A Bayesian System for Cloud Performance Diagnosis and Prediction

The stochastic nature of the cloud systems makes cloud quality of service (QoS) performance diagnosis and prediction a challenging task. A plethora of factors including virtual machine types, data centre regions, CPU types, time-of-the-day, and day-of-the-week contribute to the variability of the cloud QoS. The state-of-the-art methods for cloud performance diagnosis do not capture and model complex and uncertain inter-dependencies between these factors for efficient cloud QoS diagnosis and prediction. This paper presents ALPINE, a proof-of-concept system based on Bayesian networks. Using a real-life dataset, we demonstrate that ALPINE can be utilised for efficient cloud QoS diagnosis and prediction under stochastic cloud conditions.