D. Smith

发表

Decadal climate prediction: opportunities and challenges

James W. Hurrell, Neil J. Holbrook, Joseph Tribbia, 2010 .

A review of climate risk information for adaptation and development planning

Robert L. Wilby, Bruce Hewitson, Rowan Sutton, 2009 .

Skillful long‐range prediction of European and North American winters

Adam A. Scaife, M. Vellinga, M. Gordon, 2014 .

Drivers of Recent North Pacific Decadal Variability: The Role of Aerosol Forcing

E. Hawkins, D. Smith, L. Wilcox, 2021, Earth's Future.

Addressing model uncertainty in seasonal and annual dynamical ensemble forecasts

T. Palmer, F. Doblas-Reyes, M. Déqué, 2009 .

Impact of atmosphere and sub‐surface ocean data on decadal climate prediction

Doug M. Smith, D. Smith, N. Dunstone, 2010 .

Link Between Autumnal Arctic Sea Ice and Northern Hemisphere Winter Forecast Skill

F. Doblas-Reyes, V. Torralba, D. Smith, 2020, Geophysical Research Letters.

North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply

Y. Wang, Adam A. Scaife, T. Delworth, 2020, Nature.

The Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6

Michel Rixen, Francis W. Zwiers, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, 2016 .

Long-range predictability of extratropical climate and the length of day

Adam A. Scaife, S. Belcher, A. Scaife, 2022, Nature Geoscience.

Skilful seasonal prediction of winter gas demand

Adam A. Scaife, B. Hoskins, A. Scaife, 2019, Environmental Research Letters.

The Impact of Strong El Niño and La Niña Events on the North Atlantic

Adam A. Scaife, A. Scaife, S. Hardiman, 2019, Geophysical Research Letters.

Assessing the chance of unprecedented dry conditions over North Brazil during El Niño events

Adam A. Scaife, R. Betts, D. Smith, 2022, Environmental Research Letters.

Seasonal Predictability of the East Atlantic Pattern in Late Autumn and Early Winter

Adam A. Scaife, D. Smith, H. Thornton, 2022, Geophysical Research Letters.

Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation

E. Hawkins, D. Stevens, Doug M. Smith, 2016, Climate Dynamics.

Skilful prediction of Sahel summer rainfall on inter-annual and multi-year timescales

Doug M. Smith, M. Vellinga, D. Rowell, 2017, Nature Communications.

Skillful Decadal Flood Prediction

D. Smith, L. Slater, N. Dunstone, 2022, Geophysical Research Letters.

Robust skill of decadal climate predictions

Adam A. Scaife, G. Danabasoglu, M. Kimoto, 2019, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science.

Comparison of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation between 1960 and 2007 in six ocean reanalysis products

G. Danabasoglu, A. Rosati, M. Balmaseda, 2017, Climate Dynamics.

Predicting multi-year North Atlantic ocean variability

W. Hazeleger, Doug M. Smith, H. Pohlmann, 2013 .

Surface flux and ocean heat transport convergence contributions to seasonal and interannual variations of ocean heat content

R. Allan, Chunlei Liu, D. Smith, 2017 .

Towards quantifying uncertainty in ocean heat content changes using synthetic profiles

L. C. Allison, R. Killick, D. Smith, 2019, Environmental Research Letters.

Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss

Adam A. Scaife, C. Deser, M. Sigmond, 2022, Nature communications.

On the Drivers and Predictability of Seasonal-to-Interannual Variations in Regional Sea Level

D. Smith, M. Palmer, L. Hermanson, 2016 .

Seasonal winter forecasts and the stratosphere

Amy H. Butler, D. Smith, Adam A. Scaife, 2016 .

Non‐Linear Response of the Extratropics to Tropical Climate Variability

Adam A. Scaife, D. Smith, J. Screen, 2022, Geophysical Research Letters.

A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments

Thomas E. Fricker, D. Smith, L. Goddard, 2012, Climate Dynamics.

Multi‐year predictability of the tropical Atlantic atmosphere driven by the high latitude North Atlantic Ocean

D. Smith, Adam A. Scaife, Rosie Eade, 2011 .

Decadal climate variability, predictability and prediction: Opportunities and challenges

A. Timmermann, G. Meehl, M. Latif, 2010 .

Opposite Impacts of Interannual and Decadal Pacific Variability in the Extratropics

Adam A. Scaife, S. Hardiman, D. Smith, 2023, Geophysical Research Letters.

An assessment of a multi-model ensemble of decadal climate predictions

S. Gualdi, R. Haarsma, W. Müller, 2015, Climate Dynamics.

Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s

Doug M. Smith, R. Sutton, D. Smith, 2012 .

Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C

Adam A. Scaife, G. Meehl, G. Danabasoglu, 2018, Geophysical Research Letters.

Different types of drifts in two seasonal forecast systems and their dependence on ENSO

Adam A. Scaife, K. Williams, M. Vellinga, 2018, Climate Dynamics.

DECACAL CLIMATE PREDICTION: OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES

A. Timmermann, G. Meehl, M. Latif, 2009 .

ObservationalRequirements forGlobal-Scale OceanClimateAnalysis : Lessons from OceanStateEstimation

D. Menemenlis, I. Fukumori, A. Rosati, 2011 .

ObservationalRequirements forGlobal-ScaleOcean ClimateAnalysis : Lessons fromOceanStateEstimation

D. Menemenlis, I. Fukumori, A. Rosati, 2010 .

Quantifying the rarity of extreme multi-decadal trends: how unusual was the late twentieth century trend in the North Atlantic Oscillation?

Adam A. Scaife, D. Stephenson, D. Smith, 2021, Climate Dynamics.

Forecast quality assessment of the ENSEMBLES seasonal-to-decadal Stream 2 hindcasts

T. Palmer, F. Doblas-Reyes, J. Murphy, 2010 .

Decadal climate predictions for the period 1901–2010 with a coupled climate model

Wolfgang A. Müller, W. Müller, H. Pohlmann, 2014 .

Decadal climate prediction: opportunities and challenges

A. Timmermann, G. Meehl, M. Latif, 2010 .

Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss

Adam A. Scaife, C. Deser, M. Sigmond, 2022, Nature Communications.