Economics of extreme weather events: Terminology and regional impact models

Impacts of extreme weather events are relevant for regional (in the sense of subnational) economies and in particular cities in many aspects. Cities are the cores of economic activity and the amount of people and assets endangered by extreme weather events is large, even under the current climate. A changing climate with changing extreme weather patterns and the process of urbanization will make the whole issue even more relevant in the future. In this paper, definitions and terminology in the field of extreme weather events are discussed. Possible regional impacts of extreme weather events are collected, focusing on European cities. The human contributions to those impacts are emphasized. Furthermore, methodological aspects of economic impact assessment are discussed along a temporal and a sectoral dimension. Finally, common economic impact models are compared, analyzing their strengths and weaknesses.

[1]  J. Kowalewski,et al.  Estimating direct and indirect damages from storm surges: The case of Wilhelmsburg/Hamburg , 2012 .

[2]  Stéphane Hallegatte,et al.  An Adaptive Regional Input‐Output Model and its Application to the Assessment of the Economic Cost of Katrina , 2006, Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis.

[3]  William J. Fisk,et al.  Effect of temperature on task performance in officeenvironment , 2006 .

[4]  G. West,et al.  Comparison of Input–Output, Input–Output + Econometric and Computable General Equilibrium Impact Models at the Regional Level , 1995 .

[5]  A. Haines Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Third Assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Book review] , 2003 .

[6]  Michael Berlemann,et al.  Kurzfristige Wachstumseffekte von Naturkatastrophen. Eine empirische Analyse der Flutkatastrophe vom August 2002 in Sachsen , 2007 .

[7]  Xenia Frei,et al.  Sektorale und regionale Betroffenheit durch den Klimawandel am Beispiel der Metropolregion Hamburg , 2013 .

[8]  A. Anas,et al.  A Regional Economy, Land Use, and Transportation Model (Relu-Tran©): Formulation, Algorithm Design, and Testing , 2007 .

[9]  R. Pierce-Brown,et al.  The economics of Accounting for Growth , 1999 .

[10]  S. Hallegatte,et al.  Can natural disasters have positive consequences? Investigating the role of embodied technical change , 2009 .

[11]  Paulo Guimaraes,et al.  Wealth And Income Effects Of Natural Disasters: An Econometric Analysis Of Hurricane Hugo , 1993 .

[12]  A. Rose Economic Principles, Issues, and Research Priorities in Hazard Loss Estimation , 2004 .

[13]  A. Sen Poverty and famines : an essay on entitlement and deprivation , 1983 .

[15]  M. Jahn A spatial computable general equilibrium model for the analysis of regional climate change impacts and adaptation policies , 2014 .

[16]  David B. Stephenson,et al.  Climate Extremes and Society: Definition, diagnosis, and origin of extreme weather and climate events , 2008 .

[17]  A. Rose,et al.  Modeling Regional Economic Resilience to Disasters: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Water Service Disruptions , 2005 .

[18]  J. Hansen,et al.  Perception of climate change , 2012, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[19]  A. Flegg,et al.  On the Appropriate Use of Location Quotients in Generating Regional Input‐Output Tables: Reply , 1995 .

[20]  Stéphane Hallegatte,et al.  Modeling the Roles of Heterogeneity, Substitution, and Inventories in the Assessment of Natural Disaster Economic Costs , 2012 .

[21]  D. Lüthi,et al.  The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves , 2004, Nature.

[22]  N. Nicholls,et al.  Weather and Climate Extremes , 1999 .