland succession in a permafrost collapse: interactions between fire and thermokarst

F. Chapin, A. McGuire, I. Myers-Smith, 2007 .

Characteristics of organic soil in black spruce forests: Implications for the application of land surface and ecosystem models in cold regions

A. McGuire, S. Yi, K. Manies, 2009 .

The Effects of Permafrost Thaw on Soil Hydrologic, Thermal, and Carbon Dynamics in an Alaskan Peatland

A. McGuire, M. Jorgenson, K. Wickland, 2012, Ecosystems.

Circumpolar distribution and carbon storage of thermokarst landscapes

A. D. McGuire, A. McGuire, D. Hayes, 2016, Nature Communications.

Recent Climate-Driven Increases in Vegetation Productivity for the Western Arctic: Evidence of an Acceleration of the Northern Terrestrial Carbon Cycle

John S. Kimball, Steven W. Running, Kyle C. McDonald, 2007 .

Seasonal ice and hydrologic controls on dissolved organic carbon and nitrogen concentrations in a boreal-rich fen

A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, E. Kane, 2010 .

Influence of disturbance on carbon exchange in a permafrost collapse and adjacent burned forest

F. Chapin, A. McGuire, I. Myers-Smith, 2007 .

Short‐term response of methane fluxes and methanogen activity to water table and soil warming manipulations in an Alaskan peatland

A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, M. Waldrop, 2008 .

Historical and projected trends in landscape drivers affecting carbon dynamics in Alaska.

Kristofer D. Johnson, J. Knight, B. Wylie, 2017, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

The implications of microbial and substrate limitation for the fates of carbon in different organic soil horizon types of boreal forest ecosystems: a mechanistically based model analysis

A. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, K. Wickland, 2014 .

Insights and issues with simulating terrestrial DOC loading of Arctic river networks.

A. McGuire, D. Hayes, J. Melillo, 2013, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

Estimating heterotrophic respiration at large scales: challenges, approaches, and next steps

A. McGuire, R. Vargas, F. Hoffman, 2016 .

Fuel-reduction management alters plant composition, carbon and nitrogen pools, and soil thaw in Alaskan boreal forest.

A. Melvin, H. Genet, A. McGuire, 2018, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

Below‐ground plant traits influence tundra plant acquisition of newly thawed permafrost nitrogen

H. Genet, A. McGuire, M. Mack, 2018, Journal of Ecology.

Structural complexity and land-surface energy exchange along a gradient from arctic tundra to boreal forest

F. Chapin, A. McGuire, J. Beringer, 2004 .

Assessing the response of area burned to changing climate in western boreal North America using a Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach

A. McGuire, J. Melillo, M. Flannigan, 2009 .

The effect of fire and permafrost interactions on soil carbon accumulation in an upland black spruce ecosystem of interior Alaska: implications for post‐thaw carbon loss

A. McGuire, M. Jorgenson, Xiaomei Xu, 2011 .

Assessing the response of area burned to changing climate in western boreal North America using a Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach

John E. Walsh, Mike D. Flannigan, Jerry M. Melillo, 2009 .

Vegetation Cover in the Eurasian Arctic: Distribution, Monitoring, and Role in Carbon Cycling

M. Hansen, Dirk Pflugmacher, P. Nelson, 2010 .

Is the northern high‐latitude land‐based CO2 sink weakening?

A. McGuire, D. Hayes, J. Melillo, 2011 .

Rising methane emissions from northern wetlands associated with sea ice decline

A. McGuire, D. Hayes, Wenxing Zhang, 2015, Geophysical research letters.

Modeling the effects of snowpack on heterotrophic respiration across northern temperate and high latitude regions: Comparison with measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide in high latitudes

J. Randerson, W. Parton, M. Heimann, 2000 .

Local-scale Arctic tundra heterogeneity affects regional-scale carbon dynamics

H. Genet, A. McGuire, S. Wullschleger, 2020, Nature Communications.

Controls on ecosystem and root respiration across a permafrost and wetland gradient in interior Alaska

A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, M. Waldrop, 2013 .

Availability and use of moose browse in response to post-fire succession on Kanuti National Wildlife Refuge, Alaska.

A. McGuire, K. Kielland, T. Hollingsworth, 2019 .

Thermokarst rates intensify due to climate change and forest fragmentation in an Alaskan boreal forest lowland

Dana R. N. Brown, H. Genet, A. McGuire, 2015, Global change biology.

Soil drainage and its potential for influencing wildfires in Alaska

A. McGuire, J. Harden, R. Meier, 2001 .

Bacterial and enchytraeid abundance accelerate soil carbon turnover along a lowland vegetation gradient in interior Alaska

A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, M. Waldrop, 2012 .

Reconciling estimates of the contemporary North American carbon balance among an inventory-based approach, terrestrial biosphere models, and atmospheric inversions

W. Post, B. McConkey, D. Turner, 2011 .

Controls on methane released through ebullition in peatlands affected by permafrost degradation

A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, C. Czimczik, 2014 .

EXPERIMENTAL ASSESSMENT OF REPRODUCTIVE INTERACTIONS BETWEEN SYMPATRIC ASTER AND ERIGERON (ASTERACEAE) IN INTERIOR ALASKA

A. McGuire, W. Armbruster, 1991 .

Trajectory of the Arctic as an integrated system.

L. Hinzman, A. McGuire, J. Walsh, 2013, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

Comparison of boreal ecosystem model sensitivity to variability in climate and forest site parameters

John S. Kimball, Christopher Potter, Anthony W. King, 2001 .

Incorporation of a permafrost model into a large‐scale ecosystem model: Evaluation of temporal and spatial scaling issues in simulating soil thermal dynamics

A. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, V. Romanovsky, 2001 .

Environmental variation, vegetation distribution, carbon dynamics and water/energy exchange at high latitudes

Brian Huntley, Eric S. Kasischke, Larry D. Hinzman, 2002 .

Structural complexity and land-surface energy exchange along a gradient from arctic tundra to boreal forest

F. Chapin, A. McGuire, J. Beringer, 2004 .

Foreword: Climate-Disturbance Interactions in Boreal Forest Ecosystems

A. McGuire, M. Apps, 2006 .

Assessing dynamic vegetation model parameter uncertainty across Alaskan arctic tundra plant communities

H. Genet, A. McGuire, S. Serbin, 2021, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

INTERACTIONS FOR POLLINATION BETWEEN TWO SYNCHRONOUSLY BLOOMING HEDYSARUM SPECIES (FABACEAE) IN ALASKA

A. McGuire, 1993 .

Chapter 9 . Alaska Carbon Balance

Xiaoping Zhou, B. Wylie, H. Genet, 2016 .

A Process-based Analysis of Methane Exchanges Between Alaskan Terrestrial Ecosystems and the Atmosphere

R. Prinn, A. McGuire, J. Melillo, 2003 .

Methane emissions from boreal peatlands in a changing climate: Quantifying the sensitivity of methane fluxes to experimental manipulations of water table and soil temperature regimes in an Alaskan boreal fen

A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, J. Harden, 2006 .

Co‐producing knowledge: the Integrated Ecosystem Model for resource management in Arctic Alaska

H. Genet, A. McGuire, V. Romanovsky, 2020 .

The U.S. Geological Survey Ecosystem Science Strategy, 2012-2022 - Advancing discovery and application through collaboration

Robin P. White, R. Jacobson, J. Nichols, 2012 .

North American Carbon Program (NACP) regional interim synthesis: Terrestrial biospheric model intercomparison

Atul K. Jain, Yaxing Wei, Peter E. Thornton, 2012 .

Boreal Forests and Wildlfire Severity - Effects of Climate Change and the Fire Regime on Processes Influencing Biogeochemical Cycles

F. Chapin, A. McGuire, E. Kasischke, 2005 .

The contribution of increasing CO 2 and climate to carbon storage by natural and agricultural ecosystems of the US 1980-1993

H. Tian, W. Parton, R. Neilson, 2001 .

reply: Parameters for global ecosystem models

H. Tian, A. McGuire, J. Melillo, 1999, Nature.

Chapter 2: The North American Carbon Budget. Second State of the Carbon Cycle Report

B. Poulter, W. Kurz, A. McGuire, 2018 .

Arctic Landscape Conservation Cooperative and Associated Ecoregions

A. McGuire, T. Rupp, S. Stackpoole, 2016 .

Simulating the impacts of disturbances on forest carbon cycling in North America: processes, data, models, and challenges

Christopher Potter, Jianwu Tang, Robert E. Keane, 2011 .

Sensitivity of Arctic carbon in a changing climate

A. McGuire, H. Huntington, Simon J. Wilson, 2009 .

Comparative Analysis of the Western Arctic Surface Climate among Observations and Model Simulations

A. McGuire, J. Maslanik, A. Lynch, 2007 .

Interactions between soil thermal and hydrological dynamics in the response of Alaska ecosystems to fire disturbance

J. Randerson, L. Hinzman, A. McGuire, 2009 .

Is the northern high‐latitude land‐based CO2 sink weakening?

A. McGuire, D. Hayes, J. Melillo, 2011 .

Impacts of fire on forest age and runoff in mountain ash forests - RETRACTED.

A. van Dijk, A. McGuire, L. Hutley, 2008, Functional plant biology : FPB.

Impacts of fi re on forest age and runoff in mountain ash forests

A. Dijk, A. McGuire, L. Hutley, 2008 .

Retraction notice to 'Impacts of fire on forest age and runoff in mountain ash forests.' [Functional Plant Biology 35(2008), 483–492. doi:10.1071/FP08120]

A. Dijk, A. McGuire, L. Hutley, 2010 .

Integrated regional changes in arctic climate feedbacks: Implications for the global climate system

John E. Walsh, Christian Wirth, F. S. Chapin, 2006 .

A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the permafrost carbon–climate feedback

P. Ciais, A. McGuire, D. Hayes, 2015, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences.

Comparison of amplitudes and frequencies (spectral analyses) of density variations in long-term data sets of Clethrionomys species

A. McGuire, H. Henttonen, L. Hansson, 1985 .

Evidence and implications of recent and projected climate change in Alaska's forest ecosystems

J. J. Kruse, T. A. Hanley, A. McGuire, 2011 .

Comparison of Pigeon Guillemot, Cepphus columba, Blood Parameters from Oiled and Unoiled Areas of Al

A. McGuire, G. Golet, L. Duffy, 2000 .

Dependence of the evolution of carbon dynamics in the northern permafrost region on the trajectory of climate change

D. Lawrence, P. Ciais, A. McGuire, 2018, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Assessing the response of area burned to changing climate in western boreal North America using a Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach

A. McGuire, J. Melillo, M. Flannigan, 2009 .

Carbon release through abrupt permafrost thaw

D. Lawrence, A. McGuire, C. Koven, 2020 .

Reconciling estimates of the contemporary North American carbon balance among terrestrial biosphere models, atmospheric inversions, and a new approach for estimating net ecosystem exchange from inventory‐based data

Yaxing Wei, Richard A. Birdsey, Werner A. Kurz, 2012 .

Vulnerability of white spruce tree growth in interior Alaska in response to climate variability: dendrochronological, demographic, and experimental perspectives

A. McGuire, G. Juday, R. Ruess, 2010 .

Consequences of changes in vegetation and snow cover for climate feedbacks in Alaska and northwest Canada

H. Genet, A. McGuire, E. Euskirchen, 2016 .

Projected changes in atmospheric heating due to changes in fire disturbance and the snow season in the western Arctic, 2003-2100

F. Chapin, A. McGuire, J. Walsh, 2009 .

The impacts of recent permafrost thaw on land–atmosphere greenhouse gas exchange

A. McGuire, D. Hayes, J. Melillo, 2014 .

Representing the effects of alpine grassland vegetation cover on the simulation of soil thermal dynamics by ecosystem models applied to the Qinghai‐Tibetan Plateau

A. McGuire, B. Ye, S. Yi, 2013 .

Environmental and physical controls on northern terrestrial methane emissions across permafrost zones

P. Crill, A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, 2013, Global Change Biology.

Resilience of Alaska's Boreal Forest to Climatic Change

Eric S. Kasischke, F. Stuart Chapin, M. Torre Jorgenson, 2010 .

Ecosystem carbon storage capacity as affected by disturbance regimes: A general theoretical model

Alan Hastings, Yiqi Luo, Ensheng Weng, 2012 .

Effect of interannual climate variability on carbon storage in Amazonian ecosystems

H. Tian, A. McGuire, J. Melillo, 1998, Nature.

Toward more realistic projections of soil carbon dynamics by Earth system models

Yujie He, Matthew J. Smith, Jianyang Xia, 2016 .

Vulnerability of Permafrost Carbon to Climate Change III

A. McGuire, 2014 .

Vulnerability of high‐latitude soil organic carbon in North America to disturbance

Guido Grosse, Laura L. Bourgeau-Chavez, Mark P. Waldrop, 2011 .

Modeling the effects of fire severity and climate warming on active layer thickness and soil carbon storage of black spruce forests across the landscape in interior Alaska

Eric S. Kasischke, Kirsten Barrett, Jill F. Johnstone, 2013 .

Assessment of boreal forest historical C dynamics in the Yukon River Basin: relative roles of warming and fire regime change.

W. Kurz, A. McGuire, E. Kasischke, 2012, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

Long-term direct and indirect effects of the 'Exxon Valdez' oil spill on pigeon guillemots in Prince William Sound, Alaska

Daniel D. Roby, Scott H. Newman, Gregory H. Golet, 2002 .

Twentieth-Century Droughts and Their Impacts on Terrestrial Carbon Cycling in China

Aaron Moody, Qianlai Zhuang, David W. Kicklighter, 2009 .

Permafrost carbon emissions in a changing Arctic

C. Sweeney, A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, 2022, Nature Reviews Earth & Environment.

Non-uniform seasonal warming regulates vegetation greening and atmospheric CO2 amplification over northern lands

P. Ciais, Jinwei Dong, Zhao Li, 2018, Environmental Research Letters.

Energy feedbacks of northern high‐latitude ecosystems to the climate system due to reduced snow cover during 20th century warming

F. S. Chapin, A. D. McGuire, A. McGuire, 2007 .

Subsea permafrost carbon stocks and climate change sensitivity estimated by expert assessment

R. Macdonald, A. McGuire, E. Schuur, 2020, Environmental Research Letters.

Expert assessment of vulnerability of permafrost carbon to climate change

V. Brovkin, D. Lawrence, J. Canadell, 2013, Climatic Change.

The U.S. Geological Survey Ecosystem Science Strategy, 2012-2022—Advancing Discovery and Application Through Collaboration—Public Review Release

Robin P. White, R. Jacobson, J. Nichols, 2012 .

Responses of high latitude ecosystems to global change: Potential consequences for the climate system

F. Chapin, A. Shvidenko, A. McGuire, 2007 .

Differences in Human versus Lightning Fires between Urban and Rural Areas of the Boreal Forest in Interior Alaska

A. McGuire, M. Calef, A. Varvak, 2017 .

Recent Changes in Annual Area Burned in Interior Alaska: The Impact of Fire Management

A. D. McGuire, A. McGuire, F. Chapin, 2015 .

The carbon budget of the northern cryosphere region

R. Macdonald, M. Heimann, A. McGuire, 2010 .

The Effects of Land Cover and Land Use Change on the Contemporary Carbon Balance of the Arctic and Boreal Terrestrial Ecosystems of Northern Eurasia

A. McGuire, D. Hayes, J. Melillo, 2010 .

Vulnerability and adaptation to climate-related fire impacts in rural and urban interior Alaska

Nancy Fresco, Sarah F. Trainor, A. McGuire, 2009 .

Planning for resilience: modeling change in human–fire interactions in the Alaskan boreal forest

F. Stuart Chapin, T. Scott Rupp, Nancy Fresco, 2003 .

Equilibrium Responses of Soil Carbon to Climate Change: Empirical and Process-Based Estimates

David W. Kicklighter, Jerry M. Melillo, Linda A. Joyce, 1995 .

Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region

W. Oechel, J. Watts, P. Crill, 2019, Nature Climate Change.

Permafrost collapse is accelerating carbon release

D. Lawrence, A. McGuire, C. Koven, 2019, Nature.

Comparing global models of terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP): global pattern and differentiation by major biomes

A. Bondeau, A. McGuire, D. Kicklighter, 1999 .

The Effect of Moisture Content on the Thermal Conductivity of Moss and Organic Soil Horizons From Black Spruce Ecosystems in Interior Alaska

A. McGuire, V. Romanovsky, J. Harden, 2009 .

Net primary production of terrestrial ecosystems in China and its equilibrium response to changes in climate and atmospheric CO₂ concentration

Xiangming Xiao, Yude Pan, David W. Kicklighter, 1996 .

BAWLD-CH4: A Comprehensive Dataset of Methane Fluxes from Boreal and Arctic Ecosystems

P. Crill, S. MacIntyre, A. McGuire, 2021, Earth System Science Data.

The role of environmental driving factors in historical and projected carbon dynamics of wetland ecosystems in Alaska.

Kristofer D. Johnson, B. Wylie, H. Genet, 2018, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

Assessment of model estimates of land-atmosphere CO 2 exchange across Northern Eurasia

D. Lawrence, Benjamin Smith, P. Ciais, 2014 .

Surface energy exchanges along a tundra-forest transition and feedbacks to climate

F. Stuart Chapin, Jason Beringer, F. Chapin, 2005 .

A pan‐Arctic synthesis of CH4 and CO2 production from anoxic soil incubations

Andreas Richter, M. Lupascu, A. McGuire, 2015, Global change biology.

Uncertainty in the fate of soil organic carbon: A comparison of three conceptually different decomposition models at a larch plantation

Yujie He, Yaling Liu, Robert O. Teskey, 2014 .

Incorporating microbial dormancy dynamics into soil decomposition models to improve quantification of soil carbon dynamics of northern temperate forests

A. McGuire, L. Gu, Q. Zhuang, 2015 .

Linking a global terrestrial biogeochemical model and a 2‐dimensional climate model: implications for the global carbon budget

Andrei P. Sokolov, Xiangming Xiao, Peter H. Stone, 1997 .

Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region

Philippe Ciais, Dennis P. Lettenmaier, Benjamin Smith, 2017 .

North America ’ s net terrestrial carbon exchange with the atmosphere 1990 – 2009

K. Davis, W. Kurz, A. McGuire, 2014 .

Land Cover Disturbances and Feedbacks to the Climate System in Canada and Alaska

F. Chapin, R. Dargaville, R. Myneni, 2012 .

American Carbon Program ( NACP ) regional interim synthesis : Terrestrial iospheric model intercomparison

R. Cookb, K. Davis, A. McGuire, 2012 .

Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire: an expert assessment

Jeremy B. Jones, F. Chapin, L. Hinzman, 2016 .

The changing effects of Alaska's boreal forests on the climate system

F. S. Chapin, A. D. McGuire, F. Chapin, 2010 .

Foreword: The dynamics of change in Alaska’s boreal forests: Resilience and vulnerability in response to climate warming

F. Chapin, A. McGuire, R. Ruess, 2010 .

Shrinking ponds in subarctic Alaska based on 1950–2002 remotely sensed images

David L. Verbyla, A. McGuire, D. Verbyla, 2006 .

Resilience and sensitivity of ecosystem carbon stocks to fire-regime change in Alaskan tundra.

H. Genet, A. McGuire, Yaping Chen, 2021, The Science of the total environment.

A dynamic organic soil biogeochemical model for simulating the effects of wildfire on soil environmental conditions and carbon dynamics of black spruce forests

A. McGuire, M. Mack, E. Kasischke, 2010 .

Nitrogen attenuation of terrestrial carbon cycle response to global environmental factors

Atul K. Jain, Haroon S. Kheshgi, Xiaojuan Yang, 2009 .

Vulnerability of carbon storage in North American boreal forests to wildfires during the 21st century

Mike D. Flannigan, David W. Kicklighter, Jerry M. Melillo, 2009 .

Economic impacts of climatic change on the global forest sector : An integrated ecological/economic assessment

A. McGuire, L. Joyce, C. Binkley, 1997 .

The importance of climate and soils for estimates of net primary production: a sensitivity analysis with the terrestrial ecosystem model

Yude Pan, A. McGuire, J. Melillo, 1996 .

Responses of primary production and total carbon storage to changes in climate and atmospheric CO₂ concentration

A. McGuire, J. Melillo, Xiangming Xiao, 1995 .

Aspects of spatial and temporal aggregation in estimating regional carbon dioxide fluxes from temperate forest soils

E. Rastetter, J. Aber, A. McGuire, 1994 .

Productivity response of climax temperate forests to elevated temperature and carbon dioxide: a north american comparison between two global models

A. McGuire, J. Melillo, D. Kicklighter, 1993 .

Boreal forest CO2 exchange and evapotranspiration predicted by nine ecosystem process models: Intermodel comparisons and relationships to field measurements

John S. Kimball, Christopher Potter, Anthony W. King, 2001 .

Sensitivity of Simulated Boreal Fire Dynamics to Uncertainties in Climate Drivers

A. McGuire, Xi Chen, T. Rupp, 2007 .

Trajectory of the Arctic as an integrated system.

L. Hinzman, A. McGuire, I. Polyakov, 2013, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

Human Influences on Wildfire in Alaska from 1988 through 2005: An Analysis of the Spatial Patterns of Human Impacts

F. Chapin, A. McGuire, M. Calef, 2008 .

Scaling Uncertainties in Estimating Canopy Foliar Maintenance Respiration for Black Spruce Ecosystems in Alaska

A. McGuire, R. Ruess, Xinxian Zhang, 2006 .

A decade of boreal rich fen greenhouse gas fluxes in response to natural and experimental water table variability

A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, M. Waldrop, 2017, Global change biology.

Tropical deforestation and the global carbon budget

David W. Kicklighter, Jerry M. Melillo, A. D. McGuire, 1996 .

Soil moisture and hydrology projections of the permafrost region – a model intercomparison

D. Lawrence, A. McGuire, D. Hayes, 2020 .

The effects of fire on the thermal stability of permafrost in lowland and upland black spruce forests of interior Alaska in a changing climate

Elchin Jafarov, Vladimir E. Romanovsky, A. D. McGuire, 2013 .

Changes in vegetation in northern Alaska under scenarios of climate change, 2003-2100: implications for climate feedbacks.

A. McGuire, E. Euskirchen, S. Yi, 2009, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

Ecosystem Element Cycling

A. McGuire, 2006 .

Soil carbon distribution in Alaska in relation to soil-forming factors

Kristofer Johnson, Evan S. Kane, M. Torre Jorgenson, 2011 .

Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009

D. Lawrence, Benjamin Smith, P. Ciais, 2016 .

Simulated high-latitude soil thermal dynamics during the past 4 decades

D. Lawrence, Benjamin Smith, P. Ciais, 2015 .

Diagnostic and model dependent uncertainty of simulated Tibetan permafrost area

Duoying Ji, David M. Lawrence, Xuefeng Cui, 2015 .

Estimates of Large-Scale Fluxes in High Latitudes from Terrestrial Biosphere Models and an Inversion of Atmospheric CO2 Measurements

Roger Dargaville, Peter J. Rayner, R. Dargaville, 2002 .

The effects of CO2, climate and land-use on terrestrial carbon balance, 1920-1992: An analysis with four process-based ecosystem models

H. Tian, F. Joos, M. Heimann, 2001 .

A first‐order analysis of the potential rôle of CO2 fertilization to affect the global carbon budget: a comparison of four terrestrial biosphere models

F. Joos, M. Heimann, S. Sitch, 1999 .

Soil Moisture and Hydrology Projections of the Permafrost Region: A Model Intercomparison

D. Lawrence, A. McGuire, D. Hayes, 2019 .

Soil Moisture and Hydrology Projections of the Permafrost

D. Lawrence, A. McGuire, K. Schaefer, 2019 .

Soil Moisture and Hydrology Projections of the Permafrost 1 Region : A Model Intercomparison 2

D. Lawrence, A. McGuire, K. Schaefer, 2019 .

Evaluation of air-soil temperature relationships simulated by land surface models during winter across the permafrost region

D. Lawrence, Benjamin Smith, P. Ciais, 2016 .

Carbon balance Energy balance Water balance Unmodified climate feedback

J. Randerson, F. Chapin, C. Field, 2008 .

The impact of lower sea-ice extent on Arctic greenhouse-gas exchange

Søren Rysgaard, Donald A. Walker, Torben R. Christensen, 2013 .

Final Report: Integrated Ecosystem Model for Alaska and Northwest Canada Project

H. Genet, A. McGuire, S. Marchenko, 2016 .

The Boreal–Arctic Wetland and Lake Dataset (BAWLD)

S. Juutinen, J. Watts, P. Crill, 2021, Earth System Science Data.

The Boreal-Arctic Wetland and Lake Dataset (BAWLD)

S. Juutinen, J. Watts, P. Crill, 2021 .

Response of global soil consumption of atmospheric methane to changes in atmospheric climate and nitrogen deposition

E. Saikawa, R. Prinn, A. McGuire, 2013 .

The western arctic linkage experiment (WALE): overview and synthesis

A. McGuire, J. Walsh, J. Kimball, 2008 .

Net Carbon Exchange Across the Arctic Tundra-Boreal Forest Transition in Alaska 1981–2000

A. McGuire, J. Beringer, F. Chapin, 2006 .

Carbon cycling in extratropical terrestrial ecosystems of the Northern Hemisphere during the 20th century: a modeling analysis of the influences of soil thermal dynamics

R. Dargaville, R. Myneni, A. McGuire, 2003 .

Reduced arctic tundra productivity linked with landform and climate change interactions

A. McGuire, I. Nitze, M. Lara, 2018, Scientific Reports.

Climatic and biotic controls on annual carbon storage in Amazonian ecosystems

H. Tian, A. McGuire, J. Melillo, 2000 .

Forest Sector Impacts from Changes in Forest Productivity Under Climate Change

Richard A. Birdsey, Richard W. Haynes, Linda S. Heath, 1995 .

Historical and projected carbon balance of mature black spruce ecosystems across North America: the role of carbon–nitrogen interactions

S. Wofsy, A. McGuire, P. Jarvis, 2002, Plant and Soil.

Relationships between soil microbial communities and soil carbon turnover along a vegetation and moisture gradient in interior Alaska

A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, M. Waldrop, 2010 .

Land Use and Fires

David P. Roy, Christopher O. Justice, Ivan Csiszar, 2012 .

USGS Ecosystem Research for the Next Decade: Advancing Discovery and Application in Parks and Protected Areas through Collaboration

Robin P. White, R. Jacobson, J. Nichols, 2014 .

The Alaska Land Carbon Assessment: Baseline and Projected Future Carbon Storage and Greenhouse-gas Fluxes in Ecosystems of Alaska

B. Wylie, H. Genet, A. McGuire, 2015 .

Changes in the structure and function of northern Alaskan ecosystems when considering variable leaf‐out times across groupings of species in a dynamic vegetation model

A. McGuire, E. Euskirchen, T. Carman, 2014, Global change biology.

Analysis of Alaskan burn severity patterns using remotely sensed data

Jonathan M. Graham, T. Scott Rupp, A. McGuire, 2007 .

Assessing historical and projected carbon balance of Alaska: A synthesis of results and policy/management implications.

B. Wylie, H. Genet, R. Birdsey, 2018, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

ADVANCES SERIES RECENT ADVANCES SERIES Changing feedbacks in the climate – biosphere system

J. Randerson, F. Chapin, C. Field, 2010 .

Title Changing feedbacks in the climate-biosphere system

J. Randerson, C. Field, A. McGuire, 2010 .

Effects of Experimental Water Table and Temperature Manipulations on Ecosystem CO2 Fluxes in an Alaskan Rich Fen

A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, J. Waddington, 2009, Ecosystems.

The sensitivity of terrestrial carbon storage to historical climate variability and atmospheric CO2 in the United States

Hanqin Tian, David W. Kicklighter, Jerry M. Melillo, 1999 .

Response of plant community structure and primary productivity to experimental drought and flooding in an Alaskan fen.

A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, T. Hollingsworth, 2015 .

A U.S. Carbon Cycle Science Plan

Peter E. Thornton, Brian C. O'Neill, Gregg Marland, 2014 .

Climate Change Adaptation for the US National Wildlife Refuge System

A. McGuire, J. Lawler, P. Gonzalez, 2009, Environmental management.

Arctic Transitions in the Land–Atmosphere System (ATLAS): Background, objectives, results, and future directions

F. Chapin, A. McGuire, M. Sturm, 2003 .

An Explanation for the Scale Invariant Relationship between Tree Size and Density based on Optimization of Net Primary Production

Y. Knyazikhin, R. Myneni, A. McGuire, 2003 .

Static and dynamic controls on fire activity at moderate spatial and temporal scales in the Alaskan boreal forest

H. Genet, A. McGuire, E. Kasischke, 2016 .

Regional Environmental Changes in Siberia and Their Global Consequences. Chapter 6. Terrestrial ecosystems and their change

Shamil Maksyutov, A. Shvidenko, A. McGuire, 2013 .

Tundra landform and vegetation productivity trend maps for the Arctic Coastal Plain of northern Alaska

Ingmar Nitze, Guido Grosse, A. McGuire, 2018, Scientific Data.

Temporal uncertainties of integrated ecological/economic assessments at the global and regional scales

A. McGuire, L. Joyce, J. Perez-Garcia, 2002 .

Transient climate change and net ecosystem production of the terrestrial biosphere

Andrei P. Sokolov, Ronald G. Prinn, Xiangming Xiao, 1998, Global Biogeochemical Cycles.

Exploring the sensitivity of soil carbon dynamics to climate change, fire disturbance and permafrost thaw in a black spruce ecosystem

Vladimir E. Romanovsky, A. D. McGuire, A. McGuire, 2010 .

Relative role of changes in CO₂ and climate to equilibrium responses of net primary production and carbon storage of the terrestrial biosphere

Andrei P. Sokolov, Xiangming Xiao, Peter H. Stone, 1996 .

Modelling carbon responses of tundra ecosystems to historical and projected climate: sensitivity of pan‐Arctic carbon storage to temporal and spatial variation in climate

David W. Kicklighter, Jerry M. Melillo, Mark C. Serreze, 2000, Global change biology.

Effects of snowpack on timing and abundance of flowering in Delphinium nelsonii (Ranunculaceae) : implications for climate change

A. McGuire, D. Inouye, David W. Inouye, 1991 .

Net emissions of CH4 and CO2 in Alaska: implications for the region's greenhouse gas budget.

R. Prinn, A. McGuire, J. Melillo, 2007, Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America.

Modelling carbon responses of tundra ecosystems to historical and projected climate: a comparison of a plot‐ and a global‐scale ecosystem model to identify process‐based uncertainties

Edward B. Rastetter, David W. Kicklighter, Jerry M. Melillo, 2000, Global change biology.

On the influence of biomass burning on the seasonal CO2 Signal as observed at monitoring stations

Martin Heimann, M. Heimann, A. McGuire, 1998 .

The Effects of Different Climate Input Datasets on Simulated Carbon Dynamics in the Western Arctic

A. McGuire, E. Euskirchen, M. Calef, 2007 .

A science plan for regional arctic system modeling a report by the arctic research community for the National Science Foundation, Office of Polar Programs

Andrew Kliskey, John E. Walsh, Andrew Roberts, 2010 .

Research Summary: Projecting Vegetation and Wildfire Response to Changing Climate and Fire Management in Interior Alaska

A. McGuire, T. Rupp, A. Bennett, 2016 .

Reduced arctic tundra productivity linked with landform and climate change interactions

Ingmar Nitze, Guido Grosse, A. McGuire, 2018, Scientific Reports.

Carbon cycle observations: Gaps threaten climate mitigation policies

Dennis A. Hansell, C. Tucker, K. Davis, 2009 .

Synthesis of Winter In Situ Soil CO2 Flux in pan-Arctic and Boreal Regions, 1989-2017

W. Oechel, J. Watts, P. Crill, 2019 .

A scientific synthesis and assessment of the Arctic Carbon Cycle

A. McGuire, D. Hayes, Laodong Guo, 2007 .

Toward more realistic projections of soil carbon dynamics by Earth system models

Yaxing Wei, Nuno Carvalhais, Philippe Ciais, 2016 .

Mycobiont contribution to tundra plant acquisition of permafrost-derived nitrogen.

H. Genet, A. McGuire, M. Mack, 2020, The New phytologist.

A biogeochemistry-based dynamic vegetation model and its application along a moisture gradient in the continental United States

S. Sitch, Yude Pan, A. McGuire, 2002 .

Effects of spatial aggregation on predictions of forest climate change response

A. McGuire, L. Joyce, M. Nungesser, 1999 .

Positive biodiversity-productivity relationship predominant in global forests

N. Picard, F. Rovero, A. Marshall, 2016, Science.

R. Prinn, A. McGuire, J. Melillo, 2004 .

The unseen iceberg: plant roots in arctic tundra.

A. McGuire, R. Norby, S. Wullschleger, 2015, The New phytologist.

Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models through simulations of the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2: First results of a model intercomparison study

M. Heimann, S. Sitch, A. McGuire, 1998 .

Ecological Dynamics Across the Arctic Associated with Recent Climate Change

I. Stirling, B. Elberling, J. Welker, 2009, Science.

W. Post, B. McConkey, D. Turner, 2012 .

Evaluation of terrestrial carbon cycle models with atmospheric CO2 measurements: Results from transient simulations considering increasing CO2, climate, and land‐use effects

F. Joos, M. Heimann, R. Dargaville, 2002 .

Short‐term response of methane fluxes and methanogen activity to water table and soil warming manipulations in an Alaskan peatland

A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, M. Waldrop, 2008 .

Controls on methane released through ebullition in peatlands affected by permafrost degradation

A. McGuire, M. Turetsky, C. Czimczik, 2014 .

Terrestrial Carbon Modeling : Baseline and Projections in Upland Ecosystems

Kristopher D. Johnson, H. Genet, A. McGuire, 2016 .

Permafrost collapse is accelerating carbon release

Guido Grosse, Peter Kuhry, David M. Lawrence, 2019, Nature.

Characteristics of organic soil in black spruce forests: Implications for the application of land surface and ecosystem models in cold regions

A. McGuire, S. Yi, K. Manies, 2009 .

Climate Change and Arctic Ecosystems: 1. Vegetation Changes North of 55°n between the Last Glacial Maximum, Mid-holocene, and Present

Benjamin Smith, W. Cramer, J. Kaplan, 2003 .