Preference Summaries for Stochastic Tree Rollback

A stochastic tree is a convenient structure to represent the future health process of a patient, and it can be used to make complex medical decisions or to carry out cost effectiveness analyses of expensive medical treatments. Several types of von Neumann utility functions defined on stochastic trees are recursive in that they allow rollback of the stochastic tree, as in the case of decision trees. Most recursive utility functions also admit preference summaries that can be used to decompose a stochastic tree into preference elements and probabilistic elements. Through an example, we describe this decomposition and subsequent utility computations.

[1]  Gordon B. Hazen,et al.  Recursive Utility for Stochastic Trees , 1996, Oper. Res..

[2]  G. Hazen Stochastic Trees , 1992, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[3]  Jayavel Sounderpandian,et al.  Stochastic Trees and Medical Decision Making , 1997 .

[4]  Gordon B. Hazen,et al.  A Cost-effectiveness Analysis of Total Hip Arthroplasty for Osteoarthritis of the Hip , 1996 .

[5]  Robert F. Nau,et al.  Economic and environmental risk and uncertainty: new models and methods. , 1997 .

[6]  S G Pauker,et al.  Transient ischemic attacks in a man with coronary artery disease: two strategies neck and neck. , 1986, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[7]  G B Hazen,et al.  Factored Stochastic Trees , 1993, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[8]  Jayavel Sounderpandian,et al.  Stochastic-Tree Models in Medical Decision Making , 1998, Interfaces.

[9]  Gordon B. Hazen,et al.  Continuous-risk Utility Assessment in Medical Decision Making , 1991, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[10]  Gordon B. Hazen,et al.  A Continuous-Risk Decision Analysis of Total Hip Replacement , 1996 .

[11]  J. Aczel,et al.  A Short Course on Functional Equations: Based Upon Recent Applications to the Social and Behavioral Sciences , 1986 .