A. O’Hagan

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Bayesian calibration of computer models

A. O'Hagan, M. Kennedy, A. O’Hagan, 2001 .

Predicting the output from a complex computer code when fast approximations are available

A. O'Hagan, M. Kennedy, A. O’Hagan, 2000 .

Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of complex models: a Bayesian approach

A. O'Hagan, J. Oakley, A. O’Hagan, 2004 .

Kendall's Advanced Theory of Statistics: Vol. 2B, Bayesian Inference.

Anthony O'Hagan, James M. Dickey, J. Dickey, 1996 .

Review of Statistical Methods for Analysing Healthcare Resources and Costs

Anthony O'Hagan, Andrew Briggs, Simon G Thompson, 2010, Health economics.

Inference for the Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Curve and Cost-Effectiveness Ratio

Anthony O’Hagan, A. O'Hagan, John W. Stevens, 2000, PharmacoEconomics (Auckland).

3 Bayesian statistics : principles and benefits

A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 2003 .

Simple informative prior distributions for Type A uncertainty evaluation in metrology

M. Cox, A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 2023, Metrologia.

Meaningful expression of uncertainty in measurement

M. Cox, A. O’Hagan, 2022, Accreditation and Quality Assurance.

Bayesian inference for non‐stationary spatial covariance structure via spatial deformations

A. O'Hagan, A. M. Schmidt, A. O’Hagan, 2003 .

Considering covariates in the covariance structure of spatial processes

Anthony O'Hagan, Peter Guttorp, Alexandra M. Schmidt, 2011 .

Bayesian emulation of complex multi-output and dynamic computer models

A. O'Hagan, S. Conti, A. O’Hagan, 2010 .

Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities

Jeremy E. Oakley, Anthony O'Hagan, Paul H. Garthwaite, 2006 .

Diagnostics for Gaussian Process Emulators

Anthony O'Hagan, Leonardo S. Bastos, A. O'Hagan, 2009, Technometrics.

Supplementary details on Bayesian Calibration of Computer Models

A. O'Hagan, M. Kennedy, A. O’Hagan, 2006 .

Bayes–Hermite quadrature

A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 1991 .

The Multiple Sclerosis Risk Sharing Scheme Monitoring Study – early results and lessons for the future

Anthony O'Hagan, Nicola J Cooper, Keith R Abrams, 2009, BMC neurology.

Modelling the cost effectiveness of interferon beta and glatiramer acetate in the management of multiple sclerosis. Commentary: evaluating disease modifying treatments in multiple sclerosis.

Anthony O'Hagan, Nicola J Cooper, David H. Miller, 2003, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

Robust meta‐analytic‐predictive priors in clinical trials with historical control information

Anthony O'Hagan, Heinz Schmidli, Satrajit Roychoudhury, 2014, Biometrics.

Practical Bayesian analysis of a simple logistic regression: predicting corneal transplants.

A O'Hagan, E G Woodward, L C Moodaley, 1990, Statistics in medicine.

Quantifying uncertainty in the biospheric carbon flux for England and Wales

A. O'Hagan, M. Kennedy, M. Lomas, 2007 .

Bayesian analysis of computer code outputs: A tutorial

A. OHagan, A. O'Hagan, A. OHagan, 2006, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

Bayesian inference for the uncertainty distribution of computer model outputs

A. O'Hagan, J. Oakley, A. O’Hagan, 2002 .

Statistical Methods for Eliciting Probability Distributions

A. O'Hagan, P. Garthwaite, J. Kadane, 2005 .

Eliciting expert beliefs in substantial practical applications

Anthony O'Hagan, A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 1998 .

Quantifying uncertainty in remotely sensed land cover maps

Edward Cripps, Tristan Quaife, Anthony O’Hagan, 2013, Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment.

Monte Carlo probabilistic sensitivity analysis for patient level simulation models: efficient estimation of mean and variance using ANOVA.

Matt Stevenson, Anthony O'Hagan, Jason Madan, 2007, Health economics.

Modelling SF-6D health state preference data using a nonparametric Bayesian method.

Anthony O'Hagan, Samer A Kharroubi, Jennifer Roberts, 2007, Journal of health economics.

Using rank data to estimate health state utility models.

Anthony O'Hagan, Aki Tsuchiya, Christopher McCabe, 2006, Journal of health economics.

Calculating Partial Expected Value of Perfect Information via Monte Carlo Sampling Algorithms

Anthony O'Hagan, Alan Brennan, Jim Chilcott, 2007, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

Fractional Bayes factors for model comparison

A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 1995 .

Kendall's Advanced Theory of Statistics, Vol. 2b: Bayesian Inference.

A. O'Hagan, I. Dunsmore, A. O’Hagan, 1996 .

The Calculation of Posterior Distributions by Data Augmentation: Comment

A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 1987 .

Probabilistic uncertainty specification: Overview, elaboration techniques and their application to a mechanistic model of carbon flux

Anthony O'Hagan, A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 2012, Environ. Model. Softw..

A comparison of United States and United Kingdom EQ‐5D health states valuations using a nonparametric Bayesian method

Anthony O'Hagan, Samer A Kharroubi, J. Brazier, 2010, Statistics in medicine.

Modelling covariates for the SF-6D standard gamble health state preference data using a nonparametric Bayesian method.

Anthony O'Hagan, Samer Kharroubi, A. O'Hagan, 2007, Social science & medicine.

Estimating utilities from individual health preference data: a nonparametric Bayesian method

Anthony O'Hagan, John Brazier, Samer A. Kharroubi, 2005 .

The Cost Effectiveness of Two New Antiepileptic Therapies in the Absence of Direct Comparative Data

A. O'Hagan, P. McNulty, B. Hout, 2012, PharmacoEconomics.

Polynomial Chaos : A Tutorial and Critique from a Statistician ’ s Perspective

A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 2013 .

Assurance in clinical trial design

Anthony O'Hagan, John Stevens, Michael J. Campbell, 2005 .

Expert Knowledge Elicitation: Subjective but Scientific

Anthony O’Hagan, A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 2019, The American Statistician.

The Role of Expert Judgment in Statistical Inference and Evidence-Based Decision-Making

Anthony O'Hagan, Thomas A Louis, Naomi C Brownstein, 2019, The American statistician.

Bayesian robustness modeling using regularly varying distributions

Anthony O'Hagan, A. O'Hagan, J. Andrade, 2006 .

On Outlier Rejection Phenomena in Bayes Inference

A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 1979 .

Case studies in Gaussian process modelling of computer codes

Marc C. Kennedy, Anthony O'Hagan, Clive W. Anderson, 2006, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

Comments on articles in RESS special issue

Anthony O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 2008, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

Robust meta‐analytic‐predictive priors in clinical trials with historical control information

D. Spiegelhalter, Satrajit Roychoudhury, B. Neuenschwander, 2014, Biometrics.

Assessing and comparing costs: how robust are the bootstrap and methods based on asymptotic normality?

Anthony O'Hagan, A. O'Hagan, John W. Stevens, 2003, Health economics.

Predictively consistent prior effective sample sizes

Anthony O'Hagan, Heinz Schmidli, Beat Neuenschwander, 2019, Biometrics.

Robust meta‐analytic‐predictive priors in clinical trials with historical control information

D. Spiegelhalter, Satrajit Roychoudhury, B. Neuenschwander, 2014, Biometrics.

Eliciting expert judgements about a set of proportions

Anthony O'Hagan, Rita Esther Zapata-Vázquez, Leonardo Soares Bastos, 2014 .

Bayes estimation of a convex quadratic

Anthony O'Hagan, A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 1973 .

Bayesian heavy-tailed models and conflict resolution: A review

Anthony O'Hagan, Luis R. Pericchi, A. O'Hagan, 2012 .

Designing a non‐inferiority study in kidney transplantation: a case study

A. Racine, H. Schmidli, S. Witte, 2011, Pharmaceutical statistics.

Granulocyte-Colony Stimulating Factor Use and Medical Costs after Initial Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Older Patients with Early-Stage Breast Cancer

A. O'Hagan, G. Lyman, J. Legg, 2012, PharmacoEconomics.

Bayesian Assessment of Sample Size for Clinical Trials of Cost-Effectiveness

A O'Hagan, J W Stevens, A. O'Hagan, 2001, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

Bayesian cost‐effectiveness analysis from clinical trial data

A O'Hagan, J W Stevens, J Montmartin, 2001, Statistics in medicine.

The Rheumatoid Arthritis Drug Development Model: a case study in Bayesian clinical trial simulation

J. Oakley, A. Brennan, N. Bansback, 2009, Pharmaceutical statistics.

On estimators of medical costs with censored data.

Anthony O'Hagan, A. O'Hagan, John W. Stevens, 2004, Journal of health economics.

Curve Fitting and Optimal Design for Prediction

A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 1978 .

Model-based geostatistics. Discussion. Authors' reply

T. C. Haas, M. Kenward, S. Nadarajah, 1998 .

Index of authors, volume 169, 2006

A. O'Hagan, A. Millard, J. Haslett, 2006 .

Incorporation of uncertainty in health economic modelling studies

D. Spiegelhalter, A. O'Hagan, A. Brennan, 2012, PharmacoEconomics.

Gaussian process emulation of dynamic computer codes

A. O'Hagan, S. Conti, J. Oakley, 2009 .

Bayesian inference for the uncertainty distribution of computer model outputs

J. Oakley, A. O’Hagan, 2002 .

Elicitation of multivariate prior distributions: A nonparametric Bayesian approach

Anthony O'Hagan, Fernando Antonio Moala, A. O'Hagan, 2010 .

Nonparametric elicitation for heavy-tailed prior distributions

Jeremy E. Oakley, Anthony O'Hagan, John Paul Gosling, 2007 .

Uncertainty in prior elicitations: a nonparametric approach

Anthony O'Hagan, Jeremy E. Oakley, A. O'Hagan, 2007 .

Understanding the uncertainty in the biospheric carbon flux for England and Wales

A. O'Hagan, J. P. Gosling, A. O’Hagan, 2007 .

Bayesian Analysis of Computer Model Outputs

Jeremy E. Oakley, Anthony O'Hagan, A. O'Hagan, 2002 .

Bayes estimation subject to uncertainty about parameter constraints

A. O'Hagan, Tom Leonard, A. O’Hagan, 1976 .

A Bayesian Simultaneous Equation Theorie Applied to an Underidentified Econometric Model

Y. Haitovsky, A. O’Hagan, 1977 .

On posterior joint and marginal modes

A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 1976 .

The Advanced Theory of Statistics, Vol. 1: Distribution Theory

M. Kendall, A. Stuart, J. Ord, 1959 .

Bayes Linear Estimators for Randomized Response Models

Anthony O'Hagan, A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 1987 .

Use of Prior Information to Estimate Costs in a Sewerage Operation

Anthony O'Hagan, A. O'Hagan, Frank S. Wells, 1993 .

Accounting for threshold uncertainty in extreme value estimation

A. O'Hagan, C. Anderson, A. Tancredi, 2006 .

Bayesian assessment of goodness of fit against nonparametric alternatives

Anthony O'Hagan, Caterina Conigliani, A. O'Hagan, 2000 .

Quantifying expert opinion in the UK water industry: an experimental study

Anthony O'Hagan, Paul H. Garthwaite, A. O'Hagan, 2000 .

Eliciting judgements about dependent quantities of interest: The SHeffield ELicitation Framework extension and copula methods illustrated using an asthma case study

Lisa V. Hampson, Markus R. Lange, A. O'Hagan, 2022, Pharmaceutical statistics.

Probability is perfect, but we can't elicit it perfectly

Jeremy E. Oakley, Anthony O'Hagan, A. O'Hagan, 2004, Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf..

Ranges of Posterior Probabilities for Quasiunimodal Priors with Specified Quantiles

A. O'Hagan, J. Berger, A. O’Hagan, 1988 .

Bayesian nonparametric estimation of the radiocarbon calibration curve

A. O'Hagan, C. Buck, C. Litton, 2006 .

Monte Carlo is fundamentally unsound

Anthony O'Hagan, A. O'Hagan, A. O’Hagan, 1987 .