论文信息 - A method for the analysis of interrelationships between mutually connected events: A cross-impact method

A method for the analysis of interrelationships between mutually connected events: A cross-impact method

Abstract A cross-impact method is developed and adapted to the Socialist planning system, specifically economic growth in Hungary. The method makes it possible to estimate probabilities of occurence of interrelated events, to investigate the chains of effects of such events, and to minimize inconsistencies.

Erzsébet Nováky | Károly Lóránt

[1] Selwyn Enzer. A case study using forecasting as a decision-making aid , 1970 .

[2] Richard Rochberg. Methodology: Convergence and variability because of random numbers in cross-impact analysis , 1970 .

[3] T. J. Gordon,et al. Cross-impact matrices , 1969 .

[4] John Stover. Suggested improvements to the Delphi/cross-impact technique , 1973 .

[5] T. Gordon,et al. Initial experiments with the cross impact matrix method of forecasting , 1968 .

[6] Howard E. Johnson. Some computational aspects of cross impact matrix forecasting , 1970 .

[7] Olaf Helmer,et al. Cross-impact gaming☆ , 1972 .