Kernel density estimation of three-parameter Weibull distribution with neural network and genetic algorithm

The initial estimations were obtained by the RRM and GM(1,1).The proposed way to deal with the estimation problem was an optimization problem.Neural network was adopted as approximate model based on the samples.GA was selected for optimization method based on the neural network model. Three-parameter Weibull distribution is widely employed as a model in reliability and lifetime studies due to its good fit to data. It is important to estimate the unknown parameters exactly for modeling. There are many methods to estimate the parameters of three-parameter Weibull distribution and the kernel density estimation method is one of them. The smoothing parameter has a significant influence on the estimation accuracy. In this paper, the neural network and genetic algorithm were used to get the best smoothing parameter and the result was compared with other methods. The Monte Carlo simulations were carried out to show the feasibility of our approach for estimation of three-parameter Weibull distribution.

[1]  D. Cox Regression Models and Life-Tables , 1972 .

[2]  J. Burridge,et al.  A Note on Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Regression Models using Grouped Data , 1981 .

[3]  T. W. Lambert,et al.  Modern estimation of the parameters of the Weibull wind speed distribution for wind energy analysis , 2000 .

[4]  Harry Eugene Stanley,et al.  Languages cool as they expand: Allometric scaling and the decreasing need for new words , 2012, Scientific Reports.

[5]  D. N. P. Murthy,et al.  Reliability modeling involving two Weibull distributions , 1995 .

[6]  Harry Eugene Stanley,et al.  Statistical Laws Governing Fluctuations in Word Use from Word Birth to Word Death , 2011, Scientific Reports.

[7]  Andrew Gelman,et al.  General methods for monitoring convergence of iterative simulations , 1998 .

[8]  James Stephen Marron,et al.  Bootstrap selection of the smoothing parameter in nonparametric hazard rate estimation , 1996 .

[9]  Joseph P. Hennessey Some Aspects of Wind Power Statistics , 1977 .

[10]  N. L. Johnson,et al.  Survival Models and Data Analysis , 1982 .

[11]  Achintya Haldar,et al.  Probability, Reliability and Statistical Methods in Engineering Design (Haldar, Mahadevan) , 1999 .

[12]  Rudolf Scitovski,et al.  On the existence of the nonlinear weighted least squares estimate for a three-parameter Weibull distribution , 2008, Comput. Stat. Data Anal..

[13]  Matjaz Perc,et al.  Self-organization of progress across the century of physics , 2013, Scientific Reports.

[14]  Chun-I Chen,et al.  The necessary and sufficient condition for GM(1, 1) grey prediction model , 2013, Appl. Math. Comput..

[15]  Zoltan Papp,et al.  Probabilistic reliability engineering , 1995 .

[16]  M.A.J.S. van Boekel,et al.  On the use of the Weibull model to describe thermal inactivation of microbial vegetative cells , 2002 .

[17]  John H. Holland,et al.  Adaptation in Natural and Artificial Systems: An Introductory Analysis with Applications to Biology, Control, and Artificial Intelligence , 1992 .

[18]  R. Jiang,et al.  The exponentiated Weibull family: a graphical approach , 1999 .

[19]  Kristian Sabo,et al.  Least‐squares problems for Michaelis–Menten kinetics , 2007 .

[20]  Tzu-Li Tien,et al.  A research on the grey prediction model GM(1, n) , 2012, Appl. Math. Comput..

[21]  W. Weibull A Statistical Distribution Function of Wide Applicability , 1951 .

[22]  S. Bowyer,et al.  On the coronae of rapidly rotating stars. I - The relation between rotation and coronal activity in RS CVn systems , 1981 .

[23]  Matjaz Perc,et al.  Evolution of the most common English words and phrases over the centuries , 2012, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.

[24]  R. Ricklefs,et al.  Biological implications of the Weibull and Gompertz models of aging. , 2002, The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences.

[25]  M. Pandey Direct estimation of quantile functions using the maximum entropy principle , 2000 .

[26]  Jing Hu,et al.  Culturomics meets random fractal theory: insights into long-range correlations of social and natural phenomena over the past two centuries , 2012, Journal of The Royal Society Interface.

[27]  Anthony Y. C. Kuk,et al.  A mixture model combining logistic regression with proportional hazards regression , 1992 .

[28]  Jamal Arkat,et al.  Estimating the parameters of Weibull distribution using simulated annealing algorithm , 2006, Appl. Math. Comput..

[29]  J.J. Hopfield,et al.  Artificial neural networks , 1988, IEEE Circuits and Devices Magazine.

[30]  S. Sanni,et al.  An Economic order quantity model for Items with Three-parameter Weibull distribution Deterioration, Ramp-type Demand and Shortages , 2013 .

[31]  Quang V. Cao,et al.  Predicting Parameters of a Weibull Function for Modeling Diameter Distribution , 2004 .

[32]  John H. Holland,et al.  Adaptation in Natural and Artificial Systems: An Introductory Analysis with Applications to Biology, Control, and Artificial Intelligence , 1992 .

[33]  Dragan Jukić,et al.  Nonlinear weighted least squares estimation of a three-parameter Weibull density with a nonparametric start , 2009 .

[34]  W. Weibull,et al.  The phenomenon of rupture in solids , 1939 .

[35]  J. R. Wallis,et al.  Probability Weighted Moments: Definition and Relation to Parameters of Several Distributions Expressable in Inverse Form , 1979 .