Genetic Algorithms for Real Estate Market Analysis

This work use Genetic Algorithms (GA) in order to interpret the existing relationship between real estate rental prices and geographic location of housing units for a central urban area of Naples. The choose of algorithm parameters are discussed on the basis of a real estate sample located in Santa Lucia and Chiaia neighborhoods. Main aim of this paper is verify the reliability of GA for real estate appraisals purposes and, at the same time, to show the potentiality but also the limits of GA in this field in terms of analysis of the housing markets.

[1]  E. Cantoni,et al.  Predicting House Prices with Spatial Dependence: A Comparison of Alternative Methods , 2010 .

[2]  Nghiep Nguyen,et al.  Predicting Housing Value: A Comparison of Multiple Regression Analysis and Artificial Neural Networks , 2001 .

[3]  Benedetto Manganelli,et al.  Spline Smoothing for Estimating Hedonic Housing Price Models , 2015, ICCSA.

[4]  Vincenzo Del Giudice,et al.  The Effects of Noise Pollution Produced by Road Traffic of Naples Beltway on Residential Real Estate Values , 2014 .

[5]  Fabiana Forte,et al.  Knowledge Management and Intellectual Capital in the Logistics Service Industry , 2016, KSEM.

[6]  Benedetto Manganelli,et al.  Linear Programming in a Multi-Criteria Model for Real Estate Appraisal , 2016, ICCSA.

[7]  Ming Dong,et al.  Knowledge discovery in corporate events by neural network rule extraction , 2008, Applied Intelligence.

[8]  S. Chehreh Chelgani,et al.  Prediction of uniaxial compressive strength and modulus of elasticity for Travertine samples using regression and artificial neural networks , 2010 .

[9]  Tae Yoon Kim,et al.  Intelligent forecasting for financial time series subject to structural changes , 2009, Intell. Data Anal..

[10]  Pierluigi Morano,et al.  Estimating the Market Value of the Building Sites for Homogeneous Areas , 2013 .

[11]  Fabiana Forte,et al.  Using Genetic Algorithms for Real Estate Appraisals , 2017 .

[12]  Francesco Tajani,et al.  Property Valuations in Times of Crisis: Artificial Neural Networks and Evolutionary Algorithms in Comparison , 2015, ICCSA.

[13]  Antonio Nesticò,et al.  Using Genetic Algorithms in the Housing Market Analysis , 2015, ICCSA.

[14]  Bare ownership of residential properties: insights on two segments of the Italian market , 2016 .

[15]  Tae Yoon Kim,et al.  Using genetic algorithm to support portfolio optimization for index fund management , 2005, Expert Syst. Appl..

[16]  V. D. Giudice,et al.  Undivided Real Estate Shares: Appraisal and Interactions with Capital Markets , 2014 .

[17]  Melanie Mitchell,et al.  An introduction to genetic algorithms , 1996 .

[18]  Ingo Rechenberg,et al.  Evolutionsstrategie : Optimierung technischer Systeme nach Prinzipien der biologischen Evolution , 1973 .

[19]  David E. Booth,et al.  A comparison of supervised and unsupervised neural networks in predicting bankruptcy of Korean firms , 2005, Expert Syst. Appl..

[20]  Jorge Chica-Olmo,et al.  Prediction of Housing Location Price by a Multivariate Spatial Method: Cokriging , 2007 .

[21]  Massimiliano Versace,et al.  Predicting the exchange traded fund DIA with a combination of genetic algorithms and neural networks , 2004, Expert Syst. Appl..

[22]  David E. Goldberg,et al.  Designing a competent simple genetic algorithm for search and optimization , 2000 .

[23]  D. G. Wiltshaw A comment on methodology and valuation , 1995 .

[24]  Benedetto Manganelli,et al.  Real Estate Investing: Market Analysis, Valuation Techniques, and Risk Management , 2014 .

[25]  David E. Goldberg,et al.  Genetic Algorithms in Search Optimization and Machine Learning , 1988 .

[26]  Wei-Sen Chen,et al.  Using neural networks and data mining techniques for the financial distress prediction model , 2009, Expert Syst. Appl..

[27]  John H. Holland,et al.  Adaptation in Natural and Artificial Systems: An Introductory Analysis with Applications to Biology, Control, and Artificial Intelligence , 1992 .

[28]  Subhash C. Narula,et al.  Valuating residential real estate using parametric programming , 2012, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[29]  Chi-Jie Lu,et al.  Integrating independent component analysis-based denoising scheme with neural network for stock price prediction , 2010, Expert Syst. Appl..

[30]  Yeng-Horng Perng,et al.  Decision support for housing customization: A hybrid approach using case-based reasoning and genetic algorithm , 2006, Expert Syst. Appl..

[31]  Vincenzo Del Giudice,et al.  Valuation of Real Estate Investments through Fuzzy Logic , 2017 .

[32]  Francesco Tajani,et al.  Estimative Analysis of a Segment of the Bare Ownership Market of Residential Property , 2013, ICCSA.

[33]  V. D. Giudice,et al.  Spatial Analysis of Residential Real Estate Rental Market with Geoadditive Models , 2017 .

[34]  Vincenzo Del Giudice,et al.  Geoadditive Models for Property Market , 2014 .

[35]  Benedetto Manganelli,et al.  Hedonic Analysis of Housing Sales Prices with Semiparametric Methods , 2017, Int. J. Agric. Environ. Inf. Syst..

[36]  Hans-Paul Schwefel,et al.  Numerical Optimization of Computer Models , 1982 .

[37]  T. Thibodeau,et al.  Housing Market Segmentation , 1998 .

[38]  Antanas Verikas,et al.  The mass appraisal of the real estate by computational intelligence , 2011, Appl. Soft Comput..

[39]  Goh Bee Hua Residential construction demand forecasting using economic indicators: a comparative study of artificial neural networks and multiple regression , 1996 .

[40]  Benedetto Manganelli,et al.  Depreciation Methods for Firm's Assets , 2016, ICCSA.

[41]  Martin Skitmore,et al.  Using genetic algorithms and linear regression analysis for private housing demand forecast , 2008 .

[42]  Lawrence J. Fogel,et al.  Artificial Intelligence through Simulated Evolution , 1966 .

[43]  Margarita M. Lenk,et al.  An Exploration of Neural Networks and Its Application to Real Estate Valuation , 1995 .

[44]  Chris Brooks,et al.  International evidence on the predictability of returns to securitized real estate assets: econometric models versus neural networks , 2003 .

[45]  Ingoo Han,et al.  Using change-point detection to support artificial neural networks for interest rates forecasting , 2000 .

[46]  T. L. L. Lenza,et al.  Economic evaluations using genetic algorithms to determine the territorial impact caused by high speed railways , 2012 .

[47]  J. Andrew Ware,et al.  Residential property price time series forecasting with neural networks , 2002, Knowl. Based Syst..

[48]  Vincenzo Del Giudice,et al.  Rough Set Theory for Real Estate Appraisals: An Application to Directional District of Naples , 2017 .

[49]  Steven P. Peterson,et al.  Neural Network Hedonic Pricing Models in Mass Real Estate Appraisal , 2008 .

[50]  Fabiana Forte,et al.  The Monetary Valuation of Environmental Externalities through the Analysis of Real Estate Prices , 2017 .