Vicki M. Bier

发表

Methods for the elicitation and use of expert opinion in risk assessment: Phase 1, A critical evaluation and directions for future research

Ali Mosleh, Vicki M. Bier, George Apostolakis, 1987 .

Target-Hardening Decisions Based on Uncertain Multiattribute Terrorist Utility

Chen Wang, Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2011, Decis. Anal..

Challenges to the Acceptance of Probabilistic Risk Analysis

Vicki M. Bier, 1999 .

Response to comments on Lin and Bier (2008)

Vicki M. Bier, Shi-Woei Lin, V. Bier, 2008, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

Uncertainty about probability: a reconciliation with the subjectivist viewpoint

Vicki M. Bier, Ali Mosleh, V. Bier, 1996, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part A.

Advances in Decision Analysis: Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Engineered Systems

Vicki M. Bier, Louis Anthony Cox, V. Bier, 2007 .

From the Editor: Advances in Multi-Agent Decision Making

Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2020, Decis. Anal..

B. Extremes, Extrapolation, And Surprise

Vicki M. Bier, Nicholas Matalas, V. Bier, 1999 .

Optimal resource allocation for security in reliability systems

M. Naceur Azaiez, Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2007, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

Statistical methods for the use of accident precursor data in estimating the frequency of rare events

Vicki M. Bier, 1993 .

Probabilistic risk analysis

Vicki M. Bier, Louis Anthony Cox, L. A. Cox, 2017 .

Risk and Uncertainty for Food Safety and Animal Health

Vicki M. Bier, Lorna Zach, V. Bier, 2010 .

From the Editors - Probability Scoring Rules, Ambiguity, Multiattribute Terrorist Utility, and Sensitivity Analysis

J. Eric Bickel, L. Robin Keller, Jason R. W. Merrick, 2011, Decis. Anal..

A game-theoretic study of the threat to commercial aviation from man-portable air defense systems (manpads) using a geometric model

Vicki M. Bier, Uche Okpara, 2012 .

A critique of recent models for human error rate assessment

Ali Mosleh, Vicki M. Bier, George Apostolakis, 1988 .

A Bayesian method for analyzing dependencies in precursor data

Vicki M. Bier, Woojune Yi, 1995 .

From the Editors: Decision Analysis Focus and Trends

Simon French, Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2020, Decis. Anal..

An analysis of decomposition for subjective estimation in decision analysis

Sigrún Andradóttir, Vicki M. Bier, S. Andradóttir, 1998, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part A.

Optimal and near-optimal resource allocation for transportation infrastructure protection

Ashish Gupta, Vicki M. Bier, Pranay Bharghava, 2009 .

Risk analysis beyond vulnerability and resilience - characterizing the defensibility of critical systems

Alexander Gutfraind, Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2019, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

Implications of the research on expert overconfidence and dependence

Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2004, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

Evaluating Freight Transportation Resilience on a Highway Corridor

Teresa M Adams, Vicki M. Bier, Kaushik Bekkem, 2011 .

Accident Precursor Analysis and Management: Reducing Technological Risk Through Diligence

Vicki M. Bier, Howard Kunreuther, James R. Phimister, 2004 .

Deterring the Smuggling of Nuclear Weapons in Container Freight Through Detection and Retaliation

Vicki M. Bier, Henry H. Willis, Naraphorn Haphuriwat, 2011, Decis. Anal..

Modeling secrecy and deception in a multiple-period attacker-defender signaling game

Oguzhan Alagöz, Vicki M. Bier, Jun Zhuang, 2010, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

Game Theoretic Methods

Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2008 .

From the Editors - Brainstorming, Multiplicative Utilities, Partial Information on Probabilities or Outcomes, and Regulatory Focus

J. Eric Bickel, L. Robin Keller, Vicki M. Bier, 2012, Decis. Anal..

Aviation Industry Interviews

Vicki M. Bier, Michael Welsh, Jennifer Tracey, 2003 .

Applying Bayesian ideas in simulation

Sigrún Andradóttir, Vicki M. Bier, S. Andradóttir, 2000, Simul. Pract. Theory.

Defending and attacking a network of two arcs subject to traffic congestion

Kjell Hausken, Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2013, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

Game Theoretic Risk Analysis of Security Threats

M. Naceur Azaiez, Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2009 .

Risk in Extreme Environments: Preparing, Avoiding, Mitigating, and Managing

Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2017 .

An Approach to the Analysis of Accident Precursors

Ali Mosleh, Vicki M. Bier, 1991 .

Optimal Allocation of Resources for Defense of Simple Series and Parallel Systems from Determined Adversaries

Vicki M. Bier, Vinod Abhichandani, V. Bier, 2003 .

Operational Resilience of I-90/94 Corridor

Teresa M Adams, Vicki M. Bier, Kaushik Bekkem, 2010 .

A critique of current practice for the use of expert opinions in probabilistic risk assessment

Ali Mosleh, Vicki M. Bier, George Apostolakis, 1988 .

Scenarios Of Attack By Terrorists Against Commercial Aircraft

Vicki M. Bier, Uche Okpara, Natawan Teerapirak, 2014 .

Game Theoretic Methods

Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2014 .

The performance of precursor-based estimators for rare event frequencies

Vicki M. Bier, W. Yi, 1995 .

A study of expert overconfidence

Vicki M. Bier, Shi-Woei Lin, V. Bier, 2008, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

Alternative evacuation strategies for nuclear power accidents

Vicki M. Bier, Gregory D. Hammond, Gregory D. Hammond, 2015, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

Target-oriented utility for interdiction of transportation networks

Vicki M. Bier, Fuat Kosanoglu, Fuat Kosanoglu, 2020, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

On Decomposition and Aggregation Error in Estimation: Some Basic Principles and Examples

Vicki M. Bier, Ali Mosleh, V. Bier, 1992 .

Impact of intelligence on target-hardening decisions

Chen Wang, Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2009, 2009 IEEE Conference on Technologies for Homeland Security.

Defending against multiple different attackers

Kjell Hausken, Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2011, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

Choosing What to Protect: Strategic Defensive Allocation Against an Unknown Attacker

Larry Samuelson, Vicki M. Bier, Santiago Oliveros, 2005 .

Trade-offs between target hardening and overarching protection

Vicki M. Bier, Naraphorn Haphuriwat, V. Bier, 2011, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

On the Treatment of Dependence in Making Decisions About Risk

Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 1989 .

Methodology for identifying near-optimal interdiction strategies for a power transmission system

Vicki M. Bier, Kevin R. Wierzbicki, K. R. Wierzbicki, 2007, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

Quantifying Risk in Commercial Aviation with Fault Trees and Event Sequence Diagrams

Vicki M. Bier, Robin L. Dillon-Merrill, Sherry Borener, 2014 .

Target-oriented utility theory for modeling the deterrent effects of counterterrorism

Vicki M. Bier, Fuat Kosanoglu, Fuat Kosanoglu, 2015, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

Protection of simple series and parallel systems with components of different values

Vicki M. Bier, Vinod Abhichandani, Aniruddha Nagaraj, 2005, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

Meeting the Challenges of Terrorism Risk Analysis

Detlof von Winterfeldt, Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2007 .

From the Editor

Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2019, Decis. Anal..

Updating beliefs about variables given new information on how those variables relate

Robert F. Bordley, Vicki M. Bier, 2009, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

Game-Theoretic and Reliability Methods in Counterterrorism and Security

Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2006 .

On the concept of perfect aggregation in Bayesian estimation

Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 1994 .

The analysis of accident precursors and near misses: Implications for risk assessment and risk management

Vicki M. Bier, Ali Mosleh, 1990 .

Heuristics to assess system vulnerability against intelligent adversaries

Vicki M. Bier, Sinan Tas, V. Bier, 2014 .

Expert Elicitation of Adversary Preferences Using Ordinal Judgments

Chen Wang, Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2013, Oper. Res..

Analytical method to identify the number of containers to inspect at U.S. ports to deter terrorist attacks

Vicki M. Bier, Naraphorn Haphuriwat, V. Bier, 2011, Ann. Oper. Res..

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Safety Goal Policy: A Critical Review

Vicki M. Bier, 1988 .

Systems Engineering of Interdependent Food, Energy, and Water Infrastructure for Cities and Displaced Populations

Zachary A. Collier, James H. Lambert, Desheng Dash Wu, 2017, 2017 25th International Conference on Systems Engineering (ICSEng).

Balancing Terrorism and Natural Disasters - Defensive Strategy with Endogenous Attacker Effort

Vicki M. Bier, Jun Zhuang, V. Bier, 2007, Oper. Res..

Calibration of Expert Judgments in Counterterrorism Risk Assessment

Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2014 .

Endogenizing the sticks and carrots: modeling possible perverse effects of counterterrorism measures

Kjell Hausken, Vicki M. Bier, 2011, Ann. Oper. Res..

Development of an Updated Societal-Risk Goal for Nuclear Power Safety

Robert Youngblood, Vicki M. Bier, Michael Corradini, 2014 .

A Heuristic Method for Identifying Near-Optimal Defending Strategies for a Road Network Subject to Traffic Congestion

Tao Yao, Bo Zhang, Vicki M. Bier, 2015 .

From the Editors

L. Robin Keller, Vicki M. Bier, Ahti Salo, 2013, Decis. Anal..

Why Both Game Theory and Reliability Theory Are Important in Defending Infrastructure against Intelligent Attacks

M. Naceur Azaiez, Vicki M. Bier, Louis A. Cox, 2009 .

Subsidized Security and Stability of Equilibrium Solutions in an N-Player Game with Errors ⁄

Vicki M. Bier, Jun Zhuang, 2006 .

A natural conjugate prior for the non-homogeneous Poisson process with a power law intensity function

Vicki M. Bier, Yeu-Shiang Huang, 1998 .

Optimal Defensive Allocations in the Face of Uncertain Terrorist Preferences, with an Emphasis on Transportation

Vicki M. Bier, Chen Wang, 2012 .

Aggregation error in Bayesian analysis of reliability systems

M. Naceur Azaiez, Vicki M. Bier, 1996 .

Cost-effectiveness of Investments in Defense of Critical Infrastructure

Vicki M. Bier, Taher Jamshidi, 2010 .

The Risk from Transients According to Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA)

Vicki M. Bier, B. John Garrick, 1984 .

Hurricane Katrina as a Bureaucratic Nightmare

Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, 2006 .

Secrecy in Defensive Allocations as a Strategy for Achieving More Cost-Effec tive Att acker Dett errence

Vicki M. Bier, Jun Zhuang, V. Bier, 2009 .

Subsidies in Interdependent Security With Heterogeneous Discount Rates

Vicki M. Bier, Jun Zhuang, Ashish Gupta, 2007 .

Risk Analysis and Society: Risk of Extreme and Rare Events: Lessons from a Selection of Approaches

James H. Lambert, Mitchell J. Small, Scott Ferson, 2003 .

A note on families of fragility curves—is the composite curve equivalent to the mean curve?

Vicki M. Bier, Stan Kaplan, Dennis C. Bley, 1994 .

Defaults and Incentives in Risk-Informed Regulation

Vicki M. Bier, Seung C. Jang, 1999 .

Deregulation and Nuclear Power Safety: What Can We Learn from Other Industries?

Vicki M. Bier, Jennifer Tracey, James Joosten, 2001 .

Defending Against Terrorism, Natural Disaster, and All Hazards

Kjell Hausken, Vicki M. Bier, Jun Zhuang, 2009 .

Ambiguity seeking in multi-attribute decisions: Effects of optimism and message framing

Vicki M. Bier, V. Bier, B. L. Connell, 1994 .

A natural conjugate prior for the nonhomogeneous poisson process with an exponential intensity function

Vicki M. Bier, Yeu-Shiang Huang, 1999 .

An Application of Copulas to Accident Precursor Analysis

Vicki M. Bier, Woojune Yi, V. Bier, 1998 .