Philip Tetlock

Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting

Ville Satopää, Marat Salikhov, Philip Tetlock, 2020, Manag. Sci..

The Marketcast Method for Aggregating Prediction Market Forecasts

Lyle H. Ungar, Philip Tetlock, Pavel Atanasov, 2013, SBP.

Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting

Philip Tetlock, Ville Satopaa, Barbara A. Mellers, 2021, Manag. Sci..

Forecasting the Accuracy of Forecasters from Properties of Forecasting Rationales

Christopher W. Karvetski, Philip Tetlock, Carolyn Meinel, 2021 .

Decomposing the Effects of Crowd-Wisdom Aggregators: The Bias-Information-Noise (BIN) Model

Ville Satopää, Philip Tetlock, Marat Salikhov, 2021 .

Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions

Philip Tetlock, Yuan Hou, Barbara Mellers, 2015, Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science.

The psychology of intelligence analysis: drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics.

Philip Tetlock, Barbara Mellers, Eric Stone, 2015, Journal of experimental psychology. Applied.

Integrative Complexity of Communications in International Crises

Peter Suedfeld, Philip Tetlock, P. Suedfeld, 1977 .