Incorporation of crop phenology in Simple Biosphere Model (SiBcrop) to improve land-atmosphere carbon exchanges from croplands

Incorporation of crop phenology in Simple Biosphere Model (SiBcrop) to improve land- atmosphere carbon exchanges from croplands Erandathie Lokupitiya 1,* , Scott Denning 1 , Keith Paustian 2,3 , Ian Baker 1 , Kevin Schaefer 4 , Shashi Verma 5 , Tilden Meyers 6 , Carl Bernacchi 7 , Andrew Suyker 5 , Marc Fischer 8 Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA; Department of Soil and Crop Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA; Natural Resource Ecology Lab, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, 4 National Snow and Ice Data Center, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, USA; 5 School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; 6 NOAA/ARL/ATDD, Oak Ridge, TN 37830-2456, 7 Department of Plant Biology, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, IL 61820, 8 Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Environmental Energy Technologies Division, Atmospheric Science Department, Berkeley, CA 94720 running head: predicting cropland carbon fluxes with SiBcrop figures: 12 tables:2 Corresponding author: Erandathie Lokupitiya email: erandi@atmos.colostate.edu Telephone : 970-491-8362 Fax: 970-491- 8449 Key words : climate change, cropland carbon dynamics, land surface models, SiBcrop model

[1]  W. Wilhelm,et al.  Is Soil Temperature Better than Air Temperature for Predicting Winter Wheat Phenology , 1998 .

[2]  C. Field,et al.  A reanalysis using improved leaf models and a new canopy integration scheme , 1992 .

[3]  C. Collar,et al.  HARVEST STAGE EFFECTS ON YIELD AND QUALITY OF WINTER FORAGE , 2001 .

[4]  J. Goudriaan,et al.  Modelling Potential Crop Growth Processes , 1994, Current Issues in Production Ecology.

[5]  Philippe Ciais,et al.  Coupling the Soil-Vegetation-Atmosphere-Transfer Scheme ORCHIDEE to the agronomy model STICS to study the influence of croplands on the European carbon and water budgets , 2004 .

[6]  H. M. Taylor,et al.  Responses of soybeans to two row spacings and two soil water levels. I. An analysis of biomass accumulation, canopy development, solar radiation interception and components of seed yield , 1982 .

[7]  J. Hesketh,et al.  Effects of temperature on the gas exchange of leaves in the light and dark , 1969, Planta.

[8]  J. Hanway How a corn plant develops , 1966 .

[9]  C. Müller,et al.  Modelling the role of agriculture for the 20th century global terrestrial carbon balance , 2007 .

[10]  K. Davis,et al.  A multiple-scale simulation of variations in atmospheric carbon dioxide using a coupled biosphere-atmospheric model , 2004 .

[11]  J. Gaudillère,et al.  Induction of a carbon-starvation-related proteolysis in whole maize plants submitted to Light/Dark cycles and to extended darkness , 1998, Plant physiology.

[12]  A. Blum,et al.  An evaluation of seed and seedling drought tolerance screening tests in wheat , 1980, Euphytica.

[13]  G. Buyanovsky,et al.  Post-harvest residue input to cropland , 1986, Plant and Soil.

[14]  J. R. Kiniry,et al.  CERES-Maize: a simulation model of maize growth and development , 1986 .

[15]  James W. Jones,et al.  Assessing uncertainties in crop model simulations using daily bias-corrected Regional Circulation Model outputs , 2007 .

[16]  C. Justice,et al.  A Revised Land Surface Parameterization (SiB2) for Atmospheric GCMS. Part II: The Generation of Global Fields of Terrestrial Biophysical Parameters from Satellite Data , 1996 .

[17]  K. Davis,et al.  Simulated variations in atmospheric CO2 over a Wisconsin forest using a coupled ecosystem–atmosphere model , 2003 .

[18]  S. Schneider,et al.  Climate Change 2007 Synthesis report , 2008 .

[19]  J. Norman,et al.  Predicting Canopy Light-Use Efficiency from Leaf Characteristics , 1991 .

[20]  D. M. Gates,et al.  Interactive effects of light, leaf temperature, CO2 and O2 on photosynthesis in soybean , 1985, Planta.

[21]  D. Mcwilliams,et al.  Soybean Growth and Management Quick Guide , 1999 .

[22]  Andrew E. Suyker,et al.  Growing season carbon dioxide exchange in irrigated and rainfed maize , 2004 .

[23]  S. Long,et al.  The growth of soybean under free air [CO2] enrichment (FACE) stimulates photosynthesis while decreasing in vivo Rubisco capacity , 2004, Planta.

[24]  David P. Billesbach,et al.  Spatiotemporal Variations in Growing Season Exchanges of CO2, H2O, and Sensible Heat in Agricultural Fields of the Southern Great Plains , 2007 .

[25]  R. R. Johnson,et al.  Effect of Water Stress on Carbon Assimilation and Distribution in Soybean Plants at Different Stages of Development 1 , 1977 .

[26]  M. Richardson,et al.  Cyclic hydroxamic acid accumulation in corn seedlings exposed to reduced water potentials before, during, and after germination , 1993, Journal of Chemical Ecology.

[27]  Vivek K. Arora,et al.  Simulating energy and carbon fluxes over winter wheat using coupled land surface and terrestrial ecosystem models , 2003 .

[28]  G. Collatz,et al.  Physiological and environmental regulation of stomatal conductance, photosynthesis and transpiration: a model that includes a laminar boundary layer , 1991 .

[29]  A. Challinor,et al.  Quantification of physical and biological uncertainty in the simulation of the yield of a tropical crop using present-day and doubled CO2 climates , 2005, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

[30]  Edwin W. Pak,et al.  An extended AVHRR 8‐km NDVI dataset compatible with MODIS and SPOT vegetation NDVI data , 2005 .

[31]  R. Hay,et al.  Harvest index: a review of its use in plant breeding and crop physiology , 1995 .

[32]  T. Yoneyama,et al.  Partitioning and Utilization of Photosynthate Produced at Different Growth Stages after Anthesis in Soybean (Glycine max L. Merr.): Analysis by Long-term 13C-Labelling Experiments , 1987 .

[33]  D. Ashley,et al.  Physiological comparisons of two soybean cultivars differing in canopy photosynthesis. I. Variation in vertical 14CO2 labelling and dry weight partitioning , 2004, Photosynthesis Research.

[34]  L. H. Allen,et al.  Nonstructural carbohydrates of soybean plants grown in subambient and superambient levels of CO2 , 1998, Photosynthesis Research.

[35]  L. King,et al.  Carbon and Phosphorus Losses from Decomposing Crop Residues in No-Till and Conventional Till Agroecosystems , 1993 .

[36]  D. Randall,et al.  A Revised Land Surface Parameterization (SiB2) for Atmospheric GCMS. Part I: Model Formulation , 1996 .

[37]  S. Crafts-Brandner,et al.  High temperature stress increases the expression of wheat leaf ribulose-1,5-bisphosphate carboxylase/oxygenase activase protein. , 2001, Archives of biochemistry and biophysics.

[38]  R. Sharma,et al.  Stability of Harvest Index and Grain Yield in Winter Wheat , 1987 .

[39]  R. Dickinson,et al.  The Common Land Model , 2003 .

[40]  C. R. Weber,et al.  Dry Matter Accumulation in Soybean (Glycine max (L) Merrill) Plants As Influenced by N, P, and K Fertilization 1 , 1971 .

[41]  C. Madramootoo,et al.  Nitrogen Dynamics of Decomposing Corn Residue Components Under Three Tillage Systems , 2002 .

[42]  R. Betts Integrated approaches to climate-crop modelling: needs and challenges. , 2005, Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences.

[43]  A. S C O T T D E N N I N G,et al.  Simulated variations in atmospheric CO 2 over a Wisconsin forest using a coupled ecosystem – atmosphere model , 2003 .

[44]  J. Hanway,et al.  How a soybean plant develops , 1967 .

[45]  Gerrit Hoogenboom,et al.  Simulation of Crop Growth: CROPGRO Model , 2018, Agricultural Systems modeting and Simulation.

[47]  A. Denning,et al.  The winter Arctic Oscillation, the timing of spring, and carbon fluxes in the Northern Hemisphere , 2005 .

[48]  Peter J. Gregory,et al.  The fate of carbon in pulse-labelled crops of barley and wheat , 1991, Plant and Soil.

[49]  J. Kiniry Nonstructural carbohydrate utilization by wheat shaded during grain growth , 1993 .

[50]  J. Berry,et al.  A biochemical model of photosynthetic CO2 assimilation in leaves of C3 species , 1980, Planta.

[51]  R. Richards,et al.  Growth of Near-isogenic Wheat Lines Differing in Development—Plants in a Simulated Canopy , 1998 .

[52]  M. Gent,et al.  Assimilation and distribution of photosynthate in winter wheat cultivars differing in harvest index , 1989 .

[53]  C. Justice,et al.  The generation of global fields of terrestrial biophysical parameters from the NDVI , 1994 .

[54]  A. Challinor,et al.  Design and optimisation of a large-area process-based model for annual crops , 2004 .

[55]  A. Scott Denning,et al.  Effect of climate on interannual variability of terrestrial CO2 fluxes , 2002 .

[56]  A. Rogers,et al.  Testing the “source–sink” hypothesis of down-regulation of photosynthesis in elevated [CO2] in the field with single gene substitutions in Glycine max , 2004 .

[57]  H. Berge,et al.  Simulation of Ecophysiological Processes of Growth in Several Annual Crops , 1989 .

[58]  C. R. Weber,et al.  Dry Matter Accumulation in Eight Soybean (Glycine max (L.) Merrill) Varieties1 , 1971 .

[59]  K. Paustian,et al.  Soil Organic Matter in Temperate Agroecosystems , 1997 .

[60]  G. Collatz,et al.  Coupled Photosynthesis-Stomatal Conductance Model for Leaves of C4 Plants , 1992 .

[61]  R. Fletcher,et al.  Paclobutrazol and ancymidol protect corn seedlings from high and low temperature stresses , 1994, Plant Growth Regulation.

[62]  M. A. Bolinder,et al.  Estimating shoot to root ratios and annual carbon inputs in soils for cereal crops , 1997 .

[63]  S. Long,et al.  An In Vivo Analysis of the Effect of Season-Long Open-Air Elevation of Ozone to Anticipated 2050 Levels on Photosynthesis in Soybean1 , 2004, Plant Physiology.

[64]  Improving wheat grain filling under stress by stem reserve mobilisation , 1997 .

[65]  A. Dalcher,et al.  A Simple Biosphere Model (SIB) for Use within General Circulation Models , 1986 .

[66]  T. Andrew Black,et al.  The simulation of energy, water vapor and carbon dioxide fluxes over common crops by the Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS) , 2005 .

[67]  K. Beauchemin,et al.  Effects of nonstructural carbohydrates and source of cereal grain in high concentrate diets of dairy cows. , 1997, Journal of dairy science.

[68]  R. Schulze,et al.  Global climate change and agricultural productivity in southern Africa , 1993 .

[69]  K. Davis,et al.  Observations and simulations of synoptic, regional, and local variations in atmospheric CO2 , 2007 .

[70]  A. Scott Denning,et al.  Simulated and observed fluxes of sensible and latent heat and CO2 at the WLEF‐TV tower using SiB2.5 , 2003 .

[71]  Jonathan D. Haskett,et al.  NET PRIMARY PRODUCTION OF U.S. MIDWEST CROPLANDS FROM AGRICULTURAL HARVEST YIELD DATA , 2001 .

[72]  Peter E. Thornton,et al.  Improvements to the Community Land Model and their impact on the hydrological cycle , 2008 .

[73]  J. Berry,et al.  Simulation of carbon isotope discrimination of the terrestrial biosphere , 2005 .

[74]  R. Rickman,et al.  Seed Reserves and Seedling Development in Winter Wheat , 1989 .

[75]  Andrew E. Suyker,et al.  Annual carbon dioxide exchange in irrigated and rainfed maize-based agroecosystems , 2005 .

[76]  S. Verma,et al.  Testing a model of CO2, water and energy exchange in Great Plains tallgrass prairie and wheat ecosystems , 2005 .

[77]  A. Scott Denning,et al.  Simulations of terrestrial carbon metabolism and atmospheric CO2 in a general circulation model: Part 1: Surface carbon fluxes , 1996 .

[78]  T. Meyers,et al.  An assessment of storage terms in the surface energy balance of maize and soybean , 2004 .

[79]  F. Went The Effect of Temperature on Plant Growth , 1953 .

[80]  Andrew J. Challinor,et al.  Development and assessment of a coupled crop–climate model , 2007 .

[81]  R. Reynolds,et al.  The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project , 1996, Renewable Energy.

[82]  R. E. Carlson,et al.  Soybean Seed Quality Response to Drought Stress and Pod Position , 1992 .

[83]  Sietse O. Los,et al.  Estimation of the ratio of sensor degradation between NOAA AVHRR channels 1 and 2 from monthly NDVI composites , 1998, IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote. Sens..

[84]  E. Reekie,et al.  GROWTH AND MAINTENANCE RESPIRATION OF PERENNIAL ROOT SYSTEMS IN A DRY GRASSLAND DOMINATED BY AGROPYRON DASYSTACHYUM (HOOK.) SCRIBN. , 1987 .

[85]  H. Rogers,et al.  Elevated atmospheric CO2 effects on N fertilization in grain sorghum and soybean , 2004 .

[86]  A. Denning,et al.  Possible representation errors in inversions of satellite CO2 retrievals , 2008 .

[87]  Robert E. Dickinson,et al.  The Common Land Model (CLM) , 2001 .

[88]  Joseph G. Lauer,et al.  Soybean Growth and Development in Various Management Systems and Planting Dates , 2004 .

[89]  T. Sinclair,et al.  Stability of soybean harvest index , 1984 .

[90]  P. Ciais,et al.  Including Croplands in a Global Biosphere Model: Methodology and Evaluation at Specific Sites , 2004 .

[91]  R. Pielke,et al.  A comprehensive meteorological modeling system—RAMS , 1992 .

[92]  Peter J. Gregory,et al.  Root systems and root:mass ratio-carbon allocation under current and projected atmospheric conditions in arable crops , 1995, Plant and Soil.

[93]  F. Breidt,et al.  Deriving Comprehensive County-Level Crop Yield and Area Data for U.S. Cropland , 2007 .

[94]  Photosynthesis of wheat under field conditions. I. The interaction of photosynthetic organs , 1968 .

[95]  Hongkong,et al.  CERES-Maize : a simulation model of maize growth and development , 2010 .

[96]  P. L. Vidale,et al.  Prognostic canopy air space solutions for land surface exchanges , 2005 .

[97]  S. Malik,et al.  Influence of Hydrogen Peroxide on Initial Leaf and Coleoptile Growth in Etiolated Wheat (Triticum aestivum L) Seedlings , 2003 .

[98]  Christopher J Kucharik,et al.  Integrated BIosphere Simulator (IBIS) yield and nitrate loss predictions for Wisconsin maize receiving varied amounts of nitrogen fertilizer. , 2003, Journal of environmental quality.

[99]  G. Hornberger,et al.  Empirical equations for some soil hydraulic properties , 1978 .

[100]  L. S. Evans,et al.  SEED PROTEIN QUANTITIES OF FIELD‐GROWN SOYBEANS EXPOSED TO SIMULATED ACIDIC RAIN , 1984 .

[101]  E. L. Anderson Tillage and N fertilization effects on maize root growth and root:shoot ratio , 1988, Plant and Soil.

[102]  C. Justice,et al.  A revised land surface parameterization (SiB2) for GCMs. Part III: The greening of the Colorado State University general circulation model , 1996 .

[103]  W. W. Nelson,et al.  Soybean and Corn Rooting in Southwestern Minnesota: II. Root Distributions and Related Water Inflow , 1975 .

[104]  W. Wilhelm Dry-matter partitioning and leaf area of winter wheat grown in a long-term fallow tillage comparisons in the US Central Great Plains , 1998 .

[105]  D. Green,et al.  GERMINATION AND SEEDLING DEVELOPMENT OF SOYBEANS IN A CARBON DIOXIDE‐DEFICIENT ATMOSPHERE , 1969 .

[106]  I. Brooking Temperature Response of Vernalization in Wheat: A Developmental Analysis , 1996 .

[107]  Remo Guidieri Res , 1995, RES: Anthropology and Aesthetics.

[108]  James Hansen,et al.  Translating climate forecasts into agricultural terms: advances and challenges , 2006 .

[109]  W. Fehr,et al.  Stage of Development Descriptions for Soybeans, Glycine Max (L.) Merrill , 1971 .

[110]  R. Desjardins,et al.  The contribution of agriculture to the state of climate: Workshop summary and recommendations , 2007 .