Ultra-short-term wind power prediction using BP neural network

As a newly renewable energy, wind power is one of the fastest growing and the most mature power generation technology. Based on the historical numerical weather prediction and corresponding wind power output data, an ultra short-term wind power prediction method for future four hours is presented and a prediction model based on BP neural network is established. Some experiments are performed. The results show that the prediction method is feasible and has important reference value for similar wind power prediction system.

[1]  P. D. Sparis,et al.  Simulation of the Wind Speed at Different Heights Using Artificial Neural Networks , 2000 .

[2]  Huo Xiao-ping,et al.  Study on the Time-series Wind Speed Forecasting of the Wind farm Based on Neural Networks , 2007 .

[3]  Cao Lei,et al.  Short-term wind speed forecasting model for wind farm based on wavelet decomposition , 2008, 2008 Third International Conference on Electric Utility Deregulation and Restructuring and Power Technologies.

[4]  Dai Hui-zhu,et al.  Wind Power Prediction Based on Artificial Neural Network , 2008 .

[5]  George Stavrakakis,et al.  Wind power forecasting using advanced neural networks models , 1996 .

[6]  Li Xin-ran A Vector Autoregression Model of Hourly Wind Speed and Its Applications in Hourly Wind Speed Forecasting , 2008 .

[7]  J. C. Quadrado,et al.  Wind speed prediction using artificial neural networks , 2005 .

[8]  Li Yan-fei,et al.  A Wind Speed Forecasting Optimization Model for Wind Farms Based on Time Series Analysis and Kalman Filter Algorithm , 2008 .

[9]  Tao Xue-feng Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Combing Time Series and Neural Network Method , 2008 .

[10]  Christos Schizas,et al.  Wind Speed Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks , 1999 .

[11]  Roger,et al.  Wind Turbines , 2018 .

[12]  Andrew Boone,et al.  Simulation of Short-term Wind Speed Forecast Errors using a Multi-variate ARMA(1,1) Time-series Model , 2005 .

[13]  Dai Hui-zhu,et al.  Study on Impact of Wind Power Integration on Power System , 2007 .

[14]  Yang Yihan VOLTAGE FLUCTUATION AND FLICKER CAUSED BY WIND POWER GENERATION , 2003 .