J. Tayman

发表

MAPE-R: a rescaled measure of accuracy for cross-sectional subnational population forecasts

David A. Swanson, Jeff Tayman, Thomas M. Bryan, 2011 .

David A. Swanson, Stanley K. Smith, J. Tayman, 2013 .

Empirical Prediction Intervals for County Population Forecasts

Stanley K. Smith, J. Tayman, S. Rayer, 2009, Population research and policy review.

The role of population size in the determination and prediction of population forecast errors: An evaluation using conifidence intervals for subcounty areas

L. Carter, J. Tayman, E. Schafer, 1998 .

Subnational Population Estimates

Jeff Tayman, J. Tayman, D. Swanson, 2012 .

Between a rock and a hard place: The evaluation of demographic forecasts

Jeff Tayman, J. Tayman, D. Swanson, 1995 .

Future Directions in Population Estimation

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, 2012 .

Metropolitan Morphology and Population Mobility: The Theory of Ecological Expansion Reexamined

D. Sly, J. Tayman, 1980, American Journal of Sociology.

Structural and Microsimulation Models

David A. Swanson, Stanley K. Smith, J. Tayman, 2013 .

On the validity of MAPE as a measure of population forecast accuracy

Jeff Tayman, J. Tayman, D. Swanson, 1999 .

A note on the measurement of accuracy for subnational demographic estimates

Jeff Tayman, J. Tayman, D. Swanson, 2000, Demography.

Estimating Historical Populations

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, Jack D Baker, 2017 .

The Utility of Cohort Change Ratios

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, Jack D Baker, 2017 .

Assessing Uncertainty in Small Area Forecasts: State of the Practice and Implementation Strategy

J. Tayman, 2011 .

Precision, bias, and uncertainty for state population forecasts: an exploratory analysis of time series models

Stanley K. Smith, J. Tayman, Jeffrey Lin, 2007 .

Measuring temporal stability in regression models of population estimation

J. Tayman, M. Mandell, 1982, Demography.

Small area demographic forecasts.

J. Tayman, 1994, Applied demography.

The Impact of Coefficient Drift and Measurement Error on the Accuracy of Ratio-Correlation Population Estimates

J. Tayman, E. Schafer, 1985 .

New insights on the impact of coefficient instability on ratio-correlation population estimates

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, 2016 .

On the utility of population forecasts

J. Tayman, D. Swanson, 1996, Demography.

Censal-Ratio Methods

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, 2012 .

Basic Demographic Concepts

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, Jack D Baker, 2017 .

Fundamentals of Population Analysis

David A. Swanson, Stanley K. Smith, J. Tayman, 2013 .

Forecasting, growth management and public policy decision making

J. Tayman, 1996 .

Guardian Angels: A Unique Approach to Crime Prevention

J. Tayman, S. Pennell, J. Henderson, 1989 .

Using Synthetic Adjustments and Controlling to Improve County Population Forecasts from the Hamilton–Perry Method

J. Tayman, Jack D Baker, D. Swanson, 2021, Population Research and Policy Review.

Using modified cohort change and child-woman ratios in the Hamilton–Perry forecasting method

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, 2017 .

Forecasting Using Modified Cohort Change Ratios

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, Jack D Baker, 2017 .

On Estimating a De Facto Population and Its Components

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, 2011 .

Ecological approach to migration reexamined

D. Sly, J. Tayman, 1977 .

Overview of the Cohort-Component Method

David A. Swanson, Stanley K. Smith, J. Tayman, 2013 .

The Accuracy of Hamilton–Perry Population Projections for Census Tracts in the United States

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, Jack D Baker, 2020, Population Research and Policy Review.

Stable Population Theory

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, Jack D Baker, 2017 .

State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis

David A. Swanson, Jeff Tayman, Stanley K. Smith, 2001 .

Overview of Estimation Methods

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, 2012 .

Using Taylor’s Law to Estimate Variance in Annual Unemployment by State

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, 2022, Review of Economics and Finance.

A Note on Rescaling the Arithmetic Mean for Right-skewed Positive Distributions

J. Tayman, T. Bryan, D. Swanson, 2018 .

Toward a Causal Model of Drug Use

J. Tayman, S. Pennell, 1992 .

Confidence intervals for postcensal state population estimates

T. Espenshade, J. Tayman, 1982, Demography.

Forecasting Other Characteristics

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, Jack D Baker, 2017 .

Boosted Regression Trees for Small-Area Population Forecasting

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, Jack D Baker, 2023, Population Research and Policy Review.

Prediction Intervals for County Population Forecasts

Jeff Tayman, Stanley K. Smith, Stanley K. Smith, 2006 .

Cohort Change Ratios and their Applications

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, L. Tedrow, 2017 .

A Long Term Test of the Accuracy of the Hamilton-Perry Method for Forecasting State Populations by Age

J. Tayman, D. Swanson, 2017 .

Using modified cohort change and child-woman ratios in the Hamilton–Perry forecasting method

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, 2017, Journal of Population Research.

Forecasting with Spatial Dependencies

David A. Swanson, David A. Swanson, Jeff Tayman, 2017 .

Forecasting Population Size and Composition

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, Jack D Baker, 2017 .

Implementing the Cohort-Component Method

David A. Swanson, David A. Swanson, Jeff Tayman, 2013 .

Guidelines for Developing and Presenting Estimates

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, 2012 .

An evaluation of population projections by age

Jeff Tayman, Stanley K. Smith, J. Tayman, 2003, Demography.

Changing metropolitan morphology and municipal service expenditures in cities and rings

J. Tayman, Sly Df, 1980 .

Evaluating Population Forecast Accuracy: A Regression Approach Using County Data

Jeff Tayman, Stanley K. Smith, Stanley K. Smith, 2010, Population research and policy review.

Postcensal estimates of household income distributions

J. Tayman, L. Fonseca, 1989, Demography.

Rationale, Terminology, Scope

David A. Swanson, David A. Swanson, Jeff Tayman, 2013 .

Special Cases and Adjustments

David A. Swanson, David A. Swanson, Jeff Tayman, 2012 .

The Accuracy of Small-Area Population Forecasts Based On A Spatial Interaction Land-Use Modeling System

Jeff Tayman, J. Tayman, 1996 .

Estimating Life Expectancy

David A. Swanson, David A. Swanson, Jeff Tayman, 2017 .

On the Ratio-Correlation Regression Method of Population Estimation and Its Variants

David A. Swanson, J. Tayman, 2015 .