Fiscal Decentralization, Public Spending, and Economic Growth in China

The authors of this report use data on China to demonstrate how the allocation of fiscal revenue and expenditures between central and local governments has affected economic growth since reforms that began in the late 1970s. They find a higher degree of fiscal decentralization associated with lower provincial economic growth over the past 15 years in China. This implies that fiscal reforms begun in China in the early 1980s have probably failed to promote the country's economic growth. This result is consistently significant and robust in their empirical examinations, and is surprising in light of the argument that fiscal decentralization usually contributes positively to provincial or local economic growth.

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