The irrational, the unreasonable, and the wrong
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] B. Russell,et al. Introduction to Mathematical Philosophy , 1920, The Mathematical Gazette.
[2] L. Cohen. The Implications of Induction , 2019 .
[3] Hugo Münsterberg,et al. On the Witness Stand; Essays on Psychology and Crime , 2007 .
[4] Frederic Tamler Sommers,et al. The logic of natural language , 1984 .
[5] Lola L. Lopes. Doing the impossible: A note on induction and the experience of randomness. , 1982 .
[6] L. Cohen. Intuition, Induction, and the Middle Way , 1982 .
[7] J. Smedslund. The logic of psychological treatment. , 1981, Scandinavian journal of psychology.
[8] L. Ross,et al. Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment. , 1981 .
[9] A. Tversky,et al. The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. , 1981, Science.
[10] R. Hogarth,et al. BEHAVIORAL DECISION THEORY: PROCESSES OF JUDGMENT AND CHOICE , 1981 .
[11] L. Cohen,et al. Whose is the fallacy? A rejoinder to Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky , 1980, Cognition.
[12] P. Billingsley,et al. Probability and Measure , 1980 .
[13] Henry E. Kyburg,et al. The Probable and the Provable. , 1980 .
[14] Lola L. Lopes,et al. Test of an ordering hypothesis in risky decision making , 1980 .
[15] B. Brehmer. In one word: Not from experience. , 1980 .
[16] D. Over,et al. Rational Belief Systems. , 1980 .
[17] Stephen P. Stich,et al. Justification and the Psychology of Human Reasoning , 1980, Philosophy of Science.
[18] Irving M. Klotz,et al. The N-Ray Affair , 1980 .
[19] M. Bar-Hillel. The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments. , 1980 .
[20] J. S. Evans,et al. Current Issues in the Psychology of Reasoning. , 1980 .
[21] L. Cohen,et al. Some Historical Remarks on the Baconian Conception of Probability , 1980 .
[22] L. Cohen,et al. Bayesianism versus Baconianism in the Evaluation of Medical Diagnoses , 1980, The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science.
[23] L. Cohen,et al. On the psychology of prediction: Whose is the fallacy? , 1979, Cognition.
[24] A. Tversky,et al. On the interpretation of intuitive probability: A reply to Jonathan Cohen , 1979, Cognition.
[25] K. Manktelow,et al. Facilitation of reasoning by realism: Effect or non‐effect? , 1979 .
[26] H. J. Einhorn,et al. Cognitive processes in choice and decision behavior , 1979 .
[27] Maya Bar-Hillel,et al. The role of sample size in sample evaluation , 1979 .
[28] Norman Daniels,et al. Wide Reflective Equilibrium and Theory Acceptance in Ethics , 1979 .
[29] J. Smedslund. Bandura's theory of self-efficacy: A set of common sense theorems. , 1978 .
[30] Clifford R. Mynatt,et al. Consequences of Confirmation and Disconfirmation in a Simulated Research Environment , 1978 .
[31] R. Hogarth,et al. Confidence in judgment: Persistence of the illusion of validity. , 1978 .
[32] J. Mackie,et al. The cement of the universe : a study of causation , 1977 .
[33] L. Cohen. Can the Conversationalist Hypothesis be Defended , 1977 .
[34] Clifford R. Mynatt,et al. Confirmation Bias in a Simulated Research Environment: An Experimental Study of Scientific Inference , 1977 .
[35] A. Goldman. Discrimination and Perceptual Knowledge , 1976 .
[36] Lola L. Lopes. Model-based decision and inference in stud poker. , 1976 .
[37] P. Slovic,et al. Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation , 1976 .
[38] Austin J. Bonis. Gambling With Truth , 1976 .
[39] P. C. Duyne. Necessity and contingency in reasoning , 1976 .
[40] T. Fine,et al. The Emergence of Probability , 1976 .
[41] J. Moravcsik,et al. COMPETENCE, CREATIVITY, AND INNATENESS , 1975 .
[42] Stephen P. Stich,et al. Logical form and natural language , 1975 .
[43] Eugene Borgida,et al. Attribution and the psychology of prediction. , 1975 .
[44] B. Fischhoff,et al. Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. , 1975 .
[45] David Hume,et al. David Hume: Enquiries Concerning Human Understanding and Concerning the Principles of Morals (Third Edition) , 1975 .
[46] W. Edwards. Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions: Comment , 1975 .
[47] Robin M. Hogarth,et al. Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions , 1975 .
[48] Geoffrey Hellman,et al. Reason and prediction , 1975 .
[49] P. C. Wason,et al. THE LANGUAGE OF INCONSISTENCY , 1974 .
[50] Henry Ely Kyburg,et al. The logical foundations of statistical inference , 1974 .
[51] J. Berry,et al. Culture and Cognition , 1974 .
[52] R. Dawes,et al. Linear models in decision making. , 1974 .
[53] Pc Vanduyne. REALISM AND LINGUISTIC COMPLEXITY IN REASONING , 1974 .
[54] M. Hammerton,et al. A case of radical probability estimation. , 1973 .
[55] Paul Slovic,et al. Response-induced reversals of preference in gambling: An extended replication in las vegas , 1973 .
[56] Daniel Kahneman,et al. Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability , 1973 .
[57] Noam Chomsky,et al. Language and Mind , 1973 .
[58] D. Armstrong,et al. Belief, Truth and Knowledge. , 1974 .
[59] P. Johnson-Laird,et al. REASONING AND A SENSE OF REALITY , 1972 .
[60] A. Tversky,et al. Subjective Probability: A Judgment of Representativeness , 1972 .
[61] D. A. Sprott,et al. Foundations of Statistical Inference. , 1972 .
[62] Imre Lakatos,et al. Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge , 1972 .
[63] J. Bruner,et al. Cultural Differences and Inferences About Psychological Processes. , 1971 .
[64] A. Tversky,et al. BELIEF IN THE LAW OF SMALL NUMBERS , 1971, Pediatrics.
[65] P. Wason,et al. Natural and contrived experience in a reasoning problem , 1971 .
[66] P. Johnson-Laird,et al. A CONFLICT BETWEEN SELECTING AND EVALUATING INFORMATION IN AN INFERENTIAL TASK , 1970 .
[67] I. Lakatos,et al. The problem of inductive logic , 1970 .
[68] M. Seligman. On the generality of the laws of learning , 1970 .
[69] J. Smedslund,et al. CIRCULAR RELATION BETWEEN UNDERSTANDING AND LOGIC , 1970 .
[70] N. Anderson,et al. Information integration in risky decision making , 1970 .
[71] Lewis R. Goldberg,et al. Man versus model of man: A rationale, plus some evidence, for a method of improving on clinical inferences. , 1970 .
[72] A. Rényi. Foundations of probability , 1970 .
[73] P. Johnson-Laird,et al. A theoretical analysis of insight into a reasoning task , 1970 .
[74] P. A. Reich. The Finiteness of Natural Language , 1969 .
[75] P C Wason,et al. Regression in reasoning? , 1969, British journal of psychology.
[76] P C Wason,et al. Reasoning about a Rule , 1968, The Quarterly journal of experimental psychology.
[77] Nicholas Rescher,et al. The Logic of Decision and Action , 1967 .
[78] A. Tversky. Utility theory and additivity analysis of risky choices. , 1967, Journal of experimental psychology.
[79] L. J. Chapman,et al. Genesis of popular but erroneous psychodiagnostic observations. , 1967, Journal of abnormal psychology.
[80] Lee Roy Beach,et al. Subjective probabilities for unions of events , 1966 .
[81] T. Chalmers,et al. The present status of shunts for portal hypertension in cirrhosis. , 1966, Gastroenterology.
[82] B. Foss. New Horizons in Psychology 1 , 1966 .
[83] R. Swinburne. FALSIFIABILITY OF SCIENTIFIC THEORIES , 1964 .
[84] William Kneale,et al. The development of logic , 1963 .
[85] Koch Sigmund Ed,et al. Psychology: A Study of A Science , 1962 .
[86] M. Henle. On the relation between logic and thinking. , 1962, Psychological review.
[87] P. Wason. On the Failure to Eliminate Hypotheses in a Conceptual Task , 1960 .
[88] M. Kendall,et al. The Logic of Scientific Discovery. , 1959 .
[89] K. Popper. THE PROPENSITY INTERPRETATION OF PROBABILITY , 1959, The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science.
[90] H. Simon,et al. Models of Man. , 1957 .
[91] W. L. SUMNER,et al. International Encyclopædia of Unified Science , 1956, Nature.
[92] K. R. Hammond. Probabilistic functioning and the clinical method. , 1955, Psychological review.
[93] G. L. S. Shackle,et al. Expectation in Economics , 1951 .
[94] R. Carnap. Logical foundations of probability , 1951 .
[95] W. Quine. Methods of Logic , 1951 .
[96] Hans Reichenbach,et al. Philosophic foundations of quantum mechanics , 1945 .
[97] Carl G. Hempel,et al. I.—STUDIES IN THE LOGIC OF CONFIRMATION (II.) , 1945 .
[98] Richard Von Mises,et al. Probability, statistics and truth , 1939 .
[99] A. J. Ayer,et al. Language, Truth, and Logic , 1936 .
[100] S. B. Sells,et al. An atmosphere effect in formal syllogistic reasoning. , 1935 .
[101] F. Ramsey. The foundations of mathematics , 1932 .
[102] B. Russell,et al. A Treatise on Probability , 1921 .
[103] H. Jeffreys. The Theory of Probability , 1896 .
[104] Isaac Levi,et al. The Enterprise Of Knowledge , 1980 .
[105] M. Fishbein. Progress in social psychology , 1980 .
[106] N. Daniels. On some methods of ethics and linguistics , 1980 .
[107] R. Lewontin,et al. Sociobiology as an adaptationist program. , 1979, Behavioral science.
[108] G. Sampson. Liberty and language , 1979 .
[109] Kenneth R. Hammond,et al. Judgment and Decision in Public Policy Formation , 1978 .
[110] H. Simon,et al. Rationality as Process and as Product of Thought , 1978 .
[111] B. Clifford,et al. The psychology of person identification , 1978 .
[112] M. Dummett. Truth and other enigmas , 1978 .
[113] J. March. Bounded rationality, ambiguity, and the engineering of choice , 1978 .
[114] Jaakko Hintikka,et al. Basic Problems in Methodology and Linguistics , 1977 .
[115] B. Fischhoff,et al. Behavioral Decision Theory , 1977 .
[116] Philip N. Johnson-Laird,et al. Thinking; Readings in Cognitive Science , 1977 .
[117] M. S. Mayzner,et al. Cognition And Reality , 1976 .
[118] Yehoshua Bar-Hillel,et al. Pragmatics of natural languages , 1975 .
[119] G. Harman,et al. The logic of grammar , 1975 .
[120] Nuel D. Belnap,et al. Entailment : the logic of relevance and necessity , 1975 .
[121] G. Sampson. The form of language , 1975 .
[122] James Shanteau,et al. Component Processes in Risky Decision Making. , 1974 .
[123] Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein,et al. The Concept of Probability in Psychological Experiments , 1974 .
[124] D. M. Armstrong,et al. Belief, Truth And Knowledge , 1973 .
[125] J. L. Mackie,et al. Truth, probability and paradox , 1973 .
[126] A. Tversky,et al. On the psychology of prediction , 1973 .
[127] P. Johnson-Laird,et al. Psychology of Reasoning: Structure and Content , 1972 .
[128] W. A. Wagenaar. Generation of random sequences by human subjects: A critical survey of literature. , 1972 .
[129] J. Piaget,et al. The principles of genetic epistemology , 1972 .
[130] J. L. Mackie,et al. The Matter of Chance. , 1971 .
[131] David Hume. A Treatise of Human Nature: Being an Attempt to introduce the experimental Method of Reasoning into Moral Subjects , 1972 .
[132] L. J. Chapman,et al. Illusory correlation as an obstacle to the use of valid psychodiagnostic signs. , 1969, Journal of abnormal psychology.
[133] P. Nidditch,et al. Enquiries: Concerning Human Understanding and Concerning the Principles of Morals , 1966 .
[134] H. M. Jenkins,et al. JUDGMENT OF CONTINGENCY BETWEEN RESPONSES AND OUTCOMES. , 1965, Psychological monographs.
[135] Willard Van Orman Quine,et al. Word and Object , 1960 .
[136] P. Kocher. Francis Bacon on the Science of Jurisprudence , 1957 .
[137] N. Goodman. Fact, Fiction, and Forecast , 1955 .
[138] Rudolf Carnap,et al. Meaning and Necessity , 1947 .
[139] B. Finetti. Sul significato soggettivo della probabilità , 1931 .
[140] H. Bergson,et al. Introduction à la métaphysique , 1931 .
[141] John Venn,et al. The Logic Of Chance , 1888 .
[142] I. Todhunter,et al. A history of the mathematical theory of probability from the time of Pascal to that of Laplace / by I. Todhunter. , 1865 .
[143] Thomas Reid,et al. Essays On The Intellectual Powers Of Man , 1850 .
[144] J. Mill. A System of Logic , 1843 .