Book Review: Fish to 2020: Supply and Demand in Changing Global Markets

Using a state-of-the art computer model of global supply and demand for food and feed commodities, this book projects the likely changes in the fisheries sector over the next two decades. As prices for most food commodities fall, fish prices are expected to rise, reflecting demand for fish that outpaces the ability of the world to supply it. The model shows that developing countries will consume and produce a much greater share of the world's fish in the future, and trade in fisheries commodities will also increase. The authors show the causes and implications of these and other changes, and argue for specific actions and policies that can improve outcomes for the poor and for the environment.

[1]  T. Tuominen,et al.  "Food for thought : the use of marine resources in fish feed" , 2003 .

[2]  S. Garcia,et al.  CURRENT SITUATION, TRENDS AND PROSPECTS IN WORLD CAPTURE FISHERIES' , 1995 .

[3]  J. Pender,et al.  Markets, marketing and production issues for aquaculture in East Africa: the case of Uganda , 2001 .

[4]  H. Bouis.  Commercial Vegetable and Polyculture Fish Production in Bangladesh: Their Impacts on Household Income and Dietary Quality , 2000 .

[5]  H. Nhhala,et al.  Present status and prospects of technical development of tuna sea-farming. , 2000 .

[6]  K. Becker,et al.  Antinutritional factors present in plant-derived alternate fish feed ingredients and their effects in fish , 2001 .

[7]  Environmental and Socioeconomic Constraints to the Development of Freshwater Fish Aquaculture in China , 1999 .

[8]  James L. Anderson,et al.  Aquaculture and international trade , 1997 .

[9]  Upton Hatch,et al.  A survey of aquaculture production economics and management , 1997 .

[10]  P. Menasveta.  Mangrove destruction and shrimp culture systems , 1996 .

[11]  M. Roemer.  Fishing for growth : export-led development in Peru, 1950-1967 , 1970 .

[12]  George R. Spangler,et al.  Co-Operative Management of Local Fisheries , 1990 .

[13]  C. Boyd,et al.  Water use and conservation for inland aquaculture ponds. , 2000 .

[14]  Mahfuzuddin Ahmed,et al.  Integration of Aquaculture into Smallholder Farming Systems for Improved Food Security and Household Nutrition , 2000 .

[15]  M. Ahmed.  Fish for the poor under a rising global demand and changing fishery regime , 1997 .

[16]  F. Lantzb,et al.  Impact of cultured shrimp industry on wild shrimp fisheries : analysis of price determination mechanisms and market dynamics , 2000 .

[17]  G. Kent,et al.  Fisheries, food security, and the poor , 1997 .

[18]  K. Bjorndal,et al.  Historical Overfishing and the Recent Collapse of Coastal Ecosystems , 2001, Science.

[19]  Takeshi Watanabe,et al.  Strategies for further development of aquatic feeds. , 2002 .

[20]  J. Virdin,et al.  Saving fish and fisheries : towards sustainable and equitable governance of the global fishing sector , 2004 .

[21]  M. Rosegrant,et al.  Fish as Food: Projections to 2020 , 2002 .

[22]  J. Beddington,et al.  Bioeconomic Interactions Between the Capture Fishery and Aquaculture , 1996, Marine Resource Economics.

[23]  D. Lewis,et al.  Trading the silver seed: Local knowledge and market moralities in aquacultural development , 1996 .

[24]  C. Roheim,et al.  Early Indications of Market Impacts from the Marine Stewardship Council's Ecolabeling of Seafood , 2003, Marine Resource Economics.

[25]  I. Clucas,et al.  A study of the options for utilization of bycatch and discards from marine capture fisheries , 1997 .

[26]  F. Asche,et al.  On the Relationship between Aquaculture and Reduction Fisheries , 2022 .

[27]  C. Bailey,et al.  A multiperiod programming evaluation of brackishwater shrimp aquaculture development in Indonesia 1989/1990–1998/1999 , 1998 .

[28]  Jikun Huang,et al.  Structural changes in the demand for food in Asia , 1996 .

[29]  P. Aerni.  Aquatic Resources and Technology : Evolutionary , Environmental , Legal and Development Aspects , 2001 .

[30]  L. Gouveia,et al.  Eicosapentaenoic acid-rich biomass production by the microalga Phaeodactylum tricornutum in a continuous-flow reactor , 1996 .

[31]  P. McGinnity,et al.  Genetic changes in an Atlantic salmon population resulting from escaped juvenile farm salmon , 1998 .

[32]  H. Cesar,et al.  Coral reefs: their functions, threats and economic value , 2000 .

[33]  J. G. Bell,et al.  Requirement criteria for essential fatty acids , 1995 .

[34]  D. Gordon,et al.  From Atlantic to Pacific: Price links in the US wild and farmed salmon market , 1999 .

[35]  R. E. Johannes,et al.  Environmental, economic, and social implications of the live reef fish trade in Asia and the Western Pacific , 1995 .

[36]  S. Pascoe,et al.  Supply response in fisheries The North Sea , 1999 .

[37]  J. Pet,et al.  Blasting away: the economics of blast fishing on Indonesian coral reefs , 2000 .

[38]  Claude B. Courbois,et al.  Issues in Modeling Fish to 2020 within a Global Food Model , 2001 .

[39]  H. Mooney,et al.  Effect of aquaculture on world fish supplies , 2000, Nature.

[40]  A. Rae.  The effects of expenditure growth and urbanisation on food consumption in East Asia: a note on animal products , 1998 .

[41]  A. E. Eknath,et al.  Performance and nature of genetically improved farmed tilapia: A bioeconomic analysis , 2000 .

[42]  M. Halwart,et al.  Possibilities for the integration of fish farming into irrigation systems , 2000 .

[43]  S. Barlow.  Fishmeal and fish oil : sustainable feed ingredients for aquafeeds , 2000 .

[44]  P. McShane,et al.  Use and success of composite square-mesh codends in reducing bycatch and in improving size-selectivity of prawns in Gulf St. Vincent, South Australia , 1999 .

[45]  James L. Anderson.  Private aquaculture and commercial fisheries: Bioeconomics of salmon ranching , 1985 .

[46]  E. A. Tendencia,et al.  Antibiotic resistance of bacteria from shrimp ponds , 2001 .

[47]  Daniel Pauly,et al.  Systematic distortions in world fisheries catch trends , 2001, Nature.

[48]  Mahfuzuddin Ahmed,et al.  Environmental Tradeoffs Between Aquaculture and Capture Fisheries , 2002 .

[49]  E. Boserup.  The conditions of agricultural growth: The economics of agrarian change under population pressure , 1966 .

[50]  Valerie A. Kelly,et al.  Agricultural growth linkages in Sub-Saharan Africa , 1998 .

[51]  R. Abila,et al.  From local to global markets. The fish exporting and fishmeal industries of Lake Victoria : structure, strategies and socio-economic impacts in Kenya , 1997 .

[52]  A. Guttormsen.  Input Factor Substitutability in Salmon Aquaculture , 2002, Marine Resource Economics.

[53]  A. Tacon,et al.  Development of farmed fish: a nutritionally necessary alternative to meat , 1999, Proceedings of the Nutrition Society.

[54]  Mahfuzuddin Ahmed,et al.  Improving developing country food security through aquaculture development--lessons from Asia , 2002 .

[55]  Claude B. Courbois,et al.  Livestock to 2020: The Next Food Revolution , 2001 .

[56]  Meryl J. Williams.  World Fish Supplies, Outlook and Food Security , 2004 .

[57]  C. Revenga,et al.  Fishing for Answers: Making Sense of the Global Fish Crisis , 2004 .

[58]  Parzival Copes,et al.  The Backward-Bending Supply Curve Of The Fishing Industry , 1970 .

[59]  Matteo Milazzo.  Subsidies in World Fisheries: A Reexamination , 1998 .

[60]  Robert Costanza,et al.  Ecosystem Health New Goals for Environmental Management , 1992 .

[61]  M. New,et al.  Use of fishmeal and fish oil in aquafeeds: further thoughts on the fishmeal trap , 2002 .

[62]  D. Brennan,et al.  Environmental costs of shrimp culture in the rice‐growing regions of the Mekong Delta , 1999 .

[63]  B. Beattie.  Science Under Scarcity: Principles and Practice for Agricultural Research Evaluation and Priority Setting , 1995 .

[64]  M. Brockerhoff,et al.  World Urbanization Prospects: The 1996 Revision , 1998 .

[65]  N. Roos,et al.  The role of small indigenous fish species in food and nutrition security in Bangladesh , 1997 .

[66]  W. Muir,et al.  Possible ecological risks of transgenic organism release when transgenes affect mating success: sexual selection and the Trojan gene hypothesis. , 1999, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[67]  R. Goldburg,et al.  Murky waters: Environmental effects of aquaculture in the United States , 1997 .

[68]  D. Pauly,et al.  Fishing down marine food webs , 1998, Science.

[69]  I. Somers.  The Peruvian anchoveta and its upwelling ecosystem , 1989 .

[70]  Ximing Cai,et al.  World Water And Food To 2025: Dealing With Scarcity , 2002 .

[71]  R. .. F. I. D. Fao.  Production, accessibility, marketing and consumption patterns of freshwater aquaculture products in Asia : a cross-country comparison , 2001 .

[72]  Elliott A. Norse,et al.  Disturbance of the Seabed by Mobile Fishing Gear: A Comparison to Forest Clearcutting , 1998 .

[73]  S. Funge‐Smith,et al.  Nutrient budgets in intensive shrimp ponds : implications for sustainability , 1998 .

[74]  T. Vukina,et al.  A State-Space Forecasting Approach to Optimal Intertemporal Cross-Hedging , 1993 .

[75]  M. Dey,et al.  Socioeconomics of disseminating genetically improved Nile tilapia in Asia: An introduction , 2000 .

[76]  Mark J. Kurlansky,et al.  Cod: A Biography of the Fish that Changed the World , 1997 .

[77]  C. Nash,et al.  The net-pen salmon farming industry in the Pacific Northwest , 2001 .

[78]  A. Tacon,et al.  Outlook for Fishmeal and Fish Oil Demand: The Role of Aquaculture , 2002 .

[79]  J. Lotz.  Viruses, biosecurity and specific pathogen-free stocks in shrimp aquaculture , 1997, World Journal of Microbiology & Biotechnology.

[80]  D. Pauly,et al.  The Peruvian anchoveta and its upwelling ecosystem: three decades of change , 1987 .

[81]  S. Garcia,et al.  Fisheries thematic mapping ― A prerequisite for intelligent management and development of fisheries , 1986 .

[82]  R. Stickney,et al.  Principles of aquaculture , 1994 .

[83]  Jeremy S. Collie,et al.  National research council study on the effects of trawling and dredging on seafloor habitat , 2005 .

[84]  N. Hishamunda,et al.  Aquaculture development in China : the role of public sector policies , 2003 .

[85]  James F. Oehmke,et al.  Science under scarcity: Principles and practice for agricultural research evaluation and priority setting , 1996 .

[86]  M. Durand.  Fishmeal price behaviour : global dynamics and short-term changes , 1998 .

[87]  B. Worm,et al.  Rapid worldwide depletion of predatory fish communities , 2003, Nature.