Permafrost Presence/Absence Mapping of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Based on Multi-Source Remote Sensing Data

The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) is known as the Third Polar of the earth and the Water Tower of Asia, with more than 70% of the area on the QTP is covered by permafrost possibly. An accurate permafrost distribution map based on valid and available methods is indispensable for the local environment evaluation and engineering constructions planning. Most of the previous permafrost maps have employed traditional mapping method based on field surveys and borehole investigation data. However their accuracy is limited because it is extremely difficulties in obtaining mass data in the high-altitude and cold regions as the QTP; moreover, the mapping method, which would effectively integrate many factors, is still facing great challenges. With the rapid development of remote sensing technology in permafrost mapping, spatial data derived from the satellite sensors can recognize the permafrost environment features and quantitatively estimate permafrost distribution. Until now there is no map indicated permafrost presence/absence on the QTP that has been generated only by remote sensing data as yet. Therefore, this paper used permafrost-influencing factors and examined distribution features of each factor in permafrost regions and seasonally frozen ground regions. Then, using the Decision Tree method with the environmental factors, the 1 km resolution permafrost map over the QTP was obtained. The result shows higher accuracy compared to the previous published map of permafrost on the QTP and the map of the glaciers, frozen ground and deserts in China, which also demonstrates that making comprehensive use of remote sensing technology in permafrost mapping research is fast, macro and feasible. Furthermore, this result provides a simple and valid method for further permafrost research.

[1]  Wang Zeng-yan Estimating Mean Daily Surface Temperature over the Tibetan Plateau Based on MODIS LST Products , 2012 .

[2]  Zhang Wen-gang Simulated Distribution of Active Layer Depths in the Frozen Ground Regions of Tibetan Plateau , 2006 .

[3]  Lin Zhao,et al.  The Application and Evaluation of Simple Permafrost Distribution Models on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau , 2017 .

[4]  常晓丽 Chang Xiaoli,et al.  Influences of vegetation on permafrost:a review , 2012 .

[5]  Jane M. Soons,et al.  GEOCRYOLOGY, A SURVEY OF PERIGLACIAL PROCESSES AND ENVIRONMENTS , 1981 .

[6]  Z. Wan New refinements and validation of the MODIS Land-Surface Temperature/Emissivity products , 2008 .

[7]  Nan Zhuo-tong,et al.  Mean Annual Ground Temperature Distribution on the Tibetan Plateau:Permafrost Distribution Mapping and Further Application , 2002 .

[8]  Mark C. Serreze,et al.  Modeling evidence for recent warming of the Arctic soil thermal regime , 2004 .

[9]  Annette Rinke,et al.  Permafrost dynamic change on the Tibetan Plateau under climatic warming since 1950s , 2016 .

[10]  Xin Li,et al.  A GIS-aided response model of high-altitude permafrost to global change , 1999 .

[11]  J. Ross Quinlan,et al.  Induction of Decision Trees , 1986, Machine Learning.

[12]  Jing Li,et al.  Some Characteristics of Permafrost and Its Distribution in the Gaize Area on the Qinghai—Tibet Plateau, China , 2016, Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research.

[13]  Zhang Baiping,et al.  The spatial pattern of monthly air temperature of the Tibetan Plateau and its implications for the geo-ecology pattern of the Plateau , 2015 .

[14]  Bernd Etzelmüller,et al.  Terrain parameters and remote sensing data in the analysis of permafrost distribution and periglacial processes: principles and examples from southern Norway , 2001 .

[15]  Nan Zhuotong,et al.  Permafrost distribution modeling and depth estimation in the Western Qinghai-Tibet Plateau , 2013 .

[16]  Regula Frauenfelder,et al.  PERMAFROST INVESTIGATIONS WITH GIS Ð A CASE STUDY IN THE FLETSCHHORN AREA, WALLIS, SWISS ALPS , 1998 .

[17]  Li Deren Theories and Technologies of Spatial Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery , 2002 .

[18]  Donglin Guo,et al.  Simulation of permafrost and seasonally frozen ground conditions on the Tibetan Plateau, 1981–2010 , 2013 .

[19]  W. Tobler A Computer Movie Simulating Urban Growth in the Detroit Region , 1970 .

[20]  Rui Jin,et al.  Distribution of Permafrost in China: An Overview of Existing Permafrost Maps , 2012 .

[21]  Douglas J. King,et al.  Estimating the extent of near‐surface permafrost using remote sensing, Mackenzie Delta, Northwest Territories , 2009 .

[22]  Andreas Kääb,et al.  Mountain permafrost distribution modelling using a multi‐criteria approach in the Hövsgöl area, northern Mongolia , 2006 .

[23]  Dong Wenjie,et al.  The Features of Temporal and Spatial Distributions of Seasonal Frozen Soil in the Tibetan Plateau , 2008 .

[24]  Lin Zhao,et al.  Thermal state of permafrost and active layer in Central Asia during the international polar year , 2010 .

[25]  Donglin Guo,et al.  A projection of permafrost degradation on the Tibetan Plateau during the 21st century , 2012 .

[26]  中国科学院蘭州冰川凍土研究所 中国氷雪冻土图 = Map of snow, ice and frozen ground in China , 1988 .

[27]  K. R. Everett,et al.  Glossary of Permafrost and Related Ground-Ice Terms , 1989 .

[28]  Lin Zhao,et al.  Mapping the vegetation distribution of the permafrost zone on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau , 2016, Journal of Mountain Science.

[29]  Meixue Yang,et al.  Permafrost degradation and its environmental effects on the Tibetan Plateau: A review of recent research , 2010 .

[30]  Lin Zhao,et al.  A new map of permafrost distribution on the Tibetan Plateau , 2016 .

[31]  Lin Zhao,et al.  Thawing and freezing processes of active layer in Wudaoliang region of Tibetan Plateau , 2000 .

[32]  Bernd Etzelmüller,et al.  A ground temperature map of the North Atlantic permafrost region based on remote sensing and reanalysis data , 2015 .

[33]  D. H. Card,et al.  Mapping permafrost in the boreal forest with Thematic Mapper satellite data , 1986 .

[34]  G. Cheng,et al.  Responses of permafrost to climate change and their environmental significance, Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau , 2007 .

[35]  Shengbo Chen,et al.  Permafrost classification on the Tibet Plateau based on surface emissivity retrieval from Terra-MODIS data , 2004, IGARSS 2004. 2004 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium.

[36]  Liu Guangyue,et al.  Permafrost Distribution in Typical Area of West Kunlun Mountains Derived from a Comprehensive Survey , 2012 .

[37]  Claude R. Duguay,et al.  Remote sensing of permafrost and seasonally frozen ground , 2013 .

[38]  Bernd Etzelmüller,et al.  Surface energy fluxes and distribution models of permafrost in European mountain areas: an overview of current developments , 2001 .

[39]  T. E. Osterkamp,et al.  The effect of permafrost thaw on old carbon release and net carbon exchange from tundra , 2009, Nature.

[40]  Michael W. Smith,et al.  Permafrost monitoring and detection of climate change , 1996 .

[41]  Yu Zhang,et al.  Climate change features along the Brahmaputra Valley in the past 26 years and possible causes , 2011 .

[42]  Wenjun Chen,et al.  Temporal and spatial changes of permafrost in Canada since the end of the Little Ice Age , 2006 .

[43]  Guodong Cheng,et al.  Editorial: Organic carbon pools in permafrost regions on the Qinghai–Xizang (Tibetan) Plateau , 2015 .

[44]  Xin Li,et al.  Evaluation of the permafrost stability degradation from 1980 to 2010 in China , 2018 .

[45]  M. Torre Jorgenson,et al.  Remote sensing and field‐based mapping of permafrost distribution along the Alaska Highway corridor, interior Alaska , 2010 .

[46]  S. Lawrence Dingman,et al.  Relations among Vegetation, Permafrost, and Potential Insolation in Central Alaska , 1974 .

[47]  Claude R. Duguay,et al.  A neural network method to determine the presence or absence of permafrost near Mayo, Yukon Territory, Canada , 1997 .

[48]  You Yanhui Modeling Permafrost Distribution in Wenquan Area over Qinghai-Tibet Plateau by Using Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines , 2011 .

[49]  Duoying Ji,et al.  Diagnostic and model dependent uncertainty of simulated Tibetan permafrost area , 2015 .

[50]  Jeff Dozier,et al.  A generalized split-window algorithm for retrieving land-surface temperature from space , 1996, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote. Sens..

[51]  A. L. Washburn,et al.  Geocryology: A survey of periglacial processes and environments , 1979 .

[52]  Brigitte Leblon,et al.  Modelling and mapping permafrost at high spatial resolution using Landsat and Radarsat images in northern Ontario, Canada: part 1 – model calibration , 2016 .

[53]  T. Collett Energy resource potential of natural gas hydrates , 2002 .

[54]  Lu Ling Accuracy Evaluation of the Four Remote Sensing Based Land Cover Products over China , 2009 .

[55]  D. Peddle,et al.  Evidential classification of landcover and permafrost from multisource remote sensing imagery in mountainous terrain, Yukon , 1991 .

[56]  Guodong Cheng,et al.  Climate warming has led to the degradation of permafrost stability in the past half century over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau , 2017 .

[57]  Samuel I. Outcalt,et al.  A Computational Method for Prediction and Regionalization of Permafrost , 1987 .

[58]  Yu Zhang,et al.  Soil temperature in Canada during the twentieth century: Complex responses to atmospheric climate change , 2005 .