A Modified Consumer Price Index

It is well known that the Consumer Price Index (CPI), as a Laspeyrestype index, attempts to measure the average change in the prices paid by urban consumers for a fixed market of goods and services, and new samples for most item categories are routinely introduced over time to keep the CPI sample representative of consumer spending patterns. The CPI normally overstates the true rate of increase of the cost of living. In this paper, our main objective is to propose a new measurement in the CPI which combines with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This new method will make the bias effectively decreased.

[1]  Philip Andrew Lawn,et al.  A theoretical foundation to support the Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare (ISEW), Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI), and other related indexes , 2003 .

[2]  P. Jackman,et al.  The commodity substitution effect in CPI data, 1982-91 , 1993 .

[3]  R. Turvey Consumer price indices : an ILO manual , 1989 .

[4]  L. R. Christensen,et al.  THE ECONOMIC THEORY OF INDEX NUMBERS AND THE MEASUREMENT OF INPUT, OUTPUT, AND PRODUCTIVITY , 1982 .

[5]  Brent R. Moulton Basic components of the CPI: Estimation of price changes , 1993 .

[6]  Edward C. Prescott,et al.  Prosperity and Depression , 2002 .

[7]  J. Dalén Computing Elementary Aggregates in the Swedish Consumer Price Index , 1992 .

[8]  U. Kohli Real GDP, real domestic income, and terms-of-trade changes , 2004 .

[9]  A. Tversky,et al.  Judgment under Uncertainty , 1982 .

[10]  Robert J. Barro,et al.  Macroeconomics - 5th Edition , 1997 .

[11]  H. Brachinger A new index of perceived inflation: Assumptions, method, and application to Germany , 2008 .

[12]  S. Kemp Estimation of past prices , 1987 .

[13]  S. Kemp Remembering and dating past prices , 1991 .

[14]  R. Ranyard,et al.  Perceptions and expectations of price changes and inflation: A review and conceptual framework , 2008 .

[15]  Actual and perceived inflation , 2005 .

[16]  Clive Hamilton,et al.  The genuine progress indicator methodological developments and results from Australia , 1999 .

[17]  A. Tversky,et al.  Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases , 1974, Science.

[18]  Brent R. Moulton,et al.  IMPROVEMENTS TO THE FOOD AT HOME , SHELTER AND PRESCRIPTION DRUG INDEXES IN THE U . S . CONSUMER PRICE INDEX , 1998 .

[19]  Matthew D. Shapiro,et al.  Mismeasurement in the Consumer Price Index: An Evaluation , 1996, NBER Macroeconomics Annual.

[20]  W. E. Diewert,et al.  Essays in The theory and measurement of consumer behaviour in honour of Sir Richard Stone : The economic theory of index numbers: a survey , 1981 .

[21]  Joseph W. Alba,et al.  Consumer Perceptions of Price (Un)Fairness , 2003 .