Peiran R. Liu

Probabilistic Estimation and Projection of the Annual Total Fertility Rate Accounting for Past Uncertainty: A Major Update of the bayesTFR R Package

A. Raftery, H. Sevcikova, Peiran R. Liu, 2022, 2207.06593.

Long-term probabilistic temperature projections for all locations

A. Raftery, D. Battisti, Xin Chen, 2022, Climate Dynamics.

Less Than 2 °C Warming by 2100 Unlikely

Adrian E. Raftery, Alec S. Zimmer, Richard Startz, 2017, Nature climate change.

ACCOUNTING FOR UNCERTAINTY ABOUT PAST VALUES IN PROBABILISTIC PROJECTIONS OF THE TOTAL FERTILITY RATE FOR MOST COUNTRIES.

Adrian E. Raftery, Peiran Liu, A. Raftery, 2018, The annals of applied statistics.

Country-based rate of emissions reductions should increase by 80% beyond nationally determined contributions to meet the 2 °C target

A. Raftery, Peiran Liu, Peiran R. Liu, 2021, Communications Earth & Environment.

Long-term probabilistic temperature projections for all locations

A. Raftery, D. Battisti, Xin Chen, 2022, Climate Dynamics.