Case-Based Reasoning and Statistics for Discovering and Forecasting of Epidemics

We describe the methodology of an early warning system which fulfills the following tasks. (1) discovering of health risks, (2) forecasting of the temporal and spatial spread of epidemics and (3) estimating of consequences of an epidemic w.r.t. the personnel load and costs of the public health service. For mastering this three tasks methods from artifical intelligence and statistics are applied.