A Direct Test of Risk Aversion and Regret in First Price Sealed-Bid Auctions

Why do bidders tend to bid higher than the risk-neutral Nash equilibrium in sealed-bid first price auction experiments? The effect of risk aversion has long been offered as a possible explanation. More recently, several studies proposed regret as another explanation, citing strong experimental evidence. But which effect is more important? We design an experiment to separate the effects of risk aversion from those of regret. We find overwhelming evidence in support of the regret model, and virtually no support for the constant relative risk aversion model.

[1]  M. Dufwenberg,et al.  Information disclosure in auctions: an experiment , 2002 .

[2]  V. Smith,et al.  Theory and individual behavior of first-price auctions , 1988 .

[3]  Erkut Y. Ozbay,et al.  Auctions with Anticipated Regret: Theory and Experiment , 2007 .

[4]  David E. Bell,et al.  Risk Premiums for Decision Regret , 1983 .

[5]  David E. Bell,et al.  Regret in Decision Making under Uncertainty , 1982, Oper. Res..

[6]  J. Kagel,et al.  Handbook of Experimental Economics , 1997 .

[7]  Tibor Neugebauer,et al.  Individual behavior of first-price auctions: The importance of information feedback in computerized experimental markets , 2006, Games Econ. Behav..

[8]  J. Kagel,et al.  Independent Private Value Auctions: Bidder Behaviour in First-, Second- and Third-Price Auctions with Varying Numbers of Bidders , 1993 .

[9]  Axel Ockenfels,et al.  Impulse balance equilibrium and feedback in first price auctions , 2002, Games Econ. Behav..

[10]  Elena Katok,et al.  Regret in auctions: theory and evidence , 2007 .

[11]  Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans,et al.  The effect of regret on optimal bidding in auctions , 1989 .

[12]  Elena Katok,et al.  Regret and Feedback Information in First-Price Sealed-Bid Auctions , 2008, Manag. Sci..

[13]  J. Kagel,et al.  Auctions: A Survey of Experimental Research, 1995 - 2008* , 2008 .

[14]  David E. Bell,et al.  Disappointment in Decision Making Under Uncertainty , 1985, Oper. Res..

[15]  T. Cason An Experimental Investigation of the Seller Incentives in the EPA's Emission Trading Auction , 1995 .

[16]  R. Mark Isaac,et al.  Information and conspiracy in sealed bid auctions , 1985 .

[17]  Radosveta Ivanova-Stenzel,et al.  Bidder preferences among auction institutions , 2004 .

[18]  Timothy C. Salmon,et al.  Response of Risky Choice to Variance Reduction , 2009 .

[19]  J. Morgan,et al.  The Spite Motive and Equilibrium Behavior in Auctions , 2003 .

[20]  Robert E. Dorsey,et al.  Explaining Overbidding in First Price Auctions Using Controlled Lotteries , 2003 .

[21]  Duncan James,et al.  Just Who Are You Calling Risk Averse? , 2000 .

[22]  Radosveta Ivanova-Stenzel,et al.  Revenue equivalence revisited , 2008, Games Econ. Behav..