Representative bibliography on load forecasting

Load forecasting has always been an integral part of power system planning and operation. However, it did not receive as much attention in the past as it deserves because the fuel supplies, especially hydrocarbons, were cheap and abundant, and utilities could find funds for erecting enough gas/oil generating plants at relatively short lead times. In the last few years, the conditions have considerably changed and the past practices will have to be suitably modified. Load forecasting will assume greater importance and, therefore, it will receive more attention. To assist engineers working in this area, a representative cross section of publications related to load forecasting are listed in this paper.

[1]  James G. Gruetter.  The Application of Business Machines to Electrical Utility Load Forecasting [includes discussion] , 1955, Transactions of the American Institute of Electrical Engineers. Part III: Power Apparatus and Systems.

[2]  W. R. Christiaanse.  Short-Term Load Forecasting Using General Exponential Smoothing , 1971 .

[3]  E. C. Plant,et al.  Load and Capacity Models for Generation Planning by Simulation , 1960, Transactions of the American Institute of Electrical Engineers Part III Power Apparatus and Systems.

[4]  J. Davey,et al.  Practical Application of Weather Sensitive Load Forecasting to System Planning , 1973 .

[5]  E. D. Farmer.  A method of prediction for non-stationary processes and its application to the problem of load estimation , 1963 .

[6]  R.P. Thompson,et al.  Weather sensitive electric demand and energy analysis on a large geographically diverse power system ߞApplication to short term hourly electric demand forecasting , 1976, IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems.

[7]  G. T. Heinemann,et al.  The Relationship Between Summer Weather and Summer Loads - A Regression Analysis , 1966 .

[8]  H. W. Bode,et al.  A Simplified Derivation of Linear Least Square Smoothing and Prediction Theory , 1950, Proceedings of the IRE.

[9]  James H. Latham,et al.  Probability Approach to Electric Utility Load Forecasting , 1968 .

[10]  H. A. Dryar,et al.  The Effect of Weather on the System Load , 1944, Transactions of the American Institute of Electrical Engineers.

[11]  K. Neil Stanton,et al.  Forecasting Annual or Seasonal Peak Demand in Electric Utility Systems , 1970 .

[12]  K. Neil Stanton,et al.  Medium-Range, Weekly and Seasonal Peak Demand Forecasting by Probability Methods , 1971 .

[13]  Sidney Darlington,et al.  Linear least-squares smoothing and prediction, with applications , 1958 .

[14]  P. C. Gupta,et al.  A Stochastic Approach to Peak Power-Demand Forecasting in Electric Utility Systems , 1971 .

[15]  M. Davies,et al.  The relationship between weather and electricity demand , 1959 .

[16]  C. W. Watchorn,et al.  Load Growth Characteristics as Related to Generating Capacity Additions , 1963 .

[17]  W. Casson,et al.  Developments and future possibilities of automatic control on the british grid system , 1960 .

[18]  Peter R. Winters,et al.  Forecasting Peak Demand for an Electric Utility with a Hybrid Exponential Model , 1966 .

[19]  C.E. Asbury.  Weather load model for electric demand and energy forecasting , 1975, IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems.

[20]  A. K. Mahalanabis,et al.  Recursive short-term load-forecasting algorithm , 1974 .

[21]  Keigo Yamada,et al.  Adaptive Short-Term Forecasting of Hourly Loads Using Weather Information , 1972 .

[22]  D. P. Lijesen,et al.  Adaptive Forecasting of Hourly Loads Based on Load Measurements and Weather Information , 1971 .

[23]  B. Bernholtz,et al.  A New Approach to Forecasting Daily Peak Loads [includes discussion] , 1956, Transactions of the American Institute of Electrical Engineers. Part III: Power Apparatus and Systems.

[24]  R. G. Hooke.  Forecasting the Demand for Electricity [includes discussion] , 1955, Transactions of the American Institute of Electrical Engineers. Part III: Power Apparatus and Systems.

[25]  G. B. Scheer.  Prediction of long-range power generation requirements in foreign countries , 1962, Electrical Engineering.

[26]  R. E. Kalman,et al.  A New Approach to Linear Filtering and Prediction Problems , 2002 .

[27]  W. Wallace Godard,et al.  Electrical Utility Load Forecasting [includes discussion] , 1955, Transactions of the American Institute of Electrical Engineers. Part III: Power Apparatus and Systems.

[28]  Julius Shiskin,et al.  The X-11 variant of the census method II seasonal adjustment program , 1965 .

[29]  David M. Grether,et al.  Forecasting Non-Stationary Economic Time Series , 1966 .

[30]  K. Srinivasan,et al.  Un outil pour la prévision a court-terme , 1976, Canadian Electrical Engineering Journal.

[31]  K. Srinivasan,et al.  Short term load forecasting using multiple correlation models , 1975, IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems.

[32]  Richard Anthony Hore.  Advanced studies in electrical power system design , 1966 .

[33]  N. D. Reppen,et al.  Experience with Weather Sensitive Load Models for Short and Long-Term Forecasting , 1973 .

[34]  Mo-Shing Chen,et al.  An Application of State Estimation to Short-Term Load Forecasting, Part II: Implementation , 1970 .

[35]  H. Nicholson,et al.  Techniques for load prediction in the electricity-supply industry , 1968 .