The pace of vocabulary growth helps predict later vocabulary skill.

Children vary widely in the rate at which they acquire words--some start slow and speed up, others start fast and continue at a steady pace. Do early developmental variations of this sort help predict vocabulary skill just prior to kindergarten entry? This longitudinal study starts by examining important predictors (socioeconomic status [SES], parent input, child gesture) of vocabulary growth between 14 and 46 months (n = 62) and then uses growth estimates to predict children's vocabulary at 54 months. Velocity and acceleration in vocabulary development at 30 months predicted later vocabulary, particularly for children from low-SES backgrounds. Understanding the pace of early vocabulary growth thus improves our ability to predict school readiness and may help identify children at risk for starting behind.

[1]  C. Snow Mothers' Speech to Children Learning Language. , 1972 .

[2]  K. Nelson,et al.  Structure and strategy in learning to talk. , 1973 .

[3]  Lois Bloom,et al.  One Word at a Time: The Use of Single Word Utterances Before Syntax , 1976 .

[4]  G. Schwarz Estimating the Dimension of a Model , 1978 .

[5]  David Rogosa,et al.  A growth curve approach to the measurement of change. , 1982 .

[6]  K. Stanovich Matthew effects in reading: Some consequences of individual differences in the acquisition of literacy. , 1986 .

[7]  A. Gopnik,et al.  The Development of Categorization in the Second Year and Its Relation to Other Cognitive and Linguistic Developments. , 1987 .

[8]  Wayne A. Fuller,et al.  Measurement Error Models , 1988 .

[9]  Susan Goldin-Meadow,et al.  The Development of Morphology Without a Conventional Language Model , 1990 .

[10]  J. Reznick,et al.  Early lexical acquisition: rate, content, and the vocabulary spurt , 1990, Journal of Child Language.

[11]  A. Bryk,et al.  Early vocabulary growth: Relation to language input and gender. , 1991 .

[12]  E. Hoff-Ginsberg,et al.  Mother-child conversation in different social classes and communicative settings. , 1991, Child development.

[13]  J. Steven Reznick,et al.  Rapid change in lexical development in comprehension and production , 1992 .

[14]  B. Hart,et al.  American Parenting of Language-Learning Children: Persisting Differences in Family-Child Interactions Observed in Natural Home Environments. , 1992 .

[15]  Anthony S. Bryk,et al.  Hierarchical Linear Models: Applications and Data Analysis Methods , 1992 .

[16]  M. Tomasello,et al.  Variability in early communicative development. , 1994, Monographs of the Society for Research in Child Development.

[17]  M. Braine,et al.  Is nativism sufficient? , 1994, Journal of Child Language.

[18]  Yuriko Oshima-Takane,et al.  Birth Order Effects on Early Language Development: Do Secondborn Children Learn from Overheard Speech? , 1996 .

[19]  E. Shipley,et al.  Parental speech to middle- and working-class children from two racial groups in three settings , 1996, Applied Psycholinguistics.

[20]  Rebecca J. Panagos Meaningful Differences in the Everyday Experience of Young American Children , 1998 .

[21]  Catherine E. Snow,et al.  Preventing reading difficulties in young children , 1998 .

[22]  E. Hoff-Ginsberg The relation of birth order and socioeconomic status to children's language experience and language development , 1998, Applied Psycholinguistics.

[23]  C. Snow,et al.  Lexical input as related to children's vocabulary acquisition: effects of sophisticated exposure and support for meaning. , 2001, Developmental psychology.

[24]  David K. Dickinson,et al.  Beginning Literacy with Language: Young Children Learning at Home and School. , 2001 .

[25]  M. Minami How Children Learn the Meanings of Words , 2001 .

[26]  Letitia R. Naigles,et al.  How children use input to acquire a lexicon. , 2002, Child development.

[27]  J. Singer,et al.  Applied Longitudinal Data Analysis , 2003 .

[28]  E. Hoff Causes and consequences of SES-related differences in parent-to-child speech. , 2003 .

[29]  E. Hoff The specificity of environmental influence: socioeconomic status affects early vocabulary development via maternal speech. , 2003, Child development.

[30]  Jeffrey L. Elman,et al.  Development: it's about time , 2003 .

[31]  Susan Goldin Hearing gesture : how our hands help us think , 2003 .

[32]  Michael R Brent,et al.  Reexamining the vocabulary spurt. , 2004, Developmental psychology.

[33]  S. Suter Meaningful differences in the everyday experience of young American children , 2005, European Journal of Pediatrics.

[34]  J. Singer,et al.  Maternal correlates of growth in toddler vocabulary production in low-income families. , 2005, Child development.

[35]  Susan Goldin-Meadow,et al.  Gesture Paves the Way for Language Development , 2005, Psychological science.

[36]  E. Hoff How social contexts support and shape language development , 2006 .

[37]  K. Mccartney,et al.  Best practices in quantitative methods for developmentalists. , 2006, Monographs of the Society for Research in Child Development.

[38]  K. Mccartney,et al.  INTRODUCTION TO THE MONOGRAPH , 2006 .

[39]  E. Hoff The Uses of Longitudinal Data and Person-Centered Analyses in the Study of Cognitive and Language Development , 2006 .

[40]  S. Goldin-Meadow,et al.  Pointing sets the stage for learning language--and creating language. , 2007, Child development.

[41]  Jack L. Vevea,et al.  The varieties of speech to young children. , 2007, Developmental psychology.

[42]  Bob McMurray,et al.  Defusing the Childhood Vocabulary Explosion , 2007, Science.

[43]  Susan Goldin-Meadow,et al.  Young children use their hands to tell their mothers what to say. , 2007, Developmental science.

[44]  G. Duncan,et al.  School readiness and later achievement. , 2007, Developmental psychology.

[45]  M. Rowe,et al.  Child-directed speech: relation to socioeconomic status, knowledge of child development and child vocabulary skill* , 2008, Journal of Child Language.

[46]  Susan Goldin-Meadow,et al.  Learning words by hand: Gesture's role in predicting vocabulary development , 2008, First language.

[47]  K. Adolph,et al.  What is the shape of developmental change? , 2008, Psychological review.

[48]  Stephen W. Raudenbush,et al.  Statistical Inference When Classroom Quality is Measured With Error , 2008 .

[49]  S. Goldin-Meadow,et al.  Differences in Early Gesture Explain SES Disparities in Child Vocabulary Size at School Entry , 2009, Science.

[50]  Susan Goldin-Meadow,et al.  Early gesture selectively predicts later language learning. , 2009, Developmental science.

[51]  M. Rowe,et al.  Does linguistic input play the same role in language learning for children with and without early brain injury? , 2009, Developmental psychology.

[52]  Susan Goldin-Meadow,et al.  Early gesture predicts language delay in children with pre- or perinatal brain lesions. , 2010, Child development.

[53]  E. S. LeBarton Gesture's Role in Facilitating Language Development. , 2010 .

[54]  Jonathan M. Campbell,et al.  Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test , 2010 .

[55]  Heidi Waterfall,et al.  Sources of variability in children’s language growth , 2010, Cognitive Psychology.

[56]  J. Rodgers The epistemology of mathematical and statistical modeling: a quiet methodological revolution. , 2010, The American psychologist.

[57]  M. Rowe A longitudinal investigation of the role of quantity and quality of child-directed speech in vocabulary development. , 2012, Child development.

[58]  E. Bates,et al.  INDIVIDUAL DIFFERENCES AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS FOR THEORIES OF LANGUAGE DEVELOPMENT , 1995 .