A Kernel-Based Spectral Approach for Spatiotemporal Dynamic Models

Spatiotemporal processes can often be written as hierarchical state-space processes. In situations with complicated dynamics such as wave propagation, it is difficult to parameterize state transition functions for high-dimensional state processes. Although in some cases, prior understanding of the physical process can be used to formulate prior models for the state transition, this is not always possible. Alternatively, for processes where one considers discrete time and continuous space, integro-difference equations suggest that complicated dynamics can be modeled by allowing the associated redistribution kernel to vary with space and/or time. We show that this is indeed the case and that by considering a spectral implementation of such models, one can formulate a spatiotemporal model with relatively few parameters that can accommodate complicated dynamics.

[1]  Phaedon C. Kyriakidis,et al.  Geostatistical Space–Time Models: A Review , 1999 .

[2]  P. Driessche,et al.  Dispersal data and the spread of invading organisms. , 1996 .

[3]  S. Cohn,et al.  Applications of Estimation Theory to Numerical Weather Prediction , 1981 .

[4]  P. Guttorp,et al.  Space-time estimation of grid-cell hourly ozone levels for assessment of a deterministic model , 1998, Environmental and Ecological Statistics.

[5]  R. Shumway,et al.  AN APPROACH TO TIME SERIES SMOOTHING AND FORECASTING USING THE EM ALGORITHM , 1982 .

[6]  L. M. Berliner,et al.  Hierarchical Bayesian space-time models , 1998, Environmental and Ecological Statistics.

[7]  J. Andrew Royle,et al.  A Hierarchical Spatial Model for Constructing Wind Fields from Scatterometer Data in the Labrador Sea , 1999 .

[8]  M. Fuentes Spectral methods for nonstationary spatial processes , 2002 .

[9]  Mark Kot,et al.  Dispersal and Pattern Formation in a Discrete-Time Predator-Prey Model , 1995 .

[10]  T. Gneiting Nonseparable, Stationary Covariance Functions for Space–Time Data , 2002 .

[11]  R. Fisher THE WAVE OF ADVANCE OF ADVANTAGEOUS GENES , 1937 .

[12]  Patrick Brown,et al.  Space–time calibration of radar rainfall data , 2001 .

[13]  David Higdon,et al.  A process-convolution approach to modelling temperatures in the North Atlantic Ocean , 1998, Environmental and Ecological Statistics.

[14]  Christopher K. Wikle,et al.  Spatio-temporal statistical models with applications to atmospheric processes , 1996 .

[15]  P. Brown,et al.  Blur‐generated non‐separable space–time models , 2000 .

[16]  N. Cressie,et al.  A dimension-reduced approach to space-time Kalman filtering , 1999 .

[17]  Noel A Cressie,et al.  Long-Lead Prediction of Pacific SSTs via Bayesian Dynamic Modeling , 2000 .

[18]  T. C. Haas,et al.  Model-based geostatistics - Discussion , 1998 .

[19]  N. Cressie,et al.  Classes of nonseparable, spatio-temporal stationary covariance functions , 1999 .

[20]  J. Christensen,et al.  Evaluation of uncertainties in regional climate change simulations , 2001 .