Barbara A. Mellers

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Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme

Jonathan Baron, Lyle H. Ungar, Philip E. Tetlock, 2014, Decis. Anal..

The role of actively open-minded thinking in information acquisition, accuracy, and calibration

Ilana Ritov, Uriel Haran, Barbara A. Mellers, 2013, Judgment and Decision Making.

Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses

Eva Chen, David V. Budescu, Shrinidhi K. Lakshmikanth, 2016, Decis. Anal..

Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition

Don A. Moore, Lyle H. Ungar, Samuel A. Swift, 2017, Manag. Sci..

The Good Judgment Project: A Large Scale Test of Different Methods of Combining Expert Predictions

Lyle H. Ungar, Jonathan Baron, Ville Satopaa, 2012, AAAI Fall Symposium: Machine Aggregation of Human Judgment.

Multiple Goals As Reference Points

Sudeep Bhatia, Evan Weingarten, Barbara A. Mellers, 2017 .

The Effects of Pictorial Realism, Delay of Visual Feedback, and Observer Interactivity on the Subjective Sense of Presence

Lawrence W. Stark, Andrew Liu, Robert Welch, 1996, Presence: Teleoperators & Virtual Environments.

Robust forecast aggregation: Fourier L2E regression

Jaime Ramos, David W. Scott, Philip E. Tetlock, 2018 .

Assessing Objective Recommendation Quality through Political Forecasting

Lyle H. Ungar, H. Andrew Schwartz, Masoud Rouhizadeh, 2017, EMNLP.

Bias, Information, Noise: The BIN Model of Forecasting

Philip Tetlock, Ville Satopaa, Barbara A. Mellers, 2021, Manag. Sci..

The Role of Task and Context in Preference Measurement

Alan D. J. Cooke, Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 1996 .

Violations of dominance in pricing judgments

Michael H. Birnbaum, Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 1992 .

Representations of Risk Judgments

Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, S. Chang, 1994 .

Loci of contextual effects in judgment.

Michael H. Birnbaum, Barbara A. Mellers, 1982 .

Do Risk Attitudes Reflect in the Eye of the Beholder?

Elke U. Weber, Barbara A. Mellers, Alan Schwartz, 2019, Choice, Decision, and Measurement: Essays in Honor of R. Duncan Luce.

An IRT forecasting model: linking proper scoring rules to item response theory

David V. Budescu, Philip E. Tetlock, Charles Lewis, 2017, Judgment and Decision Making.

Decision Research: Behavioral

Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 2001 .

Decision making: Descriptive, normative and prescriptive interactions

Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 1990 .

Distributional theories of impression formation

Virginia M. Richards, Michael H. Birnbaum, Barbara A. Mellers, 1992 .

Utility Measurement: Configural-Weight Theory and the Judge's Point of View

Michael H. Birnbaum, Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 1992 .

Contextual effects in social judgment

Michael H. Birnbaum, Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 1983 .

Mixed Emotional Reactions to Disappointing Wins and Relieving Losses

Jeff T. Larsen, A. Peter McGraw, John T. Cacioppo, 2009 .

Bringing probability judgments into policy debates via forecasting tournaments

Philip E. Tetlock, Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 2017, Science.

The Agony of Victory and Thrill of Defeat

Jeff T. Larsen, John T. Cacioppo, Barbara A. Mellers, 2004, Psychological science.

I Was Pleased a Moment Ago: How Pleasure Varies with Background and Foreground Reference Points

Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, James E. Heyman, 2004 .

Mediated Models for the Analysis of Confounded Variables and Self-Selected Samples

Michael H. Birnbaum, Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 1989 .

Transparency Should Trump Trust: Rejoinder to McConnell and Leibold (2009) and Ziegert and Hanges (2009)

James Jaccard, Philip E. Tetlock, Hart Blanton, 2009 .

A change-of-process theory for contextual effects and preference reversals in risky decision making

Michael H. Birnbaum, Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 1992 .

Decision Science and Technology

David A. Schum, James Shanteau, Barbara A. Mellers, 1999 .

Forecasting Tournaments

Philip E. Tetlock, Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 2014 .

Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets versus Prediction Polls

Philip E. Tetlock, Lyle H. Ungar, Emile Servan-Schreiber, 2017 .

American attitudes toward nudges

Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, Janice Y. Jung, 2016, Judgment and Decision Making.

How to Improve Bayesian Reasoning: Comment on Gigerenzer and Hoffrage (1995)

A. Peter McGraw, Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 1999 .

Developing expert political judgment: The impact of training and practice on judgmental accuracy in geopolitical forecasting tournaments

Philip E. Tetlock, Welton Chang, Barbara A. Mellers, 2016, Judgment and Decision Making.

What might have been? The role of the ventromedial prefrontal cortex and lateral orbitofrontal cortex in counterfactual emotions and choice

Daniel Tranel, Joel Bruss, Jeff T. Larsen, 2014, Neuropsychologia.

Bayesian Inference : Combining Base Rates With Opinions of Sources Who Vary in Credibility

Michael H. Birnbaum, Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 2005 .

Decision science and technology. Reflections on the contributions of Ward Edwards

Barbara A. Mellers, D. Schum, B. Mellers, 1999 .

Attribute Range and Response Range: Limits of Compatibility in Multiattribute Judgment

Alan D. J. Cooke, Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 1995 .

Are preference reversals reduced when made explicit

Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, S. Chang, 1995 .

Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model

Jonathan Baron, Dean P. Foster, Philip E. Tetlock, 2014 .

Equity judgment: A revision of Aristotelian views.

Barbara A. Mellers, B. Mellers, 1982 .

The affective costs of overconfidence

Ilana Ritov, A. Peter McGraw, Barbara A. Mellers, 2004 .

Racial prejudice and attitudes toward affirmative action

James H. Kuklinski, Philip E. Tetlock, Thomas Piazza, 1997 .

Are markets more accurate than polls? The surprising informational value of “just asking”

Jason Dana, Philip E. Tetlock, Barbara A. Mellers, 2019, Judgment and Decision Making.