Equilibrium Play in Large Group Market Entry Games

Coordination behavior is studied experimentally in a class of noncooperative market entry games featuring symmetric players, complete information, zero entry costs, and several randomly presented values of the market capacity. Once the market capacity becomes publicly known, each player must decide privately whether to enter the market and receive a payoff, which increases linearly in the difference between the market capacity and the number of entrants, or stay out. Payoffs for staying out are either positive, giving rise to the domain of gains, or negative, giving rise to the domain of losses. The major findings are substantial individual differences that do not diminish with practice, aggregate behavior that is organized extremely well in both the domains of gains and losses by the Nash equilibrium solution, and variations in the population action strategies with repeated play of the stage game that are accounted for by a variant of an adaptive learning model due to Roth and Erev (1995).

[1]  David M. Kreps,et al.  Learning Mixed Equilibria , 1993 .

[2]  A. Roth,et al.  Learning in Extensive-Form Games: Experimental Data and Simple Dynamic Models in the Intermediate Term* , 1995 .

[3]  R. Bloomfield Learning a mixed strategy equilibrium in the laboratory , 1994 .

[4]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect theory: analysis of decision under risk , 1979 .

[5]  Ido Erev,et al.  The Effect of Repeated Play in the IPG and IPD Team Games , 1994 .

[6]  V. Crawford Adaptive dynamics in coordination games , 1995 .

[7]  R. Sugden,et al.  Focal points in pure coordination games: An experimental investigation , 1994 .

[8]  Robert Gary-Bobo On the existence of equilibrium points in a class of asymmetric market entry games , 1990 .

[9]  Eugene Galanter,et al.  Handbook of mathematical psychology: I. , 1963 .

[10]  A. Tversky,et al.  Prospect Theory : An Analysis of Decision under Risk Author ( s ) : , 2007 .

[11]  J. Banks,et al.  An Experimental Analysis of Unanimity in Public Goods Provision Mechanisms , 1988 .

[12]  V. Crawford An “evolutionary” interpretation of Van Huyck, Battalio, and Beil's experimental results on coordination , 1991 .

[13]  Mark A. Fuller,et al.  Bidding strategies in a bilateral monopoly with two-sided incomplete information , 1995 .

[14]  Gérard P. Cachon,et al.  Loss-Avoidance and Forward Induction in Experimental Coordination Games , 1996 .

[15]  J. Huyck,et al.  Tacit Coordination Games, Strategic Uncertainty, and Coordination Failure , 1990 .

[16]  Amnon Rapoport,et al.  Individual strategies in a market entry game , 1995 .

[17]  J. Huyck,et al.  Strategic Uncertainty, Equilibrium Selection, and Coordination Failure in Average Opinion Games , 1991 .

[18]  Werner Güth,et al.  Equilibrium Point Selection in a Class of Market Entry Games , 1982 .

[19]  E. Thorndike “Animal Intelligence” , 1898, Nature.

[20]  Amnon Rapoport,et al.  Coordination in market entry games with symmetric players , 1995 .

[21]  Amnon Rapoport Order of play in strategically equivalent games in extensive form , 1997 .

[22]  R J HERRNSTEIN,et al.  Relative and absolute strength of response as a function of frequency of reinforcement. , 1961, Journal of the experimental analysis of behavior.