Agent-based modelling of consumer energy choices

Reducing energy usage is important for climatechange mitigation. This Perspective focuses on the use and promise of agent-based modelling to understand the complexities of energy demand, including consumer behaviour.

[1]  R. Kates What kind of a science is sustainability science? , 2011, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[2]  Eric Bonabeau,et al.  Agent-based modeling: Methods and techniques for simulating human systems , 2002, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[3]  R. Kemp,et al.  The diffusion of clean technologies: A review with suggestions for future diffusion analysis , 2008 .

[4]  Varun Rai,et al.  Solar Community Organizations and active peer effects in the adoption of residential PV , 2014 .

[5]  Thomas Dietz,et al.  Understanding Environmental Cognition , 2012 .

[6]  John P. Weyant,et al.  End use technology choice in the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS): An analysis of the residential and commercial building sectors , 2013 .

[7]  Ernst Worrell,et al.  ADVANCES IN ENERGY FORECASTING MODELS BASED ON ENGINEERING ECONOMICS , 2004 .

[8]  Nathan Rosenberg,et al.  Handbook of the Economics of Innovation , 2013 .

[9]  Michael J. North,et al.  Tutorial on agent-based modelling and simulation , 2005, Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference, 2005..

[10]  Varun Rai,et al.  Determinants of Spatio-Temporal Patterns of Energy Technology Adoption: An Agent-Based Modeling Approach , 2014 .

[11]  Sridhar Narayanan,et al.  Estimating Causal Installed-Base Effects: A Bias-Correction Approach , 2011 .

[12]  Dirk Helbing,et al.  Social self-organization : agent-based simulations and experiments to study emergent social behavior , 2012 .

[13]  Thomas Dietz,et al.  US climate policy needs behavioural science , 2015 .

[14]  Michael Wildpaner,et al.  An agent-based simulation approach for the new product diffusion of a novel biomass fuel , 2011, J. Oper. Res. Soc..

[15]  William Rand,et al.  Agent-Based Modeling in Marketing: Guidelines for Rigor , 2011 .

[16]  G. T. Gardner,et al.  Household actions can provide a behavioral wedge to rapidly reduce US carbon emissions , 2009, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

[17]  Victor Aguirregabiria,et al.  Dynamic Discrete Choice Structural Models: A Survey , 2010, SSRN Electronic Journal.

[18]  Kenneth Gillingham,et al.  Peer Effects in the Diffusion of Solar Photovoltaic Panels , 2012, Mark. Sci..

[19]  Elmar Kiesling,et al.  Agent-based simulation of innovation diffusion: a review , 2011, Central European Journal of Operations Research.

[20]  Wander Jager,et al.  Multi-agent simulation of adoption of alternative fuels , 2010 .

[21]  Duncan J. Watts,et al.  Six Degrees: The Science of a Connected Age , 2003 .

[22]  Yoshiteru Nakamori,et al.  Modeling technological change in energy systems – From optimization to agent-based modeling , 2009 .

[23]  Thomas W. Valente Network models of the diffusion of innovations , 1996, Comput. Math. Organ. Theory.

[24]  T. Schelling Micromotives and Macrobehavior , 1978 .

[25]  Aidan O'Driscoll,et al.  The diffusion of microgeneration technologies – assessing the influence of perceived product characteristics on home owners' willingness to pay , 2011 .

[26]  G. Nigel Gilbert,et al.  Agent-Based Models , 2007 .

[27]  Troy D. Abel,et al.  A Value-Belief-Norm Theory of Support for Social Movements: The Case of Environmentalism , 1999 .

[28]  Varun Rai,et al.  Agent-Based Modeling of Energy Technology Adoption: Empirical Integration of Social, Behavioral, Economic, and Environmental Factors , 2014, Environ. Model. Softw..

[29]  Steven N. Durlauf,et al.  Complexity, economics, and public policy , 2012 .

[30]  V. Rai,et al.  Effective information channels for reducing costs of environmentally- friendly technologies: evidence from residential PV markets , 2013 .

[31]  T. Sargent Evolution and Intelligent Design , 2008 .

[32]  Uta Berger,et al.  Pattern-Oriented Modeling of Agent-Based Complex Systems: Lessons from Ecology , 2005, Science.

[33]  Thomas Dietz,et al.  Fostering knowledge networks for climate adaptation , 2013 .

[34]  Dawn Cassandra Parker,et al.  Spatial agent-based models for socio-ecological systems: Challenges and prospects , 2013, Environ. Model. Softw..

[35]  Elmar Kiesling,et al.  Innovation diffusion of repeat purchase products in a competitive market: An agent-based simulation approach , 2015, Eur. J. Oper. Res..

[36]  D. E. Stokes Pasteur's Quadrant: Basic Science and Technological Innovation , 1997 .

[37]  Keeheon Lee,et al.  Agent-based diffusion model for an automobile market with fuzzy TOPSIS-based product adoption process , 2011, Expert Syst. Appl..

[38]  W. Clark,et al.  Sustainability science: The emerging research program , 2003, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.

[39]  Hazhir Rahmandad,et al.  Heterogeneity and Network Structure in the Dynamics of Diffusion: Comparing Agent-Based and Differential Equation Models , 2004, Manag. Sci..

[40]  Tobias Schröder,et al.  Changing minds about electric cars: An empirically grounded agent-based modeling approach , 2014, ArXiv.

[41]  Albert-László Barabási,et al.  Linked - how everything is connected to everything else and what it means for business, science, and everyday life , 2003 .

[42]  Nurcin Celik,et al.  Hybrid agent-based simulation for policy evaluation of solar power generation systems , 2011, Simul. Model. Pract. Theory.

[43]  J. Kleinberg,et al.  Prediction Policy Problems. , 2015, The American economic review.

[44]  A. Perrels,et al.  Modelling lifestyle effects on energy demand and related emissions , 2000 .

[45]  H. Dowlatabadi,et al.  Models of Decision Making and Residential Energy Use , 2007, Renewable Energy.

[46]  Adam Douglas Henry,et al.  The challenge of learning for sustainability: A prolegomenon to theory , 2009 .

[47]  Bertha Maya Sopha,et al.  Adoption and diffusion of heating systems in Norway: Coupling agent-based modeling with empirical research , 2013 .

[48]  Martino Tran,et al.  Agent-behaviour and network influence on energy innovation diffusion , 2012 .

[49]  Joshua M. Epstein,et al.  Generative Social Science: Studies in Agent-Based Computational Modeling (Princeton Studies in Complexity) , 2007 .

[50]  Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron,et al.  Turning green: Agent-based modeling of the adoption of dynamic electricity tariffs , 2014 .

[51]  Farrokh Albuyeh,et al.  Grid of the future , 2009, IEEE Power and Energy Magazine.

[52]  Jonn Axsen,et al.  Interpersonal Influence within Car Buyers' Social Networks: Applying Five Perspectives to Plug-in Hybrid Vehicle Drivers , 2012 .

[53]  E. David,et al.  Networks, Crowds, and Markets: Reasoning about a Highly Connected World , 2010 .

[54]  Margaret J. Eppstein,et al.  An agent-based model to study market penetration of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles , 2011 .

[55]  Li An,et al.  Modeling human decisions in coupled human and natural systems: Review of agent-based models , 2012 .

[56]  Adam Douglas Henry,et al.  Networks and the Challenge of Sustainable Development , 2014 .

[57]  Tatiana Filatova,et al.  A Review of Urban Residential Choice Models Using Agent-Based Modeling , 2014 .

[58]  Maryse Labriet,et al.  ETSAP-TIAM: the TIMES integrated assessment model Part I: Model structure , 2008, Comput. Manag. Sci..

[59]  P. Haan,et al.  How much do incentives affect car purchase? Agent-based microsimulation of consumer choice of new cars—Part I: Model structure, simulation of bounded rationality, and model validation , 2009 .

[60]  Sonja Gensler,et al.  A Study of the Diffusion of Alternative Fuel Vehicles: An Agent‐Based Modeling Approach* , 2011 .