Bayesian Networks for Set-Based Collaborative Design

A set-based approach to collaborative design is presented, in which Bayesian networks are used to represent promising regions of the design space. In collaborative design exploration, complex multilevel design problems are often decomposed into distributed subproblems that are linked by shared or coupled parameters. Collaborating designers often prefer conflicting values for these coupled parameters, resulting in incompatibilities that require substantial iteration to resolve, extending the design process lead time without guarantee of achieving a good design. In the proposed approach to collaborative design, each designer builds a locally developed Bayesian network that represents regions of interest in his design space. Then, these local networks are shared and combined with those of collaborating designers to promote more efficient local design space search that takes into account the interests of one’s collaborators. The proposed method has the potential to capture a designer’s preferences for arbitrarily shaped and potentially disconnected regions of the design space in order to identify compatible or conflicting preferences between collaborators and to facilitate a compromise if necessary. It also sets the stage for a flexible and concurrent design process with varying degrees of designer involvement that can support different designer strategies such as hill-climbing or region identification. The potential benefits are the capture of expert knowledge for future use as well as conflict identification and resolution. This paper presents an overview of the proposed method as well as an example implementation for the design of an unmanned aerial vehicle.

[1]  John E. Renaud,et al.  Concurrent Subspace Optimization Using Design Variable Sharing in a Distributed Computing Environment , 1996 .

[2]  John R. Olds,et al.  Multidisciplinary Conceptual Design Optimization of Space Transportation Systems , 1999 .

[3]  Wei Chen,et al.  Determination of ranged sets of design specifications by incorporating design-space heterogeneity , 2008 .

[4]  Kroo Ilan,et al.  Multidisciplinary Optimization Methods for Aircraft Preliminary Design , 1994 .

[5]  Ilan Kroo,et al.  A Genetic Algorithm for Scheduling and Decomposition of Multidisciplinary Design Problems , 1996 .

[6]  Farrokh Mistree,et al.  Designing for maintenance: A game theoretic approach , 2002 .

[7]  Radford M. Neal Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning , 2007, Technometrics.

[8]  Shapour Azarm,et al.  On Maximizing Solution Diversity in a Multiobjective Multidisciplinary Genetic Algorithm for Design Optimization , 2004 .

[9]  P. Hajela Nongradient Methods in Multidisciplinary Design Optimization-Status and Potential , 1999 .

[10]  Kemper Lewis,et al.  A comprehensive robust design approach for decision trade-offs in complex systems design , 2001 .

[11]  FORMALISMS FOR NEGOTIATION IN ENGINEERING DESIGN , 1996 .

[12]  Durward K. Sobek,et al.  Toyota's Principles of Set-Based Concurrent Engineering , 1999 .

[13]  Farrokh Mistree,et al.  The Bayesian Compromise Decision Support Problem for Multilevel Design Involving Uncertainty , 1994 .

[14]  R. Haftka Simultaneous analysis and design , 1985 .

[15]  Kemper Lewis,et al.  Collaborative, sequential, and isolated decisions in design , 1997 .

[16]  Daniel P. Raymer,et al.  Aircraft Design: A Conceptual Approach , 1989 .

[17]  Ian F. C. Smith,et al.  Constraint-based support for negotiation in collaborative design , 2000, Artif. Intell. Eng..

[18]  Allen C. Ward,et al.  Conceptual robustness in simultaneous engineering: An extension of Taguchi's parameter design , 1994 .

[19]  Farrokh Mistree,et al.  Collaborative multidisciplinary decision making using game theory and design capability indices , 2005 .

[20]  Christian Genest,et al.  Combining Probability Distributions: A Critique and an Annotated Bibliography , 1986 .

[21]  P. Bosman,et al.  IDEAs based on the normal kernels probability density function , 2000 .

[22]  Kemper Lewis,et al.  Robust Design Approach for Achieving Flexibility in Multidisciplinary Design , 1999 .

[23]  Jaroslaw Sobieszczanski-Sobieski,et al.  Optimization by decomposition: A step from hierarchic to non-hierarchic systems , 1989 .

[24]  Erik K. Antonsson,et al.  Imprecision in Engineering Design , 1995 .

[25]  Andy J. Keane,et al.  Coevolutionary architecture for distributed optimization of complex coupled systems , 2002 .

[26]  Marco Gero Fernández,et al.  A Framework for Agile Collaboration in Engineering , 2005 .

[27]  Melvin Syce Designing for maintenance , 2006 .

[28]  Tao Jiang,et al.  Target Cascading in Optimal System Design , 2003, DAC 2000.

[29]  Jaroslaw Sobieszczanski-Sobieski,et al.  BLISS/S - A new method for two-level structural optimization , 1999 .

[30]  Durward K. Sobek,et al.  The Second Toyota Paradox: How Delaying Decisions Can Make Better Cars Faster , 1995 .