A web-based tool for the development of Intensity Duration Frequency curves under changing climate

Intensity Duration Frequency (IDF) curves are among the most common tools used in water resources management. They are derived from historical rainfall records under the assumption of stationarity. Change of climatic conditions makes the use of historical data for development of IDFs for the future unjustifiable. The IDF_CC, a web based tool, is designed, developed and implemented to allow local water professionals to quickly develop estimates related to the impact of climate change on IDF curves for almost any local rain monitoring station in Canada. The primary objective of the presented work was to standardize the IDF update process and make the results of current research on climate change impacts on IDF curves accessible to everyone. The tool is developed in the form of a decision support system (DSS) and represents an important step in increasing the capacity of Canadian water professionals to respond to the impacts of climate change. Climate change impact on IDF curves investigated.Standardized IDF update process.Two theoretical contributions incorporated: downscaling method and skill score computation method.Web based tool developed and implemented for updating IDF curves under climate change.

[1]  Richard W. Katz,et al.  Statistics of extremes in climate change , 2010 .

[2]  Slobodan P. Simonovic,et al.  Assessment on variability of extreme climate events for the Upper Thames River basin in Canada , 2012 .

[3]  Slobodan P. Simonovic,et al.  Towards Reducing Climate Change Impact Assessment Process Uncertainty , 2015, Environmental Processes.

[4]  M. Robin,et al.  Institutional Adaptation of Water Resource Infrastructures to Climate Change in Eastern Ontario , 2006 .

[5]  A. Aghakouchak,et al.  Nonstationary Precipitation Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves for Infrastructure Design in a Changing Climate , 2014, Scientific Reports.

[6]  Juraj M. Cunderlik,et al.  Hydrological extremes in a southwestern Ontario river basin under future climate conditions/Extrêmes hydrologiques dans un basin versant du sud-ouest de l'Ontario sous conditions climatiques futures , 2005 .

[7]  Slobodan P. Simonovic,et al.  A decision support system for updating and incorporating climate change impacts into rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curves: Review of the stakeholder involvement process , 2016, Environ. Model. Softw..

[8]  Slobodan P. Simonovic,et al.  Development of Probability Based Intensity- Duration-Frequency Curves under Climate Change , 2011 .

[9]  Slobodan P. Simonovic,et al.  Equidistance Quantile Matching Method for Updating IDFCurves under Climate Change , 2014, Water Resources Management.

[10]  Alain Mailhot,et al.  Future changes in intensity and seasonal pattern of occurrence of daily and multi-day annual maximum precipitation over Canada , 2010 .

[11]  Amin Elshorbagy,et al.  Quantile-Based Downscaling of Precipitation Using Genetic Programming: Application to IDF Curves in Saskatoon , 2014 .

[12]  Gregory P. Marchildon,et al.  Chapter4- Canada in a Changing Climate: Sector Perspectives on Impacts and Adaptation , 2014 .

[13]  K. Trenberth Changes in precipitation with climate change , 2011 .

[14]  A. Thomson,et al.  The representative concentration pathways: an overview , 2011 .

[15]  Slobodan P. Simonovic,et al.  Development of rainfall intensity duration frequency curves for the City of London under the changing climate , 2007 .

[16]  Lukas H. Meyer,et al.  Summary for Policymakers , 2022, The Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate.

[17]  D. Caya,et al.  Assessment of future change in intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves for Southern Quebec using the Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM) , 2007 .

[18]  Slobodan P. Simonovic,et al.  Rainfall Intensity Duration Frequency Curves Under Climate Change: City of London, Ontario, Canada , 2012 .

[19]  T. Kenny,et al.  CORRIGENDUM: Quantum Limit of Quality Factor in Silicon Micro and Nano Mechanical Resonators , 2014, Scientific Reports.

[20]  M. Khaliq,et al.  Canadian RCM Projected Changes to Extreme Precipitation Characteristics over Canada , 2011 .

[21]  R. Katz,et al.  Non-stationary extreme value analysis in a changing climate , 2014, Climatic Change.

[22]  Rainer Storn,et al.  Differential Evolution-A simple evolution strategy for fast optimization , 1997 .

[23]  Watted,et al.  Critical review of the evolution of the design storm event concept , 2013 .

[24]  D. Sandink,et al.  Urban flooding and ground‐related homes in Canada: an overview , 2016 .