Gerardo Chowell

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Mathematical applications associated with the deliberate release of infectious agents

Gerardo Chowell, Herbert W. Hethcote, Carlos Castillo-Chavez, 2005 .

Risk Factors for Mortality among 2009 A/H1N1 Influenza Hospitalizations in Maricopa County, Arizona, April 2009 to March 2010

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Aurimar Ayala, 2012, Comput. Math. Methods Medicine.

Assessing parameter identifiability in compartmental dynamic models using a computational approach: application to infectious disease transmission models

Gerardo Chowell, Kimberlyn Roosa, G. Chowell, 2019, Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling.

Null Models for Community Detection in Spatially-Embedded, Temporal Networks pdf

Gerardo Chowell, Mason A. Porter, Marta Sarzynska, 2014, bioRxiv.

Learning from the past to prepare for the future: Modeling the impact of hypothetical interventions during the great influenza pandemic of 1918

Gerardo Chowell, Mark E. Glickman, Nicholas Hengartner, 2008 .

A Data-Driven Mathematical Model of CA-MRSA Transmission among Age Groups: Evaluating the Effect of Control Interventions

Gerardo Chowell, Xiaoxia Wang, Sarada Panchanathan, 2013, PLoS Comput. Biol..

Impact of School Cycles and Environmental Forcing on the Timing of Pandemic Influenza Activity in Mexican States, May-December 2009

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Jeffrey Shaman, 2015, PLoS Comput. Biol..

epiDMS: Data Management and Analytics for Decision-Making From Epidemic Spread Simulation Ensembles

Gerardo Chowell, Maria Luisa Sapino, Sicong Liu, 2016, The Journal of infectious diseases.

Big Data for Infectious Disease Surveillance and Modeling.

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Shweta Bansal, 2016, The Journal of infectious diseases.

The Basic Reproduction Number of Infectious Diseases: Computation and Estimation Using Compartmental Epidemic Models

Gerardo Chowell, Fred Brauer, F. Brauer, 2009 .

The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt.

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Alessandro Vespignani, 2017, Epidemics.

Assessing inference of the basic reproduction number in an SIR model incorporating a growth‐scaling parameter

Gerardo Chowell, Christel Faes, Tapiwa Ganyani, 2018, Statistics in medicine.

Signatures of non-homogeneous mixing in disease outbreaks

Gerardo Chowell, Tom L. Burr, G. Chowell, 2008, Math. Comput. Model..

The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Model description and synthetic data generation.

Gerardo Chowell, Alessandro Vespignani, Cecile Viboud, 2017, Epidemics.

Mask-Ematics: Modeling the Effects of Masks in COVID-19 Transmission in High-Risk Environments

Gerardo Chowell, James M. Hyman, Bin Zhang, 2021, Epidemiolgia.

Systematic comparison of epidemic growth patterns using two different estimation approaches

Gerardo Chowell, Kimberlyn Roosa, Yiseul Lee, 2020, Infectious Disease Modelling.

Mathematical and Statistical Analysis of Doubling Times to Investigate the Early Spread of Epidemics: Application to the COVID-19 Pandemic

Gerardo Chowell, Alexandra Smirnova, Linda deCamp, 2021, Mathematics.

Perspectives on model forecasts of the 2014–2015 Ebola epidemic in West Africa: lessons and the way forward

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Alessandro Vespignani, 2017, BMC Medicine.

Transmission dynamics and underreporting of Kala-azar in the Indian state of Bihar.

Gerardo Chowell, Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Anuj Mubayi, 2010, Journal of theoretical biology.

The Western Africa Ebola Virus Disease Epidemic Exhibits Both Global Exponential and Local Polynomial Growth Rates

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Lone Simonsen, 2014, PLoS currents.

Scales of perception: public awareness of regional and neighborhood climates

Gerardo Chowell, Darren M. Ruddell, Susanne Grossman-Clarke, 2012, Climatic Change.

Modelling the spatial-temporal progression of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Chile.

Gerardo Chowell, Raimund Bürger, Pep Mulet, 2015, Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE.

Forecasting Epidemics Through Nonparametric Estimation of Time-Dependent Transmission Rates Using the SEIR Model

Gerardo Chowell, Alexandra Smirnova, Linda deCamp, 2017, Bulletin of Mathematical Biology.

Theoretical perspectives on the infectiousness of Ebola virus disease

Gerardo Chowell, Hiroshi Nishiura, G. Chowell, 2015, Theoretical Biology and Medical Modelling.

Severe respiratory disease concurrent with the circulation of H1N1 influenza.

Gerardo Chowell, Mark A. Miller, M Arantxa Colchero, 2009, The New England journal of medicine.

Is it growing exponentially fast? – Impact of assuming exponential growth for characterizing and forecasting epidemics with initial near-exponential growth dynamics

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, C. Viboud, 2016, Infectious Disease Modelling.

Changes in the Viral Distribution Pattern after the Appearance of the Novel Influenza A H1N1 (pH1N1) Virus in Influenza-Like Illness Patients in Peru

Gerardo Chowell, G. Chowell, J. Ampuero, 2010, PloS one.

Transmission potential of COVID-19 in Iran

Gerardo Chowell, Kamalich Muniz-Rodriguez, Isaac Chun-Hai Fung, 2020, medRxiv.

Worst-Case Scenarios and Epidemics

Gerardo Chowell, Carlos Castillo-Chavez, G. Chowell, 2003 .

Climate-based descriptive models of dengue fever: the 2002 epidemic in Colima, Mexico.

Gerardo Chowell, Fabio Sanchez, G. Chowell, 2006, Journal of environmental health.

Prevention and Control of Zika as a Mosquito-Borne and Sexually Transmitted Disease: A Mathematical Modeling Analysis

Gerardo Chowell, Travis C. Porco, Shigui Ruan, 2016, Scientific Reports.

The role of vaccination in the control of sars.

Gerardo Chowell, Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Julijana Gjorgjieva, 2005, Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE.

Urbanization prolongs hantavirus epidemics in cities

Gerardo Chowell, Marko Laine, Bernard Cazelles, 2018, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Characterizing Ebola Transmission Patterns Based on Internet News Reports.

Gerardo Chowell, Cecile Viboud, Lone Simonsen, 2016, Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America.

Supplementary material from "Characterizing the reproduction number of epidemics with early subexponential growth dynamics"

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Seyed M. Moghadas, 2016 .

Mathematical and statistical estimation approaches in epidemiology

Gerardo Chowell, Carlos Castillo-Chavez, James M. Hyman, 2009 .

Australia: Transmission and Prospects for Control

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Mark A. Miller, 2007 .

Quantitative Methods for Investigating Infectious Disease Outbreaks

Gerardo Chowell, Ping Yan, 2019, Texts in Applied Mathematics.

Modeling household and community transmission of Ebola virus disease: Epidemic growth, spatial dynamics and insights for epidemic control

Gerardo Chowell, Maria Kiskowski, G. Chowell, 2015, Virulence.

Characterizing the Transmission Dynamics and Control of Ebola Virus Disease

Gerardo Chowell, Hiroshi Nishiura, G. Chowell, 2015, PLoS biology.

Merging Economics and Epidemiology to Improve the Prediction and Management of Infectious Disease

Gerardo Chowell, Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Eli P. Fenichel, 2014, EcoHealth.

Adaptive Vaccination Strategies to Mitigate Pandemic Influenza: Mexico as a Case Study

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Mark A. Miller, 2009, PloS one.

Exploring optimal control strategies in seasonally varying flu-like epidemics.

Gerardo Chowell, Sunmi Lee, G. Chowell, 2017, Journal of theoretical biology.

The Effective Reproduction Number as a Prelude to Statistical Estimation of Time-Dependent Epidemic Trends

Gerardo Chowell, Hiroshi Nishiura, G. Chowell, 2009, Mathematical and Statistical Estimation Approaches in Epidemiology.

A Twitter Dataset of 100+ million tweets related to COVID-19

Gerardo Chowell, Juan M. Banda, Ramya Tekumalla, 2020 .

A practical method to target individuals for outbreak detection and control

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, C. Viboud, 2013, BMC Medicine.

Quantifying the transmission potential of pandemic influenza

Gerardo Chowell, Hiroshi Nishiura, G. Chowell, 2007, Physics of Life Reviews.

Global Mortality Impact of the 1957–1959 Influenza Pandemic

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Mark A. Miller, 2016, The Journal of infectious diseases.

Global transmission network of SARS-CoV-2: from outbreak to pandemic

Gerardo Chowell, Pavel Skums, Alex Zelikovsky, 2020, medRxiv.

Mathematical assessment of Canada's pandemic influenza preparedness plan.

Gerardo Chowell, Miriam Nuño, A. Gumel, 2008, The Canadian journal of infectious diseases & medical microbiology = Journal canadien des maladies infectieuses et de la microbiologie medicale.

Did Modeling Overestimate the Transmission Potential of Pandemic (H1N1-2009)? Sample Size Estimation for Post-Epidemic Seroepidemiological Studies

Gerardo Chowell, Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Hiroshi Nishiura, 2011, PloS one.

A Twitter Dataset of 150+ million tweets related to COVID-19 for open research

Gerardo Chowell, Juan M. Banda, Ramya Tekumalla, 2020 .

Modeling rapidly disseminating infectious disease during mass gatherings

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Hiroshi Nishiura, 2012, BMC Medicine.

Epidemiological characterization of a fourth wave of pandemic A/H1N1 influenza in Mexico, winter 2011-2012: age shift and severity.

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Mark A. Miller, 2012, Archives of medical research.

Estimating Risk for Death from Coronavirus Disease, China, January–February 2020

Gerardo Chowell, Kenji Mizumoto, G. Chowell, 2020, Emerging infectious diseases.

Asymptomatic Transmission and the Dynamics of Zika Infection

Gerardo Chowell, Cecile Viboud, Marek Laskowski, 2017, Scientific Reports.

The influence of geographic and climate factors on the timing of dengue epidemics in Perú, 1994-2008

Gerardo Chowell, Bernard Cazelles, G. Chowell, 2011, BMC infectious diseases.

Beyond the Initial Phase: Compartment Models for Disease Transmission

Gerardo Chowell, Ping Yan, G. Chowell, 2019, Texts in Applied Mathematics.

Mortality burden of the A/H1N1 pandemic in Mexico: a comparison of deaths and years of life lost to seasonal influenza.

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Mark A. Miller, 2011, Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America.

Assessing the impact of public health interventions on the transmission of pandemic H1N1 influenza a virus aboard a Peruvian navy ship

Gerardo Chowell, Erik J Reaves, Delphis M Vera, 2014, Influenza and other respiratory viruses.

Measuring the benefits of school closure interventions to mitigate influenza

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Mark A. Miller, 2011, Expert review of respiratory medicine.

Patch models of EVD transmission dynamics

Gerardo Chowell, Yang Kuang, Daozhou Gao, 2016 .

Is West Africa Approaching a Catastrophic Phase or is the 2014 Ebola Epidemic Slowing Down? Different Models Yield Different Answers for Liberia

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Yang Kuang, 2014, PLoS currents.

The influence of climatic conditions on the transmission dynamics of the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza pandemic in Chile

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Mark A. Miller, 2012, BMC Infectious Diseases.

Skip the Trip: Air Travelers' Behavioral Responses to Pandemic Influenza

Gerardo Chowell, Eli P. Fenichel, Nicolai V. Kuminoff, 2013, PloS one.

Mortality patterns associated with the 1918 influenza pandemic in Mexico: evidence for a spring herald wave and lack of preexisting immunity in older populations.

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Mark A. Miller, 2010, The Journal of infectious diseases.

The 1918–1919 influenza pandemic in England and Wales: spatial patterns in transmissibility and mortality impact

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Wladimir J Alonso, 2008, Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

Climate change and influenza: the likelihood of early and severe influenza seasons following warmer than average winters

Gerardo Chowell, Anuj Mubayi, Sherry Towers, 2013, PLoS currents.

Synthesizing data and models for the spread of MERS-CoV, 2013: Key role of index cases and hospital transmission

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Mark A. Miller, 2014, Epidemics.

Predicting the international spread of Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS)

Gerardo Chowell, Hiroshi Nishiura, Kyeongah Nah, 2016, BMC Infectious Diseases.

Recrudescent wave of pandemic A/H1N1 influenza in Mexico, Winter 2011-2012: Age shift and severity.

Gerardo Chowell, Cecile Viboud, Lone Simonsen, 2012, PLoS currents.

Estimating the reproduction number from the initial phase of the Spanish flu pandemic waves in Geneva, Switzerland.

Gerardo Chowell, Nicolas W Hengartner, James M Hyman, 2007, Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE.

Rates of Influenza-like Illness and Winter School Breaks, Chile, 2004–2010

Gerardo Chowell, Cécile Viboud, Rodrigo Fuentes, 2014, Emerging infectious diseases.

A dynamic compartmental model for the Middle East respiratory syndrome outbreak in the Republic of Korea: A retrospective analysis on control interventions and superspreading events

Gerardo Chowell, Eunok Jung, E. Jung, 2016, Journal of Theoretical Biology.

Early sub-exponential epidemic growth: Simple models, nonlinear incidence rates, and additional mechanisms: Reply to comments on "Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review".

Gerardo Chowell, Lisa Sattenspiel, Shweta Bansal, 2016, Physics of life reviews.

Gerardo Chowell, Benjamin L. Ruddell, Darren M. Ruddell, 2014, International journal of environmental research and public health.

A large-scale COVID-19 Twitter chatter dataset for open scientific research - an international collaboration

Gerardo Chowell, Juan M. Banda, Ramya Tekumalla, 2020, ArXiv.