Ocean response to typhoon Nuri (2008) in western Pacific and South China Sea

Typhoon Nuri formed on 18 August 2008 in the western North Pacific east of the Philippines and traversed northwestward over the Kuroshio in the Luzon Strait where it intensified to a category 3 typhoon. The storm weakened as it passed over South China Sea (SCS) and made landfall in Hong Kong as a category 1 typhoon on 22 August. Despite the storm’s modest strength, the change in typhoon Nuri’s intensity was unique in that it strongly depended on the upper ocean. This study examines the ocean response to typhoon Nuri using the Princeton Ocean Model. An ocean state accounting for the sea-surface temperature (SST) and mesoscale eddy field prior to Nuri was constructed by assimilating satellite SST and altimetry data 12 days before the storm. The simulation then continued without further data assimilation, so that the ocean response to the strong wind can be used to understand processes. It is found that the SST cooling was biased to the right of the storm’s track due to inertial currents that rotated in the same sense as the wind vector, as has previously been found in the literature. However, despite the comparable wind speeds while the storm was in western Pacific and SCS, the SST cooling was much more intense in SCS. The reason was because in SCS, the surface layer was thinner, the vorticity field of the Kuroshio was cyclonic, and moreover a combination of larger Coriolis frequency as the storm moved northward and the typhoon’s slower translational speed produced a stronger resonance between wind and current, resulting in strong shears and entrainment of cool subsurface waters in the upper ocean.

[1]  Yu-Lin Chang,et al.  Instability of the North Pacific subtropical countercurrent , 2014 .

[2]  Circulation in the Coastal Ocean , 1982 .

[3]  Fanghua Xu,et al.  State analysis using the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) and the three-layer circulation structure of the Luzon Strait and the South China Sea , 2014, Ocean Dynamics.

[4]  C. Mooers Several effects of baroclinic currents on the three‐dimensional propagation of inertial‐internal waves† , 1975 .

[5]  Ping Chen,et al.  A nested‐grid ocean model: With application to the simulation of meanders and eddies in the Norwegian Coastal Current , 1992 .

[6]  R. Rotunno,et al.  An air-sea interaction theory for tropical cyclones [presentation] , 1985 .

[7]  Lee Lawyer,et al.  The challenge of The Sudan , 1984 .

[8]  X.-H. Lin,et al.  Altimetry and drifter data assimilations of loop current and eddies , 2007 .

[9]  J. Geisler Linear theory of the response of a two layer ocean to a moving hurricane , 1970 .

[10]  L. Oey,et al.  Stalling of near‐inertial waves in a cyclone , 2008 .

[11]  J. Price,et al.  Upper Ocean Response to a Hurricane , 1981 .

[12]  T. Osborn,et al.  The dissipation of kinetic energy in a warm‐core ring , 1986 .

[13]  Yu-Lin Chang,et al.  Cross flows in the Taiwan strait in winter , 2014 .

[14]  M. Montgomery,et al.  The genesis of Typhoon Nuri as observed during the Tropical Cyclone Structure 2008 (TCS08) field experiment – Part 2: Observations of the convective environment , 2011 .

[15]  G. Holland An Analytic Model of the Wind and Pressure Profiles in Hurricanes , 1980 .

[16]  Kerry Emanuel,et al.  An Air-Sea Interaction Theory for Tropical Cyclones. Part I: Steady-State Maintenance , 1986 .

[17]  Richard A. Anthes,et al.  Numerical Simulations of the Ocean's Nonlinear, Baroclinic Response to Translating hurricanes , 1978 .

[18]  Christopher G. DesAutels,et al.  Environmental Control of Tropical Cyclone Intensity , 2004 .

[19]  A. E. Gill Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics , 1982 .

[20]  Kerry A. Emanuel,et al.  The Ocean’s Effect on the Intensity of Tropical Cyclones: Results from a Simple Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean Model , 1999 .

[21]  Ping Chen,et al.  A model simulation of circulation in the northeast Atlantic shelves and seas , 1992 .

[22]  Deborah K. Smith,et al.  A Cross-calibrated, Multiplatform Ocean Surface Wind Velocity Product for Meteorological and Oceanographic Applications , 2011 .

[23]  D. Chelton,et al.  Geographical Variability of the First Baroclinic Rossby Radius of Deformation , 1998 .

[24]  Mark DeMaria,et al.  Sea Surface Temperature and the Maximum Intensity of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones , 1994 .

[25]  J. Toole,et al.  The Energy Balance in a Warm-Core Ring's Near-Inertial Critical Layer , 1995 .

[26]  L. Oey,et al.  Hurricane-induced motions and interaction with ocean currents , 2007 .

[27]  George L. Mellor,et al.  A Three-Dimensional Simulation of the Hudson–Raritan Estuary. Part II: Comparison with Observation , 1985 .

[28]  Lie-Yauw Oey,et al.  Bred-ensemble ocean forecast of loop current and rings , 2007 .

[29]  Jarle Berntsen,et al.  Estimation of the internal pressure gradient in σ-coordinate ocean models: comparison of second-, fourth-, and sixth-order schemes , 2010 .

[30]  J. Matthews,et al.  Tidal straining, density currents, and stirring in the control of estuarine stratification , 1990 .

[31]  Tal Ezer,et al.  An exercise in forecasting loop current and eddy frontal positions in the Gulf of Mexico , 2005 .

[32]  C. J. Neumann,et al.  The International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS): unifying tropical cyclone data. , 2010 .

[33]  E. Kunze Near-Inertial Wave Propagation In Geostrophic Shear , 1985 .

[34]  L. Oey,et al.  Typhoon Kai-Tak: An Ocean’s Perfect Storm , 2011 .

[35]  George L. Mellor,et al.  A Three-Dimensional Simulation of the Hudson Raritan Estuary. Part I: Description of the Model and Model Simulations , 1985 .

[36]  Kerry A. Emanuel,et al.  Thermodynamic control of hurricane intensity , 1999, Nature.

[37]  Yu-Lin Chang,et al.  ATOP -The advanced Taiwan ocean prediction system based on the mpiPOM. Part 1: Model descriptions, analyses and results , 2013 .

[38]  Tal Ezer,et al.  Loop Current warming by Hurricane Wilma , 2006 .

[39]  Carl Wunsch,et al.  Improved estimates of global ocean circulation, heat transport and mixing from hydrographic data , 2000, Nature.

[40]  Lie-Yauw Oey,et al.  Hindcast of Waves and Currents in Hurricane Katrina , 2008 .