J. Elsner

发表

Visibility network of United States hurricanes

Emily A. Fogarty, J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2009 .

Chaos, Strange Attractors, and Weather.

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, 1989 .

The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, J. Kossin, 2008, Nature.

Singular Spectrum Analysis: A New Tool in Time Series Analysis

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, 1996 .

Fluctuations in North Atlantic hurricane frequency

J. Elsner, A. Kara, M. A. Owens, 1999 .

Hurricanes and Climate: The U.S. CLIVAR Working Group on Hurricanes

K. Emanuel, Arun Kumar, S. Schubert, 2015 .

Climate and solar signals in property damage losses from hurricanes affecting the United States

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, R. Burch, 2011 .

Environmental Signals in Property Damage Losses from Hurricanes

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, R. Burch, 2010 .

Comparison of Hurricane Return Levels Using Historical and Geological Records

Kam‐biu Liu, J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2008 .

Forecasting US insured hurricane losses

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, M. Saunders, 2008 .

Forecasting U.S. hurricanes 6 months in advance

R. Murnane, J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2006 .

Prediction Models for Annual U.S. Hurricane Counts

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2006 .

Climatology Models for Extreme Hurricane Winds near the United States

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2006 .

A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach to Seasonal Hurricane Modeling

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2004 .

Bayesian Analysis of U.S. Hurricane Climate

Brian H. Bossak, J. Elsner, 2001 .

Analysis of Time Series Structure: SSA and Related Techniques

J. Elsner, 2002 .

Evidence in support of the climate change–Atlantic hurricane hypothesis

J. Elsner, 2006 .

Nonlinear Prediction, Chaos, and Noise.

Anastasios A. Tsonis, James B. Elsner, J. Elsner, 1992 .

Estimating the Dimension of Weather and Climate Attractors: Important Issues about the Procedure and Interpretation

Konstantine P. Georgakakos, Anastasios A. Tsonis, James B. Elsner, 1993 .

Effect of El Niño on U.S. landfalling hurricanes, revisited

Xufeng Niu, James B. Elsner, Christopher W. Landsea, 1998 .

Spatial Variations in Major U.S. Hurricane Activity: Statistics and a Physical Mechanism

James B. Elsner, Kam‐biu Liu, J. Elsner, 2000 .

Weather and Forecasting

James B. Elsner, J. Elsner, Zoe Schroder, 2007 .

Nonlinear prediction as a way of distinguishing chaos from random fractal sequences

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, A. A. Tsonis, 1992, Nature.

Estimated return periods for Hurricane Katrina

Anastasios A. Tsonis, James B. Elsner, Thomas H. Jagger, 2006 .

Hurricanes of the North Atlantic: Climate and Society

James B. Elsner, J. Elsner, A. Kara, 1999 .

Transitioning from CRD to CDRD in Bayesian retrieval of rainfall from satellite passive microwave measurements: Part 3 – Identification of optimal meteorological tags

Giulia Panegrossi, Paolo Sano, S. Dietrich, 2013 .

The sun-hurricane connection: Diagnosing the solar impacts on hurricane frequency over the North Atlantic basin using a space–time model

James B. Elsner, Robert E. Hodges, Thomas H. Jagger, 2014, Natural Hazards.

A space–time model for seasonal hurricane prediction

Xufeng Niu, James B. Elsner, Thomas H. Jagger, 2002 .

Singular spectrum analysis

Anastasios A. Tsonis, James B. Elsner, J. Elsner, 1996 .

Statistical Models for Tornado Climatology: Long and Short-Term Views

Tyler Fricker, J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2016, PloS one.

A Statistical Model for Regional Tornado Climate Studies

Holly M. Widen, J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2015, PloS one.

Graphical Inference in Geographical Research

Holly M. Widen, J. Elsner, C. Uejio, 2016 .

The Decreasing Population Bias in Tornado Reports across the Central Plains

Laura E. Michaels, J. Elsner, K. Scheitlin, 2013 .

Public perception of climatological tornado risk in Tennessee, USA

Kelsey N. Ellis, J. Elsner, L. Mason, 2018, International Journal of Biometeorology.

STATISTICAL MODELS FOR PREDICTING TORNADO RATES: CASE STUDIES FROM OKLAHOMA AND THE MID SOUTH USA

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, V. Mesev, 2016 .

The Relationship between Elevation Roughness and Tornado Activity: A Spatial Statistical Model Fit to Data from the Central Great Plains

Christian Gredzens, Shoumik Rahman, James B. Elsner, 2016 .

New Methods in Tornado Climatology

Holly M. Widen, J. Elsner, T. Fricker, 2015 .

Daily tornado frequency distributions in the United States

James B. Elsner, Thomas H. Jagger, Holly M. Widen, 2014 .

Estimating Contemporary and Future Wind-Damage Losses from Hurricanes Affecting Eglin Air Force Base, Florida

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, Jill C. Malmstadt, 2011 .

Unusually Devastating Tornadoes in the United States: 1995–2016

J. Elsner, T. Fricker, 2020, Annals of the American Association of Geographers.

A Model for U.S. Tornado Casualties Involving Interaction between Damage Path Estimates of Population Density and Energy Dissipation

William D. Berry, J. Elsner, T. Fricker, 2018, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology.

Searching for determinism in observed data: a review of the issues involved

Anastasios A. Tsonis, James B. Elsner, J. Elsner, 1994 .

Variations in typhoon landfalls over China

Kam‐biu Liu, J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2006 .

Imperfect Data in an Uncertain World

J. Elsner, 2005 .

The 1995 and 1996 North Atlantic Hurricane Seasons: A Return of the Tropical-Only Hurricane

J. Elsner, T. B. Kimberlain, 1998 .

Risk assessment of hurricane winds for Eglin air force base in northwestern Florida, USA

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, K. Scheitlin, 2011 .

Kinetic Energy of Tornadoes in the United States

J. Elsner, T. Fricker, 2015, PloS one.

Erratum: Hurricanes and climate: The U.S. Clivar working group on hurricanes (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2015) 96 (997-1017)

K. Emanuel, Arun Kumar, S. Schubert, 2015 .

Changes in the rates of North Atlantic major hurricane activity during the 20th century

X. Niu, J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2000 .

Increasingly Powerful Tornadoes in the United States

J. Elsner, Zoe Schroder, T. Fricker, 2019, Geophysical Research Letters.

More hots: Quantifying upward trends in the number of extremely hot days and nights in Tallahassee, Florida, USA: 1892–2018

J. Elsner, Svetoslava C. Elsner, 2019, International Journal of Climatology.

Improving Seasonal Hurricane Predictions for the Atlantic Basin

J. Elsner, J. C. Hess, N. Laseur, 1995 .

Plotting early nineteenth‐century hurricane information

Brian H. Bossak, J. Elsner, 2004 .

Historical Developments Leading to Current Forecast Models of Annual Atlantic Hurricane Activity

J. Elsner, J. C. Hess, 1994 .

Objective Classification of Atlantic Hurricanes

J. Elsner, T. B. Kimberlain, G. S. Lehmiller, 1996 .

Hurricanes and Climate Change

J. Elsner, 2008 .

Plantation Records as a Source of Historical Weather and Agricultural Data

J. Elsner, R. Doel, Gregory Burris, 2018 .

Florida Hurricanes and Damage Costs

J. Elsner, Jill Malmstadt, Kelsey Scheitlin, 2009 .

Disaggregating the Patchwork:

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, J. Humphreys, 2017, Wetlands.

Bayesian Updating of Track-Forecast Uncertainty for Tropical Cyclones

Nam-Young Kang, Myeong-Soon Lim, Dong-Hyun Shin, 2016 .

Detecting Shifts in Hurricane Rates Using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach

Xufeng Niu, James B. Elsner, Thomas H. Jagger, 2004 .

Mixed layer depth in the Aegean, Marmara, Black and Azov Seas: Part I: General features

T. Boyer, J. Elsner, R. Helber, 2009 .

Structure and properties of the attractor of a marine dynamical system

Anastasios A. Tsonis, James B. Elsner, A. Lascaratos, 1995 .

Spatial grids for hurricane climate research

James B. Elsner, Robert E. Hodges, Thomas H. Jagger, 2012, Climate Dynamics.

Examining the ENSO-typhoon hypothesis

James B. Elsner, Kam‐biu Liu, J. Elsner, 2003 .

Is DNA a language?

A A Tsonis, J B Elsner, P A Tsonis, 1997, Journal of theoretical biology.

THE FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF SOCIAL SCIENCES THE INFLUENCE OF LAND-USE HISTORY ON THE HABITAT PREFERENCES OF THE NIGHT MONKEY (Aotus lemurinus) ON ISLA TIGRE, PANAMA BY

Philip E. Steinberg, J. Elsner, J. A. Stallins, 2001 .

Periodicity in DNA coding sequences: implications in gene evolution.

A A Tsonis, J B Elsner, P A Tsonis, 1991, Journal of theoretical biology.

Granger causality and Atlantic hurricanes

James B. Elsner, J. Elsner, 2007 .

Hurricanes and Climate: The U.S. CLIVAR Working Group on Hurricanes

K. Emanuel, Arun Kumar, S. Schubert, 2015 .

A Statistical Method for Forecasting Rainfall over Puerto Rico

James B. Elsner, J. Elsner, M. M. Carter, 1997 .

A Dynamic Probability Model of Hurricane Winds in Coastal Counties of the United States

Xufeng Niu, James B. Elsner, Thomas H. Jagger, 2001 .

Singular Spectrum Analysis: A New Tool in Time Series Analysis

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, 1996 .

The increasing efficiency of tornado days in the United States

James B. Elsner, Thomas H. Jagger, J. Elsner, 2014, Climate Dynamics.

More than unfamiliar environmental connection to super typhoon climatology

J. Elsner, C. Jang, N. Kang, 2023, Scientific reports.

A Bayesian geostatistical approach to modeling global distributions of Lygodium microphyllum under projected climate warming

James B. Elsner, Thomas H. Jagger, Stephanie Pau, 2017 .

Do Tropical Cyclones Shape Shorebird Habitat Patterns? Biogeoclimatology of Snowy Plovers in Florida

Igor Linkov, Rafael Muñoz-Carpena, Gregory A. Kiker, 2011, PloS one.

Seasonal Space–Time Models for Climate Systems

Ian W. McKeague, Xufeng Niu, James B. Elsner, 2003 .

Reconstruction of paleostorms and paleoenvironment using geochemical proxies archived in the sediments of two coastal lakes in northwest Florida

J. Elsner, Xiaomei Xu, Yang Wang, 2013 .

Statistical Models for Tropical Cyclone Activity

Gabriele Villarini, James B. Elsner, G. Villarini, 2011 .

Improving Extended-Range Seasonal Predictions of Intense Atlantic Hurricane Activity

C. Schmertmann, J. Elsner, 1993 .

Modeling tropical cyclone intensity with quantile regression

James B. Elsner, Thomas H. Jagger, J. Elsner, 2009 .

Integrated modeling of phylogenies, species traits, and environmental gradients to better predict biogeographic distributions

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, J. Humphreys, 2019 .

Climate Mechanism for Stronger Typhoons in a Warmer World

J. Elsner, N. Kang, 2016 .

Consensus on Climate Trends in Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones

J. Elsner, N. Kang, 2012 .

Maximum wind speeds and US hurricane losses

James B. Elsner, R. Murnane, J. Elsner, 2012 .

The weather attractor over very short timescales

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, A. A. Tsonis, 1988, Nature.

Influence of global warming on the rapid intensification of western North Pacific tropical cyclones

J. Elsner, N. Kang, 2019, Environmental Research Letters.

Influence of Global Warming on Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensities during 2015

J. Elsner, Y. Chun, N. Kang, 2017 .

Trade-off between intensity and frequency of global tropical cyclones

J. Elsner, N. Kang, 2015 .

A description of low-frequency atmospheric oscillations over the extratropical Northern Hemisphere using singular spectrum analysis

J. Elsner, 1992 .

Large-scale circulation departures related to wet episodes in north-east Brazil

J. Elsner, D. N. Sikdar, 2007 .

Improving Multiseason Forecasts of North Atlantic Hurricane Activity

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, M. Dickinson, 2008 .

Physical Mechanism for the Tallahassee, Florida, Minimum Temperature Anomaly

J. Elsner, A. Kara, P. Ruscher, 1998 .

Extracting weather information from a plantation document

J. Elsner, R. Doel, O. Lasheen, 2018, Climate of the Past.

Seasonal Prediction Models for North Atlantic Basin Hurricane Location

James B. Elsner, J. Elsner, T. B. Kimberlain, 1997 .

Observed versus GCM-Generated Local Tropical Cyclone Frequency: Comparisons Using a Spatial Lattice

Daniel J. Halperin, Ming Zhao, J. Elsner, 2013 .

Hurricane intensity changes associated with geomagnetic variation

J. Elsner, S. Kavlakov, 2001 .

Intra-seasonal variability of rainfall and atmospheric energetics over northeast Brazil during the rainy season of 1979

J. Elsner, D. N. Sikdar, 1987 .

Multi-year prediction model of North Atlantic hurricane activity

X. Niu, J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, 1998 .

Do bidecadal oscillations exist in the global temperature record?

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, A. A. Tsonis, 1991, Nature.

Sensitivity of Limiting Hurricane Intensity to SST in the Atlantic from Observations and GCMs

Ming Zhao, J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2013 .

A note on the spatial structure of the covariability of observed Northern Hemisphere surface air temperatures

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, 1991 .

The Spatial Pattern of the Sun-Hurricane Connection across the North Atlantic

J. Elsner, R. E. Hodges, 2012 .

On the relation between ENSO and global climate change

Anastasios A. Tsonis, Allen G. Hunt, James B. Elsner, 2003 .

A characteristic time scale in the global temperature record

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, Paul Roebber, 1998 .

Testing for scaling in natural forms and observables

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, 1995 .

Evidence linking solar variability with US hurricanes

J. Elsner, R. E. Hodges, 2010 .

Daily tropical cyclone intensity response to solar ultraviolet radiation

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, R. E. Hodges, 2010 .

United States and Caribbean tropical cyclone activity related to the solar cycle

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2008 .

Global tropical cyclone activity: A link to the North Atlantic Oscillation

J. Elsner, Bethany Kocher, 2000 .

The contribution of super typhoons to tropical cyclone activity in response to ENSO

J. Elsner, N. Kang, Dongjin Kim, 2019, Scientific Reports.

Predicting time series using a neural network as a method of distinguishing chaos from noise

James B. Elsner, J. Elsner, 1992 .

Predicting Spring Tornado Activity in the Central Great Plains by 1 March

James B. Elsner, Holly M. Widen, J. Elsner, 2014 .

Comments on “Dimension Analysis of Climatic Data"

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, 1990 .

Continued Increases in the Intensity of Strong Tropical Cyclones

J. Elsner, 2020 .

Testing the Global Warming Hypothesis

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, 1989 .

Mapping the channels of communication between the tropics and higher latitudes in the atmosphere

Anastasios A. Tsonis, James B. Elsner, J. Elsner, 1996 .

The influence of model resolution on the simulated sensitivity of North Atlantic tropical cyclone maximum intensity to sea surface temperature

J. Elsner, Mingde Zhao, H. Murakami, 2016 .

Quantifying the sensitivity of maximum, limiting, and potential tropical cyclone intensity to SST: Observations versus the FSU/COAPS global climate model

J. Elsner, S. Strazzo, T. LaRow, 2015 .

A spatial climatology of North Atlantic hurricane intensity change

J. Elsner, Erik Fraza, 2014 .

Frequency, intensity, and sensitivity to sea surface temperature of North Atlantic tropical cyclones in best‐track and simulated data

Kerry Emanuel, James B. Elsner, Sarah Strazzo, 2013 .

Sensitivity of limiting hurricane intensity to ocean warmth

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, S. Strazzo, 2012 .

On the Increasing Intensity of the Strongest Atlantic Hurricanes

James B. Elsner, Thomas H. Jagger, J. Elsner, 2010 .

Risk of Strong Hurricane Winds to Florida Cities

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, Jill C. Malmstadt, 2010 .

Toward increased utilization of historical hurricane chronologies

Kelsey N. Scheitlin, James B. Elsner, Robert E. Hodges, 2010 .

Climatology: Tempests in time

J. Elsner, 2007, Nature.

Comparison of Hindcasts Anticipating the 2004 Florida Hurricane Season

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2006 .

Network Analysis of U.S. Hurricanes

Anastasios A. Tsonis, Emily A. Fogarty, James B. Elsner, 2009 .

Quantifying relationships between environmental factors and accumulated tornado power on the most prolific days in the largest “outbreaks”

J. Elsner, Zoe Schroder, 2019 .

A dasymetric method to spatially apportion tornado casualty counts

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, V. Mesev, 2017 .

Estimating ‘outbreak’-level tornado counts and casualties from environmental variables

J. Elsner, Zoe Schroder, 2021 .

Quantifying relationships between environmental factors and power dissipation on the most prolific days in the largest tornado “outbreaks”

J. Elsner, Zoe Schroder, 2019, International Journal of Climatology.

Population and energy elasticity of tornado casualties

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, T. Fricker, 2017 .

The Autocorrelation Function and Human Influences on Climate

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, 1999, Science.

Global temperature as a regulator of climate predictability

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, 1997 .

Nonlinear dynamics established in the ENSO

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, 1993 .

Nonlinear dynamics in geosciences

Anastasios A. Tsonis, James B. Elsner, J. Elsner, 2007 .

Assessing Forecast Skill through Cross Validation

Carl P. Schmertmann, James B. Elsner, C. Schmertmann, 1994 .

Unfolding the relation between global temperature and ENSO

Anastasios A. Tsonis, Allen G. Hunt, James B. Elsner, 2005 .

Long-Range Correlations in the Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation: Origins and Implications

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, Paul Roebber, 1999 .

Phase Space Reconstruction

Anastasios A. Tsonis, James B. Elsner, J. Elsner, 1996 .

HURRICANES AND CLIMATE The U.S. CLIVAR Working Group on Hurricanes

K. Emanuel, S. Schubert, G. Vecchi, 2021 .

Empirically derived climate predictability over the extratropical northern hemisphere

J. Elsner, A. Tsonis, 1994 .

A Consensus Model for Seasonal Hurricane Prediction

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, 2010 .

Catastrophe Finance: An Emerging Discipline

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, R. King Burch, 2009 .

Combining Surge and Wind Risk from Hurricanes Using a Copula Model: An Example from Galveston, Texas

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, H. Needham, 2015 .

Extended‐range hindcasts of tropical‐origin Atlantic hurricane activity

J. Elsner, J. C. Hess, 1994 .

Enhanced cloud‐to‐ground lightning frequency in the vicinity of coal plants and highways in Northern Georgia, USA

J. Elsner, O. Strikas, 2013 .

Structural Property Losses from Tornadoes in Florida

J. Elsner, Georgianna Strode, Emily Ryan, 2018 .

Tornado Intensity Estimated from Damage Path Dimensions

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, Ian Elsner, 2014, PloS one.

Adjusted Tornado Probabilities

James B. Elsner, Brendan Mulholland, Holly M. Widen, 2013, E-Journal of Severe Storms Meteorology.

Forecasting US insured hurricane losses

J. Elsner, T. Jagger, M. Saunders, 2008 .