Evaluating the generalizability of GEP models for estimating reference evapotranspiration in distant humid and arid locations

Evapotranspiration estimation is of crucial importance in arid and hyper-arid regions, which suffer from water shortage, increasing dryness and heat. A modeling study is reported here to cross-station assessment between hyper-arid and humid conditions. The derived equations estimate ET0 values based on temperature-, radiation-, and mass transfer-based configurations. Using data from two meteorological stations in a hyper-arid region of Iran and two meteorological stations in a humid region of Spain, different local and cross-station approaches are applied for developing and validating the derived equations. The comparison of the gene expression programming (GEP)-based-derived equations with corresponding empirical-semi empirical ET0 estimation equations reveals the superiority of new formulas in comparison with the corresponding empirical equations. Therefore, the derived models can be successfully applied in these hyper-arid and humid regions as well as similar climatic contexts especially in data-lack situations. The results also show that when relying on proper input configurations, cross-station might be a promising alternative for locally trained models for the stations with data scarcity.

[1]  Vijay P. Singh,et al.  Evaluation of gene expression programming approaches for estimating daily evaporation through spatial and temporal data scanning , 2014 .

[2]  Vijay P. Singh,et al.  EVALUATION AND GENERALIZATION OF 13 MASS‐TRANSFER EQUATIONS FOR DETERMINING FREE WATER EVAPORATION , 1997 .

[3]  Alfred Meyer,et al.  Ueber einige Zusammenhänge zwischen Klima und Boden in Europa , 1926 .

[4]  Ayse Irmak,et al.  Solar and Net Radiation-Based Equations to Estimate Reference Evapotranspiration in Humid Climates , 2003 .

[5]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Generalized Neurofuzzy Models for Estimating Daily Pan Evaporation Values from Weather Data , 2012 .

[6]  Guillermo Palau-Salvador,et al.  Generalization of ETo ANN Models through Data Supplanting , 2010 .

[7]  B. Itier Measurement and Estimation of Evapotranspiration , 1996 .

[8]  Joseph Louis Gay-Lussac,et al.  The Expansion of Gases by Heat , 2012 .

[9]  Gorka Landeras,et al.  Forecasting weekly evapotranspiration with ARIMA and artificial neural network models. , 2009 .

[10]  W. Mahringer Verdunstungsstudien am Neusiedler See , 1970 .

[11]  W. O. Pruitt,et al.  Crop water requirements , 1997 .

[12]  Hafzullah Aksoy,et al.  Genetic Programming‐Based Empirical Model for Daily Reference Evapotranspiration Estimation , 2008 .

[13]  David S. G. Thomas,et al.  World atlas of desertification. , 1994 .

[14]  Gorka Landeras,et al.  Comparison of artificial neural network models and empirical and semi-empirical equations for daily reference evapotranspiration estimation in the Basque Country (Northern Spain) , 2008 .

[15]  Cândida Ferreira,et al.  Gene Expression Programming: A New Adaptive Algorithm for Solving Problems , 2001, Complex Syst..

[16]  D. Legates,et al.  Evaluating the use of “goodness‐of‐fit” Measures in hydrologic and hydroclimatic model validation , 1999 .

[17]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Estimating daily reference evapotranspiration using available and estimated climatic data by adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and artificial neural network (ANN) , 2013 .

[18]  L. S. Pereira,et al.  Crop evapotranspiration : guidelines for computing crop water requirements , 1998 .

[19]  H. L. Penman Natural evaporation from open water, bare soil and grass , 1948, Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A. Mathematical and Physical Sciences.

[20]  George H. Hargreaves,et al.  Reference Crop Evapotranspiration from Temperature , 1985 .

[21]  O. Kisi,et al.  Daily reference evapotranspiration modeling by using genetic programming approach in the Basque Country (Northern Spain) , 2012 .

[22]  R. Allen,et al.  History and Evaluation of Hargreaves Evapotranspiration Equation , 2003 .

[23]  Pau Martí,et al.  Reference evapotranspiration estimation without local climatic data , 2011, Irrigation Science.

[24]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Daily pan evaporation modelling using multi‐layer perceptrons and radial basis neural networks , 2009 .

[25]  Jiusheng Li,et al.  Water and nitrate distributions as affected by layered-textural soil and buried dripline depth under subsurface drip fertigation , 2011, Irrigation Science.

[26]  Slavisa Trajkovic,et al.  Hargreaves versus Penman-Monteith under Humid Conditions , 2007 .

[27]  Matthias M. Boer,et al.  Evaluating the long-term water balance of arid zone stream bed vegetation using evapotranspiration modelling and hillslope runoff measurements , 2001 .

[28]  C. Priestley,et al.  On the Assessment of Surface Heat Flux and Evaporation Using Large-Scale Parameters , 1972 .

[29]  Amin Elshorbagy,et al.  Modelling the dynamics of the evapotranspiration process using genetic programming , 2007 .

[30]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Evaluation of different data management scenarios for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration , 2013 .

[31]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Generalizability of Gene Expression Programming-based approaches for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration in coastal stations of Iran , 2014 .

[32]  Pau Martí,et al.  Ancillary data supply strategies for improvement of temperature-based ETo ANN models , 2010 .

[33]  Inmaculada Pulido-Calvo,et al.  Spring drought prediction based on winter NAO and global SST in Portugal , 2014 .

[34]  David Muñoz González Discovering unknown equations that describe large data sets using genetic programming techniques , 2005 .

[35]  Ozgur Kisi,et al.  Global cross-station assessment of neuro-fuzzy models for estimating daily reference evapotranspiration , 2013 .