Heat wave impact on morbidity and mortality in the elderly population: a review of recent studies.

BACKGROUND The on-going climate change is predicted to yield a growing number of extreme climate events which will increase in both intensity and frequency. Increased longevity is changing society's demographics. It is very likely this will have a direct impact on population health. Many studies have previously shown that the elderly in a society are among the most vulnerable to heat waves. OBJECTIVES With a rapidly growing number of publications on this subject the objective was to review the recent literature for research regarding the impact of heat waves and elevated temperature on the elderly with regards to mortality and morbidity. METHODS PubMed was searched to identify studies published in English between 1st of January 2008 and 31st of December 2010 using the following key words: heat wave, mortality, morbidity, elderly and temperature. The relationship between high temperature and mortality and/or morbidity had to be studied. Results for the elderly had to be provided. RESULTS Six studies of temperature-morbidity-relationship were found and 24 studies of temperature-mortality-relationship. Studies consistently reported increases in cardiovascular and respiratory mortality, as appeared also respiratory admissions to do during hot days and heat waves. However, the number of studies on morbidity published was much fewer. Few studies reported social, medical and environmental susceptibility factors. CONCLUSIONS Future research should focus on studying susceptibilities and to non-fatal events which are not as studied as mortality. Studies on the modification of type of urban environment, housing and mortality and morbidity in the elderly population are also needed.

[1]  J. Llorca,et al.  Extreme temperatures and mortality in the North of Spain , 2012, International Journal of Public Health.

[2]  Grégoire Rey,et al.  Heat exposure and socio-economic vulnerability as synergistic factors in heat-wave-related mortality , 2009, European Journal of Epidemiology.

[3]  S. Hajat,et al.  Relationship between daily suicide counts and temperature in England and Wales. , 2007, The British journal of psychiatry : the journal of mental science.

[4]  F. Rouillon,et al.  Risk of death related to psychotropic drug use in older people during the European 2003 heatwave: a population-based case-control study. , 2009, The American journal of geriatric psychiatry : official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry.

[5]  K. Parton,et al.  Temperature and direct effects on population health in Brisbane, 1986-1995. , 2008, Journal of environmental health.

[6]  K. Katsouyanni,et al.  THE 1987 ATHENS HEATWAVE , 1988, The Lancet.

[7]  E. Hernández,et al.  Heat waves in Madrid 1986–1997: effects on the health of the elderly , 2002, International archives of occupational and environmental health.

[8]  R. Basu,et al.  A multicounty analysis identifying the populations vulnerable to mortality associated with high ambient temperature in California. , 2008, American journal of epidemiology.

[9]  H. R. Anderson,et al.  High temperature and hospitalizations for cardiovascular and respiratory causes in 12 European cities. , 2009, American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine.

[10]  J. Díaz,et al.  Impact of high temperatures on hospital admissions: comparative analysis with previous studies about mortality (Madrid). , 2008, European journal of public health.

[11]  Tom Kosatsky,et al.  Health effects of hot weather: from awareness of risk factors to effective health protection , 2010, The Lancet.

[12]  Mohamed Shoukri,et al.  Prognostic factors in heat wave related deaths: a meta-analysis. , 2007, Archives of internal medicine.

[13]  Denis Hémon,et al.  Excess mortality related to the August 2003 heat wave in France , 2006, International archives of occupational and environmental health.

[14]  H. Howe,et al.  Heat-related deaths during the July 1995 heat wave in Chicago. , 1996, The New England journal of medicine.

[15]  G. Brooke Anderson,et al.  Heat Waves in the United States: Mortality Risk during Heat Waves and Effect Modification by Heat Wave Characteristics in 43 U.S. Communities , 2010, Environmental health perspectives.

[16]  L. Toulemon,et al.  The mortality impact of the August 2003 heat wave in France: Investigating the ‘harvesting’ effect and other long-term consequences , 2008, Population studies.

[17]  Wei Huang,et al.  The impact of the 2003 heat wave on mortality in Shanghai, China. , 2010, The Science of the total environment.

[18]  Pavla Vaneckova,et al.  Spatial analysis of heat-related mortality among the elderly between 1993 and 2004 in Sydney, Australia. , 2010, Social science & medicine.

[19]  J. Schwartz,et al.  Preventing heat-related morbidity and mortality: new approaches in a changing climate. , 2009, Maturitas.

[20]  Boris Revich,et al.  Temperature-induced excess mortality in Moscow, Russia , 2008, International journal of biometeorology.

[21]  Michelle L. Bell,et al.  Weather-Related Mortality: How Heat, Cold, and Heat Waves Affect Mortality in the United States , 2009, Epidemiology.

[22]  P. Bi,et al.  The effect of heat waves on hospital admissions for renal disease in a temperate city of Australia. , 2008, International journal of epidemiology.

[23]  M. Stafoggia,et al.  Summer Temperature-related Mortality: Effect Modification by Previous Winter Mortality , 2009, Epidemiology.

[24]  J. Rocklöv,et al.  Winter mortality modifies the heat-mortality association the following summer , 2008, European Respiratory Journal.

[25]  K. Mengersen,et al.  Is the association between temperature and mortality modified by age, gender and socio-economic status? , 2010, The Science of the total environment.

[26]  J. Rocklöv,et al.  The Effect of High Ambient Temperature on the Elderly Population in Three Regions of Sweden , 2010, International journal of environmental research and public health.

[27]  H. R. Anderson,et al.  Heat Effects on Mortality in 15 European Cities , 2008, Epidemiology.

[28]  F. Ballester,et al.  Relation between Temperature and Mortality in Thirteen Spanish Cities , 2010, International journal of environmental research and public health.

[29]  C. Becker,et al.  Heat-related mortality in residents of nursing homes. , 2010, Age and ageing.

[30]  G. Mastrangelo,et al.  Pattern and determinants of hospitalization during heat waves: an ecologic study , 2007, BMC public health.

[31]  K. Bhaskaran,et al.  Short term effects of temperature on risk of myocardial infarction in England and Wales: time series regression analysis of the Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project (MINAP) registry , 2010, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[32]  A. Auliciems,et al.  Myocardial infarct death, the population at risk, and temperature habituation , 1993, International journal of biometeorology.

[33]  J. Rocklöv,et al.  Mortality related to temperature and persistent extreme temperatures: a study of cause-specific and age-stratified mortality , 2010, Occupational and Environmental Medicine.

[34]  W. Adger,et al.  Perceptions of heatwave risks to health: interview-based study of older people in London and Norwich, UK. , 2008, Journal of public health.

[35]  Pavla Vaneckova,et al.  Effect of temperature on mortality during the six warmer months in Sydney, Australia, between 1993 and 2004. , 2008, Environmental research.

[36]  Gina Solomon,et al.  The 2006 California Heat Wave: Impacts on Hospitalizations and Emergency Department Visits , 2008, Environmental health perspectives.

[37]  M. Stafoggia,et al.  Factors affecting in-hospital heat-related mortality: a multi-city case-crossover analysis , 2008, Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health.

[38]  Shakoor Hajat,et al.  An ecological time-series study of heat-related mortality in three European cities , 2008, Environmental Health.

[39]  Paul Wilkinson,et al.  Mortality Displacement of Heat-Related Deaths: A Comparison of Delhi, São Paulo, and London , 2005, Epidemiology.

[40]  Michelle L Bell,et al.  Vulnerability to heat-related mortality in Latin America: a case-crossover study in Sao Paulo, Brazil, Santiago, Chile and Mexico City, Mexico. , 2008, International journal of epidemiology.

[41]  Masahiro Hashizume,et al.  The effect of temperature on mortality in rural Bangladesh--a population-based time-series study. , 2009, International journal of epidemiology.

[42]  Pushpam Kumar Agriculture (Chapter8) in IPCC, 2007: Climate change 2007: Mitigation of Climate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , 2007 .

[43]  S. Hajat,et al.  Contrasting patterns of mortality and hospital admissions during hot weather and heat waves in Greater London, UK , 2004, Occupational and Environmental Medicine.

[44]  Alexandra Schneider,et al.  The impact of heat waves on mortality in 9 European cities: results from the EuroHEAT project , 2010, Environmental health : a global access science source.

[45]  A. Zeghnoun,et al.  August 2003 heat wave in France: risk factors for death of elderly people living at home. , 2006, European journal of public health.

[46]  S. Hajat,et al.  Modelling the non-linear multiple-lag effects of ambient temperature on mortality in Santiago and Palermo: a constrained segmented distributed lag approach , 2008, Occupational and Environmental Medicine.

[47]  Shao Lin,et al.  Extreme High Temperatures and Hospital Admissions for Respiratory and Cardiovascular Diseases , 2009, Epidemiology.

[48]  Elsa Casimiro,et al.  Effects of apparent temperature on daily mortality in Lisbon and Oporto, Portugal , 2010, Environmental health : a global access science source.

[49]  Alana Hansen,et al.  The Effect of Heat Waves on Mental Health in a Temperate Australian City , 2008, Environmental health perspectives.

[50]  J. Robine,et al.  Death toll exceeded 70,000 in Europe during the summer of 2003. , 2008, Comptes rendus biologies.