Migration and Technological Change in Rural Households: Complements or Substitutes?

In this paper we study the interrelationship between determinants of migration, conceived as a family strategy, and the potential impact of having a migrant household member on people left behind. Labour migration is often related to poverty but given its lumpy-investment nature, poverty may constitute a motivation to migrate as well as a constraint to do it. We use cross-sectional household data from two rural regions of Bangladesh to test whether migration is a form of income diversification strategy that significantly influences the risk-taking behaviour of source farm households in agricultural activities. We account for heterogeneity of migration constraints differentiating between domestic (temporary and permanent) and international moving destinations. We find that richer and large-holder households are more likely to participate in costly high-return migration (i.e. international migration) and employ modern technologies, thereby achieving higher productivity. Poorer households, on the other hand, are not able to overcome entry costs of moving abroad and fall back on migration with low entry costs, and low returns (i.e. domestic migration), which does not help them to achieve production enhancements and may lock them into persistent poverty. We interpret our results as evidence that if migration is a profitable household activity, entry constraints may hinder the access to it and its effectiveness as income diversification strategy.

[1]  M. Rosenzweig Wealth, weather risk, and the composition and profitability of agricultural investments , 1989 .

[2]  M. Lipton Migration from rural areas of poor countries: The impact on rural productivity and income distribution , 1980 .

[3]  J. Angrist,et al.  Digitized by the Internet Archive in 2011 with Funding from Estimation of Limited-dependent Variable Models with Dummy Endogenous Regressors: Simple Strategies for Empirical Practice , 2011 .

[4]  Heiko Körner,et al.  The Migration of Labor. , 1992 .

[5]  R. Adams The effects of international remittances on poverty, inequality, and development in rural Egypt , 1991 .

[6]  Michael P. Todaro,et al.  Internal migration in developing countries: a review of theory, evidence, methodology and research , 1977 .

[7]  Stefan Dercon,et al.  Income Risk, Coping Strategies, and Safety Nets , 2002 .

[8]  E. Katz,et al.  Labor Migration and Risk Aversion in Less Developed Countries , 1986, Journal of Labor Economics.

[9]  Hillel Rapoport Migration, credit constraints and self-employment: A simple model of occupational choice, inequality and growth , 2002 .

[10]  A. Janvry,et al.  Why Do Migrants Remit?: An Analysis for the Dominican Sierra , 1997 .

[11]  J. S. Long,et al.  Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables , 1997 .

[12]  M. Todaro,et al.  Migration, Unemployment and Developmnent: A Two-Sector Analysis , 2007 .

[13]  Mukesh Eswaran,et al.  Credit as insurance in agrarian economies , 1989 .

[14]  John R. Harris,et al.  Migration, Unemployment & Development: A Two-Sector Analysis , 1970 .

[15]  Hwajung Choi,et al.  Are Remittances Insurance? Evidence from Rainfall Shocks in the Philippines , 2005 .

[16]  A. Yúnez-naude,et al.  Education, migration and productivity : an analytic approach and evidence from rural Mexico , 1999 .

[17]  J. A. Calvin Regression Models for Categorical and Limited Dependent Variables , 1998 .

[18]  A. Venturini,et al.  Trade, aid and migrations: some basic policy issues. , 1993, European economic review.

[19]  R. Kuhn The Logic of Letting Go: Family and Individual Migration from Rural Bangladesh , 2000 .

[20]  Muttaquina Hossain,et al.  Rural-Urban Migration in Bangladesh: A Micro-Level Study * , 2001 .

[21]  N. Kabeer,et al.  The Power to Choose: Bangladeshi Women and Labour Market Decisions in London and Dhaka , 2000 .

[22]  C. Tisdell,et al.  Patterns and Determinants of Adoption of High Yielding Varieties: Farm-level Evidence from Bangladesh , 1988 .

[23]  S. Khandker,et al.  The impact of Group‐Based Credit Programs on Poor Households in Bangladesh: Does the Gender of Participants Matter? , 1998, Journal of Political Economy.

[24]  J. Heckman,et al.  A Simultaneous Equations Linear Probability Model , 1985 .

[25]  Kaivan Munshi Social learning in a heterogeneous population: technology diffusion in the Indian Green Revolution , 2004 .

[26]  Graeme Hugo,et al.  Theories of international migration: a review and appraisal. , 1993 .

[27]  Kaivan Munshi Networks in the Modern Economy: Mexican Migrants in the U. S. Labor Market , 2003 .

[28]  J. Church Human Development Report , 2001 .

[29]  J. Tavares Temporary labour migration of women : case studies of Bangladesh and Sri Lanka , 2000 .

[30]  Mark R. Rosenzweig,et al.  Risk, Implicit Contracts and the Family in Rural Areas of Low-Income Countries , 1988 .

[31]  G. Ikenberry,et al.  Human Development Report 2002 , 2002 .

[32]  D. Massey,et al.  International migration and community development , 1996 .

[33]  J. Angrist,et al.  Estimation of Limited Dependent Variable Models With Dummy Endogenous Regressors , 2001 .

[34]  M. Rosenzweig,et al.  Handbook of population and family economics , 1997 .

[35]  L. Sjaastad The Costs and Returns of Human Migration , 1962 .

[36]  O. Stark Motivations to Remit: Evidence from Botswana , 1985, Journal of Political Economy.

[37]  Douglas S. Massey,et al.  What's Driving Mexico-U.S. Migration? A Theoretical, Empirical, and Policy Analysis , 1997, American Journal of Sociology.

[38]  S. Rozelle,et al.  Migration remittances and agricultural productivity in China. , 1999 .

[39]  Jonathan Morduch,et al.  Income Smoothing and Consumption Smoothing , 1995 .

[40]  R. Lucas,et al.  Internal migration in developing countries , 1993 .

[41]  Stefan Dercon,et al.  Risk, Crop Choice, and Savings: Evidence from Tanzania , 1996, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[42]  Tom De Bruyn,et al.  Dynamics of remittance utilization in Bangladesh , 2005 .

[43]  Rita Afsar,et al.  Internal migration and the development nexus : the case of Bangladesh , 2003 .

[44]  Bangladesh. Parisaṃkhyāna Byuro,et al.  Statistical yearbook of Bangladesh , 1976 .

[45]  P. Deshingkar,et al.  Internal migration and development : a global perspective , 2005 .

[46]  Thomas Weiss World migration 2003 : managing migration : challenges and responses for people on the move , 2003 .

[47]  A. Banerjee,et al.  Occupational Choice and the Process of Development , 1993, Journal of Political Economy.

[48]  A. Balisacan,et al.  Poverty and vulnerability. , 2007 .

[49]  R. Skeldon Rural-to-urban migration and its implications for poverty alleviation. , 1997, Asia-Pacific population journal.

[50]  O. Stark Migration, Remittances, and the Family , 1988, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[51]  P. Schmidt,et al.  Limited-Dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometrics. , 1984 .

[52]  M. Mendola Farm Households Production Theories: A Review of 'Institutional' and 'Behavioural' Responses , 2005 .

[53]  Mukesh Eswaran,et al.  ACCESS TO CAPITAL AND AGRARIAN PRODUCTION ORGANISATION , 1986 .

[54]  J. Taylor,et al.  International migration and national development. , 1996, Population index.

[55]  G. Gill Seasonal Labour Migration in Rural Nepal: A Preliminary Overview , 2003 .

[56]  Oded Stark,et al.  On Migration and Risk in LDCs , 1982, Economic Development and Cultural Change.

[57]  R. Faini The Brain Drain: An Unmitigated Blessing? , 2003 .

[58]  Mark R. Rosenzweig,et al.  Consumption Smoothing, Migration, and Marriage: Evidence from Rural India , 1989, Journal of Political Economy.

[59]  Takeshi Amemiya,et al.  The Estimation of a Simultaneous-Equation Tobit Model , 1979 .

[60]  Marcel Fafchamps,et al.  Peasant Household Behaviour with Missing Markets: Some Paradoxes Explained , 1991 .

[61]  Whitney K. Newey,et al.  Efficient estimation of limited dependent variable models with endogenous explanatory variables , 1987 .

[62]  M. Mendola Agricultural technology adoption and poverty reduction: A propensity-score matching analysis for rural Bangladesh , 2007 .

[63]  Philip L. Martin,et al.  Human capital: Migration and rural population change , 2001 .

[64]  R. Lucas,et al.  INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION REGIMES AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT * , 2005 .

[65]  J. Heckman Dummy Endogenous Variables in a Simultaneous Equation System , 1977 .

[66]  J. Morduch Does Microfinance Really Help the Poor? New Evidence from Flagship Programs in Bangladesh , 1998 .

[67]  Mukesh Eswaran,et al.  IMPLICATIONS OF CREDIT CONSTRAINTS FOR RISK BEHAVIOUR IN LESS DEVELOPED ECONOMIES , 1990 .

[68]  Donald Cox,et al.  Motives for private transfers over the life cycle: An analytical framework and evidence for Peru , 1998 .

[69]  R. Lucas Emigration to South Africa's Mines , 1987 .

[70]  R. Skeldon Migration and poverty , 2002 .

[71]  A. Foster,et al.  Reply to Jonathan Morduch ’ s “ Does Microfinance Really Help the Poor ? New Evidence from Flagship Programs in Bangladesh ” , 1999 .

[72]  Philip L. Martin,et al.  Chapter 9 Human capital: Migration and rural population change , 2001 .

[73]  Takeshi Amemiya,et al.  The Estimation of a Simultaneous Equation Generalized Probit Model , 1978 .

[74]  M. Mendola Agricultural Technology and Poverty Reduction: A Micro-Level Analysis of Causal Effects , 2003 .

[75]  Mahabub Hossain Green revolution in Bangladesh : impact on growth and distribution of income , 1989 .

[76]  J. Taylor,et al.  Remittances and inequality reconsidered: Direct, indirect, and intertemporal effects , 1992 .

[77]  F. Gubert Migration, Remittances and Moral Hazard. Evidence from the Kayes Area (Western Mali) , 2000 .