P. Minford

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Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises

Robert N. McCauley, W. Lewis, C. Kindleberger, 1979 .

The Limits to Rational Expectations

M. Hashem Pesaran, Patrick Minford, M. Pesaran, 1988 .

The Foreign Exchange Market: Theory and Econometric Evidence

Patrick Minford, Richard T. Baillie, P. C. McMahon, 1990 .

No . E 2015 / 1 China ’ s financial crisis – the role of banks and monetary policy

Vo Phuong Mai Le, Zhiguo Xiao, K. Matthews, 2015 .

Banking and the Macroeconomy in China: A Banking Crisis Deferred?

Vo Phuong Mai Le, Zhiguo Xiao, K. Matthews, 2013 .

What Causes Banking Crises? An Empirical Investigation for the World Economy

Vo Phuong Mai Le, P. Minford, David Meenagh, 2013 .

Testing Macroeconomic Models by Indirect Inference on Unfiltered Data

M. Wickens, P. Minford, David Meenagh, 2012 .

Testing a Model of the UK by the Method of Indirect Inference

P. Minford, Konstantinos Theodoridis, David Meenagh, 2008 .

The Specification of the Taylor Projections Rule for Changes in Targets and Definitions

P. Minford, 2008 .

An Open Economy Real Business Cycle Model for the UK

P. Minford, Prakriti Sofat, 2004 .

Real freedom for all: what (if anything) can justify capitalism?

P. Minford, 1996 .

Optimal Monetary Policy with Endogenous Contracts: Is there a Case for Price‐Level Targeting and Money Supply Control?

P. Minford, 2015 .

Understanding the Opportunistic Approach to Disinflation

P. Minford, N. Srinivasan, 2006 .

The Banking Crisis: A Rational Interpretation

P. Minford, 2010 .

The Role of Fiscal Policy in Britain's Great Inflation

P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, Jingwen Fan, 2014 .

The small sample properties of Indirect Inference in testing and estimating DSGE models

M. Wickens, P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, 2018 .

Ideology and Pragmatism in Economic Thatcherism

P. Minford, 1990 .

No . E 2012 / 9 Revisiting the Great Moderation : policy or luck ?

M. Wickens, P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, 2014 .

Britain and Emu: Assessing the Costs in Macroeconomic Variability

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Bruce Webb, 2004 .

EUROPE ’ S UNEMPLOYMENT : CAN THE VICIOUS CIRCLE BE BROKEN ?

P. Minford, 2005 .

The New Cambridge Economic Policy: A Critique of its Prescriptions

P. Minford, 1982, Government and Opposition.

and David Peel Simulating Stock Returns under switching regimes — a new test of market efficiency E 2006 / 13 CARDIFF BUSINESS SCHOOL WORKING PAPER

Cardi, D. Peel, P. Minford, 2006 .

Global Shocks in the US Economy: Effects on Output and the Real Exchange Rate

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Ọ. Oyèkọ́lá, 2022, Open Economies Review.

What did Margaret Thatcher do for the UK economy?

P. Minford, 2015 .

Does inattentiveness matter for DSGE modelling? An empirical investigation

P. Minford, J. Easaw, Jenyu Chou, 2022, Economic Modelling.

The Role of Global Shocks in Explaining US Output and Real Exchange Rate: Evidence From Unfiltered Data

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Ọ. Oyèkọ́lá, 2015 .

What are the Right Models and Policies for a World of Low Inflation?

P. Minford, 2006, National Institute Economic Review.

The Observational Equivalence of Taylor Rule and Taylor-Type Rules

P. Minford, Francesco Perugini, N. Srinivasan, 2001 .

Modelling the UK economy – theory , policy and testing since the 1970 s

P. Minford, 2006 .

Mrs Thatcher's Economic Policies 1979–1987

K. Matthews, P. Minford, 1987 .

High Unemployment is Not Permanent

P. Minford, 1984 .

Incentives in the United Kingdom

P. Minford, 1986 .

Should Britain Join the Euro?

P. Minford, 2005 .

Testing DSGE Models by Indirect Inference: a Survey of Recent Findings

M. Wickens, P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, 2019, Open Economies Review.

Revisiting the Great Moderation: Policy or Luck?

M. Wickens, P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, 2014, Open Economies Review.

Classical or Gravity? Which Trade Model Best Matches the UK Facts?

P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, 2017, Open Economies Review.

Testing Macro Models by Indirect Inference: A Survey for Users

Vo Phuong Mai Le, M. Wickens, P. Minford, 2015, Open Economies Review.

North and South: A Regional Model of the UK

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Yue Gai, 2021, Open Economies Review.

Are Central Bank Preferences Asymmetric? A Comment

P. Minford, N. Srinivasan, 2008 .

Cardiff Economics Working Papers Cardiff Business School Working Paper Series Are Central Bank Preferences Asymmetric? a Comment †

P. Minford, N. Srinivasan, 2008 .

No . E 2008 / 5 Are Central Bank Preferences Asymmetric ? A Comment

P. Minford, N. Srinivasan, 2022 .

Testing Part of a DSGE Model by Indirect Inference

M. Wickens, P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, 2018, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.

The eurozone: what is to be done to maintain macro and financial stability?

M. Wickens, P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, 2022, Journal of Financial Stability.

UK Monetary Policy in an Estimated DSGE Model with Financial Frictions

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Juyi Lyu, 2022, Journal of International Money and Finance.

Regulatory arbitrage, shadow banking and monetary policy in China

Zhiguo Xiao, K. Matthews, P. Minford, 2022, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money.

Banking and the Macroeconomy in China: A Banking Crisis Deferred?

Vo Phuong Mai Le, Zhiguo Xiao, K. Matthews, 2014, Open Economies Review.

Inequality and Economic Growth in the UK

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Xiaoliang Yang, 2020, Open Economies Review.

US Post-War Monetary Policy: What Caused the Great Moderation?

P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, 2010 .

Optimising Indexation Arrangements under Calvo Contracts and Their Implications for Monetary Policy

Vo Phuong Mai Le, P. Minford, V. Le, 2007 .

Calvo Contracts: A Critique

P. Minford, D. Peel, 2004 .

State-Dependent Pricing Turns Money into a Two-Edged Sword

P. Minford, 2020, Journal of International Money and Finance.

Stabilisation Policy, Rational Expectations and Price‐Level versus Inflation Targeting: A Survey

P. Minford, M. Hatcher, 2016 .

Can a small New Keynesian model of the world economy with risk‐pooling match the facts?

P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, Zheyi Zhu, 2020 .

A DSGE model of China

Pengtao Zhou, P. Minford, Li Dai, 2014 .

Revisiting the Great Moderation: Policy or Luck?

M. Wickens, P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, 2014, Open Economies Review.

Derivation of the Baseline Model and the Optimal Timeless Rule 1 . 1 Derivation of the IS curve :

P. Minford, 2014 .

Revisiting the Great Moderation using the method of Indirect Inference

M. Wickens, P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, 2013 .

Can the Learnability Criterion Ensure Determinacy in New Keynesian Models?

P. Minford, N. Srinivasan, 2012 .

Determinacy in New Keynesian Models: A Role for Money after All?

P. Minford, N. Srinivasan, 2010 .

CARDIFF BUSINESS SCHOOL WORKING PAPER SERIES

P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, 2010 .

Testing the Monetary Policy Rule in the US: A Reconsideration of the Fed's Behaviour

P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, 2009 .

Can the Facts of UK Inflation Persistence Be Explained by Nominal Rigidity?

P. Minford, N. Srinivasan, David Meenagh, 2008 .

Are the Facts of UK Inflation Persistence to Be Explained by Nominal Rigidity or Changes in Monetary Regime?

P. Minford, N. Srinivasan, David Meenagh, 2007 .

Contracts : Optimal Indexation in General Equilibrium E 2007 / 8 CARDIFF BUSINESS SCHOOL WORKING

Vo Phuong Mai Le, P. Minford, 2007 .

UK Inflation Persistence: Policy or Nature?

P. Minford, N. Srinivasan, Prakriti Sofat, 2006 .

Calvo Contracts - Optimal Indexation in General Equilibrium

Vo Phuong Mai Le, P. Minford, V. Le, 2006 .

The Costs of Fiscal In fl exibility Campbell Leith

M. Wickens, D. Vines, P. Minford, 2005 .

econstor Make Your Publications Visible . A Service of zbw

Vo Phuong Mai Le, P. Minford, 2001 .

Working Paper No. E2020/6 Is housing collateral important to the business cycle? Evidence from China Parity

P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, Yue Gai, 2022 .

No . E 2007 / 8 Calvo Contracts — Optimal Indexation in General Equilibrium

Vo Phuong Mai Le, P. Minford, 2022 .

Is there Consumer Risk-Pooling in the Open Economy? The Evidence Reconsidered

P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, Zheyi Zhu, 2020, Open Economies Review.

China’s market economy, shadow banking and the frequency of growth slowdown

Vo Phuong Mai Le, Zhiguo Xiao, K. Matthews, 2020, The Manchester School.

Testing DSGE Models by Indirect Inference: a Survey of Recent Findings

M. Wickens, P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, 2019, Open Economies Review.

Who provides the capital for Chinese growth: the public or the private sector?

Xiaodong Chen, Pengtao Zhou, P. Minford, 2017 .

Energy Business Cycles

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Ọ. Oyèkọ́lá, 2015 .

Comparing Indirect Inference and Likelihood Testing: Asymptotic and Small Sample Results

M. Wickens, P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, 2015 .

Testing Macro Models by Indirect Inference: A Survey for Users

Vo Phuong Mai Le, M. Wickens, P. Minford, 2015, Open Economies Review.

Small Sample Performance of Indirect Inference on DSGE Models

Vo Phuong Mai Le, M. Wickens, P. Minford, 2015 .

Monetarism Rides Again? US Monetary Policy in a World of Quantitative Easing

Vo Phuong Mai Le, P. Minford, David Meenagh, 2014 .

Cardiff Economics Working Papers Working Paper No . E 2014 / 4 A DSGE Model of China

Pengtao Zhou, P. Minford, Li Dai, 2014 .

The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level - Identification and Testing for the UK in the 1970s

P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, Jingwen Fan, 2013 .

What Causes Banking Crises? An Empirical Investigation for the World Economy

Vo Phuong Mai Le, P. Minford, David Meenagh, 2013, Open Economies Review.

Comparing Behavioural and Rational Expectations for the US Post-War Economy

Patrick Minford, Chunping Liu, P. Minford, 2012 .

How Important is the Credit Channel? An Empirical Study of the US Banking Crisis

Patrick Minford, Chunping Liu, P. Minford, 2012 .

Testing DSGE Models by Indirect Inference and Other Methods: Some Monte Carlo Experiments

Vo Phuong Mai Le, M. Wickens, P. Minford, 2012 .

What Causes Banking Crises? An Empirical Investigation

Vo Phuong Mai Le, P. Minford, David Meenagh, 2012 .

Why Crises Happen - Nonstationary Macroeconomics

J. Davidson, M. Wickens, P. Minford, 2010 .

Can a pure Real Business Cycle model explain the real exchange rate

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Prakriti Sofat, 2010 .

Can the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level Explain UK Inflation in the 1970s?

P. Minford, Jingwen Fan, 2010 .

The 'Puzzles' Methodology: En Route to Indirect Inference?

Vo Phuong Mai Le, Patrick Minford, Michael R. Wickens, 2009 .

How Much Nominal Rigidity is There in the US Economy? Testing a New Keynesian DSGE Model Using Indirect Inference

Vo Phuong Mai Le, M. Wickens, P. Minford, 2009 .

Two Orthogonal Continents? Testing a Two-country DSGE Model of the US and the EU Using Indirect Inference

Vo Phuong Mai Le, M. Wickens, P. Minford, 2009 .

Testing a DSGE Model of the EU Using Indirect Inference

M. Wickens, P. Minford, David Meenagh, 2009 .

Review of ] Taxation in the global economy

Vo Phuong Mai Le, M. Wickens, P. Minford, 2006 .

Vicious and Virtuous Circles - The Political Economy of Unemployment in Interwar UK and USA

K. Matthews, P. Minford, Ruthira Naraidoo, 2008 .

Postwar Business Cycles: What Are the Prime Drivers?

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Ọ. Oyèkọ́lá, 2020 .

Classical or Gravity? Which Trade Model Best Matches the UK Facts?

P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, 2017 .

Towards a Liberal Utopia?

P. Ormerod, T. Evans, M. Pennington, 2005 .

Should Britain leave the EU

Vo Phuong Mai Le, P. Minford, Sakshi Gupta, 2002 .

State Expenditure: A Study in Waste

P. Minford, 1984 .

Other People's Money: The Microfoundations of Optimal Currency Areas

P. Minford, 1993 .

The banking crisis-death to rational expectations?

P. Minford, 2009 .

A Less Costly Trading Environment for the UK

P. Minford, E. Nowell, Vidya Mahambare, 2006 .

The lessons of European monetary and exchange rate experience

S. Edwards, P. Minford, 1995 .

A new classical model of the labour market

P. Minford, 1988 .

The Price of Monetary Unification

P. Minford, 1996 .

The Euro – The Beginning, the Middle...and the End?

K. Dowd, Andrew Lilico, P. Booth, 2013, SSRN Electronic Journal.

Policy Stability and Economic Growth: Lessons from the Great Recession

A. Haldane, John B. Taylor, P. Minford, 2016 .

Simulating Stock Returns Under Switching Regimes - a New Test of Market Efficiency

P. Minford, David Meenagh, D. Peel, 2006 .

The Single Currency — Will it Work and Should We Join?

P. Minford, 2000 .

Nominal Contracting and Monetary Targets - Drifting into Indexation

P. Minford, E. Nowell, Bruce Webb, 2003 .

PRODUCTIVITY DIFFERENTIAL AND BILATERAL REAL EXCHANGE RATE BETWEEN INDIA AND US

D. Peel, P. Minford, Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2011 .

Measuring the Economic Costs and Benefits of the EU

P. Minford, 2006 .

Monetary Regimes: Is There a Trade-Off between Consumption and Employment Variability?

K. Matthews, P. Minford, David Meenagh, 2006 .

Explaining the Equity Risk Premium

P. Minford, Laurian Lungu, 2005 .

Unemployment: Cause and cure

P. Minford, 1985 .

Shadow banks, banking policies and China’s macroeconomic fluctuations

Vo Phuong Mai Le, Zhiguo Xiao, K. Matthews, 2021 .

Inequality and Economic Growth in the UK

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Xiaoliang Yang, 2020, Open Economies Review.

The Macroeconomic Controversy Over Price Rigidity — How to Resolve it and How Bayesian Estimation has Led us Astray

M. Wickens, P. Minford, David Meenagh, 2022, Open Economies Review.

A Labour-Based Theory of International Trade

P. Minford, A. Minford, 1989 .

Should Hong Kong switch to Taylor rule?—Evidence from DSGE model

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Zhiqi Zhao, 2022, Applied Economics.

North and South: A Regional Model of the UK

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Yue Gai, 2021, Open Economies Review.

No Need To Queue: The benefits of free trade without trade agreements

P. Minford, 2016 .

Fiscal Devolution in a Small Open Regional Economy

J. Foreman-Peck, P. Minford, Laurian Lungu, 2000 .

An Econometric Model of Merseyside: Validation and Policy Simulations

J. Riley, P. Minford, A. Minford, 1994 .

Trade, technology and labour markets in the world economy, 1970–90: A computable general equilibrium analysis

J. Riley, P. Minford, A. Minford, 1997 .

On the use of monetary and macroprudential policies for financial stability in emerging markets

M. Wickens, J. Pearlman, D. Cobham, 2013 .

Testing Macro Models for Policy Use - An Insurrection in Applied Modelling

P. Minford, 2016 .

Oil Prices and the Dynamics of Output and Real Exchange Rate

P. Minford, A. Minford, David Meenagh, 2015 .

Would price-level targeting destabilise the economy?

P. Minford, A. Minford, E. Nowell, 2005 .

The A W Phillips memorial lecture to the New Zealand Association of Economists: Monetary Policy – should it move onto a price level target?

P. Minford, A. Minford, 2004 .

The role of energy prices in the Great Recession — A two-sector model with unfiltered data

P. Minford, A. Minford, David Meenagh, 2018 .

Non Stationary Shocks, Crises and Policy

P. Minford, A. Minford, David Meenagh, 2012 .

Can a Real Business Cycle Model without price and wage stickiness explain UK real exchange rate behaviour

P. Minford, A. Minford, David Meenagh, 2010 .

The role of fi scal policy in Britain ' s Great In fl ation ☆

P. Minford, Zhirong Ou, Jingwen Fan, 2016 .

The Liverpool macroeconomic model of the United Kingdom

K. Matthews, P. Minford, A. Minford, 1984 .

Is an Exchange Rate Policy Possible

P. Minford, 1982 .

Computable General Equilibrium Models of Trade in the Modern Trade Policy Debate

Gang Chen, P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, 2021, Open Economies Review.

European economic policy: protectionism as an elite strategy

P. Minford, E. Nowell, V. Le, 2009 .

Restoring Europe's Prosperity: Macroeconomic Papers from the Centre for European Policy Studies.

R. Layard, R. Dornbusch, P. Minford, 1986 .

Rational Expectations and the New Macroeconomics

D. Peel, P. Minford, 1983 .

Testing competing world trade models against the facts of world trade

P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, Xue Dong, 2023, Journal of International Money and Finance.

The effects of Brexit on theUKeconomy

P. Minford, A. Minford, 2019, The World Economy.

Post-Brexit Realism and international law: renegotiating a bad Withdrawal Agreement

P. Minford, 2019 .

How important are the international financial market imperfections for the foreign exchange rate dynamics: A study of the sterling exchange rate

P. Minford, Xue Dong, David Meenagh, 2019, Journal of International Money and Finance.

Resolving the public-sector wage premium puzzle by indirect inference

Pengtao Zhou, P. Minford, Yi Wang, 2019, Applied Economics.

Real Exchange Rate Overshooting RBC Style

P. Minford, David Meenagh, Prakriti Sofat, 2005 .

Interest rates and bond financed deficits in a ricardian two-party democracy

P. Minford, 1988 .

Vicious and Virtuous Circles - The Political Economy of Unemployment in Interwar UK and USA

P. Minford, Ruthira Naraidoo, Kent Matthews, 2008 .

The political economy of unemployment and threshold effects. A nonlinear time series approach

P. Minford, Ruthira Naraidoo, I. Venetis, 2006 .

EUROPE ’ S VICIOUS CIRCLE OF UNEMPLOYMENT

P. Minford, Ruthira Naraidoo, 2022 .

How Good are Out of Sample Forecasting Tests on DSGE Models?

Pengtao Zhou, P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, 2014 .

Target zones and exchange rate management: A stability analysis of the European Monetary System

P. Minford, A. Hughes-Hallett, 1990 .

The Phillips curve and rational expectations

D. Peel, P. Minford, 1982 .

The Role of Fiscal Policy — A Survey of Recent Empirical Findings

P. Minford, David Meenagh, V. Le, 2024, Open Economies Review.

Can Modern Monetary Theory fit the post‐Crisis US facts? Evidence from a full DSGE model

P. Minford, Chunping Liu, Zhirong Ou, 2024, International Journal of Finance & Economics.

Indirect Inference and Small Sample Bias — Some Recent Results

P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, David Meenagh, 2023, Open Economies Review.

A structural model of coronavirus behaviour: what do four waves of Covid tell us?

P. Minford, David Meenagh, 2022, Applied Economics.

State-dependent pricing turns money into a two-edged sword: A new role for monetary policy

P. Minford, David Meenagh, V. Le, 2021, Journal of International Money and Finance.

A structural model of coronavirus behaviour for testing on data behaviour

David Meenagh, A. Patrick Minford, P. Minford, 2021, Applied Economics.

News and why it is not shocking: The role of micro-foundations

Vo Phuong Mai Le, P. Minford, A. Minford, 2020, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money.

Resolving the public-sector wage premium puzzle by indirect inference

Pengtao Zhou, P. Minford, Yi Wang, 2019, Applied Economics.

Classical or Gravity? Which Trade Model Best Matches the UK Facts?

P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, 2017, Open Economies Review.

Tracing the causes of the banking crisis

P. Minford, David Meenagh, V. Le, 2017 .

A Monte Carlo Procedure for Checking Identification in DSGE Models

P. Minford, V. Le, Michael Wickens, 2013 .

Indirect Inference—A Methodological Essay on Its Role and Applications

P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, 2024, Theoretical Economics Letters.

A Long-Commodity-Cycle Model of the World Economy Over a Century and a Half (cid:151) making bricks with little straw

P. Minford, David Meenagh, V. Le, 2022 .

A Monte Carlo procedure for checking identi(cid:133)cation in DSGE models (cid:3)

P. Minford, V. Le, Vo Phuong, 2022 .

Oil and Commodities Drive the World Business Cycle: A Long-Commodity-Cycle Model of the World Economy Over a Century and a Half

P. Minford, David Meenagh, V. Le, 2018 .

A note on news about the future: the impact on DSGE models and their VAR representation

P. Minford, David Meenagh, V. Le, 2017 .

15 Indirect Inference and Small Sample Bias - Some Recent Results

P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, David Meenagh, 2022 .

Comparing di⁄erent data descriptors in Indirect Inference tests on DSGE models

P. Minford, 2022 .

12 Targeting moments for calibration compared with indirect inference

P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, David Meenagh, 2022 .

Chameleon models in economics: A note

P. Minford, Michael Hatcher, 2022 .

Indirect Inference-a methodological essay on its role and applications

P. Minford, Yongdeng Xu, 2022 .

Taylor Rule or optimal timeless policy? Reconsidering the Fed's behavior since 1982

P. Minford, A. Minford, Zhirong Ou, 2013 .

Testing a Model of the UK by the Method of Indirect Inference

P. Minford, Konstantinos Theodoridis, David Meenagh, 2008 .

Comment on John Kay’s Paper

P. Minford, 1984 .

Financial stability: To regulate or not? A public choice inquiry

P. Minford, David Meenagh, V. Le, 2018, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money.