G. Harris

发表

The sensitivity of the meridional overturning circulation to modelling uncertainty in a perturbed physics ensemble without flux adjustment

L. Jackson, M. Vellinga, G. Harris, 2012, Climate Dynamics.

Frequency distributions of transient regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles of general circulation model simulations

Matthew D. Collins, David M. H. Sexton, Mark J. Webb, 2006 .

A methodology for probabilistic predictions of regional climate change from perturbed physics ensembles

J. Murphy, M. Collins, B. Booth, 2007, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences.

Improved Surface Temperature Prediction for the Coming Decade from a Global Climate Model

Stephen Cusack, Andrew W. Colman, Glen R. Harris, 2007, Science.

Climate model errors, feedbacks and forcings: a comparison of perturbed physics and multi-model ensembles

M. Webb, James M. Murphy, D. Sexton, 2011 .

Contributions to uncertainty in projections of future drought under climate change scenarios

D. McNeall, G. Harris, P. Falloon, 2012 .

Comparing Methods to Constrain Future European Climate Projections Using a Consistent Framework

G. Hegerl, R. Knutti, B. Booth, 2020, Journal of Climate.

High sensitivity of future global warming to land carbon cycle processes

R. Betts, P. Cox, C. Jones, 2012 .

Probabilistic projections of transient climate change

James M. Murphy, D. Sexton, M. Collins, 2013, Climate Dynamics.

The importance of including variability in climate change projections used for adaptation

D. Sexton, G. Harris, 2015 .

Narrowing the range of future climate projections using historical observations of atmospheric CO2.

C. Jones, James M. Murphy, S. Sitch, 2017 .

UK Climate Projections Science Report: Climate Change Projections

Matthew D. Collins, Rachel Warren, David M. H. Sexton, 2009 .

Towards quantifying uncertainty in transient climate change

Matthew D. Collins, David M. H. Sexton, Mark J. Webb, 2006 .

Probabilistic projections for 21st century European climate

Matthew D. Collins, David M. H. Sexton, Glen R. Harris, 2010 .

UKCP Additional Land Products: Probabilistic Projections of Climate Extremes

J. Murphy, S. Brown, G. Harris, 2020 .

Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Probabilistic projections for 21 st century European climate

J. Murphy, D. Sexton, M. Collins, 2010 .

The impact of climate mitigation on projections of future drought

D. McNeall, G. Harris, P. Falloon, 2013 .

Climate Change Projections for the UK (UKCP09)

D. Sexton, M. A. Collins, B. Booth, 2010 .

Contributions of carbon cycle uncertainty to future climate projection spread

C. Jones, P. Meir, B. Booth, 2009 .

Energy Budget Constraints on the Time History of Aerosol Forcing and Climate Sensitivity

P. Forster, T. Storelvmo, G. Myhre, 2020, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.

Uncertainty in the sensitivity of Arctic sea ice to global warming in a perturbed parameter climate model ensemble

G. Harris, C. Brierley, J. Lowe, 2007 .

' dieback ' Towards quantifying uncertainty in predictions of Amazon

Stephen Sitch, Yadvinder Malhi, Chris Huntingford, 2008 .

Quantifying uncertainty in projections of future European climate: a multi-model multi-method approach

Jason Lowe, Reto Knutti, Carol McSweeney, 2020 .

Toward Consistent Observational Constraints in Climate Predictions and Projections

G. Hegerl, F. Doblas-Reyes, B. Booth, 2021, Frontiers in Climate.

Transient climate changes in a perturbed parameter ensemble of emissions-driven earth system model simulations

Jason Lowe, David M. H. Sexton, Chris A. Boulton, 2014, Climate Dynamics.

Comments on “Rethinking the Lower Bound on Aerosol Radiative Forcing”

A. Jones, B. Booth, G. Harris, 2018, Journal of Climate.

What do recent advances in quantifying climate and carbon cycle uncertainties mean for climate policy?

I. C. Prentice, P. Cox, C. Jones, 2008 .

Extending CMIP5 projections of global mean temperature change and sea level rise due to thermal expansion using a physically-based emulator

J. Gregory, G. Harris, M. Palmer, 2018, Environmental Research Letters.

Towards a risk assessment for shutdown of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation

J. Gregory, M. Collins, M. Vellinga, 2006 .

Towards quantifying uncertainty in predictions of Amazon ‘dieback’

Stephen Sitch, Yadvinder Malhi, Chris Huntingford, 2008, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

Markov Chain Monte Carlo Estimation of Regime Switching Vector Autoregressions

Glen R. Harris, G. Harris, 1999, ASTIN Bulletin.

A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part I: Understanding of future change in the large-scale climate system

P. Good, C. Jones, S. Sitch, 2011 .

A perturbed parameter ensemble of HadGEM3-GC3.05 coupled model projections: part 2: global performance and future changes

D. Sexton, J. Rostron, G. Harris, 2019, Climate Dynamics.

Interactions between perturbations to different Earth system components simulated by a fully-coupled climate model

D. Sexton, M. Collins, B. Booth, 2013, Climate Dynamics.

The Sensitivity of the Rate of Transient Climate Change to Ocean Physics Perturbations

Matthew D. Collins, Chris M. Brierley, Glen R. Harris, 2007 .

Update to UKCP probabilistic projections July 2022

J. Murphy, D. Sexton, G. Harris, 2022 .

The Met Office Hadley Centre climate modelling capability: the competing requirements for improved resolution, complexity and dealing with uncertainty

V Pope, S Brown, R Clark, 2007, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences.

Contributions of carbon cycle uncertainty to future climate projection spread

B. Booth, G. Harris, C. Huntingford, 2009 .

Climate projections of future extreme events accounting for modelling uncertainties and historical simulation biases

D. Sexton, G. Harris, S. Brown, 2014, Climate Dynamics.