Competitive heterogeneity, cohorts, and persistent advantage

Research summary: Juxtaposing competing theories of whether superior profits endure, this article investigates differences in the rates at which firms' profit advantages persist following a significant regulatory change in the rules governing industry competition. Such a change creates two cohorts of firms, Entrants that lack experience in the industry and Incumbents that competed in the industry before the regulatory shift. The findings show that both cohorts' profit advantages persist, but at different rates: Superior performing Incumbents sustain an advantage longer than superior performing Entrants. This result is counterintuitive since Entrants are not constrained by a legacy of competing under the prior regime. Overall, the findings indicate that stages of a firm's development and of an industry's evolution are critical to understanding how long superior profits persist. Managerial summary: State and federal institutions employ regulations in an attempt to address market failures and to create a stable set of market and nonmarket relationships among relevant actors. A byproduct of this stability is decreased competition, and in turn, reduced incentives for firms to develop efficient operations. One might expect then that deregulation would fundamentally disrupt incumbent firms' abilities to develop and sustain a profit advantage. We find the reverse: Over time, some firms in the Incumbent cohort develop persistent, albeit temporary, profit advantages despite an onslaught of Entrants. Thus, while deregulation shakes out inefficient firms, it may strengthen, rather than threaten the profit trajectories of incumbent firms over time. Advantages developed by superior performing Entrants also endure, but for a shorter duration relative to Incumbents. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

[1]  John Goddard,et al.  The persistence of profit: a new empirical interpretation , 1999 .

[2]  John W. Meyer,et al.  Institutionalized Organizations: Formal Structure as Myth and Ceremony , 1977, American Journal of Sociology.

[3]  April M. Franco,et al.  Knowledge Diffusion through Employee Mobility , 2000 .

[4]  John H. Freeman,et al.  PROFITABILITY, TRANSACTIONAL ALIGNMENT, AND ORGANIZATIONAL MORTALITY IN THE U.S. TRUCKING INDUSTRY , 1997 .

[5]  April M. Franco Employee Entrepreneurship: Recent Research and Future Directions , 2005 .

[6]  Gordon Walker,et al.  Incumbent and Entrant Rivalry in a Deregulated Industry , 2007, Organ. Sci..

[7]  M. Hannan Rethinking Age Dependence in Organizational Mortality: Logical Fromalizations1 , 1998, American Journal of Sociology.

[8]  M. Porter,et al.  The Persistence of Shocks to Profitability , 1999, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[9]  A. Knott Persistent heterogeneity and sustainable innovation , 2003 .

[10]  Tammy L. Madsen,et al.  What Factors Affect the Persistence of an Innovation Advantage? , 2015 .

[11]  K. Boyer DEREGULATION OF THE TRUCKING SECTOR: SPECIALIZATION, CONCENTRATION, ENTRY, AND FINANCIAL DISTRESS. , 1993 .

[12]  J. Barney Firm Resources and Sustained Competitive Advantage , 1991 .

[13]  L Isaacson,et al.  The Enduring Effects of Cohort Characteristics on Age‐Specific Homicide Rates, 1960‐1995 , 1999, American Journal of Sociology.

[14]  Steven Klepper,et al.  Entry by Spinoffs , 2005, Manag. Sci..

[15]  R. Rumelt How much does industry matter , 1991 .

[16]  Deregulation, Business Strategy, and Wages in the Airline Industry , 1989 .

[17]  Theodore E. Keeler,et al.  Pricing in a Deregulated Environment: The Motor Carrier Experience , 1991 .

[18]  Richard A. DAveni,et al.  The changing nature of competition in the US manufacturing sector, 1950—2002 , 2009 .

[19]  M. Hout,et al.  Social and Demographic Factors in American Political Party Preferences , 1974 .

[20]  Frank R. Lichtenberg,et al.  Testing the Convergence Hypothesis , 1994 .

[21]  Robert Jacobsen,et al.  The persistence of abnormal returns , 1988 .

[22]  M. Hannan,et al.  Structural Inertia and Organizational Change , 1984 .

[23]  Belén Villalonga Intangible resources, Tobin's q, and sustainability of performance differences , 2004 .

[24]  Clifford Winston,et al.  U.S. Industry Adjustment to Economic Deregulation , 1998 .

[25]  Philip E. Strahan The real effects of U.S. banking deregulation , 2003 .

[26]  Timothy W. Ruefli,et al.  Sustained Competitive Advantage: Temporal Dynamics and the Incidence and Persistence of Superior Economic Performance , 2002, Organ. Sci..

[27]  Karel Cool,et al.  Asset stock accumulation and sustainability of competitive advantage , 1989 .

[28]  S. Klepper Entry, Exit, Growth, and Innovation over the Product Life Cycle , 1996 .

[29]  Steven Klepper,et al.  Firm Survival and the Evolution of Oligopoly , 2002 .

[30]  Michael E. Porter,et al.  The Emergence and Sustainability of Abnormal Profits , 2003 .

[31]  Dennis C. Mueller,et al.  Profits in the long run: Index , 1986 .

[32]  G. Waring,et al.  Industry Differences in the Persistence of Firm-Specific Returns , 1996 .

[33]  David Roodman,et al.  A Note on the Theme of Too Many Instruments , 2008 .

[34]  Gary R. Carini,et al.  How does institutional change affect heterogeneity among firms , 2002 .

[35]  Martin Carree,et al.  Testing the Convergence Hypothesis: A Comment , 1997, Review of Economics and Statistics.

[36]  Paul Geroski,et al.  The Convergence of Profits in the Long Run: Inter-firm and Inter-industry Comparisons , 1987 .

[37]  Steven Klepper,et al.  The Evolution of New Industries and the Determinants of Market Structure , 1990 .

[38]  W. Mitchell Whether and When? Probability and Timing of Incumbents' Entry into Emerging Industrial Subfields , 1989 .

[39]  Philip E. Strahan,et al.  Entry Restrictions, Industry Evolution, and Dynamic Efficiency: Evidence From Commercial Banking1 , 1998, The Journal of Law and Economics.

[40]  Stefano Brusoni,et al.  The Rejuvenation of Inventors Through Corporate Spinouts , 2013, Organ. Sci..

[41]  G. Dosi,et al.  Introduction: Interfirm heterogeneity—nature, sources and consequences for industrial dynamics , 2010 .

[42]  Philip E. Strahan,et al.  Competitive Dynamics of Deregulation: Evidence from U.S. Banking , 2003 .

[43]  Giovanni Dosi,et al.  Statistical Regularities in the Evolution of Industries. A Guide through some Evidence and Challenges for the Theory , 2005 .

[44]  Hugo Hopenhayn Entry, exit, and firm dynamics in long run equilibrium , 1992 .

[45]  Paul L. Joskow,et al.  Inflation and Environmental Concern: Structural Change in the Process of Public Utility Price Regulation , 1974, The Journal of Law and Economics.

[46]  S. Lippman,et al.  Uncertain Imitability: An Analysis of Interfirm Differences in Efficiency under Competition , 1982 .

[47]  Gonçalo Pacheco-de-Almeida,et al.  The Timing of Resource Development and Sustainable Competitive Advantage , 2007, Manag. Sci..

[48]  Lung-fei Lee Generalized Econometric Models with Selectivity , 1983 .

[49]  T. C. Powell,et al.  Rank friction: an ordinal approach to persistent profitability , 2010 .

[50]  Stephen Nickell,et al.  Biases in Dynamic Models with Fixed Effects , 1981 .

[51]  Heather A. Haveman,et al.  Structuring a Theory of Moral Sentiments: Institutional and Organizational Coevolution in the Early Thrift Industry1 , 1997, American Journal of Sociology.

[52]  Dennis C. Mueller,et al.  Profits in the long run: Acknowledgments , 1986 .

[53]  P. Geroski What do we know about entry , 1995 .

[54]  James J. Anton,et al.  Start-ups, Spin-offs, and Internal Projects , 1995 .

[55]  A. Jacquemin,et al.  The Persistence of Profits - a European Comparison , 1988 .

[56]  J. Heckman Sample selection bias as a specification error , 1979 .

[57]  M. Arellano,et al.  Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations , 1991 .

[58]  Margaret A. Peteraf,et al.  Managerial discretion and internal alignment under regulatory constraints and change , 2007 .