Jonathan Rougier

发表

Probabilistic Inference for Future Climate Using an Ensemble of Climate Model Evaluations

Jonathan Rougier, J. Rougier, 2007 .

Formal Bayes Methods for Model Calibration with Uncertainty

Keith Beven, Jonathan Rougier, K. Beven, 2008 .

Of Donkeys and Nomograms

Jonathan Rougier, Kate Milner, 2014 .

Probabilistic Formulations for Transferring Inferences from Mathematical Models to Physical Systems

Michael Goldstein, Jonathan Rougier, J. Rougier, 2005, SIAM J. Sci. Comput..

Bayesian model–data synthesis with an application to global glacio‐isostatic adjustment

Jonathan Rougier, Zhe Sha, Maike Schumacher, 2018, Environmetrics.

Inferring model structural error from a Multi-Model Ensemble

Michael Goldstein, Jonathan Rougier, J. Rougier, 2008 .

Perspectives on Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Simulation for Flood Modeling in the Absence of a High-Accuracy Open Access Global DEM

Jonathan Rougier, Laurence Hawker, Paul Bates, 2018, Front. Earth Sci..

Predicting snow velocity in large chute flows under different environmental conditions

Jonathan Rougier, Martin Kern, J. Rougier, 2010 .

Sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A systematic review with practical workflow

Jim W. Hall, Francesca Pianosi, Thorsten Wagener, 2014, Environ. Model. Softw..

A sparse linear algebra algorithm for fast computation of prediction variances with Gaussian Markov random fields

Jonathan Rougier, Andrew Zammit Mangion, A. Zammit‐Mangion, 2017, Comput. Stat. Data Anal..

Bayesian model-data synthesis with an application to global Glacio-isostatic adjustment

Jonathan Rougier, Jonathan L. Bamber, Zhe Sha, 2018 .

Bayesian calibration of the Thermosphere-Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM)

Astrid Maute, Serge Guillas, Crystal D. Linkletter, 2009 .

Expert Knowledge and Multivariate Emulation: The Thermosphere–Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM)

Astrid Maute, Serge Guillas, Jonathan Rougier, 2009, Technometrics.

Expert Knowledge and Multivariate Emulation

Serge Guillas, Jonathan Rougier, Arthur D. Richmond, 2009 .

The Open University ’ s repository of research publications and other research outputs Precalibrating an intermediate complexity climate model

David Cameron, Neil R. Edwards, Jonathan Rougier, 2012 .

Statistical Approach: First Thoughts

Neil R. Edwards, Jonathan Rougier, David R. Cameron, 2006 .

Second-Order Exchangeability Analysis for Multimodel Ensembles

Michael Goldstein, Leanna House, Jonathan Rougier, 2013 .

On the use of Bayesian decision theory for issuing natural hazard warnings

Theo Economou, David B. Stephenson, Ken Mylne, 2016, Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences.

On the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions

Michel Crucifix, Jonathan Rougier, M. Crucifix, 2009, 0906.3625.

Sensitivity analysis of environmental models: A systematic review with practical workflow

Jim W. Hall, Francesca Pianosi, Thorsten Wagener, 2014, Environ. Model. Softw..

Multi-scale process modelling and distributed computation for spatial data

Jonathan Rougier, Andrew Zammit Mangion, A. Zammit‐Mangion, 2019, Statistics and Computing.

Emulator-Based Simulator Calibration for High-Dimensional Data

Jonathan Rougier, 2009 .

Bayesian Forecasting for Complex Systems Using Computer Simulators

Michael Goldstein, Allan H. Seheult, Jonathan Rougier, 2001 .

Bayesian calibration of process-based forest models: bridging the gap between models and data.

Ron Smith, Jonathan Rougier, Marcel Van Oijen, 2005, Tree physiology.

Uncertainty of flow in porous media

Giles Richardson, Linda Cummings, Jonathan Rougier, 2005 .

Comments on ‘Bayesian calibration of mathematical models’ by M. C. Kennedy and A. O’Hagan.

Peter J. Diggle, Wilfrid S. Kendall, Michael Goldstein, 2001 .

SAPPUR: NERC Scoping Study on Uncertainty and Risk in Natural Hazards

Willy P Aspinall, Jim E Freer, Thea K Hincks, 2009 .

The Exact Form of the “Ockham Factor” in Model Selection

Jonathan Rougier, Carey Priebe, C. Priebe, 2019, The American Statistician.

Arising re : “ Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations ”

Jonathan Rougier, 2004 .

Inference in ensemble experiments

Jonathan Rougier, D. Sexton, J. Rougier, 2007, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences.

Analyzing the Climate Sensitivity of the HadSM3 Climate Model Using Ensembles from Different but Related Experiments

Jonathan Rougier, David M. H. Sexton, David A. Stainforth, 2009 .

Discussion of 'Inferring Climate System Properties Using a Computer Model', by Sanso et al.

Jonathan Rougier, J. Rougier, 2008 .

Implications of Simulating Global Digital Elevation Models for Flood Inundation Studies

Paul D. Bates, Jeffrey C. Neal, Jonathan Rougier, 2018, Water Resources Research.

Emulating the Thermosphere-Ionosphere Electrodynamics General Circulation Model (TIE-GCM)

Astrid Maute, Serge Guillas, Jonathan Rougier, 2007 .

Risk and Uncertainty Assessment for Natural Hazards: Risk assessment and uncertainty in natural hazards

Jonathan Rougier, R. S. J. Sparks, R. Sparks, 2013 .

A representation theorem for stochastic processes with separable covariance functions, and its implications for emulation

Jonathan Rougier, J. Rougier, 2017, 1702.05599.

Calibrated prediction of Pine Island Glacier retreat during the 21st and 22nd centuries with a coupled flowline model

Jonathan M. Gregory, Jonathan Rougier, Stephen Cornford, 2012 .

The land ice contribution to sea level during the satellite era

Scott B. Luthcke, Jonathan Rougier, Jonathan L. Bamber, 2017, Environmental Research Letters.

Ensemble Averaging and Mean Squared Error

Jonathan Rougier, J. Rougier, 2016 .

Climate change: making certain what the uncertainties are

Richard E. Chandler, Jonathan Rougier, Mat Collins, 2010 .

Statistical problems in the probabilistic prediction of climate change

David B. Stephenson, Matthew D. Collins, Richard E. Chandler, 2012 .

Emulating the sensitivity of the HadSM 3 climate model using ensembles from different but related experiments

Jonathan Rougier, David M. H. Sexton, David Stainforth, 2006 .

Exploration of parametric uncertainty in a surface mass balance model applied to the Greenland ice sheet

Jonathan Rougier, Jonathan L. Bamber, Jeff Ridley, 2012 .

Multivariate spatio-temporal modelling for assessing Antarctica's present-day contribution to sea-level rise

Finn Lindgren, Nana Schön, Andrew Zammit-Mangion, 2015, Environmetrics.