Improvements in human reasoning and an error in L. J. Cohen's
暂无分享,去创建一个
[1] Kenneth R. Hammond,et al. Judgment and Decision in Public Policy Formation , 1978 .
[2] P. Wason. On the Failure to Eliminate Hypotheses in a Conceptual Task , 1960 .
[3] B. Foss. New Horizons in Psychology 1 , 1966 .
[4] William Kneale,et al. The development of logic , 1963 .
[5] P. Slovic,et al. Dominance of accuracy information and neglect of base rates in probability estimation , 1976 .
[6] Austin J. Bonis. Gambling With Truth , 1976 .
[7] A. Tversky,et al. On the psychology of prediction , 1973 .
[8] Thomas Reid,et al. Essays On The Intellectual Powers Of Man , 1850 .
[9] J. Berry,et al. Culture and Cognition , 1974 .
[10] Lee Roy Beach,et al. Subjective probabilities for unions of events , 1966 .
[11] Daniel Kahneman,et al. Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability , 1973 .
[12] M. Bar-Hillel. The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments. , 1980 .
[13] M. Henle. On the relation between logic and thinking. , 1962, Psychological review.
[14] Noam Chomsky,et al. Language and Mind , 1973 .
[15] A. Goldman. Discrimination and Perceptual Knowledge , 1976 .
[16] G. Sampson. The form of language , 1975 .
[17] J. Bruner,et al. Cultural Differences and Inferences About Psychological Processes. , 1971 .
[18] M. Fishbein. Progress in social psychology , 1980 .
[19] P. Nidditch,et al. Enquiries: Concerning Human Understanding and Concerning the Principles of Morals , 1966 .
[20] Philip N. Johnson-Laird,et al. Thinking; Readings in Cognitive Science , 1977 .
[21] Frederic Tamler Sommers,et al. The logic of natural language , 1984 .
[22] G. L. S. Shackle,et al. Expectation in Economics , 1951 .
[23] H. Simon,et al. Models of Man. , 1957 .
[24] Henry Ely Kyburg,et al. The logical foundations of statistical inference , 1974 .
[25] Glenn Shafer,et al. A Mathematical Theory of Evidence , 2020, A Mathematical Theory of Evidence.
[26] J. March. Bounded rationality, ambiguity, and the engineering of choice , 1978 .
[27] P. C. Duyne. Necessity and contingency in reasoning , 1976 .
[28] G. Harman,et al. The logic of grammar , 1975 .
[29] J. Piaget,et al. The principles of genetic epistemology , 1972 .
[30] K. Popper. The Propensity Interpretation of Probability , 1959 .
[31] H. Simon,et al. Rationality as Process and as Product of Thought , 1978 .
[32] I. Todhunter,et al. A history of the mathematical theory of probability from the time of Pascal to that of Laplace / by I. Todhunter. , 1865 .
[33] A. Tversky,et al. Subjective Probability: A Judgment of Representativeness , 1972 .
[34] A. Tversky,et al. On the interpretation of intuitive probability: A reply to Jonathan Cohen , 1979, Cognition.
[35] F. Ramsey. The foundations of mathematics , 1932 .
[36] Carl G. Hempel,et al. I.—STUDIES IN THE LOGIC OF CONFIRMATION (II.) , 1945 .
[37] P C Wason,et al. Reasoning about a Rule , 1968, The Quarterly journal of experimental psychology.
[38] K. Manktelow,et al. Facilitation of reasoning by realism: Effect or non‐effect? , 1979 .
[39] Carl-Axel S. Staël von Holstein,et al. The Concept of Probability in Psychological Experiments , 1974 .
[40] J. Smedslund,et al. CIRCULAR RELATION BETWEEN UNDERSTANDING AND LOGIC , 1970 .
[41] P. A. Reich. The Finiteness of Natural Language , 1969 .
[42] L. Cohen,et al. Whose is the fallacy? A rejoinder to Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky , 1980, Cognition.
[43] Hans Reichenbach,et al. Philosophic foundations of quantum mechanics , 1945 .
[44] K. R. Hammond. Probabilistic functioning and the clinical method. , 1955, Psychological review.
[45] Clifford R. Mynatt,et al. Consequences of Confirmation and Disconfirmation in a Simulated Research Environment , 1978 .
[46] P. Johnson-Laird,et al. REASONING AND A SENSE OF REALITY , 1972 .
[47] W. A. Wagenaar. Generation of random sequences by human subjects: A critical survey of literature. , 1972 .
[48] B. Russell,et al. Introduction to Mathematical Philosophy , 1920, The Mathematical Gazette.
[49] J. Smedslund. Bandura's theory of self-efficacy: A set of common sense theorems. , 1978 .
[50] L. Cohen. Intuition, Induction, and the Middle Way , 1982 .
[51] M. Seligman. On the generality of the laws of learning , 1970 .
[52] D. A. Sprott,et al. Foundations of Statistical Inference. , 1972 .
[53] Robin M. Hogarth,et al. Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions , 1975 .
[54] L. Ross,et al. Human Inference: Strategies and Shortcomings of Social Judgment. , 1981 .
[55] Clifford R. Mynatt,et al. Confirmation Bias in a Simulated Research Environment: An Experimental Study of Scientific Inference , 1977 .
[56] L. Cohen,et al. On the psychology of prediction: Whose is the fallacy? , 1979, Cognition.
[57] Maya Bar-Hillel,et al. The role of sample size in sample evaluation , 1979 .
[58] P. Johnson-Laird,et al. Psychology of Reasoning: Structure and Content , 1972 .
[59] N. Goodman. Fact, Fiction, and Forecast , 1955 .
[60] M. Dummett. Truth and other enigmas , 1978 .
[61] P C Wason,et al. Regression in reasoning? , 1969, British journal of psychology.
[62] L. Cohen. The Implications of Induction , 2019 .
[63] David Hume. A Treatise of Human Nature: Being an Attempt to introduce the experimental Method of Reasoning into Moral Subjects , 1972 .
[64] N. Daniels. On some methods of ethics and linguistics , 1980 .
[65] Pc Vanduyne. REALISM AND LINGUISTIC COMPLEXITY IN REASONING , 1974 .
[66] Geoffrey Hellman,et al. Reason and prediction , 1975 .
[67] P. Johnson-Laird,et al. A CONFLICT BETWEEN SELECTING AND EVALUATING INFORMATION IN AN INFERENTIAL TASK , 1970 .
[68] S. B. Sells,et al. An atmosphere effect in formal syllogistic reasoning. , 1935 .
[69] Nicholas Rescher,et al. The Logic of Decision and Action , 1967 .
[70] David Hume,et al. David Hume: Enquiries Concerning Human Understanding and Concerning the Principles of Morals (Third Edition) , 1975 .
[71] R. Hogarth,et al. Confidence in judgment: Persistence of the illusion of validity. , 1978 .
[72] Paul Slovic,et al. Response-induced reversals of preference in gambling: An extended replication in las vegas , 1973 .
[73] Lola L. Lopes,et al. Test of an ordering hypothesis in risky decision making , 1980 .
[74] Stephen P. Stich,et al. Justification and the Psychology of Human Reasoning , 1980, Philosophy of Science.
[75] P. Wason,et al. Natural and contrived experience in a reasoning problem , 1971 .
[76] Isaac Levi,et al. The Enterprise Of Knowledge , 1980 .
[77] James Shanteau,et al. Component Processes in Risky Decision Making. , 1974 .
[78] J. Smedslund. The logic of psychological treatment. , 1981, Scandinavian journal of psychology.
[79] P. Kocher. Francis Bacon on the Science of Jurisprudence , 1957 .
[80] Willard Van Orman Quine,et al. Word and Object , 1960 .
[81] Stephen P. Stich,et al. Logical form and natural language , 1975 .
[82] J. L. Mackie,et al. Truth, probability and paradox , 1973 .
[83] Norman Daniels,et al. Wide Reflective Equilibrium and Theory Acceptance in Ethics , 1979 .
[84] M. Hammerton,et al. A case of radical probability estimation. , 1973 .
[85] B. Fischhoff,et al. Hindsight is not equal to foresight: The effect of outcome knowledge on judgment under uncertainty. , 1975 .
[86] J. Moravcsik,et al. COMPETENCE, CREATIVITY, AND INNATENESS , 1975 .
[87] R. Lewontin,et al. Sociobiology as an adaptationist program. , 1979, Behavioral science.
[88] J. L. Mackie,et al. The Matter of Chance. , 1971 .
[89] R. Hogarth,et al. BEHAVIORAL DECISION THEORY: PROCESSES OF JUDGMENT AND CHOICE , 1981 .
[90] J. Mackie,et al. The cement of the universe : a study of causation , 1977 .
[91] J. Smedslund. PIAGET'S PSYCHOLOGY IN PRACTICE* , 1977 .
[92] W. L. SUMNER,et al. International Encyclopædia of Unified Science , 1956, Nature.
[93] L. Cohen. Can the Conversationalist Hypothesis be Defended , 1977 .
[94] N. Anderson,et al. Information integration in risky decision making , 1970 .
[95] Noam Chomsky,et al. वाक्यविन्यास का सैद्धान्तिक पक्ष = Aspects of the theory of syntax , 1965 .
[96] D. M. Armstrong,et al. Belief, Truth And Knowledge , 1973 .
[97] Jaakko Hintikka,et al. Basic Problems in Methodology and Linguistics , 1977 .
[98] Rudolf Carnap,et al. Meaning and Necessity , 1947 .
[99] Alfréd Rényi,et al. Foundations of Probability , 1971 .
[100] B. Brehmer. In one word: Not from experience. , 1980 .
[101] J. Keynes. A Treatise on Probability. , 1923 .
[102] P. C. Wason,et al. THE LANGUAGE OF INCONSISTENCY , 1974 .
[103] P. Billingsley,et al. Probability and Measure , 1980 .
[104] Brian Ellis,et al. Rational Belief Systems. , 1980 .
[105] L. J. Chapman,et al. Genesis of popular but erroneous psychodiagnostic observations. , 1967, Journal of abnormal psychology.
[106] B. Clifford,et al. The psychology of person identification , 1978 .
[107] J. S. Evans,et al. Current Issues in the Psychology of Reasoning. , 1980 .
[108] A. Tversky,et al. BELIEF IN THE LAW OF SMALL NUMBERS , 1971, Pediatrics.
[109] Hugo Münsterberg,et al. On the Witness Stand; Essays on Psychology and Crime , 2007 .
[110] Lola L. Lopes. Model-based decision and inference in stud poker. , 1976 .
[111] Rudolf Carnap,et al. Logical foundations of probability , 1951 .
[112] S. S. Wilks,et al. Probability, statistics and truth , 1939 .
[113] Eugene Borgida,et al. Attribution and the psychology of prediction. , 1975 .
[114] L. J. Chapman,et al. Illusory correlation as an obstacle to the use of valid psychodiagnostic signs. , 1969, Journal of abnormal psychology.
[115] T. Broadbent,et al. Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge , 1972 .
[116] L. Cohen,et al. Some Historical Remarks on the Baconian Conception of Probability , 1980 .
[117] H. Bergson,et al. Introduction à la métaphysique , 1931 .
[118] A. Tversky. Utility theory and additivity analysis of risky choices. , 1967, Journal of experimental psychology.
[119] G. Sampson. Liberty and language , 1979 .
[120] I. Lakatos,et al. The problem of inductive logic , 1970 .
[121] T. Fine,et al. The Emergence of Probability , 1976 .
[122] H. Jeffreys. A Treatise on Probability , 1922, Nature.
[123] Willard Van Orman Quine,et al. Methods of Logic. , 1951 .
[124] P. Johnson-Laird,et al. A theoretical analysis of insight into a reasoning task , 1970 .
[125] L. Cohen,et al. Bayesianism versus Baconianism in the Evaluation of Medical Diagnoses , 1980 .
[126] L. Cohen,et al. The Probable and the Provable. , 1977 .
[127] W. Edwards. Cognitive Processes and the Assessment of Subjective Probability Distributions: Comment , 1975 .
[128] M. Kendall,et al. The Logic of Scientific Discovery. , 1959 .
[129] T. Chalmers,et al. The present status of shunts for portal hypertension in cirrhosis. , 1966, Gastroenterology.
[130] Irving M. Klotz,et al. The N-Ray Affair , 1980 .
[131] Yehoshua Bar-Hillel,et al. Pragmatics of natural languages , 1975 .
[132] Koch Sigmund Ed,et al. Psychology: A Study of A Science , 1962 .
[133] John Venn,et al. The Logic Of Chance , 1888 .
[134] Nuel D. Belnap,et al. Entailment : the logic of relevance and necessity , 1975 .
[135] A. Tversky,et al. The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. , 1981, Science.
[136] A. J. Ayer,et al. Language, Truth, and Logic , 1936 .
[137] J. Mill. A System of Logic , 1843 .
[138] Lewis R. Goldberg,et al. Man versus model of man: A rationale, plus some evidence, for a method of improving on clinical inferences. , 1970 .
[139] B. Fischhoff,et al. Behavioral Decision Theory , 1977 .
[140] R. Dawes,et al. Linear models in decision making. , 1974 .
[141] D. Armstrong,et al. Belief, Truth and Knowledge. , 1974 .
[142] H. J. Einhorn,et al. Cognitive processes in choice and decision behavior , 1979 .
[143] Lola L. Lopes. Doing the impossible: A note on induction and the experience of randomness. , 1982 .
[144] M. S. Mayzner,et al. Cognition And Reality , 1976 .
[145] H. M. Jenkins,et al. JUDGMENT OF CONTINGENCY BETWEEN RESPONSES AND OUTCOMES. , 1965, Psychological monographs.
[146] R. Swinburne. FALSIFIABILITY OF SCIENTIFIC THEORIES , 1964 .
[147] B. Finetti. Sul significato soggettivo della probabilità , 1931 .