Climate Information for Improved Planning and Management of Mega Cities (Needs Perspective)

The majority of the population of the planet (6.6 billion) now live in urban areas, which have distinct impacts upon climate at scales from the local to the global. This urban effect is due to the physical form of the city (its three-dimensional geometry and material composition) and its functions (the day-to-day activity patterns that generate emissions of waste heat and materials into the overlying air). While a substantial body of knowledge on the science of urban climates has been developed over the past fifty years, there is little evidence that this knowledge is incorporated into urban planning and design practice. This paper focuses on this gap by examining the nature of urban climate expertise and the needs of those that make decisions about urban areas. In conclusion it makes recommendations to maintain and enhance urban observations and data; to improve understanding of local, regional and global climate linkages; to develop tools for practical planning; and to disseminate urban climate knowledge and its relevance to urban planning to both practicing meteorologists and urban decision makers.

[1]  Dieter Scherer,et al.  Improved concepts and methods in analysis and evaluation of the urban climate for optimizing urban planning processes , 1999 .

[2]  H. Mayer Results from the research program “STADTKLIMA BAYERN” for urban planning , 1988 .

[3]  Godfried Augenbroe,et al.  Integrated building performance evaluation in the early design stages , 1992 .

[4]  Scott Elliott,et al.  ENERGY AND MATERIAL FLOW THROUGH THE URBAN ECOSYSTEM , 2000 .

[5]  S. Tanabe,et al.  Evaluation of thermal comfort using combined multi-node thermoregulation (65MN) and radiation models and computational fluid dynamics (CFD) , 2002 .

[6]  S Pacala,et al.  Stabilization Wedges: Solving the Climate Problem for the Next 50 Years with Current Technologies , 2004, Science.

[7]  L. Berglund,et al.  A standard predictive index of human response to the thermal environment , 1986 .

[8]  Pim Martens,et al.  Methods of assessing human health vulnerability and public health adaptation to climate change , 2003 .

[9]  Koen Steemers,et al.  Building form and environmental performance: archetypes, analysis and an arid climate , 2003 .

[10]  Henrique Andrade,et al.  Global Warming and the Urban Heat Island , 2008 .

[11]  H. Hiraoka,et al.  Modelling of turbulent flows within plant/urban canopies , 1993 .

[12]  K. Ebi,et al.  Climate change and adaptation strategies for human health , 2006 .

[13]  David J. Nowak,et al.  Institutionalizing urban forestry as a ''biotechnology'' to improve environmental quality , 2006 .

[14]  Tetsumi Horikoshi,et al.  Geographical Distribution and Annual Fluctuation of Thermal Environmental Indices in Japan - Development of a New Thermal Environmental Index for Outdoors and Its Application - , 1997 .

[15]  J. Patz,et al.  Impact of regional climate change on human health , 2005, Nature.

[16]  Robert G. Steadman,et al.  A Universal Scale of Apparent Temperature , 1984 .

[17]  T. Williamson,et al.  Intra‐urban differences in canopy layer air temperature at a mid‐latitude city , 2007 .

[18]  H. Landsberg,et al.  The assessment of human bioclimate : a limited review of physical parameters , 1972 .

[19]  Richard de Dear,et al.  Biometeorology and Urban Climatology at the Turn of the Millennium , 1998 .

[20]  G. Millsa,et al.  Climate Information for Improved Planning and Management of Mega Cities (Needs Perspective) , 2010 .

[21]  E. Hernández,et al.  Effects of extremely hot days on people older than 65 years in Seville (Spain) from 1986 to 1997 , 2002, International journal of biometeorology.

[22]  M. Roth,et al.  Temporal dynamics of the urban heat island of Singapore , 2006 .

[23]  G. Jendritzky,et al.  Effects of the thermal environment on human health: an investigation of 30 years of daily mortality data from SW Germany , 2002 .

[24]  P. Epstein,et al.  Climate Change Futures: Health, Ecological and Economic Dimensions , 2004 .

[25]  Maria Kolokotroni,et al.  THE EFFECT OF THE LONDON URBAN HEAT ISLAND ON BUILDING SUMMER COOLING DEMAND AND NIGHT VENTILATION STRATEGIES , 2006 .

[26]  I. Douglas,et al.  The urban environment , 1983 .

[27]  Hongsuk H. Kim Urban heat island , 1992 .

[28]  M. Molina,et al.  Megacities and Atmospheric Pollution , 2004, Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association.

[29]  Gerald Mills,et al.  Luke Howard and The Climate of London , 2008 .

[30]  Timothy R. Oke,et al.  Towards a prescription for the greater use of climatic principles in settlement planning , 1984 .

[31]  S. Szokolay,et al.  Introduction to Architectural Science: The Basis of Sustainable Design , 2004 .

[32]  R. Nicholls,et al.  A global analysis of human settlement in coastal zones , 2003 .

[33]  Paul J. Littlefair,et al.  Daylight, sunlight and solar gain in the urban environment , 2001 .

[34]  Brian Stone,et al.  Urban Heat and Air Pollution: An Emerging Role for Planners in the Climate Change Debate , 2005 .

[35]  Andrew Schiller,et al.  The vulnerability of global cities to climate hazards , 2007 .

[36]  David Satterthwaite,et al.  Sustainable Cities or Cities that Contribute to Sustainable Development? , 1997, The Earthscan Reader in Sustainable Cities.

[37]  Limor Shashua-Bar,et al.  Vegetation as a climatic component in the design of an urban street: An empirical model for predicting the cooling effect of urban green areas with trees , 2000 .

[38]  Alex Amato,et al.  Simulation of ventilated facades in hot and humid climates , 2009 .

[39]  T. Williamson,et al.  The Implications for Building Ventilation of the Spatial and Temporal Variability of Air Temperature in the Urban Canopy Layer , 2008 .

[40]  T. Byford Protecting health in Europe from climate change , 2009 .

[41]  T. J. Chandler Urban climatology and its relevance to urban design , 1976 .

[42]  H. Taha Modeling impacts of increased urban vegetation on ozone air quality in the South Coast Air Basin , 1996 .

[43]  C. Small,et al.  Cities from space: potential applications of remote sensing in urban environmental research and policy , 2003 .

[44]  M. Bruse,et al.  Simulating surface–plant–air interactions inside urban environments with a three dimensional numerical model , 1998 .

[45]  Edward Arens,et al.  Indoor Environmental Quality ( IEQ ) Title A model of human physiology and comfort for assessing complex thermal environments , 2001 .

[46]  Lily Parshall,et al.  Mitigation of the heat island effect in urban New Jersey , 2005 .

[47]  Michael Schatzmann,et al.  Recommendations on the use of CFD in wind engineering , 2004 .

[48]  C. Rosenzweig,et al.  Assessing Potential Public Health and Air Quality Impacts of Changing Climate and Land Use in Metropolitan New York: A Study by the New York Climate & Health Project , 2004 .

[49]  J. K. Page,et al.  Application of building climatology to the problems of housing and building for human settlements , 1976 .

[50]  W. Rees Urban ecosystems: the human dimension , 1997, Urban Ecosystems.

[51]  Jonathan A. Patz,et al.  Ecosystem change and public health: a global perspective. , 2001 .

[52]  C. Kennedy,et al.  The Changing Metabolism of Cities , 2007 .

[53]  Oms. Regional Office for Europe,et al.  Heat-waves: risks and responses , 2004 .

[54]  J. Fenger,et al.  Urban air quality , 1999 .

[55]  P. Duvaldestin,et al.  Effect of excessive environmental heat on core temperature in critically ill patients. An observational study during the 2003 European heat wave. , 2005, British journal of anaesthesia.

[56]  P. Calthorpe The Next American Metropolis: Ecology, Community, and the American Dream , 1993 .

[57]  R. Rogers Cities For A Small Planet , 1997 .

[58]  Aromar Revi,et al.  Climate change risk: an adaptation and mitigation agenda for Indian cities , 2008 .

[59]  V. Gornitz,et al.  Impacts of sea level rise in the New York City metropolitan area , 2001 .

[60]  C. Ratti,et al.  Urban texture analysis with image processing techniques , 1999 .

[61]  Boris A. Portnov,et al.  Mapping the potential for climate-conscious design of buildings , 2003 .

[62]  Peter A. Irwin,et al.  A comprehensive assessment of pedestrian comfort including thermal effects , 1998 .

[63]  Michael O. Rodgers,et al.  Urban Form and Thermal Efficiency: How the Design of Cities Influences the Urban Heat Island Effect , 2001 .

[64]  R.A.S. Ratchliffe,et al.  Book reviewBoundary-layer meteorology: A new quarterly journal of physical and biological processes in the atmospheric boundary layer. R. E. Munn (Editor). D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, 1969, Volume 1(1). , 1971 .

[65]  Marcel Bottema Towards rules of thumb for wind comfort and air quality , 1999 .

[66]  Scott D. Campbell,et al.  Green Cities, Growing Cities, Just Cities? Urban Planning and the Contradictions of Sustainable , 1996 .

[67]  E. Ng An Investigation into Parameters Affecting an Optimum Ventilation Design of High Density Cities , 2008 .

[68]  J. Robine,et al.  Report on excess mortality in Europe during summer 2003 , 2003 .

[69]  S. Kovats,et al.  Heatwave of August 2003 in Europe: provisional estimates of the impact on mortality , 2004 .

[70]  Eric Klinenberg,et al.  Heat Wave: A Social Autopsy of Disaster in Chicago , 2002 .

[71]  Baruch Givoni,et al.  Climate considerations in building and urban design , 1998 .

[72]  R. Lazar,et al.  An urban climate analysis of Graz and its significance for urban planning in the tributary valleys east of Graz (Austria) , 1999 .

[73]  Koen Steemers,et al.  Radiation absorption and urban texture , 1998 .

[74]  R Sharpe,et al.  Urban land use planning , 1988 .

[75]  Neeraj Prasad,et al.  Climate resilient cities : a primer on reducing vulnerabilities to climate change impacts and strengthening disaster risk management in East Asian cities , 2008 .

[76]  T. Oke The energetic basis of the urban heat island , 1982 .

[77]  C. Rosenzweig,et al.  Variations in New York city’s urban heat island strength over time and space , 2008 .

[78]  Joyce Ellen Klein-Rosenthal,et al.  Urban Heat Island Mitigation Can Improve New York City's Environment: Research on the Impacts of Mitigation Strategies on the Urban Environment , 2008 .

[79]  M. Alcoforado Planning procedures towards high climatic quality cities. Example referring to Lisbon , 2012 .

[80]  J. F. Clarke,et al.  Some effects of the urban structure on heat mortality. , 1972, Environmental research.

[81]  J. Kenworthy,et al.  Automobile dependence in cities: An international comparison of urban transport and land use patterns with implications for sustainability , 1996 .

[82]  Edward Ng,et al.  Predicting daylight availability dynamically based on forecasts of a weather observatory , 2007 .

[83]  A. Mochida,et al.  Wind tunnel tests on the relationship between building density and pedestrian-level wind velocity: Development of guidelines for realizing acceptable wind environment in residential neighborhoods , 2008 .

[84]  Jian-Ping Zhang,et al.  4D dynamic construction management and visualization software: 1. Development , 2005 .

[85]  P. Newman Sustainability and cities: extending the metabolism model , 1999 .

[86]  Kai N. Lee Cities and Climate Change: Urban Sustainability and Global Environmental Governance (review) , 2005, Global Environmental Politics.

[87]  Arieh Bitan,et al.  The methodology of applied climatology in planning and building , 1988 .

[88]  S. Abdul-Wahab,et al.  Environmental considerations in urban planning , 2004 .

[89]  A. Rosenfeld,et al.  COOL COMMUNITIES: STRATEGIES FOR HEAT ISLAND MITIGATION AND SMOG REDUCTION , 1998 .

[90]  Hiroshi Yoshino,et al.  Examining tree canopy models for CFD prediction of wind environment at pedestrian level , 2008 .

[91]  T. Lyons,et al.  An international urban air pollution model for the transportation sector , 2003 .

[92]  Timothy R. Oke,et al.  Towards better scientific communication in urban climate , 2006 .

[93]  M. Beniston The 2003 heat wave in Europe: A shape of things to come? An analysis based on Swiss climatological data and model simulations , 2004 .

[94]  Gerd Jendritzky,et al.  Ein objektives Bewertungsverfahren zur Beschreibung des thermischen Milieus in der Stadt- und Landschaftsplanung , 1979 .

[95]  N. Das Human Development Report 2007/2008 Fighting Climate Change: Human Solidarity in a Divided World, UNDP, New York , 2009 .

[96]  K. Lomas,et al.  A computer model of human thermoregulation for a wide range of environmental conditions: the passive system. , 1999, Journal of applied physiology.

[97]  P. Höppe,et al.  The physiological equivalent temperature – a universal index for the biometeorological assessment of the thermal environment , 1999, International journal of biometeorology.

[98]  Hans Schirmer,et al.  Climate and regional land-use planning , 1984 .

[99]  D. Campbell-Lendrum,et al.  Climate Change and Human Health. Risks and Responses , 2003 .

[100]  Shuzo Murakami,et al.  Development of a Wind Environment Database in Tokyo for a Comprehensive Assessment System for Heat Island Relaxation Measures , 2006 .

[101]  John Martin Evans,et al.  Sustainable urban development: design guidelines for warm humid cities , 1998 .

[102]  Christopher Small,et al.  Continental Physiography, Climate, and the Global Distribution of Human Population1 , 2004 .

[103]  Kristie L Ebi,et al.  Community-based adaptation to the health impacts of climate change. , 2008, American journal of preventive medicine.

[104]  Can Cities Reduce Global Warming?: Urban Development and the Carbon Cycle in Latin America , 2005 .

[105]  Elaine Wheaton,et al.  A Framework and Key Questions for Adapting to Climate Variability and Change , 1999 .

[106]  R. Dear,et al.  An outdoor thermal comfort index (OUT_SET^*) : Part I-The model and its assumptions , 1999 .

[107]  W R Keatinge,et al.  Heat related mortality in warm and cold regions of Europe: observational study , 2000, BMJ : British Medical Journal.

[108]  P. Littlefair Passive solar urban design: ensuring the penetration of solar energy into the city , 1998 .

[109]  Youfei Zheng,et al.  Heat wave impacts on mortality in Shanghai, 1998 and 2003 , 2006, International journal of biometeorology.

[110]  Dusan Fiala,et al.  J5B.4 AN UPDATE ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF A UNIVERSAL THERMAL CLIMATE INDEX , 2002 .

[111]  Simos Yannas,et al.  TOWARD MORE SUSTAINABLE CITIES , 2001 .

[112]  S Konz,et al.  An experimental validation of mathematical simulation of human thermoregulation. , 1977, Computers in biology and medicine.

[113]  Ralph L Knowles,et al.  The solar envelope: its meaning for energy and buildings , 2003 .

[114]  Haider Taha,et al.  Modeling the impacts of large-scale albedo changes on ozone air quality in the South Coast Air Basin , 1997 .

[115]  Gene Bazan Our Ecological Footprint: Reducing Human Impact on the Earth , 1997 .

[116]  Y. Shimoda Adaptation measures for climate change and the urban heat island in Japan's built environment , 2003 .

[117]  D. Nowak,et al.  Carbon storage and sequestration by urban trees in the USA. , 2002, Environmental pollution.

[118]  Rudolf de Groot,et al.  The influence of temperature and climate change on the timing of pollen release in the Netherlands , 2002 .

[119]  H. Cleugh,et al.  Linking urban water balance and energy balance models to analyse urban design options , 2008 .

[120]  Elisabeth M. Hamin,et al.  Urban form and climate change: Balancing adaptation and mitigation in the U.S. and Australia , 2009 .

[121]  S. Grimmond Urbanization and global environmental change: local effects of urban warming , 2007 .

[122]  Ken Parsons,et al.  Human Thermal Environments: The Effects of Hot, Moderate, and Cold Environments on Human Health, Comfort and Performance , 1999 .

[123]  M. Hart,et al.  Quantifying the influence of land-use and surface characteristics on spatial variability in the urban heat island , 2009 .

[124]  A. Arnfield Two decades of urban climate research: a review of turbulence, exchanges of energy and water, and the urban heat island , 2003 .

[125]  B. Anderson,et al.  The rising tide: assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones , 2007 .

[126]  Gerald Mills,et al.  Progress toward sustainable settlements: a role for urban climatology , 2006 .

[127]  Ingegärd Eliasson,et al.  The use of climate knowledge in urban planning , 2000 .

[128]  Luc Adolphe,et al.  A Simplified Model of Urban Morphology: Application to an Analysis of the Environmental Performance of Cities , 2001 .

[129]  Jan A. J. Stolwijk,et al.  A mathematical model of physiological temperature regulation in man , 1971 .

[130]  Xxyyzz Outdoor Human Comfort and Its Assessment , 2004 .

[131]  L. Kalkstein,et al.  The impact of climate change on human health: Some international implications , 1993, Experientia.

[132]  G. Meehl,et al.  More Intense, More Frequent, and Longer Lasting Heat Waves in the 21st Century , 2004, Science.

[133]  Anésia Barros Frota,et al.  Urban bioclimatic design strategies for a tropical city , 1999 .

[134]  S. Green Modelling Turbulent Air Flow in a Stand of Widely-Spaced Trees , 1992 .

[135]  Henry Feriadi,et al.  The use of performance-based simulation tools for building design and evaluation — a Singapore perspective , 2000 .

[136]  Jason Corburn,et al.  Street Science: Community Knowledge and Environmental Health Justice , 2005 .

[137]  E. Matthews,et al.  Geographic patterns of carbon dioxide emissions from fossil-fuel burning, hydraulic cement production, and gas flaring on a one degree by one degree grid cell basis: 1950 to 1990 , 1997 .

[138]  M. Roth Review of urban climate research in (sub)tropical regions , 2007 .

[139]  Leon R. Glicksman,et al.  Simulation of wind driven ventilative cooling systems for an apartment building in Beijing and Shanghai , 2002 .

[140]  M. Betsill,et al.  Cities and climate change , 2002 .

[141]  Ng Edward,et al.  A Daylight Design and Regulatory Method for High-Density Cities Using Computational Lighting Simulations , 2003 .

[142]  L. Kalkstein,et al.  The Philadelphia Hot Weather–Health Watch/Warning System: Development and Application, Summer 1995 , 1996 .

[143]  A. Schneider,et al.  A critical look at representations of urban areas in global maps , 2007 .

[144]  A. Henderson‐sellers Future climates of the world: a modelling perspective , 1995 .

[145]  Gerald Mills,et al.  Cities as agents of global change , 2007 .

[146]  Shu-Li Huang,et al.  Urban ecosystems, energetic hierarchies, and ecological economics of Taipei metropolis , 1998 .

[147]  R. Steadman,et al.  Norms of apparent temperature in Australia. , 1994 .

[148]  K. Lomas,et al.  Computer prediction of human thermoregulatory and temperature responses to a wide range of environmental conditions , 2001, International journal of biometeorology.

[149]  D. Lüthi,et al.  The role of increasing temperature variability in European summer heatwaves , 2004, Nature.

[150]  Richard H. Kozoll Street science: Community knowledge and environmental health justice , 2006 .

[151]  T. Knutson,et al.  Impact of CO2-Induced Warming on Simulated Hurricane Intensity and Precipitation: Sensitivity to the Choice of Climate Model and Convective Parameterization , 2004 .

[152]  K. Steemers Energy and the city: density, buildings and transport , 2003 .

[153]  G. Raga,et al.  The impact of megacity pollution on local climate and implications for the regional environment: Mexico City , 2001 .

[154]  Arieh Bitan,et al.  Climatic data analysis and its use and representation for planners , 1984 .

[155]  W. Bründl Climate function maps and urban planning , 1988 .

[156]  M Rohinton Emmanuel,et al.  An Urban Approach To Climate Sensitive Design: Strategies for the Tropics , 2004 .

[157]  Eduard Egusquiza,et al.  A CFD approach to evaluate the influence of construction and operation parameters on the performance of Active Transparent Façades in Mediterranean climates , 2009 .

[158]  Jens-Peter Redlich,et al.  Heat Waves, Urban Climate and Human Health , 2008 .

[159]  F. Smith,et al.  Mexico City and the biogeochemistry of global urbanization , 2000 .

[160]  M. Wackernagel,et al.  Urban ecological footprints: Why cities cannot be sustainable—And why they are a key to sustainability , 1996 .

[161]  T. Itoh,et al.  Deaths from heat-stroke in Japan: 1968–1994 , 1999, International journal of biometeorology.

[162]  John M. Evans,et al.  Application of microclimate studies in town planning: A new capital city, an existing urban district and urban river front development , 1996 .

[163]  D. Rainham,et al.  Beating the heat: development and evaluation of a Canadian hot weather health-response plan. , 2001, Environmental health perspectives.

[164]  P. O. Fanger,et al.  Thermal comfort: analysis and applications in environmental engineering, , 1972 .

[165]  Timothy R. Oke,et al.  Aerodynamic Properties of Urban Areas Derived from Analysis of Surface Form , 1999 .

[166]  C. Lahariya The state of the world population 2007: unleashing the potential of urban growth. , 2008, Indian pediatrics.

[167]  L. Kalkstein,et al.  An evaluation of climate/mortality relationships in large U.S. cities and the possible impacts of a climate change. , 1997, Environmental health perspectives.

[168]  M. Fournier,et al.  Prediction of the indoor temperatures of an urban area with an in-time regression mapping approach , 2008, Journal of Exposure Science and Environmental Epidemiology.

[169]  C. Ren,et al.  An investigation of ventilation at ground level in high density cities - An initial study in Hong Kong , 2007 .

[170]  Hal Westberg,et al.  Measurements of CO2 fluxes from the Mexico City urban landscape , 2005 .

[171]  P. Kinney,et al.  Links between the built environment, climate and population health: interdisciplinary environmental change research in New York City. , 2007, Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore.

[172]  Richard J. T. Klein,et al.  The Science of Adaptation: A Framework for Assessment , 1999 .

[173]  Ingegärd Eliasson,et al.  Surface heating in relation to air temperature, wind and turbulence in an urban street canyon , 2007 .

[174]  Wilhelm Kirch,et al.  Extreme weather events and public health responses , 2005 .

[175]  J. B. Opschoor,et al.  Fighting climate change: Human solidarity in a divided world , 2007 .

[176]  Michael Hough,et al.  Cities and natural process , 1994 .

[177]  N. Wong,et al.  Environmental study of the impact of greenery in an institutional campus in the tropics , 2007 .

[178]  Gregg C. Vanderheiden,et al.  Standards and Guidelines , 2009, The Universal Access Handbook.

[179]  Valéry Masson,et al.  A Physically-Based Scheme For The Urban Energy Budget In Atmospheric Models , 2000 .

[180]  I. Eliassona,et al.  Wind fields and turbulence statistics in an urban street canyon , 2005 .

[181]  L. Ziska,et al.  Cities as harbingers of climate change: common ragweed, urbanization, and public health. , 2003, The Journal of allergy and clinical immunology.

[182]  Helen A. Cleugh,et al.  The impact of suburban design on water use and microclimate , 2005 .

[183]  E. Erell The Application of Urban Climate Research in the Design of Cities , 2008 .

[184]  David J. Sailor,et al.  Mitigation of urban heat islands: materials, utility programs, updates , 1995 .

[185]  Hideyuki Tanaka,et al.  EXPERIMENTAL STUDY ON AIR VENTILATION IN A BUILT-UP AREA WITH CLOSELY-PACKED HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS , 2008 .

[186]  J. Kysel Mortality and displaced mortality during heat waves in the Czech Republic , 2004 .

[187]  Gabriel Wackermann,et al.  Nouvelles1 approches thermiques du milieu anthropique : G. Jendritzky, G. Menz, W. Schmidt-Kessen, H. Schinner, Methodik zur räumlichen Bewertung der thermischen Komponente im Bioklima des Menschen - Fortgeschriebenes Klima-Michel-Modell , 1991 .

[188]  Yoshihide Tominaga,et al.  AIJ guidelines for practical applications of CFD to pedestrian wind environment around buildings , 2008 .

[189]  M. Zaman-Allah,et al.  Nodular diagnosis for ecological engineering of the symbiotic nitrogen fixation with legumes , 2011 .

[190]  A. Wolman THE METABOLISM OF CITIES. , 1965, Scientific American.

[191]  B. Hakim Sustainable Urbanism: Urban design with nature , 2010 .

[192]  Silvia de Schiller,et al.  Training architects and planners to design with urban microclimates , 1996 .