Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scoring system in acute myocardial infarction: a prospective validation study.

OBJECTIVE To study the usefulness of the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scoring system for prognostication of inhospital mortality in acute myocardial infarction. DESIGN A prospective validation study. SETTING A medical intensive care unit (ICU) at a university hospital. PATIENTS Over a 3-yr period, 2,007 admissions of 1,714 patients with acute myocardial infarction were studied. In readmissions to the medical ICU during the same hospital stay, only the first admission was studied. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS Mean age of the patients was 72 +/- 10 yrs. The medical ICU mortality rate was 13% and total hospital mortality rate was 16%. Mean APACHE II score was 11.6 +/- 6.5. There was a close correlation between observed and predicted mortality rates in classes of patients with various APACHE II scores. Observed mortality in patients with scores of 20 to 24 was higher than the predicted mortality (p < .03). In this subgroup, 25% of the patients had a length of stay in the medical ICU of < 8 hrs. CONCLUSIONS Inhospital mortality in patients with acute myocardial infarction could be accurately predicted with APACHE II scores. Prognostication was not as good in patients with a length of stay in the medical ICU of < 8 hrs.

[1]  M. Stern,et al.  Miscoding of hospital discharges as acute myocardial infarction: implications for surveillance programs aimed at elucidating trends in coronary artery disease. , 1984, The American journal of cardiology.

[2]  W. Knaus,et al.  Statistical validation of a severity of illness measure. , 1983, American journal of public health.

[3]  L I Iezzoni,et al.  Coding of acute myocardial infarction. Clinical and policy implications. , 1988, Annals of internal medicine.

[4]  J. Calvin,et al.  Disease severity in the coronary care unit. , 1991, Chest.

[5]  W. Knaus,et al.  Interhospital comparisons of patient outcome from intensive care: importance of lead-time bias. , 1989, Critical care medicine.

[6]  W. Knaus,et al.  Variations in Mortality and Length of Stay in Intensive Care Units , 1993, Annals of Internal Medicine.

[7]  P. Tozzi,et al.  APACHE II in surgical lung carcinoma patients. , 1990, Chest.

[8]  W. Knaus,et al.  The APACHE III prognostic system. Risk prediction of hospital mortality for critically ill hospitalized adults. , 1991, Chest.

[9]  R. Moreau,et al.  Comparison of two simplified severity scores (SAPS and APACHE II) for patients with acute myocardial infarction. , 1989, Critical care medicine.

[10]  Mark H. Johnson,et al.  Stratification of prognosis in granulocytopenic patients with hematologic malignancies using the APACHE‐II severity of illness score , 1986, Critical care medicine.

[11]  William A. Knaus,et al.  Initial International Use of APACHE , 1984, Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making.

[12]  D. Schuster Predicting outcome after ICU admission. The art and science of assessing risk. , 1992, Chest.

[13]  Richard W. Carlson,et al.  Comparison of clinical assessment with APACHE II for predicting mortality risk in patients admitted to a medical intensive care unit. , 1988, JAMA.

[14]  M. Berger,et al.  Evaluation of the consistency of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) scoring in a surgical intensive care unit , 1992, Critical care medicine.

[15]  D. E. Lawrence,et al.  APACHE—acute physiology and chronic health evaluation: a physiologically based classification system , 1981, Critical care medicine.

[16]  R. Chang,et al.  Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) scoring in a cardiothoracic intensive care unit , 1991, Critical care medicine.

[17]  P. Marik Myocardial infarction prognostic scoring system. , 1991, Heart & lung : the journal of critical care.

[18]  J. Moorhead,et al.  Prognosis of critically-ill patients with acute renal failure: APACHE II score and other predictive factors. , 1989, The Quarterly journal of medicine.

[19]  F Alemi,et al.  Predicting In-Hospital Survival of Myocardial Infarction: A Comparative Study of Various Severity Measures , 1990, Medical care.

[20]  T. Killip,et al.  Treatment of myocardial infarction in a coronary care unit. A two year experience with 250 patients. , 1967, The American journal of cardiology.

[21]  W. Knaus,et al.  APACHE II: a severity of disease classification system. , 1985 .

[22]  J H Kerr,et al.  Intensive Care Society's APACHE II study in Britain and Ireland--I: Variations in case mix of adult admissions to general intensive care units and impact on outcome. , 1993, BMJ.

[23]  W. Youden,et al.  Index for rating diagnostic tests , 1950, Cancer.

[24]  E. Gilpin,et al.  Short-term prognosis in acute myocardial infarction: evaluation of different prediction methods. , 1984, American heart journal.

[25]  APACHE II score and mortality in respiratory failure due to cardiogenic pulmonary edema. , 1988, Critical care medicine.

[26]  J. Hopper,et al.  Improved prognosis since 1969 of myocardial infarction treated in a coronary care unit: lack of relation with changes in severity. , 1989, British medical journal.

[27]  R B D'Agostino,et al.  A Time-Insensitive Predictive Instrument for Acute Myocardial Infarction Mortality: A Multicenter Study , 1991, Medical care.

[28]  The diagnostic coding of myocardial infarction. , 1989, Annals of internal medicine.