Linguistic hesitant fuzzy multi-criterion decision-making for renewable energy: A case study in Jilin

Renewable energy is the inevitable choice for the sustainable development of society and economy. How to select the most appropriate renewable energy for a region is a complex multi-criterion decision making (MCDM) problem. Taking Jilin Province as an example, this paper proposes a new MCDM method. In order to better express the hesitancy, inconsistency and uncertainty of decision makers’ preferences, linguistic hesitant fuzzy set (LHFS) is proposed. On the basis of cloud model, the rule of transforming LHFS to quantitative values is defined. Subsequently, the distance measure and support measure are established. In consideration of the interdependency of criteria, an LHFS aggregation operator based on improved Choquet integral is proposed. Finally, the ranking result of the aggregated LHFS corresponding to each renewable energy alternative is obtained according to the expectation values. The result shows that the preferred renewable energy for Jilin is biomass energy, followed by wind energy, hydro energy and solar energy. The validation analysis and comparison analysis are given to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

[1]  Wang Jian-qian,et al.  Multiple criteria group decision making method based on intuitionistic normal cloud by Monte Carlo simulation , 2013 .

[2]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Multi-expert wind energy technology selection using interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets , 2015 .

[3]  Li Zhu,et al.  Linguistic hesitant fuzzy power aggregation operators and their applications in multiple attribute decision-making , 2016, Inf. Sci..

[4]  Fatih Tüysüz,et al.  An Integrated Grey Based Multi-Criteria Decision Making Approach for the Evaluation of Renewable Energy Sources , 2016 .

[5]  Liu Tao,et al.  Uncertain linguistic multi-criteria group decision-making approach based on integrated cloud , 2012 .

[6]  Murat Kucukvar,et al.  Environmental sustainability benchmarking of the U.S. and Canada metropoles: An expert judgment-based multi-criteria decision making approach , 2015 .

[7]  Maurizio Cellura,et al.  Decision-making in energy planning. Application of the Electre method at regional level for the diffusion of renewable energy technology , 2003 .

[8]  Zhi-Ping Fan,et al.  A method for group decision-making based on multi-granularity uncertain linguistic information , 2010, Expert Syst. Appl..

[9]  M. Goumas,et al.  An extension of the PROMETHEE method for decision making in fuzzy environment: Ranking of alternative energy exploitation projects , 2000, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[10]  Qiang Zhang,et al.  Multi-attribute decision analysis under a linguistic hesitant fuzzy environment , 2014, Inf. Sci..

[11]  Ling Zhang,et al.  Evaluating clean energy alternatives for Jiangsu, China: An improved multi-criteria decision making method , 2015 .

[12]  Birol Kılkış,et al.  An energy source policy assessment using analytical hierarchy process , 2012 .

[13]  Fausto Cavallaro,et al.  Assessment of Nuclear Energy Competiveness Using a: Multi-Criteria Fuzzy Approach , 2013, Int. J. Energy Optim. Eng..

[14]  Michel Grabisch,et al.  A decade of application of the Choquet and Sugeno integrals in multi-criteria decision aid , 2010, Ann. Oper. Res..

[15]  Feng Yu-qiang,et al.  On multiple attribute group decision making with linguistic assessment information based on cloud model , 2005 .

[16]  R. Tavakkoli-Moghaddam,et al.  Group Decision Making based on a New Evaluation Method and Hesitant Fuzzy Setting with an Application to an Energy Planning Problem , 2015 .

[17]  E. Georgopoulou,et al.  A multicriteria decision aid approach for energy planning problems: The case of renewable energy option , 1997 .

[18]  José Luis Míguez,et al.  The use of grey-based methods in multi-criteria decision analysis for the evaluation of sustainable energy systems: A review , 2015 .

[19]  Zeshui Xu,et al.  Power-Geometric Operators and Their Use in Group Decision Making , 2010, IEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems.

[20]  Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas,et al.  Selecting the optimal renewable energy using multi criteria decision making , 2013 .

[21]  İhsan Kaya,et al.  An integrated multi-criteria decision-making methodology based on type-2 fuzzy sets for selection among energy alternatives in Turkey , 2015 .

[22]  R. Hämäläinen,et al.  Decision support for risk analysis in energy policy , 1992 .

[23]  Deyi Li,et al.  A new cognitive model: Cloud model , 2009, Int. J. Intell. Syst..

[24]  Hongdi Yao,et al.  A new assessment method of new energy in regional sustainable development based on hesitant fuzzy information , 2014 .

[25]  S. Iniyan,et al.  Applications of fuzzy logic in renewable energy systems – A review , 2015 .

[26]  S. Meysam Mousavi,et al.  Soft computing based on hierarchical evaluation approach and criteria interdependencies for energy decision-making problems: A case study , 2017 .

[27]  Haris Ch. Doukas,et al.  Linguistic multi-criteria decision making for energy and environmental corporate policy , 2014, Inf. Sci..

[28]  Chang Zhi-pen Multi-Attribute Decision Making Method Based on Mahalanobis-Taguchi System and Fuzzy Integral , 2015, IEEM 2015.

[29]  X. Yang,et al.  China's renewable energy goals by 2050 , 2016 .

[30]  Selcuk Cebi,et al.  A comparative analysis for multiattribute selection among renewable energy alternatives using fuzzy axiomatic design and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process , 2009 .

[31]  Cunbin Li,et al.  A New Multi-attribute Decision-Making Method with Three-Parameter Interval Grey Linguistic Variable , 2017, Int. J. Fuzzy Syst..

[32]  Lu Peng,et al.  Method of multi-criteria group decision-making based on cloud aggregation operators with linguistic information , 2014, Inf. Sci..

[33]  Cunbin Li,et al.  A New Method for Multi-Attribute Decision Making with Intuitionistic Trapezoidal Fuzzy Random Variable , 2017, Int. J. Fuzzy Syst..

[34]  Ronald R. Yager,et al.  The power average operator , 2001, IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. Part A.

[35]  Ümran Şengül,et al.  Fuzzy TOPSIS method for ranking renewable energy supply systems in Turkey , 2015 .

[36]  Heracles Polatidis,et al.  Local Renewable Energy Planning: A Participatory Multi-Criteria Approach , 2004 .

[37]  Cun-Bin Li,et al.  A group decision making approach in interval-valued intuitionistic hesitant fuzzy environment with confidence levels , 2016, J. Intell. Fuzzy Syst..

[38]  Cengiz Kahraman,et al.  Multicriteria decision making in energy planning using a modified fuzzy TOPSIS methodology , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[39]  Zeshui Xu,et al.  Hesitant fuzzy multi-attribute decision making based on TOPSIS with incomplete weight information , 2013, Knowl. Based Syst..