Robust DEA under discrete uncertain data: a case study of Iranian electricity distribution companies

Crisp input and output data are fundamentally indispensable in traditional data envelopment analysis (DEA). However, the real-world problems often deal with imprecise or ambiguous data. In this paper, we propose a novel robust data envelopment model (RDEA) to investigate the efficiencies of decision-making units (DMU) when there are discrete uncertain input and output data. The method is based upon the discrete robust optimization approaches proposed by Mulvey et al. (1995) that utilizes probable scenarios to capture the effect of ambiguous data in the case study. Our primary concern in this research is evaluating electricity distribution companies under uncertainty about input/output data. To illustrate the ability of proposed model, a numerical example of 38 Iranian electricity distribution companies is investigated. There are a large amount ambiguous data about these companies. Some electricity distribution companies may not report clear and real statistics to the government. Thus, it is needed to utilize a prominent approach to deal with this uncertainty. The results reveal that the RDEA model is suitable and reliable for target setting based on decision makers (DM’s) preferences when there are uncertain input/output data.

[1]  Dimitris Bertsimas,et al.  A Robust Optimization Approach to Inventory Theory , 2006, Oper. Res..

[2]  Mohammad Jafar Tarokh,et al.  Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Set Extension of DEMATEL Method , 2011 .

[3]  Mahsa Safi,et al.  Network DEA: an application to analysis of academic performance , 2013 .

[4]  Israel Finkelshtain,et al.  Two-Moments-Decision Models and Utility-Representable Preferences , 1999 .

[5]  Suchismita Satapathy,et al.  A customer oriented systematic framework to extract business strategy in Indian electricity services , 2013 .

[6]  J. Neumann,et al.  Theory of games and economic behavior , 1945, 100 Years of Math Milestones.

[7]  Adel Hatami-Marbini,et al.  Positive and normative use of fuzzy DEA-BCC models: A critical view on NATO enlargement , 2013, Int. Trans. Oper. Res..

[8]  M. Pollitt,et al.  Benchmarking and regulation: international electricity experience , 2000 .

[9]  Melvyn Sim,et al.  Robust linear optimization under general norms , 2004, Oper. Res. Lett..

[10]  Mahdi Bashiri,et al.  The analysis of residuals variation and outliers to obtain robust response surface , 2013 .

[11]  Abraham Charnes,et al.  Measuring the efficiency of decision making units , 1978 .

[12]  Hiroshi Morita,et al.  Analysis of economies of scope by data envelopment analysis: comparison of efficient frontiers , 2003 .

[13]  Melvyn Sim,et al.  Robust discrete optimization and network flows , 2003, Math. Program..

[14]  Robert J. Vanderbei,et al.  Robust Optimization of Large-Scale Systems , 1995, Oper. Res..

[15]  Arman Izadi,et al.  Distribution network design under demand uncertainty using genetic algorithm and Monte Carlo simulation approach: a case study in pharmaceutical industry , 2014 .

[16]  Mehran Khalaj,et al.  A novel risk-based analysis for the production system under epistemic uncertainty , 2013 .

[17]  Mika Goto,et al.  Comparison of Productive and Cost Efficiencies Among Japanese and US Electric Utilities , 1998 .

[18]  Haritha Saranga,et al.  Determinants of operational efficiencies in the Indian pharmaceutical industry , 2009, Int. Trans. Oper. Res..

[19]  Allen L. Soyster,et al.  Technical Note - Convex Programming with Set-Inclusive Constraints and Applications to Inexact Linear Programming , 1973, Oper. Res..

[20]  Amir Farshbaf-Geranmayeh,et al.  A neuro-data envelopment analysis approach for optimization of uncorrelated multiple response problems with smaller the better type controllable factors , 2013 .

[21]  Seyed Taghi Akhavan Niaki,et al.  Forecasting S&P 500 index using artificial neural networks and design of experiments , 2013 .

[22]  Adel Hatami-Marbini,et al.  A robust optimization approach for imprecise data envelopment analysis , 2010, Comput. Ind. Eng..

[23]  Emad Roghanian,et al.  Integration of QFD, AHP, and LPP methods in supplier development problems under uncertainty , 2014 .

[24]  Arkadi Nemirovski,et al.  Robust solutions of Linear Programming problems contaminated with uncertain data , 2000, Math. Program..

[25]  Emad Roghanian,et al.  An empirical study of Iranian regional airports using robust data envelopment analysis , 2010 .

[26]  Melvyn Sim,et al.  The Price of Robustness , 2004, Oper. Res..

[27]  A. Charnes,et al.  Invariant multiplicative efficiency and piecewise cobb-douglas envelopments , 1983 .

[28]  Ali Asghar Foroughi,et al.  Ranking units in DEA based on efficiency intervals and decision-maker's preferences , 2012, Int. Trans. Oper. Res..

[29]  Seyed Jafar Sadjadi,et al.  Data envelopment analysis with uncertain data: An application for Iranian electricity distribution companies , 2008 .