Development of Spatial Risk Profiles Resulting from Sea Level Rise

Risks from future sea level rise entail significant uncertainties concerning overall potential impacts, the specific threats faced by particular areas, and what benefit or costs are associated with strategies for addressing such risks. Quantitatively assessing these risks requires the development of spatial risk profiles based on several analytical and computational steps of hazard likelihood assessment, scenario identification, consequence and criticality assessment based on inventories of assets along coastal areas particularly of population centers, vulnerability and inundation assessment, and benefit-cost analysis to manage risks. The proposed risk quantification and management framework is consistent with quantitative risk analysis practices in order to enable decision making. The methodology is briefly introduced and demonstrated using illustrative examples based on notional information.