Leonhard Held

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Probabilistic forecasting of replication studies

Samuel Pawel, Leonhard Held, 2020, PloS one.

Projecting the future burden of cancer: Bayesian age–period–cohort analysis with integrated nested Laplace approximations

Leonhard Held, Andrea Riebler, L. Held, 2017, Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift.

Bayesian Biostatistics 2014 - Satellite conference of the International Biometric Conference.

Leonhard Held, Peter Müller, Björn Bornkamp, 2015, Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift.

Efficient Real-Time Monitoring of an Emerging Influenza Pandemic: How Feasible?

Leonhard Held, Lorenz Wernisch, Daniela De Angelis, 2020, The annals of applied statistics.

Applied Statistical Inference

Leonhard Held, Daniel Sabanés Bové, L. Held, 2014 .

Adaptive power priors with empirical Bayes for clinical trials

Leonhard Held, Isaac Gravestock, L. Held, 2017, Pharmaceutical statistics.

Stochastic modelling of the spatial spread of influenza in Germany

Leonhard Held, Christiane Dargatz, Vera Georgescu, 2016 .

Objective Bayesian Model Selection in Generalized Additive Models With Penalized Splines

Leonhard Held, Göran Kauermann, Daniel Sabanés Bové, 2015 .

Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort Modeling and Prediction - BAMP

Volker Schmid, Leonhard Held, Volker J Schmid, 2007 .

Power priors based on multiple historical studies for binary outcomes

Leonhard Held, Isaac Gravestock, L. Held, 2017, Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift.

Network meta‐analysis with integrated nested Laplace approximations

Leonhard Held, Rafael Sauter, L. Held, 2015, Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift.

Center for Reproducible Science (CRS) at UZH

Simon Schwab, Leonhard Held, Eva Furrer, 2018 .

Posterior and Cross-validatory Predictive Checks: A Comparison of MCMC and INLA

Leonhard Held, Birgit Schrödle, Håvard Rue, 2010 .

Hyper-g Priors for Generalised Additive Model Selection with Penalised Splines

Leonhard Held, Göran Kauermann, Daniel Sabanés Bové, 2011 .

Predictive Cross‐validation for the Choice of Linear Mixed‐Effects Models with Application to Data from the Swiss HIV Cohort Study

Leonhard Held, Bruno Ledergerber, Julia Braun, 2012, Biometrics.

A new standard for the analysis and design of replication studies

Leonhard Held, L. Held, 2018, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society).

Dynamic clinical prediction models for discrete time‐to‐event data with competing risks—A case study on the OUTCOMEREA database

Leonhard Held, Rachel Heyard, Jean-François Timsit, 2018, Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift.

Objective Bayesian model selection for Cox regression

Leonhard Held, Isaac Gravestock, Daniel Sabanés Bové, 2016, Statistics in medicine.

Validation of discrete time‐to‐event prediction models in the presence of competing risks

Leonhard Held, Rachel Heyard, Jean-François Timsit, 2019, Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift.

Elements of Frequentist Inference

Leonhard Held, Daniel Sabanés Bové, L. Held, 2020, Likelihood and Bayesian Inference.

Assessing the Impact of a Movement Network on the Spatiotemporal Spread of Infectious Diseases

Leonhard Held, Birgit Schrödle, Håvard Rue, 2012, Biometrics.

Numerical Methods for Bayesian Inference

Leonhard Held, Daniel Sabanés Bové, L. Held, 2020, Likelihood and Bayesian Inference.

Outbreak Prediction: Aggregating Evidence Through Multivariate Surveillance

Leonhard Held, Flavie Vial, Wei Wei, 2015, Online Journal of Public Health Informatics.

Bayesian modelling of space-time interactions on the Lexis diagram

Volker Schmid, Leonhard Held, 2003 .

Modelling power-law spread of infectious diseases

Leonhard Held, Sebastian Meyer, L. Held, 2013 .

Biometrical Journal and Reproducible Research

Torsten Hothorn, Leonhard Held, Tim Friede, 2009, Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift.

Bayesian Methods in Epidemiology

Leonhard Held, 2014 .

Modeling seasonality in space‐time infectious disease surveillance data

Leonhard Held, Michaela Paul, L. Held, 2012, Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift.

A primer on disease mapping and ecological regression using $${\texttt{INLA}}$$

Leonhard Held, Birgit Schrödle, L. Held, 2011, Comput. Stat..

Model-based testing for space-time interaction using point processes: An application to psychiatric hospital admissions in an urban area.

Leonhard Held, Sebastian Meyer, Ingeborg Warnke, 2015, Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology.

Reverse‐Bayes methods for evidence assessment and research synthesis

Samuel Pawel, Leonhard Held, Manuela Ott, 2021, Research synthesis methods.

Predictive Model Assessment for Count Data

Claudia Czado, Leonhard Held, Tilmann Gneiting, 2009, Biometrics.

Optimizing the Design and Analysis of Clinical Trials for Antibacterials Against Multidrug-resistant Organisms: A White Paper From COMBACTE’s STAT-Net

Leonhard Held, Stephan Harbarth, Stavros Nikolakopoulos, 2018, Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America.

Forecasting Based on Surveillance Data

Leonhard Held, Sebastian Meyer, L. Held, 2018, Handbook of Infectious Disease Data Analysis.

Bayesian estimation of the size of a population

Leonhard Held, Michael Höhle, 2006 .

Minimally invasive, imaging guided virtual autopsy compared to conventional autopsy in foetal, newborn and infant cases: study protocol for the paediatric virtual autopsy trial

Leonhard Held, Stephan A Bolliger, Rosa Maria Martinez, 2014, BMC Pediatrics.

Handbook of Infectious Disease Data Analysis

Leonhard Held, Niel Hens, Philip D. O'Neill, 2019 .

Probabilistic forecasting in infectious disease epidemiology: The thirteenth Armitage lecture

Leonhard Held, Johannes Bracher, Sebastian Meyer, 2017, bioRxiv.

Validating and updating a risk model for pneumonia – a case study

Leonhard Held, Johann Steurer, Ulrike Held, 2012, BMC Medical Research Methodology.

Bayesian analysis of measurement error models using INLA

Leonhard Held, Havard Rue, Andrea Riebler, 2013, 1302.3065.

Dynamic rating of European football teams

Leonhard Held, Rainer Vollnhals, 2005 .

Mixtures of g-Priors for Generalised Additive Model Selection with Penalised Splines

Leonhard Held, Goran Kauermann, Daniel Saban'es Bov'e, 2011 .

Power law approximations of movement network data for modeling infectious disease spread

Stein Olav Skrøvseth, Fred Godtliebsen, Leonhard Held, 2014, Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift.

Temporal patterns of deer-vehicle collisions consistent with deer activity pattern and density increase but not general accident risk.

Torsten Hothorn, Leonhard Held, Atle Mysterud, 2015, Accident; analysis and prevention.

How the Maximal Evidence of P-Values Against Point Null Hypotheses Depends on Sample Size

Leonhard Held, Manuela Ott, L. Held, 2016 .

The analysis of heterogeneous time trends in multivariate age-period-cohort models.

Leonhard Held, Andrea Riebler, L. Held, 2010, Biostatistics.

Calibration tests for count data

Leonhard Held, L. Held, Wei Wei, 2014 .

Statistical approaches to the monitoring and surveillance of infectious diseases for veterinary public health.

Leonhard Held, Michael Höhle, Michaela Paul, 2009, Preventive veterinary medicine.

Joint spatial analysis of gastrointestinal infectious diseases

Leonhard Held, Håvard Rue, L. Held, 2006, Statistical methods in medical research.

Adaptive prior weighting in generalized regression

Leonhard Held, Rafael Sauter, L. Held, 2017, Biometrics.

Incorporating social contact data in spatio-temporal models for infectious disease spread

Leonhard Held, Sebastian Meyer, L. Held, 2015, Biostatistics.

Probabilistic forecasting in infectious disease epidemiology: the 13th Armitage lecture

Leonhard Held, Johannes Bracher, Sebastian Meyer, 2017, Statistics in medicine.

Approximate Bayesian Model Selection with the Deviance Statistic

Leonhard Held, Isaac Gravestock, L. Held, 2013, 1308.6780.

Simultaneous Posterior Probability Statements From Monte Carlo Output

Leonhard Held, L. Held, 2004 .

Using integrated nested Laplace approximations for the evaluation of veterinary surveillance data from Switzerland: a case‐study

Leonhard Held, Birgit Schrödle, Andrea Riebler, 2011 .

Estimation and extrapolation of time trends in registry data—Borrowing strength from related populations

Haavard Rue, Leonhard Held, Andrea Riebler, 2011, 1108.0606.

Methodological challenges to multivariate syndromic surveillance: a case study using Swiss animal health data

Leonhard Held, Flavie Vial, L. Held, 2016, BMC Veterinary Research.